2:25 Lingfield Racing Tips (31st March)

LINGFIELD 2.25

A 12 runner race where I can see 3 horses that could lead but it looks likely that they will be setting the race up for something coming from off the pace. Toplight 11/2 might struggle to say the distance with the fast early pace so maybe one to lay, Viewfromthestars 11/2 my 4th top rated and Dark Design 7/1 my 3rd top rated are both versatile with their racing tactics and that includes leading so either could do enough to make the frame but neither are what I would call each way prices, Real Estate 12/1 sits in 2nd top spot and likes to track the leaders so could make the frame and maybe worth an each way wager if it stays at a double figure price nearing the off while my top rated horse DEPUTISE 18/1 can be held up or track the leaders it hasn't been in the best of form recently and it looks to have had excuses in most of those races but the switch of jockey looks a significant as his record is 3 wins from just 7 rides for the stable.

Deputise 25/1 9th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

SOUTHWELL 4.20

This class 4 dash has 6 front running types amongst the 14 entrants and it looks most likely it will be won from the front, *Justcallmepete 5/1 might prefer further so I will look to lay it, Bert Kibler 7/1 is my 3rd top rated and could do best of those coming from off the pace and if the leaders battle too hard and fade it could possibly win the race but I will hope that doesn't happen, Khabib 10/1 comes out in 2nd top spot and is in stall 2 while my top rated horse ANGLE LAND 4/1 is drawn in stall 13 and if this one gets to the front it ought to prove too hard to catch. 

*NR

Angle Land 9/2 2nd -1pt  

Total -1pt 

LINGFIELD 4.35

A field of 9 for this 5 furlong dash with 4 of the runners having been known to lead before so it should be a fast and furious race. Storm Melody 7/1 won last time out but might be outclassed as its never won at this level before but could still run a decent race so I will look to lay it but only for the win part, Man On A Mission 7/2 could do best of the rest coming from off the pace but looks too short in the betting for its actual chance of winning this race, The Defiant 12/1 is a front running type and could go well but hasn't been in good form recently so not sure what to expect, so I will be hoping the top weight PABLO DEL PUEBLO 9/2 can get to the front and prevail but this one also hasn't won at this level before but this does look the easiest class 5 race its ever ran in which is the reason why its the top weight.

Pablo Del Pueblo 9/2 8th -1pt 

Total -1pt

NEWCASTLE 6.20

I can see 2 front running types in this 11 runner dash in the shape of High Security and Murbih 9/2 who is my 4th top rated, I will look to lay Princess Karine 12/1 who may prefer further and its wins on Turf have come in slow run races if its a single figure price, Kraken Power 3/1 is my 3rd top rated and like the 2nd top rated Our Absent Friends 7/1 likes to track the leaders so they should ensure the pace is fast which could play into the hands of GOLDEN RAINBOW 12/1 (EW) and the jockey has a respectable 17% win ratio when riding for the stable and as usual at the price it has to be an each way bet.

Golden Rainbow 12/1 8th -2pts 

Total -2pts 

NEWCASTLE 8.20

A problem race with no known front running types so any stakes are automatically going to be lower than normal, Henry Hawk might be better over further so this race might not be run to suit it and might be worth laying if a single figure price, One Hart 9/2 is my 3rd top rated and usually likes to track the leaders but also might need further so this race might not suit it, Kapono 11/1 is capable of winning this race but hasn't been in good form lately and the apprentice jockey has a poorish 6% strike rate for the stable, I will take a punt on TATHMEEN 9/1 it is a hold up type but has got a better final kick than most of these so hopefully can get to the front in time but as I said it will only be for small stakes.

Tathmeen 11/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -6pts

4:00 Lingfield Racing Tips (7th March)

LINGFIELD 4.00 

A class 4 race with just 7 runners where I expect the favourite to be Lihou and it should be the one to set the pace to the race, I think Vespasian, Alafdhal, Watermelon Sugar and Gannon Glory are all better prospects when racing over a longer distance but I think if either MICK'S SPIRIT 6/1 or POP DANCER 16/1 can repeat their best ratings they could stay on strongly at the finish and catch the leader nearing the finish and I will split my stake between these two runners and it would have been an each way wager on the latter if there had been 8 runners and 3 places up for grabs but with 7 runners I will back them both to win. 

Pop Dancer 28/1 4th -1pt 

Mick's Spirit 6/1 7th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

LINGFIELD 4.35 

Down to class 6 but still only 7 runners and only 1 known front running type, Astro Jakk 11/2 might need further to show its best and might be worth laying in this race as might Battle Point 13/2 who seems a slightly better horse on the Tapeta surface, Lilkian won for me last time out but is only 4th top rated in this race but we know its in tip top form which is always a positive, Man On A Mission has also been in good form and is my 3rd top rated in this race, Hey Ho Lets Go sits in 2nd top spot and usually likes to track the leader who in this race will hopefully be PABLO DEL PUEBLO 7/2 who is also my top rated and if leading it should prove a very hard nut to crack and the jockey booking looks significant with a 2-9 win record for the stable so this might be worth a slightly higher win stake than the normal. 

Pablo Del Pueblo 7/2 1st +3.5pts

Total +3.5pts

LINGFIELD 5.10 

A field of 9 for this class 6 sprint with just 1 known front running type, I've got negatives against 5 of the runners and one of the remaining 4, Perfect Symphony hasn't been in good form lately and hasn't won since 2021 so could be added to the list of negatives and I might be tempted to lay any of them if of value to do so. Oxygen Thief comes out in joint 2nd top spot but it has never won over this distance but that may have been a flukey time when getting carried along in a fast run race, that leaves me with Navy Drums 5/4 who is the other joint 2nd top rated horse plus its the 1 I expect will set the pace to the race and could lead all the way for victory but I expect it will be a hot favourite so I might take a risk with PANDEMIC PRINCESS 25/1 (EW) who will hopefully be an each way price and if able to reproduce its best Chelmsford time at this course then could run on and would catch the leader just before the line. 

Pandemic Princess 66/1 8th -2pts 

Total -2pts

Total on the day -0.5pts

1:51 Lingfield Racing Tips (4th February)

LINGFIELD 1.51 

HELLO ZABEEL will be trying to stay on at the finish but hasn't any form over today's distance on this surface so I'm not sure what to expect from it. 

LIBRA TIGER won over this distance at Kempton but that was a slow run affair and will either track the leaders or be held up for a late run. 

MOUNT MOGAN would have some chance if able to reproduce its best 2021 rating but hasn't been in good form lately.

BEZZA'S LAD has been known to lead before but stall 8 might not be ideal and would need to improve a few spots time wise to win this race. 

PABLO DEL PUEBLO another front running type and this one is my top rated and could lead all the way from its stall four draw. 

STARSONG recorded its best Polytrack rating last time out at Kempton but will need to improve a few spots time wise to win this race. 

BEAUZON is usually held up for a late run but I doubt it will be able to catch the leaders in time for the victory in this race. 

HIT MAC has been in great form but still only managed 1 win and might struggle to stay here with a fast early pace. 

SUMMARY: I would look to lay Hit Mac 4/1 who has been in good form recently but is better over a shorter distance and with a couple of early paced types in the race it might struggle to stay the distance in this race, I will be hoping that PABLO DEL PUEBLO 5/1 can lead all the way in this race and the jockey does well for the stable winning twice from just 6 rides for them.

Pablo Del Pueblo 5/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bet Hit Mac +1pt 

Total on the day 0pts

1:15 Lingfield Racing Tips (27th January)

LINGFIELD 1.15 

An 8 runner class 6 stakes race with just Moveonup known as a front running type and is my 3rd top on Tapeta ratings for 2022 and 2023 but would drop to 4th top if Billian takes to this surface as its Wolverhampton figure would put it 3rd top spot. I would look to lay Tahonta if its a single figure price as I think it needs further to show its best and this race might not be run to suit its racing style. Youllovemewheniwin seems a better horse on the Polytrack surface which would make it my 2nd top rated on overall figures but it does come 2nd top on just recent (2022-23) Tapeta figures so could go well here but my top rated is REAL ESTATE 5/1 (EW) it comes out top using its best 2022 rating and further ahead if it can reproduce its best 2021 rating, admittedly its not been in great form recently but it is one of those horses that can spring back to form without any prior indication of a return to form so I'm hoping it will be worth an each way punt. 

Real Estate 5/1 (EW) 1st +6pts

Lay bet Tahonta +1pt

Total +7pts

LINGFIELD 3.55 

Nine runners for this class 5 dash with a couple of probable pacesetters, Man On A Mission 11/4 has won its last 3 races and has been raised a total of 11lbs which might find it out in this better race but it will be trying to stay on at the finish but maybe too late here for the win here with the make-up of this race, *Level Up 7/1 will also be trying to stay on at the finish but again maybe too late so maybe worth laying both of them. Micks Spirit and Lilkian are my joint 3rd top rated horses and they are only rated 1lb lower than Hey Ho Lets Go in 2nd top spot all 3 like to track the leaders but Lilkian can be held up for a strong finish so any of them could make the frame but my money will be riding on PABLO DEL PUEBLO 7/2 who won last time out over this distance at Kempton and if able to repeat that rating it here it could lead all the way to follow up here, the trainer has been in good form in the last 2 weeks and the jockey has a good strike rate when riding for the stable.

Pablo Del Pueblo 7/2 2nd -1pt 

Lay bet Man On A Mission +1pt 

Total 0pts 

Total on the day +7pts

2:25 Lingfield Racing Tips (15th December)

LINGFIELD 2.25 

DURDLE DOOR 11/2 a possible pacesetter who hasn't run over this course and distance, it has a mediocre rating from Kempton but a higher rating from Chelmsford so not sure what to expect but the jockeys 0-17 record for the stable makes me think they have a future target in mind. 

GHAALLYA 16/1 is versatile when it comes to racing tactics and could lead if allowed to dictate and set a slightly slower early pace to keep something in reserve for the finish which I don't think will happen, it hasn't run at this course before and it would need to improve on its best time recorded at Wolverhampton.

LOTHIAN 14/1 can either be held up for a late run or track the leaders but time wise it would need to improve on both its course and distance speed figure and its better rating recorded at Chelmsford. 

CAPPANANTY CON 18/1 is another one that is quite versatile with its racing tactics and it has been known to lead before usually when nothing else wants to and that could happen in this race which could mean that its stall 12 draw might not be a big a negative as usual and if getting to the front it could prove a hard nut to crack. 

HURCLE 40/1 has shown very little in its three runs this year, it can track the leaders or be held up for a late run but time wise its sits outside my top four ratings and may struggle to catch the leaders in this race and I think it will be an outsider in this race.

CAMACHESS 8/1 has a speed figure from February this year over this course and distance which makes it my 3rd top rated in this race, it usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on nearing the finish and could at least make the frame.

PATSY FAGAN 9/1 on what this one has shown so far with its speed figures it would need to improve quite a few spots but it is only a 3yo so could be capable of improvement but its last 2 runs haven't shown much and i hope it doesn't improve too much here. 

PRINCELY 16/1 has only relatively slow times on recent form and it hasn't won from 13 previous runs on an artificial surface but has made the frame twice but its not for me in this race and i think it will be another outsider in the betting. 

*PORTELET BAY 6/1 hasn't ever run over this distance on this surface and hasn't won from 6 previous All-Weather races, making the frame in two of them, it may not like this surface and seems a bit of a weak finisher whatever distance they run it over and maybe worth laying at the price. 

DEPUTISE 7/2 has only slow ratings for its more recent course and distance forays and even its best rating on the Tapeta surface leaves it short of breaking into my top four ratings and I am surprised its such a short price.

PABLO DEL PUEBLO 4/1 this 3yo won last time out recording a speed figure that would make it my third or fourth top rated so it could run another good race hear and may even get to follow up that win of 19 days ago, it usually races in midfield or held up for a late run. 

REAL ESTATE 22/1 has one high speed figure when it got towed along in a fast run race and that is becoming to look like a flukey one off rating and has been in poor form on it’s more recent runs. 

SUMMARY: I think I will start with a horse that I will be looking to lay in this race as Portelet Bay is forecast to be the second favourite around the four to one price but it still hasn't managed a win on the AW tracks and I think this surface may not be its favoured one and it needs to improve on its best rating from Wolverhampton, as for the winner I will be backing three horses firstly CAMACHESS who is my 2nd top rated on just 2021 c/d times and may really be top with question marks about the top rated horses rating most likely being a fluke or one off time and it likes to track the leaders the other bet will be on CAPPANANTY CON who from stall 12 may be forced into making an early attempt to either lead or at least contest the lead and if getting to the front could prove hard to catch and this horse has been known to spring back to form without prior warning and finally PABLO DEL PUEBLO 4/1 who won last time out and could be an improving 3yo and could follow up here.

*NR 

Camachess 13/2 3rd -1pt 

Capananty Con 18/1 4th 

Pablo Del Pueblo 4/1 5th -1pt 

Total on the day -3pts