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Thursday, 3 October 2019

4:20 Lingfield Racing Tips (3rd October)


This class 6 race looks very good for the class and there's 3 known frontrunners in the field so it should be a fast run 5 furlong dash, 2 of the possible pacesetters are ASK THE GURU 14/1 and SANDFRANKSKIPSGO 14/1 who both have times that could win the race but they are also not very consistent but ignore them at your peril as they could bounce back to form without warning and the 3rd possible pacesetter is BROGAN'S BAY 3/1 and this one 2nd top-rated on 2019 times, so it looks like the race will be won from the front and I will have to go with dutching the 3 of them but myabe tilting in favour of the more consistent Brogans Bay. 

Sandfrankskipsgo 25/1 1st 
Ask The Guru 14/1 8th 
Brogan's Bay 3/1 9th


A lot of the 11 runners in this race have been in good form which makes it hard to eliminate many if any and there's not really much data to work with so I will have to concentrate on my top pair of ratings, ARCHIMEDES 15/2 is my 2nd top-rated on its best time from Newcastle recorded this year so could be hard to catch for most of these but I do have LANDING NIGHT 25/1 rated higher but this ones best time was recorded in 2018 but it also has a faster time this year at Newcastle, so I will back them both to cover the angles but maybe slightly in favour of my highest-rated horse. 

Landing Night 10/1 4th 
Archimedes 15/2 8th 


I can only see one horse who has led before so it might not be a fast run affair but it is my 2nd top-rated so DREAMBOAT ANNIE 50/1 could prove hard to catch for most of these and at the price it as to be an each-way wager, there's only 1lb between Gottardo my 4th top-rated and Sir Hector in 3rd spot, my top rated but only by 1lb is DESERT FOX 4/1 who usually stays on well at the finish, so I will go with backing the 2 horses to cover the angles. 

Dreamboat Annie 50/1 8th 
Desert Fox 4/1 2nd


This looks a poor race but I guess that's to be expected for a class 7 affair and to be honest I cannot narrow it down to just 1 selection, Such Promise 20/1 is a possible pacesetter but is still a maiden after 11 runs and has only one 3rd place finish in those 11 races, Good Business 20/1 will be running on at the finish and its best time from 2018 would make it my top-rated, Broughton Excels 7/4 won last time out and is 2nd top-rated on 2019 times over this c/d, top-rated on 2019 times is Ar Saiorse 50/1 who can sometimes struggle to stay 6 furlongs if there's a fast early pace so might be ok here, i will probably dutch all 4 of them but my stakes wont be at full strength but there won't be much value when the favourite is so short.

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