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Monday, 26 August 2019

2:00 Chepstow Racing Tips (26th August)


CHEPSTOW 2.00 (7.5) 

Only 6 runners but 2 of them have been known to lead and they are my 2 top ratings in 2nd spot I've got A Sure Welcome but this ones time did come from 2018 and its best so far this year has been 12lb below its best so hopefully BUNGEE JUMP 4/1 can either lead or contest the lead and then keep enough in reserve to hold on for the win. 

Bungee Jump 4/1 3rd

SOUTHWELL 2.25 

Not a great race and I've only got 5 of the 11 runners with recorded times, the 3-year-old Beechwood Izzy is the only known frontrunner in the field so cannot be ignored although its not in the 5 with ratings, my 2nd top-rated is Gorgeous General who is top on just 2019 times but my money will be riding on DECLAMATION 8/1 who likes to track the leaders, the trainer has a reasonable 15% win rate here with the older horses and the jockeys record is 33% winners on all the stables runners and an even better 47% win rate on the stables older horses. 

Declamation 10/1 Unp 

EPSOM 3.05 (7.5)

I hope all 8 runners take part if there's an each-way bet, I've got 3 that could set the pace but 2 of them are not in my top 4 ratings, Shamshon is 3rd best and its a hold up type so it could be run to suit its style, Duke Of Firenze comes out 2nd top on a time from 2018 at Haydock but here I will be backing MERRY BANTER 5/1 who is top-rated and a possible frontrunner and if getting to the front it ought to prove hard to catch if getting the fractions right. 

Merry Banter 5/1 1st + F/C £34.07

SOUTHWELL 3.35

Nine runners and 5 have been known to lead before and my top 3 ratings are all possible pacesetters, I've got Crosse Fire on a 2018 time and Samovar on a 2019 time as my joint 2nd top-rated but top overall and its using a time from this year is WARRIOR'S VALLEY 12/1 and I'm just glad its on the straight 5 furlongs as its draw would be a setback if going round the bend here and I will be backing it to win this race.

Warrior's Valley 16/1 4th 

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