4:55 Pontefract Racing Tips (4th August)

PONTEFRACT 4.55 

A 7 runner race with one known front runner in Stay Smart and could go well with an easy lead, apart from Runninwild the rest have bits of form that are closely rated on my figures and I cannot say much about any of them, I will be backing CANFORD BAY 5/1 who can be held up for a late run or track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish but it has poor trainer/jockey stats which worries me so any stakes will be kept on the low side.

Canford Bay 3rd -1pt  

Total -1pt 

YARMOUTH 5.15 

This is a class 6 race and its very hard to analyse to much of a conclusion, I'm not sure I could put up any lays with any confidence so I think the way to go in this race is with dutching 3 horses, CAZEVA PRINCESS 13/2 is one of the 2 known front running types in the race and comes out 2nd top rated using just 2021 times over this distance but the jockeys 0-3 record isn't great, KNOCKABOUT QUEEN 7/2 is the one that comes out top rated on just 2021 times but the jockeys 0-12 record for the stable doesn't fill me with confidence, top rated using a 2020 time is LINCOLN RED 5/1 but this one has poor trainer 0-10 record with their older horses and the jockey is 1-28 so my stakes will be kept low.

Knockabout Queen 7/1 5th -1pt 

Lincoln Red 11/1 6th -1pt 

Cazeva Princess 12/1 7th -1pt 

Total -3pts 

PONTEFRACT 5.30 

In this race I will look to lay Dream Together who prefers good to firm going but I doubt that will happen here and even if it does it would still need to improve time wise to win this race, the bottom weight Mr Orange comes out 3rd best on my figures but has been in poor form recently, OBEE JO 8/1 is my top rated using just 2021 times and has good trainer/jockey stats and with the jockeys 5lb claim it moves to top spot, my original top rated was/is *HIGHLY SPRUNG 4/1 who will try to lead all the way and it might get to the front on its own looking at the make-up of this race and with an easy lead it could prove very hard to catch and I will back them both to cover the angles. 

*NR

Obee Jo 8/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

YARMOUTH 8.15 

An 8 runner race where 5 of them have been known to lead before so the question is, will they go off too fast and fade nearing the finish? I hope not, but if all 5 of the front runners do fade then Clashaniska 5/1 could be the one to prosper but I hope not and I will back two horses one that's top rated on 2021 times, SHESADABBER 6/1, and HAVEONEYERSELF 10/3 who is top rated using a time recorded over this course and distance in 2020 and this one has a decent jockey record on this stables older horses. 

2:05 York Racing Tips (24th July)

YORK 2.05 

I think the 3 at the bottom of this class 3 handicap might be outclassed at this level in terms of winning this race but both Dark Shot and Eeh Bah Gum have been known to lead so could possibly do enough to make the frame and if pushed I would side the former doing best of them, Secretinthepark races as though further would suit it better and I could lay any of them if a single figure price, Mid Winster, Ventura Express and James Watt have recorded their best times this year so could go well in this race but I will be looking to back SOUL SEEKER 7/1 who will be trying to run on strongly at the business end of the race and this race could be run to suit it. 

Soul Seeker 7/1 1st +7pts 

Total +7pts

YORK 2.40

I can see a couple of known front running types in this race although one of them Giogiobbo would need to improve time wise to win this race, Manigordo can produce fast times but usually in a lower class race than today's but will be trying to stay on at the finish, I will look to lay Mundammej 11/2 who I think can struggle to stay this distance on turf, Golden Apollo 7/1 who might need further on good to firm going and could be another to lay, I'm not 100% sure if MUSIC SOCIETY 10/1 (EW) wants really fast good to firm ground but has a good chance on the clock to win this race and I will be having an each way bet on it, my other bet will also be each way on *TYPHOON TEN 33/1 (EW) who is a front running type and if getting to the front in this race it could prove hard to catch and I am hoping its an each way price for a bit of insurance. 

*NR 

Music Society 10/1 2nd +1.5pts 

Total +1.5pts 

NEWMARKET 5.20

This is a nice looking class 3 race and a good place to start is with Mr Wagyu who has been running out of its skin lately mainly in class 4 races but has run well in higher class affairs so I expect it to go well here, it likes to lead and is the only known front running type in the race plus it is my 2nd top rated in this race, I cannot see anything in the race that I could put forward as a lay in this race but I will be hoping that *LINCOLN PARK 9/2 can reproduce the time it recorded at Chester and if doing so would win with a bit in hand. 

*NR

SALISBURY 6.05 

An eight runner race where I will look to lay Starchant 11/1 and Spreadsheet 9/2 as usual if they are single figure prices, there's a couple of 3yo’s that could be hidden dangers but I will as usual stick with the proven and will be backing both HAVEONEYERSELF 9/4 who could try to lead all the way in this race and the other known front running type is CORONATION COTTAGE 11/1 and they are my 2 top rated so I'm hoping they don't cut each others throats trying to lead but I cannot see anything to take them on with so I will backing them both. 

Haveoneyerself 1st +3.5pts

Coronation Cottage 11/1 4th -1pt

Lay bets Starchant +1pt, Spreadsheet +1pt

Total +4.5pts

SALISBURY 7.35 

A field of 9 runners and as I hope to have an each way punt in this race I need at least 8 of them to run, I could lay three of the four 3yo’s in this race if they are a single figure price but I know if I lay all them one of them will improve enough to cause me to lose, Amathus is my 2nd top rated using just times from 2021 but that time is only good enough for joint 5th top place, along with Enduring, on overall figures and the latter recorded its time on an AW track and has poor form on turf, Aramis Grey comes out 3rd top but once again that's using a time from an AW track, the top weight Theotherside is one of three horses from the Hannon stable and is my 2nd top rated using a time from 2020 but I will hopefully be having an each way punt on KENDERGARTEN KOP 9/1 (EW) who recorded its best time this year at Brighton but the trainer hasn't got great stats but I'm hoping this one can get to the front and then prove hard to catch.

Kendergarten Kop 14/1 7th -2pts 

Total on the day +11pts

 

3:15 Lingfield Racing Tips (7th June)

LINGFIELD 3.15 

Only 7 runners but luckily there is a known front runner in Spurofthemoment who is my 2nd top rated on 2020/21 times and also 2nd top on overall figures so could go well from the front and if allowed an easy lead it could even win the race and it has good trainer/jockey stats, I will look to lay Kingholm 7/2 who maybe better over a shorter trip and also may not, Recall The Show is my top rated on just 2021 times and that's good enough for 3rd top spot overall but I will be siding with STRONG POWER 15/2 who is my 2nd top rated on just 2021 times but its best time from 2020 recorded at Leicester and the trainer is 5-9 with runners at this course. 

Strong Power 15/2 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt

LINGFIELD 4.45

I will look to lay both Aleef 13/2 and Shecandoo 5/2 in this race as both look as though further would suit them better and also have poor trainer stats and the former also has poor jockey stats, Katherine Place is my 2nd top rated on a time from 2020 over this c/d but its changed trainer since then and this trainer is 0-14 here and also has poor jockey stats of 1-24, Tilsworth Rose is versatile when it comes to its racing tactics and is my 3rd top rated on overall figures but its another one with poor trainer/jockey stats, my money will be riding on HAVEONEYERSELF 9/2 who is my top rated on its best 2020 time and the jockey is 1-3 for the stable and is also the natural front runner in the race so I'm hoping it can lead from start to finish in this race. 

Haveoneyeself 11/2 7th -1pt

Total -1pt

PONTEFRACT 6.15 

I cannot find anything to lay that I think will be a single figure price and the bottom 6 in the handicap all look a bit outclassed in this race, there is 3 possible front runners but both Marve and Gullane One would need to improve on the clock to win this race, Mr Orange is my 3rd top rated and this one is usually held up for a late run, Final Frontiere sits in 2nd top spot and can be held up or track the leaders but I am hoping that my top rated MR WAGYU 4/1 can lead here and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch. 

Mr Wagyu 4/1 1st +4pts (Betfair SP -) 

Total +4pts

WINDSOR 6.30 

This is a tricky looking class 3 race with a few who I am not really sure what to expect from them but i have positive marks against 4 of the runners names but only A Sure Welcome 9/2 with a negative and one I will look to lay this one at that price, Diligent Lady could be the pacesetter here and could be dangerous if allowed a soft lead and does come out 3rd top on my figures, the top weight Yimou is my 4th top rated with Thegreatestshowman sitting in 2nd top spot on my figures but my money will be riding on *SPOOF 5/1 who obviously is my top rated and has good trainer/jockey stats so I'm expecting it to go well in this race. 

*NR

PONTEFRACT 7.15 

A slightly strange race where one set of times from just one race dominates my speed figures, i will look to lay Obee Jo 9/2 who may need further to show its best form and Arnold 8/1 who hasn't won on turf since 2018 as they both look shorter in price than they should be so value to lay, Auckland Lodge is a possible pacesetter along with one other but would need to improve time wise to win this race, Young Tiger is my 3rd top rated using a time from 2020 at Doncaster but I have DAPPER MAN 8/1 as my 2nd top rated and it won comfortably when it had CANFORD JOY 12/1 behind it but the latter is weighted to reverse the form here but with the former being the other known front runner and could win again if allowed an easy lead but as I said the figures look a little bit strange so I will keep my stakes low.

Canford Joy 25/1 6th -1pt  

Dapper Man 7/1 8th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day: 0pts

12:10 Thirsk Racing Tips (17th April)

THIRSK 12.10 

A competitive class 6 race with 14 runners and only one known front runner in the shape of Carlovian but its best isn't quite good enough to hold on for the win and it doesn't really like really good to firm going, Highland Acclaim 6/1 is a 10yo who is capable of winning from out of the blue with no prior warning so is always a danger to be wary of but at the price it isn't worth doing each way, there is quite a few i could lay but that's depending on the betting, Hijacked could go well if fully wound up after a 172 day break but usually needs a run for fitness so maybe one to lay if a shortish price, Thrilla In Manilla doesn't really like good to firm going, I will be having a small wager on EPIEUS who comes out 3rd top on recent distance times(2020/21) while it best from 2019 would take it to top spot and has good trainer/jockey stats. 

Epieus 12/1 1/2 Point Each Way 7th -2pts

Highjacked 3/1 2 Points Lay +1pt

Mo Henry 9/1 2 Points Lay +2pt

Billy Dylan 6/1 1 Point Lay +1pt

Total +2pts

THIRSK 12.40 Div I

This is a dire race and this division is poor, its got a lot of either lightly raced sorts or others that are well out of form and its impossible to back most of the field, Lucky Beggar and Kolossus have shown some snippets of form, the former comes out 2nd best overall if i use a time from 2019, the latter comes out 3rd best overall and it is one of only two known front running types in the race and could go well from the front but it usually needs at least one run after a break for fitness, I will pin my hopes on the top weighted WAR OF CLANS 14/1 who has won before after a break plus this is a drop in class as it was contesting class four races last year so has to be worth an each way wager. 

War Of Clans 14/1 ½ Point Each Way 7th -2pts 

Foad 6/1 1 Point Lay +1pt

Sheepscar Lad 5/1 2 Points Lay  +2pts 

Chickenfortea 9/1 2 Points Lay +2pts

Kodimoor 9/1 3 Points Lay +3pts

Total +6pts

THIRSK 1.10 Div II 

Class 5 and no better, there's no known pacesetters in this race which always muddies the waters, Ghathanfar won last time out on g/f ground in a slow time so that might have flattered it plus i think it would be better over further, Lady Nectar and Jill Rose may need this run for fitness, it may be too far for Shoot To Kill unless its filled out during the winter, Freedom Flyer could go well if able to reproduce its best time from Wolverhampton to grass, Dick Datchery hasn't shown much in its latest runs but has a time from Ayr last year that makes it my 2nd top rated, I will have a small wager on FLAVIUS TITUS 9/1 who is top rated on a time recorded at Newmarket last year and usually runs on at the finish and has won before after a break from racing. 

Flavius Titus 9/1 1 Point Win -1pt

Ghathanfar 2/1 2 Points Lay +2pts

Lady Nectar 8/1 2 Points Lay -16pts

Shoot To Kill 9/1 3 Points Lay +3pts

Total -12pts

BRIGHTON 4.20 

Only 7 runners but still a competitive little race, I can only see one natural front running sort in the race and being my top rated it should be a true run affair. I will look to lay Wiley Post if of value, the 2 I expect will be the outsiders, Ascot Jungle and Mykindofsunshine, would need to improve to win this race, Shamshon my 4th top rated is forecast to be favourite but hasn't won on turf since 2019, Zulu Zander in 3rd top spot ha an off-putting jockey record of 0-6 while the 2nd top rated Katherine Place has an even worse jockey record with it being 0-19, the top weight and my top rated is HAVEONEYERSELF 3/1 who I think/hope can lead all the way in this race and get back to winning ways. 

Haveoneyerself 3/1 2 Points Win -2pts

Wiley Post 7/2 2 Points Lay +2pts

Total 0pts

BRIGHTON 5.30 

Another seven runner race with 4 of the runners being 4yo’s, Vape and/or Spreadsheet could set the pace but both would need to improve time wise to hold on for the win, Recall has had one run on good ground over this distance but the time was too slow to register on my graphs, the two older horses have bits of form that makes Street Parade my 4th top rated and Real Estate my 2nd top rated, the 4yo Little Brown Trout has a time from Lingfield that makes it my 3rd top rated horse in this race but top rated is the top weight STRONG POWER 2/1 and if able to reproduce its best time from Leicester last year it would see it winning this race a shade cosily. 

Strong Power 2/1 2 Points Win 4th -2pts 

Total -2pts

Total on the day -6pts

3:10 Bath Racing Tips (6th April)

BATH 3.10 

An 8 runner race where half the field have been known to lead, it looks likely that this race could be won from the front, of those coming from off the pace I think that Zulu Zander 13/2 could do best as long as it doesn't get outpaced in the early stages and could be an each way bet if a decent price, Diligent Lady 9/1 is in stall 1 and a possible pacesetter but the jockeys 1-17 record on the stables horses puts me off its chances, King Of Stars is making its debut in England and could be anything as it hasn't raced on good or good to firm going before so not sure what to expect but I will as usual stick with proven, there is only 1lb between Union Rose 7/2 who is in 2nd top position and HAVEONEYERSELF 11/1 (EW) and if this one gets to the front it could prove hard to catch and a repeat of its best time from Yarmouth last year would see it just hang on for the win but its so close my stakes will be kept to a minimum and at the price i will suggest having an each way bet. 

Haveoneyerself 11/1 8th -2pts

Total -2pts

CHELMSFORD 8.30 

Another 8 runner race where half the field have been known to lead, I will lay both Busby and The Night Watch if they are single figure prices as both look to want further to shine and both of them are not in my 4 possible pacesetters, Big Time Maybe 4/1 has the best draw for a front runner but has poor trainer/jockey stats of a 4% win ratio which puts me off and way too short in my opinion, Super Julius 8/1 in stall 3 hasn't shown much worthwhile time wise for quite awhile now and is a fair bit shorter in price than i expected, I cannot split the other 2 possible pacesetters, Something Lucky 13/2 and Kath's Lustre 4/1, the former has a decent jockey win ratio of 15% and the apprentices 7lb claim could be invaluable but the trainer only wins 4% of their races at this course, while the latter has a decent trainer stat who wins 18% of their races at this course but that drops to 12% on just the stables older horses, Amazing Amaya 3/1 will be running on at the finish and the jockeys record for the stable is 1 win from 3 rides but will need the leaders to fade a little to win this race, I would normally go confidently with LETHAL ANGEL 9/2 for whom this is a drop in class and the jockey has a 38% win ratio on the stables older horse but it hasn't had a run for about 4 months and usually needs a run for fitness after a break, I will have a minimum stake bet on it and hope its fit enough to do itself justice.

Lethal Angel 9/2 2nd -1pt

Total on the day -3pts