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Showing posts with label Salisbury. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Salisbury. Show all posts

Tuesday, 27 June 2023

2:40 Salisbury Racing Tips (28th June)

SALISBURY 2.40 

5F Class 4 6 Runners A sprint for horses aged six or older but I'm disappointed with the turnout of just six runners. Samper's Seven is a possible pacesetter but hasn't shown much time wise and may not like the fast good to firm ground, Just Glamorous is the other one that could try to set the pace here but also doesn't seem to like really fast ground but could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead, Saaheq is the third horse that doesn't seem to like really fast ground, Stone Circle races as though a longer distance would suit it better so might not be able to catch the leaders in this race, Redredrobin also races as though further would suit it better and might also be outclassed at this level of racing. So that's five of the runners with negatives against their names which leaves me with GRANDFATHER TOM 10/3 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger nearing the finish so this race could be run to suit it and on my ratings if it reproduces its best rating from Windsor last year it would win this race a shade cosily and its been in great form recently and has been found another good winning opportunity.

Grandfather Tom 9/1 6th -1pt 

Total on the day -1pt

Friday, 26 May 2023

2:40 York Racing Tips (27th May)

YORK 2.40 

A cracking looking class 2 dash over this flat surface with 3, Chipstead stall 5 and Fine Wine stall 4 are 2 of them, known front running types to ensure there's a fast early pace and its a race where it could be won from the front. Reigning Profit maybe not class, Squealer maybe too short a distance will be lays if they are single figure prices. Alligator Alley who usually tracks the leaders is my 3rd top rated and drawn in stall 7 so could go either side of the course depending where the early pace is, Korker in stall 10 is my 2nd top rated and usually races at the rear of the field or in midfield but my top rated is the 3rd front running type is Copper Knight who is drawn in stall so if leading could prove a hard nut to crack. 

Each Way Bet COPPER KNIGHT 16/1 Unp -2pts 
Lay REIGNING PROFIT 9/1 (NA) 

Total -2pts

HAYDOCK 3.30 

A Group 2 dash and again there's 3 known front running types but there's 7 that are either 4yo’s or 3yo’s who might be capable of front running and or improve but haven't shown it so far in their relatively short careers so this race is probably best left alone and if Raasel isn't an each way price then I will leave the race alone, the two 3yo’s are forecast to be to the fore in the betting but I was told many years ago not to back a 3yo against older horses until June so hoping that's right and an each way bet on an older horse might pay dividends.

Each Way Bet RAASEL 14/1 Unp -2pts

Total -2pt

SALISBURY 7.10

A Listed sprint with 9 runners but I'm not sure what will set the pace, Marbaah is a 3yo so that might be against it here taking on its elders and it might need further to show its best form so this race might not be run to suit it so I will look to lay it if its of value to do so, Sir Maximus doesn't seem to like good to firm so I will add that to my lay list, Khaadem is my 3rd top rated and can be held up or track the leaders, Rohaan is a hold up type so this race might not be run to suit it but on the other hand if its a slow early pace its fitness might not be called into question, and my top rated its dropped in class to run in this race but this will be its 1st run after 244 days off so might need this run for fitness as it has done so before after a break, Run To Freedom is my 2nd top rated and it usually likes to track the leaders its a course and distance winner and had its 1st run of the year 14 days ago so hopefully that has got it fully tuned up for this race.

Bets 

ROHAAN 6/1 8th -1pt   
RUN TO FREEDOM 13/2 1st +6.5pts 

Lay MARBAAH 11/2 + SAM MAXIMUS 13/2 +1pt 

Total +6.5pts

Total on the day +2.5pts

Wednesday, 7 September 2022

7:45 Southwell Racing Tips (8th September)

SOUTHWELL  7.45 

A nice looking class 3 race over 6 furlongs with 13 runners and a couple of front runners to ensure there's a decent early gallop, King Of Tonga 8/1 hasn't any form on this surface over this distance and would need to improve upon its best turf rating to win this race and might be worth laying if of value to do so, Water Of Leith might be outclassed at this level, Mocktail is better over a shorter distance and both might be worth laying if a single figure price which I doubt, Tyger Bay, Astro Jakk and Ava Go Joe are closely matched on just course and distance ratings but would need to improve time wise to win this race, on times on this surface but elsewhere, in this ones case Wolverhampton, then The Lamplighter could do itself justice and any of them could make the frame but i will be backing 2 runners in this race, WATCHYA 6/1 is my top rated using either Newcastle or Wolverhampton and is one of the known front running types so this 3yo could add to its tally of victories, it isn't well drawn in stall 13 but could in the make-up of this race have the speed to get out and head for the rails and if getting to the front could prove hard to catch but I will also be backing BADRI 4/1 who can be held up or track the leaders and from its stall 2 draw it will hopefully be able to get a good early position and then stay on the stronger at the finish and I do like to cover both of those angles to give myself the best chance of making a profit from a race. 

Abandoned due to the passing of The Queen. 

SOUTHWELL  8.45 

Another nice looking class 3 race over the straight 5 furlong course but this time with the full complement of 14 runners this time with 3 known front running type, Isle Of Lismore 8/1 has only produced slow times both here and at Newcastle and looks a better prospect when racing over a longer distance so could be worth laying as it might be a shorter price than it merits just because it won last time out over this distance but on a tough turf course, Newmarket, so might have been flattered by that result compared to today's conditions, of the front running trio of Equality 4/1 stall 2, The Bell Conductor 15/2 stall 4 and Lihou stall 5, 10/1, any of them could lead and any of them might even make the frame but they would need to improve a little bit to actually win the race, that's assuming others run to their best, my top rated horse using just course and distance ratings and the horse that's top rated using ratings from either Newcastle or Wolverhampton is the same horse THE THIN BLUE LINE 10/1 who has been running reasonably well lately but hasn't won, it is usually held up for a late run and likes a fast pace to aim at so this race should be run to suit it and hopefully get it back to winning ways and if an each way price, as forecast on the early tissue prices, then all the better.

Abandoned due tot he passing of The Queen.

Had been posted as Salisbury rather than Southwell, so I must apologise for that. 

Wednesday, 31 August 2022

3:55 Salisbury Racing Tips (1st September)

SALISBURY 3.55 

A 9 runner race where one third of them have been known to lead so it should be a true run race, Makarova 11/4 won two class 5 races and then raced in class 2 company and immediately dropped back in class again but without winning and might get outclassed again in this class 2 race and looks poor value in my eyes plus it is also held at the weights by Crazy Luck so it might be worth laying if of value to do so, the three front running types in this race are Al Simmo 13/2 my 4th top rated horse, Night Narcissus 20/1 my 3rd top rated and Cuban Breeze 11/2 my 2nd top rated and these 3 might battle each other for the lead and could therefore set the race up for something coming from off the pace, so my money will be riding on CRAZY LUCK 5/1 who has a positive looking jockey booking and this one does like a fast target to aim at so this race should suit it well. 

Crazy Luck 6/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Makarova +1pt 

Total 0pts 

WINDSOR 4.30 

A 13 runner class 3 race with a couple of known front running types amongst them, I'm not sure if there will be anything of value to lay although the front running Equality 6/1 would need to improve a good few spots to win this race and looks as though it might be a single figure price, Yimou 9/1 is my 4th top rated using a rating from 2021 over this course and distance, Albegone 16/1 my 3rd top rated using a Ripon rating recorded this year but both are a few spots below my top pair but either could possibly make the frame, the most likely pacesetter could be SPRING BLOOM 5/1 who is my 2nd top rated and then it is only 1lb below my top rated horse and this ones best rating came over todays course and distance this year and could possibly lead all the way unless GLAMOROUS BREEZE 6/1 does everything correctly and then this one could pip it on the post, it is so close between them i will be backing them both to cover the angles.

Glamorous Breeze 6/1 3rd -1pt 
Spring Bloom 7/1 8th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day -2pts 

Friday, 22 July 2022

2:40 York Racing Tips (23rd July)

YORK 2.40 

Fifteen runners in this class 2 sprint with 2 known front running types and Hyperfocus is one of them and my 4th top rated so could do enough from the front to make the frame, I will look to lay Mondammej 9/1 who is a better horse over shorter distances another lay is Silver Samurai 5/1 who doesn't like good to firm ground but there is rain forecast so the ground might be ok for it, Music Society is my 3rd top rated but is taking on better horses here, Gabriel The Devil doesn't seem as good as it once was but could go well here if able to repeat its best rating from 2021, my money will be riding on LUCKY MAN 9/1 (EW) who will either race in midfield or be held up and then finish with a flourish as the finish approaches, its best rating was recorded over today's course and distance, has a nice looking jockey booking so could be a nice each way bet. 

Lucky Man 14/1 2nd +2.5pts 

Lay bet Silver Samurai +1pt

Total +3.5pts

NEWMARKET 3.42 

A nice field of 8 for this class 3 race, I can see a couple of horses, Alligator Alley and Society Lion, who look likely lays,the former has never won at today's distance and hasn't been in good form recently and the latter may be better when racing over further, Pure Dreamer and Oso Rapido are my joint 3rd top rated just 2lbs behind Chipstead who sits in 2nd top spot, the top rated SMEATON'S LIGHT 8/1 (EW)is also the only known front running type in this race so I'm hoping it can lead from start to finish to win this race and if all 8 take part I will back it each way. 

Smeaton's Light 8/1 5th -2pts 

Lay bet Alligator Alley +1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWCASTLE 3.57 

A poor class 4 race with just 5 runners, I can see reasons why not to back all of them as 2 of them might prefer a longer distance 2 others have not been in good form lately which leaves me with MISS NAY NEVER 4/1 who has been known to lead so if leading here could lead all the way but its rating only just registered on my figures so the race wont take much winning and my stakes will be keep low. 

Miss Nay Never 4/1 1st +4pts 

Total +4pts

ASCOT 5.20 

In this class 2 race there is 3 known front running types in this field of 10 and two of them Lynns Boy and King Of Stars are in my top 4 ratings, in 4th and 3rd top spots, I cannot see anything of value to put forward as a lay, Live In The Moment comes out in 2nd top position so could make the frame, I've got JAWWAAL 8/1 (EW) as my top rated using a time recorded last year at Haydock and a repeat of that rating would win this race nicely but this is a much tougher course so as a bit of insurance I will look to back it each way to a small stake. 

Jawwaal 16/1 7th -2pts

Total -2pts

SALISBURY 6.30 

My 4th top rated horse The Deriant looks the likely pacesetter and could do enough to make the frame, the bottom 3 have very little to recommend them but will be biggish prices, Haseef and Minhaaj may prefer a longer trip, Hattie C and Q Twenty Boy are my 3rd and 2nd top rated so could be each way bets in this race but I will be backing WE’RE REUNITED 15/2 who usually tracks the leaders before staying on strongly at the finish and the booked jockey has a 23% winning ratio for the stable. 

We're Reunited 15/2 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt

SALISBURY 7.30 

Just 7 runners with 2 front running types Michael's Choice and Secret Handsheikh who are my 3rd and 2nd top rated horses, the bottom 3 in the handicap have shown very little worthwhile form recently and might be worth laying one, two or all three of them, Delegate This Lord hasn't shown much time wise lately so I will be backing STRIKE 11/2 who recorded its best rating over this course and distance and a repeat would see it winning quite smartly.

Strike 11/2 3rd -1pt

Lay bets Michael's Choice -3.5pts, Secret Handsheikh +1pt 

Total -3.5pts

Total on the day 0pts

Friday, 27 May 2022

3:04 Catterick Racing Tips (28th May)

CATTERICK 3.04 

A pity but there is only 7 runners and none known as front running types, yes something has got to lead but at what sort of pace, if its a slow early gallop and becomes a 2 furlong dash then anything could win the race or more that one decides to change its usual racing tactics and there's a very fast early pace which will happen here I've no idea, if there's a decent early pace then i think any one of 3 could win the race, Rebel At Dawn is my top rated on just 2022 speed figures but that is only good enough for 3rd top spot on my overall figures I have joint top rated horses in this race Leodis Dream and SOUL SEEKER 12/1 the former hasn't been in good form recently but did record a fast time at Windsor last year, the latter is being ridden by a 7lb claiming apprentice and if worth their claim it will tilt things in its favour and might be the value call in the race. 

Soul Seeker 12/1 7th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 4.10 

Looking at the early tissue prices Aramis Grey 9/2 is forecast to be the 9/4 favourite but I think it might be outclassed at this level and represents poor value, the top weight Tiger Crusade 5/1 won at Kempton but it was a relatively slow time and may need further so maybe another one to lay if of value to do so, I expect If You Dare to be the one to set the pace and Aramis Grey and Revolutionise will make sure its kept up to its work and the latter comes out 3rd top on my figures so could do enough to make the frame but that time was recorded back in 2019 so I'm not sure if its still capable of reproducing that rating, i will be hoping that the hold up type FULL AUTHORITY 6/1 can find a clear run when it starts to run on from the rear of the field. 

Full Authority 15/2 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Tiger Crusade +1pt 

Total 0pts 

CATTERICK 5.24

I would expect the pace to be set by Redrosezorro 5/1 and it could do enough to make the frame but I doubt it can win the race but never say never one I will look to lay is Stalingrad 6/1 who might find the distance a bit too far for it and it looks a weak finishing type until its dropped into a lower class race, there is 3 others that would set the pace if nothing else wants to and are allowed to set their own slower early pace, The Armed Man is my 3rd top rated and one of those possible pacesetters so it could feasibly make the frame, Good Earth 10/1 and Drish Hero 20/1 might struggle to stay the distance so will be lays if they are single figure prices at the off any others which i think will struggle are all forecast to be double figure prices, Sfumato is my 2nd top rated using a course and distance speed figure recorded last year but I will be investing on LADY NECTAR 16/1 (EW) who is usually held up for a late run and a repeat of its best speed figure from 2021 at Thirsk would see it back to winning ways but at the price it has to be given as an each way punt. 

Lady Nectar 18/1 Unp -2pts

Lay bet Stalingrad +1pt 

Total -1pt

SALISBURY 6.45 

Ten runners with just Michael's Choice being known to front run and is my 4th top rated so could possibly do enough to make the frame but I doubt it can win this race, I will look to lay Strike 11/4 who might need further to be fully effective and the trainer is 1-61 at this course and the horse is still a maiden after 7 runs, if SWISS PRIDE 14/1 (EW) can reproduce its best rating from Goodwood last year it would win this race a shade cosily but it is 0-14 on grass but has made the frame in 5 of those races it has won on the AW before so it can win races and the jockey has won 3-9 on the AW tracks for this stable but has only ridden once for them on grass so I cannot let it run at the price without an each way wager on it. 

Swiss Pride 25/1 3rd -2pts 

Lay bet Strike +1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -3pts

Wednesday, 1 September 2021

3:05 Salisbury Racing Tips (2nd September)

SALISBURY 3.05 

A field of 7 take part in this class 2 race but more importantly is that I have no idea what will set the early pace, there are four 3yo’s in this race which could still improve with time and experience, I will look to lay Crazy Luck who doesn't seem to appreciate good to firm ground so hence its times have been comparatively slow, while Chocoya is still a maiden after 9 races and may also need further, the top weighted Mountain Brave is my 3rd top rated who could go well but as there's only 2 places up for grabs it wont really be an each way prospect, the bottom weighted Silent Flame is my 2nd top rated and could deploy any tactics but hasn't been known to lead but has 3 win and 2 placed efforts from just 6 AW runs, if QUICKSTEP LADY 4/1 can reproduce the time it recorded at Windsor when it won there it could win this race with a bit in hand plus the jockey has a 19% win ratio on the stables older horses. 

Quickstep Lady 4/1 5th -1pt

Total -1pt

NEWCASTLE 8.05 

I can see horses in this race that have been known to lead before but this race is very competitive time wise and its a race where I will have to dutch 4 horses, 2 that might lead and 2 that will stay on strongly at the finish, the betting will decide if there is any lays in this race but I doubt there will be more than one, MOHAREB 15/2 and PAPA STOUR 12/1 are the 2 that could try to set the pace, the former is top rated on just 2021 course and distance times which is only good enough for joint 3rd top rated on my overall figures while the latter has a time from Chelmsford this year that would make it my top rated but that is on a different surface but its only course and distance run resulted in a time too low to register on my figures so I'm not quite sure what to expect, YAZAMANN 16/1 has good trainer/jockey stats and its best time was recorded in 2020 which makes it the other joint 3rd top rated while its not ran on this surface this year so could go well, STRIKE RED 4/1 comes out 2nd best on my overall figures but this time I'm using a time it recorded on turf at Hamilton, I cannot narrow it down to anything less than the four horses mentioned so dutching all of them looks the safest option. 

Strike Red 9/2 1st +4.5pts
Papa Stour 20/1 2nd -1pt 
Mohareb 9/1 7th -1pt 
Yazamann 33/1 10th -1pt 

Total +1.5pts

CHELMSFORD 8.55

Only 6 runners with the top 2 in the handicap being known as front running types and they come out 4th and 3rd top rated on my figures so it should be a good gallop from the off, I think the 3yo Shanghai Rock may need further to show its best while another 3yo Ocean Eyes is held by the 3rd 3yo in the race, Lucky Ava, my 4th top rated, the bottom weight Storm Melody comes out 2nd best and could run on well at the finish along with my top rated SIR HECTOR 7/1 who is usually held up at the back but it hasn't any surface form over this distance this year but its best time from last year would see it winning this race.

Sir Hector 11/1 4th -1pt 

Total on the day +0.5pts

Tuesday, 10 August 2021

1:00 Yarmouth Racing Tips (11th August)

YARMOUTH 1.00 

TROUSER THE CASH 5/2 has only slow times on turf over this distance and is 0-4 on turf it might be a bit too short for it on good to firm ground but it does have a fast time from on the AW at Chelmsford and usually races in midfield, the trainer is 0-12 in the last 2 weeks which doesn't inspire confidence so maybe worth laying at the price.

BREEZYANDBRIGHT 7/4 won quite nicely last time out but that was in a relatively slow run race and will need to improve to pick up the front runners in this race, it does have good trainer/jockey stats but this horse was the stables only winner in the past fortnight and is poor value in my opinion and might be worth laying as you lose very little if it does win. 

ARZAAK 4/1 one of two possible pacesetters in this race and it has the best time for just 2021 but that is relatively slow compared to overall times from last year and even 2019, its best time from last year makes it my top rated but the trainer is 1-65 at this course and hasn't had a winner in the last 2 weeks. 

TILSWORTH ROSE 10/1 the 2nd of the known front running types in this race, the trainer is 0-15 in the past fortnight and is 1-92 at this course, it hasn't run on good to firm ground so far this year but its best from 2020 would make it competitive.

SWELL SONG 10/1 hasn't shown much time wise so far this year while its best times from 2020 and 2019 would put it in the mix, it has average trainer/jockey stats and he is 2-22 in the last two weeks. 

KELINDA DICE 12/1 hasn't any recent form over this trip on good to firm ground and I am of the opinion it might do better when raced over a longer distance, not sure about the jockey booking, 0-1 while the trainer has a poorish 7% win ratio at this course. 

SWEET NOTHING 14/1 is a 3yo who is making its handicap debut in this race but it would need to improve dramatically on what its shown so far to win this race. 

CONCLUSION: I am not filled with confidence in my selection for this race because of the trainers poor record, see above, but ARZAAK 4/1 is top rated on both this years and last years figures and is one of only 2 front running types in the race so if getting to the front it could be hard to catch. 

Arzaak 10/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bet Breezyandbright +1pt

Total 0pts 

SALISBURY 3.05 

ADDITIONAL 5/1 this ones trainer has been in good form lately with a 3-8 record and the jockey booking also looks as though it could be a positive, a 19% win ratio, but time wise it needs to improve and I think its better when raced over further but will be staying on at the finish.

DELEGATE THIS LORD 11/4 this one hasn't any course and distance form to its name since 2019 where its best time would make it my top rated but only by 1lb and another that should be staying on at the finish, the jockey booking, 1-13 does put me off a little.

NEWYORKSTATEOFMIND 6/1 the trainer is in decent form with a 3-15 in the last 2 weeks and has a 2-8 record at this course but is 0-2 with their older horses and the jockey is 0-3 again on the stables older horses and time wise is my 4th top rated but there is only 4lbs between 4th and 1st top rated. 

NEFARIOUS 8/1 has poor trainer, 0-5 and jockey, 0-6, with the stables older horses, it hasn't got any recent distance form since 2018 mainly due to it looking like it needs a longer distance to show its true worth so I will look to lay it. 

UNDER CURFEW 15/8 this ones jockey has a decent 19% win ratio with the stables older horses at this course and the trainer is 5-63 in the last 2 weeks plus its best time was recorded this year at Leicester so this course should suit it, it is the only known front runner in the field plus its only 1lb off top spot.

SENECA CHIEF 15/2 the trainers recent form, 3-9, is very good and is my 3rd top rated just 1lb below my 2nd top rated so it could be close nearing the finish, the trainer is 0-2 at this course though and the jockey 0-3 on the stables older horses. 

CONCLUSION: I will look to lay Nefarious 8/1 who might want further than this distance to shine but should be trying to stay on at the finish, I am hoping that UNDER CURFEW 15/8 who is my top rated on just 2021 times can lead from start to finish and hopefully the jockey booking shows the stable expect it to run well here.

Under Curfew 4/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay bet Nefarious +1pt

Total on the day 0pts

Underlined - Lay 
Bold - Bet  

Friday, 23 July 2021

2:05 York Racing Tips (24th July)

YORK 2.05 

I think the 3 at the bottom of this class 3 handicap might be outclassed at this level in terms of winning this race but both Dark Shot and Eeh Bah Gum have been known to lead so could possibly do enough to make the frame and if pushed I would side the former doing best of them, Secretinthepark races as though further would suit it better and I could lay any of them if a single figure price, Mid Winster, Ventura Express and James Watt have recorded their best times this year so could go well in this race but I will be looking to back SOUL SEEKER 7/1 who will be trying to run on strongly at the business end of the race and this race could be run to suit it. 

Soul Seeker 7/1 1st +7pts 

Total +7pts

YORK 2.40

I can see a couple of known front running types in this race although one of them Giogiobbo would need to improve time wise to win this race, Manigordo can produce fast times but usually in a lower class race than today's but will be trying to stay on at the finish, I will look to lay Mundammej 11/2 who I think can struggle to stay this distance on turf, Golden Apollo 7/1 who might need further on good to firm going and could be another to lay, I'm not 100% sure if MUSIC SOCIETY 10/1 (EW) wants really fast good to firm ground but has a good chance on the clock to win this race and I will be having an each way bet on it, my other bet will also be each way on *TYPHOON TEN 33/1 (EW) who is a front running type and if getting to the front in this race it could prove hard to catch and I am hoping its an each way price for a bit of insurance. 

*NR 

Music Society 10/1 2nd +1.5pts 

Total +1.5pts 

NEWMARKET 5.20

This is a nice looking class 3 race and a good place to start is with Mr Wagyu who has been running out of its skin lately mainly in class 4 races but has run well in higher class affairs so I expect it to go well here, it likes to lead and is the only known front running type in the race plus it is my 2nd top rated in this race, I cannot see anything in the race that I could put forward as a lay in this race but I will be hoping that *LINCOLN PARK 9/2 can reproduce the time it recorded at Chester and if doing so would win with a bit in hand. 

*NR

SALISBURY 6.05 

An eight runner race where I will look to lay Starchant 11/1 and Spreadsheet 9/2 as usual if they are single figure prices, there's a couple of 3yo’s that could be hidden dangers but I will as usual stick with the proven and will be backing both HAVEONEYERSELF 9/4 who could try to lead all the way in this race and the other known front running type is CORONATION COTTAGE 11/1 and they are my 2 top rated so I'm hoping they don't cut each others throats trying to lead but I cannot see anything to take them on with so I will backing them both. 

Haveoneyerself 1st +3.5pts
Coronation Cottage 11/1 4th -1pt

Lay bets Starchant +1pt, Spreadsheet +1pt

Total +4.5pts

SALISBURY 7.35 

A field of 9 runners and as I hope to have an each way punt in this race I need at least 8 of them to run, I could lay three of the four 3yo’s in this race if they are a single figure price but I know if I lay all them one of them will improve enough to cause me to lose, Amathus is my 2nd top rated using just times from 2021 but that time is only good enough for joint 5th top place, along with Enduring, on overall figures and the latter recorded its time on an AW track and has poor form on turf, Aramis Grey comes out 3rd top but once again that's using a time from an AW track, the top weight Theotherside is one of three horses from the Hannon stable and is my 2nd top rated using a time from 2020 but I will hopefully be having an each way punt on KENDERGARTEN KOP 9/1 (EW) who recorded its best time this year at Brighton but the trainer hasn't got great stats but I'm hoping this one can get to the front and then prove hard to catch.

Kendergarten Kop 14/1 7th -2pts 

Total on the day +11pts
 

Saturday, 12 June 2021

2:38 Salisbury Racing Tips (13th June)

SALISBURY 2.38 

A 6 runner dash, 5 furlongs, with just the bottom weight Coronation Cottage 10/1 known as a front running type and its best time from Bath last year puts it in 2nd top spot on my figures but that time was recorded in a lower class race and it may struggle here unless allowed an easy lead but as the other 5 runners are all known to track the leader I doubt that will happen and i would look to lay it if a single figure price another i will look to lay is Beyond Equal 7/2 who is forecast to be the favourite but this one looks better when raced over further and may stay on too late to win this race, my money will be riding on ROSE HIP 2/1 who has recorded a reasonable speed figure for this year but it is its best time from 2020 that makes it my top rated and the jockey does have a 17% win ratio for the stable so I'm hoping that's a good omen. 

Rose Hip 3/1 3rd -1pt

Total -1pt

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DONCASTER 3.15 

Another 6 runner dash with both Mountain Peak my 4th top rated and Caspian Prince my joint 2nd top rated known as front running types so it should be a true run affair, Royal Birth is my other joint 2nd top rated but I had to go back to 2019 to fins this ones best speed figure but this ones best form this year is very much lower, Ginger Jam and Jawwaal both need to improve time wise to win this race which leaves me with the top rated INDIAN SOUNDS 10/1 who usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish so this race could be ideal for it. 

Indian Sounds 10/1 3rd -1pt

Total -1pt

SALISBURY 3.38 

Yet again another 6 runner race with one known front running type in Mum's Tipple and Cairn Gorn who is versatile when it comes to racing tactics and that does include leading, the former is my 3rd top rated using a time from 2019 but hasn't shown as much since then, the latter is a 3yo so could still improve and it needs to to win this race but it was racing in higher class races last year but this is its 1st run of this year so not really sure what to expect but I would respect its chances if backed, the bottom weight, another 3yo, comes out 2nd best using a time recorded on the AW at Chelmsford, my top rated is KHAADEM 11/8 who comes out top on just recent ratings and on overall ratings using its best time from 2020 it also has good trainer stats and very good jockey stats and will be carrying my money.

Khaadem 11/8 2nd -1pt 

Total on the day -3pts

Saturday, 24 April 2021

2:30 Salisbury Racing Tips (25th April)

SALISBURY 2.30 

VAPE 11/4 is the only one with a recorded time for this year bu it is only good enough for 5th spot on overall figures but recent times are always a positive, it is the one I expect to be favourite and may not be of value and would then become a possible? lay bet. 

SIR RODERIC 11/2 has a time from 2018 that would make it my third top rated but hasn’t been in good form in it’s latest runs but should be staying on at the finish if deploying it’s usual racing tactics but i might think to lay it at the price if its available when there's enough liquidity in the exchange market.

AMATHUS 14/1 hasn’t shown much time wise even when it won on good to firm ground, it can track the leaders or be held up but needs to improve on the stopwatch to win this race but it is a lightly raced four year old so there could be more to come. 

LORDSBRIDGE BOY 10/3 comes out second top rated on my figures which was recorded at Windsor last year, it has won before after a break so that isn’t a concern but the trainers 1-25 win ratio at this course is, it usually likes to track the leaders. 

GILT EDGE 10/1 is my top rated and it came from this course last year over this distance where it finished second beaten just over seven lengths in a fast run race but if that wasn’t a flukey time it could win this race. 

I'M WATCHING 10/3 hasn’t any form on good or good to firm going on turf while it’s best time from the AW courses would only put it in fourth top position so needs to improve for the switch to fast going on grass, maybe worth taking on for the win. 

TRUSTY RUSTY 13/2 hasn’t shown much in it’s six previous runs on turf and it’s best form has come when racing over seven furlongs so this distance might be a bit short for it to show its best so maybe a lay at the price. 

SUMMARY: Not a race to be getting too heavily involved in, I will be backing GILT EDGE 10/1 hoping it can repeat its previous course and distance time from last year and the trainer has a 29% win ratio with their older horses on this course and the apprentice jockey is 1-9 when riding for the stable. My stake won’t be at full strength because there isn’t any known front runners in the field.

Gilt Edge 10/1 5th  -1pt

Total on the day -1pt

Thursday, 20 August 2020

3:25 Salisbury Racing Tips & Lay Bets (21st August)


SALISBURY 3.25 

Let's hope all 8 runners take part in case there's any each-way selection, the going is described as good but I somehow don't believe that, so please check before you place a bet on this race but just in case the going is ok, the one that interests me is PETTOCHSIDE 7/1 who won last time out in a one-class lower race than today's but was riding in better class affairs in 2018 and this class last year so could have been found a good opportunity to follow up here. 

Pettochside 10/1 3rd (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.35 

There's 13 participants here and only 1 known frontrunner in the topweight Slowmo who might do enough from the front to make the frame but I doubt it can hold on for the victory, I will look to lay (Dubai Elegance) who might find the distance a bit too far if there is a fast early pace, there's a few, Englishman, Equipped, Puchita, Chocco Star and Kraka, that could run well in this race, Chocco Star has a fast time from Lingfield but hasn't any form on this surface, Puchita is top-rated using just 2020 times and this one might be worth an each-way punt but my main bet will be riding on GLOBAL HUMOR 5/1 who hasn't any course and distance form to its name but if able to repeat its best time on this surface at Newcastle it would get back to winning ways. 

Global Humor 5/1 1st (+5pts) Betfair SP (7.01)

Total: +5pts  

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.05

This 11 runner class 6 affair isn't a race to be betting too heavily in mainly due to the fact I am not sure what will set the early pace in this race, I backed Captain Ryan at 20/1 last time it ran when finishing too late and finished 2nd, it won't be that price today and this looks a slightly harder race but it could run on into a place if gaining a clear run, there's some horses, Thegreyvtrain, Miaella and George Thomas, have times from Lingfield that could possibly see them make the frame if taking to this surface, I will be backing my top rated horse, QAARAAT 7/1 who has only won one race from 23 on the AW tracks but has been placed in 10 of them so hopefully it can be backed each way and it ought to at least make the frame and could win.

Qaaraat 7/1 Unp (-1pt)

Total -1pt 

Total on the day: +3pts 

Monday, 2 September 2019

4:10 Catterick Racing Tips (3rd September)


CATTERICK 4.10 (8.4) 

A hard race to analyse with 6 having good chances of winning if going back to 2018 and 2017 for some of their best times and maybe Orions Bow, Highland Acclaim and Zylan are on a downward spiral, Extrasolar is well weighted on its best time but is on a losing streak of 11 which leaves me with the 2 I will be backing, firstly INDIAN PURSUIT 9/1 who is the only known frontrunning sort in the race and if given an easy lead could prove hard to catch and I have only B FIFTY TWO 5/1 rated higher but this one can find the trip a touch too far if the early pace is really fast but I will be backing them both to cover the angles but my stakes won't be at full strength. 

B Fifty Two 11/2 1ST 
Indian Pursuit 9/1 4th


GOODWOOD 5.00 (7.3)

A poor turnout of just 5 runners and Silca Mistress could be the one to set the pace but would need to improve timewise and hasn't been in top form this year, Sweet Pursuit and Wotadoll could be staying on at the finish but my money will be riding on the 3-year-old CHITRA 6/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish. 

Chitra 6/1 2nd 

CATTERICK 5.40 (8.4) 

A competitive race but the lack of known pace puts me off and I won't be betting very heavily in this race, Funkadelic is my 3rd top-rated but the trainers 0-21 record here puts me off this one, Kibaar would be in the mix on its best time from Thirsk in 2018 but my money, well a small amount of it, will be riding on LONGROOM 11/1 who has a time this year that would leave it needing to find a few pounds but a 2018 time at Ripon makes it my top-rated and maybe worth a small each-way punt. 

Longroom 11/1 4th 

SALISBURY 6.30 (8.2) 

Back to 5 runners and 1 known frontrunner in Emaraaty Ana but its best time from 2018 leaves it with something to find and I'm a bit surprised its the 6/4 favourite, Ice Age on a losing run of 13 and Baron Bolt are my joint 2nd top-rated again on times from 2018 while my top rated horse did record its best time this year at Ascot so FOXTROT LADY 13/8 will be burdened by my money.

Foxtrot Lady 13/8 3rd

Wednesday, 14 August 2019

2:50 Salisbury Racing Tips (14th August)


SALISBURY 2.50 

JUST GLAMOROUS 4th best on this years times but the trainers 1-27 record here isn't great nor is the losing run of 18 that the horse is on which puts me off its chances of winning but could make the frame. 

WASEEM FARIS has a time from 2018 that would make it 3rd top overall but only 5th on 2019 times but this years times was recorded here so could go well.

VEGAS BOY has only got slow times to show on its previous runs at this distance mainly because I think it needs further to show its best form. 

PINK FLAMINGO a 3-year-old that seems to need g/f ground to show its best and even then it needs to improve on its best Brighton time.

ALFIE SOLOMONS another 3-year-old but outside my top 5 on its best time from 2018 and hasn't shown much so far this year and not for me here.

MERCENARY ROSE the 3rd of four 3-year-olds in this race it also needs to improve timewise from its Catterick time but that was recorded this year. 

JOEGOGO comes out top rated on its time at Windsor last year, a possible pacesetter but the trainers poor 1-24 record with its older horses here.

GNAAD has a reasonable time from Ascot this year and the jockeys 5lb claim makes it competitive and it could make the frame. 

TEXTING is joint top rated on my figures for 2019 using its Yarmouth time and winning last time out shows its in good fettle at the moment and has to have some chance of winning. 

REWAAYAT hasn't any form at this distance looking as though further would suit it better and it also may need g/f going to show its best.

MAID OF SPIRIT joint top on 2019 times and top-rated on its best from Windsor last year and its 2 best runs have come over the minimum trip. 

SUMMARY: Its certainly not a race to get too heavily involved in betting wise, my money will be riding on MAID OF SPIRIT 8/1 this 4-year-old has only raced 6 times, 4 over 6 furlongs but both of its best times this year and last year were both over the minimum trip, the only downside is the trainers 1-20 record with his older horses at this course but he does have an overall 16% win rate here but on the plus side I can also find negatives against most of those that on paper look to be dangers hence leaving Waseem Faris 16/1 and Texting 7/2 as its main rivals and I may have covering bets on this pair.

Maid Of Spirt 8/1 1st