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Sunday 10 September 2023

7:30 Newcastle Racing Tips (11th September)


Blackcurrent 6/1 who today is in stall 9 tried to lead all the way over this distance last time out at Southwell but didn't quite make it and I think it will be more of the same in this race as its only 4th top on my figures plus this is a stiffer course, it doesn't look like I can see anything of value to put forward as a lay as for the winner I've narrowed it down to 3 possible winners, 7/2 shot Show Compassion comes out in joint 2nd top spot but this ones best time was recorded at Wolverhampton and usually races in midfield but is well drawn in stall 10 so if taking to this course it could go well here, Mumcat 7/1 is the other joint 2nd top rated but this time this ones best rating was recorded at Southwell and can be held up or track the leaders and is coming out of stall 5, the top rated LAERTES 7/2 in stall 11 didn't record its best rating on this Tapeta surface doing it at Chelmsford, it has had one previous run over this course and distance where it was slow away and that race can be best ignored but if able to reproduce its best rating on this surface it would win with a bit in hand but I will most likely have smaller covering bets on the 2 that are top rated on this surface.

Laertes 7/2 7th -1pt 

Total -1pt  


The most likely leader in this race is Lancashire Life 14/1 but stall 1 isn't ideal but does come out 3rd best on my ratings so if allowed an easy lead it could run a big race so might be worth an each way interest if a double figure price, Churchill Bay 25/1 could go well if reproducing its best rating but that was at Wolverhampton while its best course and distance rating is quite a few spots lower so maybe this straight course isn't ideal for it and its stall 3 draw will hamper its chances further, TATHMEEN 14/1 comes out in top spot and admittedly hasn't been in the best of form recently but has won before without prior warning and could bounce back to form here, its versatile with its racing tactics which can include leading so I'm hoping it can take advantage of its stall 14 draw and get back to winning ways.

Tathmeen 20/1 8th -1pt 

Total -1pts


The early pace in this race looks most likely to be set by Annie Maher 25/1 and from stall 11 it ought to go well but its not it my top 4 ratings but if allowed an easy lead it could do enough to make the frame, Phoenix Star 20/1,Glorious Rio 7/2 and Lady Celia 7/1 could go well if reproducing their best ratings from 2022, the one I will be backing is well drawn in stall 13 so should get a tow into the race by the stall 11 front running type and then URBAN DANDY 12/1 could stay on the stronger nearing the finish and find itself back in the winners enclosure.

Urban Dandy 12/1 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -3pts 

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