3:55 Salisbury Racing Tips (1st September)

SALISBURY 3.55 

A 9 runner race where one third of them have been known to lead so it should be a true run race, Makarova 11/4 won two class 5 races and then raced in class 2 company and immediately dropped back in class again but without winning and might get outclassed again in this class 2 race and looks poor value in my eyes plus it is also held at the weights by Crazy Luck so it might be worth laying if of value to do so, the three front running types in this race are Al Simmo 13/2 my 4th top rated horse, Night Narcissus 20/1 my 3rd top rated and Cuban Breeze 11/2 my 2nd top rated and these 3 might battle each other for the lead and could therefore set the race up for something coming from off the pace, so my money will be riding on CRAZY LUCK 5/1 who has a positive looking jockey booking and this one does like a fast target to aim at so this race should suit it well. 

Crazy Luck 6/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Makarova +1pt 

Total 0pts 

WINDSOR 4.30 

A 13 runner class 3 race with a couple of known front running types amongst them, I'm not sure if there will be anything of value to lay although the front running Equality 6/1 would need to improve a good few spots to win this race and looks as though it might be a single figure price, Yimou 9/1 is my 4th top rated using a rating from 2021 over this course and distance, Albegone 16/1 my 3rd top rated using a Ripon rating recorded this year but both are a few spots below my top pair but either could possibly make the frame, the most likely pacesetter could be SPRING BLOOM 5/1 who is my 2nd top rated and then it is only 1lb below my top rated horse and this ones best rating came over todays course and distance this year and could possibly lead all the way unless GLAMOROUS BREEZE 6/1 does everything correctly and then this one could pip it on the post, it is so close between them i will be backing them both to cover the angles.

Glamorous Breeze 6/1 3rd -1pt 

Spring Bloom 7/1 8th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day -2pts 

3:00 York Racing Tips (10th June)

YORK 3.00 

GALE FORCE MAYA 8/1 recorded its best rating at Newmarket last year where it likes to track the leaders and could make the frame in this race so might be worth an each way punt.

AROUSING 6/1 this one would need to improve time wise to win this race its another that likes to track the leaders but I might look to lay this one. 

MOUNTAIN BRAVE 14/1 also likes to track the leaders before trying to stay on at the finish and on my ratings it could make the frame and might be a bit better than its actual rating.

ZIM BABY 20/1 usually likes to race in midfield or be held up for a late run but it might stay on too late to win this race but not of value to lay. 

EY UP ITS MAGGIE 7/1 has been known to lead before but likes to set a slightly slower pace and might not be able to do that here so might be worth looking to lay. 

CANDESCENCE 11/2 has won over today's distance on good to firm ground but it was a relatively slow run race but has a record of 2 wins, 5 places from just 9 races so I could lay it. 

AL SIMMO 8/1 this is the one that I think will set the pace to this race but I doubt it is good enough to hold on for the win but with an easy lead it could go well. 

CRAZY LUCK 11/1 doesn't want really fast ground so good and good to firm in places might suit it well and is my top rated using a rating recorded this year. 

INTERNATIONAL GIRL 33/1 has only poor ratings over this distance because with a decent early pace it doesn't stay the distance. 

MAKAROVA 4/1 I believe this one might not be up to winning at this level of race and its win at Salisbury was a slow run affair. 

SUMMARY: I've got Mountain Brave 14/1 as my third top rated and could do enough to make the frame and might be worth a small each way wager, the top weight Gale Force Maya 8/1 comes out in second top spot on my figures and will be to the fore from the off and could be worth an each way interest but I will be putting my faith and money on CRAZY LUCK 11/1 (EW) who is usually held up in midfield or at the back of the field and then finish with a flourish as the winning line comes into view and the jockey booking looks a positive booking and that makes me think connections are expecting at least a good run and I will be going with an each way bet.

Crazy Luck 12/1 2nd +1.4pts 

Lay bets Arousing +1pt, Ey Up It's Maggie +1pt, Candescence +1pt 

Total on the day +4.4pts