3:50 Southwell Racing Tips (22nd December)

SOUTHWELL 3.50 

The early pace to this race could be set by Khabib 7/2 and/or Level Up 25/1 but the latter has been in poor form in its recent runs so I expect the former to be the pacesetter here and if able to reproduce its best of 2022 it would lead all the way for the win but its best of this year has been 6lbs lower which still gives it an each way chance especially if its allowed an easy lead, but they don't happen often over the minimum distance which we have here, it beat Twilight 5/2 2 runs ago in a photo finish and the latter is weighted to overturn that form in this race so another possible each way wager but that was a class 5 race so they are both up in class here and I'm never convinced many horses can reproduce the same level when upped in class although many do run well. Reigning Profit is another that would go well if reproducing its best 2022 rating but so far this year its best has been 24lbs below that standard and I expect it will be an outsider, my money will be riding on POP DANCER 6/1 who has won at this level and can be held up at the rear or in midfield and then stay on the stronger nearing the finish and today its housed in stall 5 right next door to Khabib so should be a good tow into the race before proving the stronger.

Pop Dancer 20/1 5th -1pt 

Total on the day -1pt

4:00 Lingfield Racing Tips (7th March)

LINGFIELD 4.00 

A class 4 race with just 7 runners where I expect the favourite to be Lihou and it should be the one to set the pace to the race, I think Vespasian, Alafdhal, Watermelon Sugar and Gannon Glory are all better prospects when racing over a longer distance but I think if either MICK'S SPIRIT 6/1 or POP DANCER 16/1 can repeat their best ratings they could stay on strongly at the finish and catch the leader nearing the finish and I will split my stake between these two runners and it would have been an each way wager on the latter if there had been 8 runners and 3 places up for grabs but with 7 runners I will back them both to win. 

Pop Dancer 28/1 4th -1pt 

Mick's Spirit 6/1 7th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

LINGFIELD 4.35 

Down to class 6 but still only 7 runners and only 1 known front running type, Astro Jakk 11/2 might need further to show its best and might be worth laying in this race as might Battle Point 13/2 who seems a slightly better horse on the Tapeta surface, Lilkian won for me last time out but is only 4th top rated in this race but we know its in tip top form which is always a positive, Man On A Mission has also been in good form and is my 3rd top rated in this race, Hey Ho Lets Go sits in 2nd top spot and usually likes to track the leader who in this race will hopefully be PABLO DEL PUEBLO 7/2 who is also my top rated and if leading it should prove a very hard nut to crack and the jockey booking looks significant with a 2-9 win record for the stable so this might be worth a slightly higher win stake than the normal. 

Pablo Del Pueblo 7/2 1st +3.5pts

Total +3.5pts

LINGFIELD 5.10 

A field of 9 for this class 6 sprint with just 1 known front running type, I've got negatives against 5 of the runners and one of the remaining 4, Perfect Symphony hasn't been in good form lately and hasn't won since 2021 so could be added to the list of negatives and I might be tempted to lay any of them if of value to do so. Oxygen Thief comes out in joint 2nd top spot but it has never won over this distance but that may have been a flukey time when getting carried along in a fast run race, that leaves me with Navy Drums 5/4 who is the other joint 2nd top rated horse plus its the 1 I expect will set the pace to the race and could lead all the way for victory but I expect it will be a hot favourite so I might take a risk with PANDEMIC PRINCESS 25/1 (EW) who will hopefully be an each way price and if able to reproduce its best Chelmsford time at this course then could run on and would catch the leader just before the line. 

Pandemic Princess 66/1 8th -2pts 

Total -2pts

Total on the day -0.5pts

2:20 Lingfield Racing Tips (19th November)

LINGFIELD 2.20 

A class 4 five furlong dash with 10 entrants and 4 that have been known to lead before but I think they will set the race up for a fast finishing type but time wise its hard to a clear picture of what might or ought to happen in this race. The Defiant 8/1 and La Roca Del Fuego 9/1 are both capable of recording fast times but neither have ever won before at this level of racing, Thegreatestshowman 10/1 is capable but in poor form lately, Bang On The Bell 9/2 and Kim Wexter 5/1 have fast times but on the Tapeta surface so might be worth laying at those prices, Dream By Day 10/1 and Alcazan 6/1 might both need a longer distance to show their best form. Amor De Mi Vida hasn't ever run on this surface before so I'm not sure what to expect but I think it will be an outsider in this race. That leaves me with Harb 5/1 in stall one who is a possible pacesetter and its best time from Chelmsford last year but being a 3yo it could still have some improvement within in it and could prove hard to catch if leading and controlling the rails so going the shortest way round but if the top weighted POP DANCER 9/2 reproduces its best time which it recorded here last year then it should stay on the stronger at the finish.

Pop Dancer 17/2 1st 8.5pts 

Lay bets The Defiant +1pt, Bang On The Bell +1pt, Kim Wexler +1pt 

Total +11.5pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.00 

Another class 4 race with 11 runners with 2 or 3 that have been known to lead before, I say 2 or 3 because Mighty Gurkha 9/1 has been known to lead but usually its when nothing else wants to set the early pace but this one prefers the Polytrack surface and might be worth laying if a single figure price. The Lamplighter 9/1 and Foxy Rascal 7/2 are my 4th joint top rated horses but the former's best came in 2021 and the latter's rating is from Newcastle so I couldn't back either of them and maybe laying them could pay dividends if they are of value to lay. Treacherous 16/1 is my 3rd top rating but that's if I go back to its best 2020 rating which doesn't inspire confidence. Abbey Heights 4/1 has a decent time which it recorded at Southwell and has only one slow time to its name over this distance on this surface at Newcastle. Cherish is my 2nd top rated and this one likes to track the leaders but it hasn't won at this level before so may be a bit outclassed, that leaves me with INTERVENTION 9/2 who is one of the potential pacesetters to this race and stall 10 might not be too much of a handicap in this race with only 2 natural front running types in the race and if getting to the front it ought to be able to hold on for the win. 

Intervention 9/2 3rd -1pt 

Lay bets Mighty Gurkha +1pt, Foxy Rascal +1pt 

Total +1pt 

Total on the day +12.5pts

4:05 Chepstow Racing Tips (22nd August)

BRIGHTON 1.00 

A 6 runner race where half the field have been known to lead, Porfin 7/2 who won last time out may be better over further and could get outpaced here at the minimum distance, Haveoneyerself 9/2 and Newyorkstateofmind 5/1 have both been in poor form recently and would need to improve time wise to win this race, Shamshon 15/2 seems a much better prospect in lower class races which leaves me with Street Parade 9/4 who is my 2nd top rated and is one that likes to lead as does my top rated horse POP DANCER 4/1 and if this one gets to the front it ought to prove hard to catch.

Pop Dancer 6/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHEPSTOW 4.05 

The usual poor grade 6 stakes race where the top official rating is just 50 and only 3 of the runners are rated that high, Thegreyvtrain is my 3rd top rated but has been fading near the finish in every race lately and I doubt that will change here but it could make the frame if others falter, Mr Pc 9/2 and Fossos 8/1 are my 4th top rated and the latter is a front running type while the former is one of the 3 horses rated 50 so they could both run ok here, Notra Maison 5/1 is another 50 rated horse and my 2nd top rated so it could make the frame if reproducing its best, the 3rd and final horse rated 50 is the 3yo HATTIE C 12/1 who can be held up or track the leaders and comes out in top spot on my speed ratings and a reproduction of its rating 2022 rating at Salisbury would see it return to winning ways and at the price I have to go with an each way wager. 

Hattie C 12/1 4th -2pts 

Total -2pt  

SOUTHWELL 6.40 

A class 6 race with 9 runners over the minimum distance with two known front running types, the top weight So Grateful 2/1 might need further to show its best and at that price I would be prepared to take the risk and lay it, Harrogate 7/1 will be staying on at the finish and could run on into a place so might be worth an each way bet, Duke Of Firenze hasn't been in such good form so far this year but its best rating from 2021 would see it make the frame, Mews House 8/1 has been known to lead before but time wise it would need to improve to win this race but could be a another contender to make the frame, Birdie Bowers 15/2 who is my 2nd top rated is the one I think will set the pace to this race and could make the frame from the front but I will be backing USTATH 5/1 who finished 2nd last time out behind Birdie Bowers but is weighted here to reverse the form and is my top rated using just course and distance times since the new surface was laid at the end of last year.

Ustath 11/2 6th -1pt 

Lay bet So Grateful -0.8pts 

Total -0.8pts 

Total on the day -1.8pts