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Showing posts with label Glamorous Breeze. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Glamorous Breeze. Show all posts

Saturday, 1 July 2023

3:07 Chester Racing Tips (1st July)

CHESTER 3.07 

I can see 3 known front running types in this race and 2 of them are my 1st and 3rd top rated horses in this race. I'm not sure I will find anything of value to lay in this race which isn't a help in how to make a profit from the race, Cuban Breeze is my 3rd top rated and comes out of stall 2 which is ideal for a front running type, if they go off too fast then Roman Dragon could be the one to prosper as it likes to track the leaders and then stay on nearing the finish if ABERAMA GOLD 5/1 was drawn nearer the inside instead of stall 8 I would be more confident but if getting to the front and reproduces its best Hamilton rating from last year it would win a shade cosily. 

Amerama Gold 11/2 8th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

WINDSOR 5.05 

Of the 3yo’s at the bottom of the handicap Swift Asset (non-runner) may do best but any of the trio could improve enough to win this race but up to now they have not proven they are good enough but their presence means my stakes will be kept low in this race, the early pace is likely to come from either Swayze or Spring Bloom and the latter has one course and distance speed figure which would see it winning this race but that is now beginning to look like a one off result, going back to 2021 ratings then Crimson Sand could run well here as could Vespasian. If the going is good to firm my money will be riding on GLAMOROUS BREEZE 10/1 who likes to race in midfield before running on strongly at the finish. 

Glamorous Breeze 10/1 1st +10pts

Total +10pts

DONCASTER 8.30 

I can find 2 front running types in this race and PEARLE D’OR 10/1 (EW) could do best being my 4th top rated but this one doesn't want really fast ground so the forecast good going should suit it and if allowed an easy lead it could possibly lead all the way but has to be an each way bet at the price Fantasy Master won over this distance in a slow run race and may struggle to stay the distance in this race while Brazen Bolt may be better over further so 2 possible lays. As If By Chance is my top rated but has never won rated this highly so may be in the grips of the handicapper but could run another good race but find one or two too good for it, Ghathanfar is my 3rd top rated and likes to track the leaders but has been out of form recently. I'm hoping that CAIRN GORM 7/1 can get away smartly here and track the leaders and stay on the stronger nearing the finish but I will be having 2 bets to cover the angles.

Cairn Gorm 7/1 3rd -1pt 
Pearle D'Or 20/1 9th -2pts

Total -3pts 

Total on the day  +6pts

Thursday, 8 June 2023

6:03 Bath Racing Tips (9th June)

What a joke today for my sprints there's 3 of them all class 4 affairs, a 3 runner race and the other 2 have just 6 runners in each, I can understand if its a class 5 or 6 race then there's usually a good turnout but then moan about the prize money obviously the higher class horse deserves to be running for more money, so all in all it just shows how many poor horses are bred each year, anyways onto the races.

BATH 6.03 

Just 3 runners and none are known as front runners so what will happen I don't know, Amazonian Dream needs to improve to win this race but if its a slow early pace and then a dash for the line anything can happen, I expect GLAMOROUS BREEZE 5/4 will be the favourite and justifiably so and it will be the one that carries my money. 

Glamorous Breeze 11/8 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt

HAYDOCK 7.20 

What makes this race harder is that there is four 3yo’s in the race and they can improve without warning so my stakes are already lowered, if Silent Flame is the fairly short priced favourite, 5/2 on the early tissue prices, then I would look to lay it admittedly it does have good recent form but it will need to improve time wise to win this race if others run up to their previous best. The 2 that come out top on my figures are the 2 known front running types in the race in Cuban Breeze who comes out in 2nd top spot using a rating it recorded at Windsor last year and that is the same course where the 3yo SONG OF SUCCESS 9/1 recorded its best rating both showed a return to form might be at hand in their last performances my money as usual will be on my top rated horse and being a 3yo it could improve further and at the price looks the value call in this race.

Song Of Success 9/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bet: Silent Flame +1pt 

Total 0pts

GOODWOOD 7.35

This race is very very tricky to analyse and I ended up with 2 horses that have recorded speed ratings and the other 4 I have noted down as potential dangers and cannot be laid as they could improve and 2 of the 4 are 3yo’s. So with nothing to lay I don't know where to turn Kensington Agent actually comes out in top spot but that is using a rating it recorded on an artificial surface at Wolverhampton and hasn't recorded a rating on turf, the top weighted SCOT'S GRACE 9/1 has a decent rating for this class of race using a time it recorded at Chester last year so this course should also suit it and if pushed will be the one carrying my money as it looks the value call in the race but again its not a race to be betting too heavily in.

Scot's Grace 18/1 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -2pts

Sunday, 21 May 2023

2:35 Carlisle Racing Tips (22nd May)

CARLISLE 2.35 

A field of 9 for a class 4 dash on hopefully good to firm ground and if it is then I would look to lay Princess Karine 13/2 who prefers some cut in the going and the same applies to Huddle Up 11/2 and both will be lays if single figure prices, Albegone has the top rating but may need this run for fitness, Glorious Rio stays on at the finish but this race might not be run to suit it, there is one horse that has been known to lead if nothing else wants to I'm hoping that OUR ABSENT FRIEND 15/2 can lead here and then kick for home and lead all the way. 

Our Absent Friend 9/1 7th -1pt 

Lay bets Princess Karine +1pt, Huddle Up +1pt

Total +1pt

CARLISLE 3.10 

To be honest this class four, seven runner sprint is a race where it might be best not to have a bet, I can't work out what will set the early pace which always makes analysis that much harder, Westmorian races as though further might suit it better so this race might not be run to suit it, Thaki can produce a good rating but usually in lower class races and I can only see me putting PAPA COCKTAIL 5/2 into a multiple bet, it has won its last 2 races so is it tip top form and has been found a good opportunity to complete its hattrick. 

Papa Cocktail 11/4 1st +2.75pts 

Total +2.75pts

WINDSOR 5.00 

A class 4 dash where 3 of the 8 runners have been known to lead before so it should be a fast run race for its class, La Roca Del Fuego is one of them but its only turf win came at a lower grade of racing, I will look to lay Antiphon who might be better when tackling a longer distance, Faustus is another possible pacesetter and my 3rd top rated so could go well but they might push each other too hard in the early stages which might play into the hands of GLAMOROUS BREEZE 7/1 who usually races in midfield before saying on strongly at the finish but this one would like the going to be good to firm to show its best form. 

Glamorous Breeze 7/1 1st +7pts 

Lay bet Antiphon +1pt 

Total +8pts

WINDSOR 6.35 

A class 3 sprint with 10 entrants of which 2 are known as front running types and if Bear Profit gets to the front it could do enough to make the frame so maybe worth an each way punt, Count Otto comes out as my 3rd top rated on my own speed ratings and usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on at the finish so another that could make the frame and a possible each way prospect, Lethal Nymph comes out in 2nd top spot and another that likes to track the leaders but my money will be riding on INDIAN CREAK 5/1 who likes to run in midfield before running on strongly at the finish and has good trainer/jockeys stats making me think the connections are expecting a big run in this race.

Indian Creek 5/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day +10.75pts

Wednesday, 31 August 2022

3:55 Salisbury Racing Tips (1st September)

SALISBURY 3.55 

A 9 runner race where one third of them have been known to lead so it should be a true run race, Makarova 11/4 won two class 5 races and then raced in class 2 company and immediately dropped back in class again but without winning and might get outclassed again in this class 2 race and looks poor value in my eyes plus it is also held at the weights by Crazy Luck so it might be worth laying if of value to do so, the three front running types in this race are Al Simmo 13/2 my 4th top rated horse, Night Narcissus 20/1 my 3rd top rated and Cuban Breeze 11/2 my 2nd top rated and these 3 might battle each other for the lead and could therefore set the race up for something coming from off the pace, so my money will be riding on CRAZY LUCK 5/1 who has a positive looking jockey booking and this one does like a fast target to aim at so this race should suit it well. 

Crazy Luck 6/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Makarova +1pt 

Total 0pts 

WINDSOR 4.30 

A 13 runner class 3 race with a couple of known front running types amongst them, I'm not sure if there will be anything of value to lay although the front running Equality 6/1 would need to improve a good few spots to win this race and looks as though it might be a single figure price, Yimou 9/1 is my 4th top rated using a rating from 2021 over this course and distance, Albegone 16/1 my 3rd top rated using a Ripon rating recorded this year but both are a few spots below my top pair but either could possibly make the frame, the most likely pacesetter could be SPRING BLOOM 5/1 who is my 2nd top rated and then it is only 1lb below my top rated horse and this ones best rating came over todays course and distance this year and could possibly lead all the way unless GLAMOROUS BREEZE 6/1 does everything correctly and then this one could pip it on the post, it is so close between them i will be backing them both to cover the angles.

Glamorous Breeze 6/1 3rd -1pt 
Spring Bloom 7/1 8th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day -2pts 

Wednesday, 13 October 2021

5:40 Brighton Racing Tips (14th October)

BRIGHTON 5.40 

GLAMOROUS BREEZE usually races in midfield during the race and then stays on strongly at the finish and is my top rated on jut 2021 times and joint top rated on overall figures.

BATCHELOR BOY has been known to lead before but has only slow times from its 2 runs over this course and distance and may be better over a longer distance. 

POP DANCER is the one that I expect will set the pace to this race and comes out joint 3rd top on my figures so could make the frame if repeating its previous best.

SHAMSHON is a hold up type and comes out 2nd top rated on just 2021 times but also its best from 2020 makes it joint top rated again so could go well. 

COLOMBE I'm not convinced the good to firm surface suits this runner but does have good trainer stats at this course but has poor jockey stats and I would look to lay it. 

ATTYS EDGE is another hold up type but time wise it would need to improve a good few spots so its not for me in this race and will lay it if a single figure price. 

SPREADSHEET has slow times over this distance mainly because I think it needs a longer distance on fast ground and another I will look to lay. 

ANDRE AMAR has a fast time from Bath this year but all of its best form and speed figures have all come in lower class races so may be outclassed in this race. 

SUMMARY: Being the only sprint of the day worth looking at (the 2.10 race is poor even by class 6 standards and is best left alone) I hope all 8 runners take part so there's 3 places up for grabs if I find an each way wager, Pop Dancer my joint 3rd top rated could be an each way bet as I think it might set the pace to the race and prove hard to catch for some of the other runners, Andre Amar and Shamshon could also go well here but my money will be riding on the top weight *GLAMOROUS BREEZE 11/4 who usually races in midfield before staying on strongly at the finish and it will have the fast pace it likes to aim at.

*NR 

Lay bets: Atty's Edge -2.75pts, Colombe +1pt, Spreadsheet +1pt 

Total on the day -0.75pts

Friday, 27 August 2021

2:45 Newmarket Racing Tips (28th August)

NEWMARKET 2.45 

A 10 runner Listed class race with a couple of front runners, the top weight Summerghand is dropped in class from its recent races and if reproducing its best time from 2020 here over the Rowley course it could win but its been way below that standard time wise so far this year and not worth risking, Adaay To Remember won last time out in a lower class race and might be a progressive type but this is a big jump in class but being a front running type it could go well but not one I would like to rely on, I will be on the side of TABDEED 2/1 who is another dropped in class and comes out as my top rated using its time from Newbury last time out when it finished 2nd and has been found a good opportunity to go one better here, I expect it will be the favourite but I don't mind backing shorter priced horse in races where the prize money is significant. 

Tabdeed 2/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt

BEVERLEY 3.15 

This is a Listed class race with 4 known front runners amongst the field of 12 and both Tis Marvellous and Justanotherbottle could do well from the front as both are in my top 4 ratings, I would look to lay Dakota Gold 5/1 if its a single figure price as I think its better over longer distances but with the likely fast pace here it might play to its strengths but maybe too late for it to win this race, Wise Words my 3rd top rated will be trying to stay on strongly at the finish as will be TARBOOSH 14/1 (EW) who comes out top rated using a time from Musselburgh this year and hopefully it will be an each way price. 

Tarboosh 14/1 9th -2pts 

Lay bet Dakota Gold +1pt

Total -1pt

BEVERLEY 3.50 

A fairly big field of 15 runners with a couple of known pacesetters, until I've seen the betting I'm not sure if there's any worthwhile lays amongst them, Duke Of Firenze, Ventura Flame, Not On Your Nellie and Arnold have times that could make them competitive if at their best, I will be going with 2 wagers in this race firstly LATIN FIVE 11/2 who comes out top rated on just 2021 times and its good enough for 2nd top spot on overall figures and usually stays on strongly at the business end of its races but my top rated DARK SHOT 11/1 is the only natural looking front runner in the field and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch but the trainers 0-17 for the last 2 weeks doesn't fill me with confidence so I will go with the 2 bets to cover the angles. 

Dark Shot 14/1 4th -1pt 
Latin Five 8/1 5th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

WINDSOR 4.20 

A poor turnout of just 7 runners but there is a couple of front running types so it should be a true run race, I will look to lay Libertine Belle 5/1 who might need further to show its best, as for the winner I have to admit its a race where i will have to go with dutching 3 runners, LETHAL BLAST 7/2 is one of the 2 possible pacesetters and could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead as its only 2lb below GLAMOROUS BREEZE 3/1 on just 2021 times but the top weight SECOND COLLECTION 6/1 has a time from 2020 that makes it my top rated by 3lbs so its close between all 3 of them for various reasons and I cannot split them 

Second Collections 6/1 1st +6pts 
Glamorous Breeze 3/1 2nd -1pt 
Lethal Blast 7/2 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Libertine Belle +1pt

Total +5pts

NEWMARKET 5.35 

If this race had any known front running types it would be a cracking race but the lack of known early pace already means my stakes will be kept low, James Watt, Secretinthepark and Nibras Again are all rated within a 1lb of each other in 3rd to 5th top rated so could battle it out to make the frame, in 2nd top spot I've got Han Solo Berger but my top rated is the top weight SOUL SEEKER 8/1 who usually tracks the leaders and then stays on strongly at the finish and I do like it when a horse comes out top rated carrying higher weight against lesser opponents. 

Soul Seeker 8/1 8th -1pt 

Total -1pt

REDCAR 6.45 

With nearly half the field being either 3yo’s or lightly raced sorts this race is hard to analyse but I do think the connections of HAIL SEZER 6/1 have found their horse a good opportunity to follow up from the race it won last time out at Doncaster and recorded a fast time the race before at Carlisle when finishing 2nd which puts it at the top of my speed figures list but the trainers 0-4 for the last 2 weeks means my stakes will be kept low. 

Hail Sezer 6/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt

REDCAR 7.15 

I was going to leave this race alone with once again half the field being 3yo’s or lightly raced sorts but when I checked the time recorded by ABSOLUTE DREAM 4/1 when it won over this course and distance 2 runs ago I was surprised to see it was well above what I would normally expect from a class 6 race, its last race was over 7 furlongs so can be ignored and is quickly dropped back to its winning distance and should confirm the form of its course and distance win over Shes A Deva.

Absolute Dream 4/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -2pts