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Showing posts with label Bungee Jump. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Bungee Jump. Show all posts

Saturday, 13 June 2020

2:00 Doncaster Racing Tips & Lay Bets (14th June)


DONCASTER 2.00 

Let me start with 3 horses that I will be laying (Lahore + Stake Acclaim + Teruntum Star) Caspian Prince looks the most likely pacesetter in this race and on its best 2018 time that would be enough to see it at least make the frame and could feasibly lead all the way here and maybe worth an each-way interest, the bottom pair Cowboy Soldier and Orvar are capable of recording fast times but would need to improve to win this race if others run to their best, Camacho Chief has decent time from Leicester but this one doesn't seem to want really fast ground, my money will be riding on EMBOUR 6/1 who has its best time from Ascot last year that makes it my top-rated and the jockey booking looks a positive move as he has a 21% win rate on this stables older horses. 

Embour 6/1 4th (-1p)

Lay bets: Lahore -10pts, Stake Acclaim +1pt, Teruntum Star +1pt

Total: -9pts

GOODWOOD 2.20 

Of the 9 runners I will look to lay 2 of them, Corinthia Knight + Puds) I could have put Mrs Bouquet in the lay list but it has good trainer/jockey stats so maybe we haven't seen the best of this horse in its previous races but to me, it looks a better horse at a shorter distance, I can only find one natural frontrunner in the race and if BUNGEE JUMP 10/1 does get to the front it ought to prove very hard to catch as it is my top rated so I'm hoping it can lead from start to finish and this jockey has very good stats for this trainer.  

Bungee Jump 10/1 2nd (-1pt)

Lay bets: Corinthia Knight +1pt, Pud +1pt

Total: +1pt

DONCASTER 2.35 

Only 7 runners for this Listed class race, which I find strange to have so few entrants, I can only find one horse to lay (*Rocket Action) I'm not sure what to expect from Lady In France but I don't think this wants it any faster than good going, if Final Venture can repeat its best 2018 time it would be winning this race but its best from 2019 was way below that level but never say never, Copper Knight is the only known frontrunner in the field and could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead but I will be putting my trust and my money on DAKOTA GOLD 2/1 who usually finishes strongly at the business end of a race and will have a good target to aim at. 

*NR 

Dakota 2/1 5th (-1pt)

Total: -1pt


NEWMARKET 2.45

I'm hoping the rain stays away and the going is at least good, please check before having a bet using my figures, I will look to lay (Prophecy + Native Silver + Sandridge Lad) there's a couple of horses that can lead if needs be but they might not need to today as the bottom weight Pavers Pride is a more natural frontrunner and its best time from 2018 would be good enough to win this race but it has never won at this distance so I'm beginning to think that time might have been a one-off, still though I'm not sure what to expect, others that may go well are Camachess, Englishman and Herringswell but I will be backing VICTORY ROSE 16/1 (EW) who should get a good tow into the race being drawn alongside a fast starter and at the price has to be given as an each-way bet.

Victory Rose 16/1 8th (-2pts)

Lay bets: Prophecy +1pt, Native Silver +1pt, Sandridge Lad +1pt

Total: +1pt

Total on the day: - 8pts

Wednesday, 3 June 2020

4:45 Newmarket Racing Tips (4th June)


NEWMARKET 4.45 

This dry spell is ideal for my speed figures so let's hope they don't water it too much before racing, I will look to lay (Thegreatestshowman who is better over a shorter trip, I'm Available may prefer further and also a slower surface, Tin Hat is my 3rd lay as it prefers a shorter distance) Ginger Fox looks as though it might prefer further and a shorter trip but it does have positive jockey booking. I'm not sure whether I dare lay it, the price will make my mind up, DRUMMOND'S WARRIOR 14/1 is the one I think will set the pace and could be the danger and could win here if my selection doesn't run to its best so could be worth an each-way bet at the price but I will be backing COUNT OTTO 4/1 who will be trying to stay on the stronger towards the end of the race. 

Count Otto 4/1 3rd 
Drummond's Warrior 14/1 7th 

Lay bets: Thegreatestshowman +1pt, I'm Available +1pt, Tin Hat +1pt

Total +1pt 

NEWCASTLE 5.05

There are 3 known frontrunners in this 5-furlong dash but I think they will set the race up for a finishing type, I will look to lay (Society Queen who may need further and Jewel Maker who might prefer a slower surface) Royal Brave is my 3rd top-rated but the jockeys 0-18 record for the stable makes me think a place is maybe the best it will attain, Buniann is another with a negative jockey booking, this one's record is 1-15 so my money will be riding on TABAAHY 4/1 who can track the leaders or be held up and could get a good tow into the race with the make-up of this race and the horse has good AW stats. 

Tabaahy 11/2 1st 

Lay bets: Society Queen +1pt, Jewel Maker +1pt

Total: 7.5pts 

NEWMARKET 5.20

Division 2 of this sprint and it should be a fast run affair with four known frontrunners in the field of 11, I have found 3 I would like to lay (Commander Han who looks better over a longer trip, Ginger Jam doesn't look as it stays this distance and this race won't be run to suit it, Chairmanoftheboard may prefer a longer trip or a slower surface maybe both) the topweight BUNGEE JUMP 25/1 has good jockey stats and could set the pace and I think I will have to have a covering each-way bet on it just in case it can lead all the way at the price, my main bet is BOY IN THE BAR 11/2 who is another that has been known to lead but this one might not like really fast/firm going.

Bungee Jump 33/1 1st 
Boy In The Bar 20/1 8th 

Lay bets: Commander Han +1pt, Ginger Jam +1pt, Chairmanoftheboard +1pt

Total: +35pts 

Total on the day: +43.5pts (Excellent from Eric Winner)

Monday, 26 August 2019

2:00 Chepstow Racing Tips (26th August)


CHEPSTOW 2.00 (7.5) 

Only 6 runners but 2 of them have been known to lead and they are my 2 top ratings in 2nd spot I've got A Sure Welcome but this ones time did come from 2018 and its best so far this year has been 12lb below its best so hopefully BUNGEE JUMP 4/1 can either lead or contest the lead and then keep enough in reserve to hold on for the win. 

Bungee Jump 4/1 3rd

SOUTHWELL 2.25 

Not a great race and I've only got 5 of the 11 runners with recorded times, the 3-year-old Beechwood Izzy is the only known frontrunner in the field so cannot be ignored although its not in the 5 with ratings, my 2nd top-rated is Gorgeous General who is top on just 2019 times but my money will be riding on DECLAMATION 8/1 who likes to track the leaders, the trainer has a reasonable 15% win rate here with the older horses and the jockeys record is 33% winners on all the stables runners and an even better 47% win rate on the stables older horses. 

Declamation 10/1 Unp 

EPSOM 3.05 (7.5)

I hope all 8 runners take part if there's an each-way bet, I've got 3 that could set the pace but 2 of them are not in my top 4 ratings, Shamshon is 3rd best and its a hold up type so it could be run to suit its style, Duke Of Firenze comes out 2nd top on a time from 2018 at Haydock but here I will be backing MERRY BANTER 5/1 who is top-rated and a possible frontrunner and if getting to the front it ought to prove hard to catch if getting the fractions right. 

Merry Banter 5/1 1st + F/C £34.07

SOUTHWELL 3.35

Nine runners and 5 have been known to lead before and my top 3 ratings are all possible pacesetters, I've got Crosse Fire on a 2018 time and Samovar on a 2019 time as my joint 2nd top-rated but top overall and its using a time from this year is WARRIOR'S VALLEY 12/1 and I'm just glad its on the straight 5 furlongs as its draw would be a setback if going round the bend here and I will be backing it to win this race.

Warrior's Valley 16/1 4th