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Showing posts with label Landing Night. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Landing Night. Show all posts

Thursday, 9 January 2020

2:25 Newcastle - Winning Horse Racing Tips (9th January)


NEWCASTLE 2.25 

GOWANBUSTER 8/1 its best 2019 time sees outside my top 4 ratings but its 2018 best takes it to 3rd top spot overall and could make the frame but I would probably lay the win part to a small stake.

INDIAN RAJ 13/2 hasn't any c/d from 2019 and only a slow time from Wolverhampton over this trip if going back to its best from 2017 it still doesn't win the race.

BIG LACHIE 10/1 didn't run over this c/d in 2019 so looking at its best from 2018 it would be just outside my top 4 and is on a losing run of 11 so one to lay if of value.

TATHMEEN 5/1 comes out 2nd top overall with a 2019 c/d time this one will be running on strongly at the finish and ought to make the frame at least.

SHOWU 16/1 is a maiden after 9 races and its overall form has been quite poor and I cannot find any reason to think it will break its duck in this race.

JAN VAN HOOF 14/1 has poor recent form but did record a time in early 2019 that makes it 3rd top on that years c/d times and another that will be trying to stay on at the finish.

SPIRIT POWER 33/1 I'm not sure this surface will suit this horse and timewise it would have to improve a few spots but it is the only known frontrunning type in the race so it could do better than expected with an easy lead but I doubt it will hang on for the win.

LANDING NIGHT 9/2 usually likes to track the leaders and is my top rated on 2019 c/d times and that figure makes it top-rated overall, the trainers 1-20 strike rate with the older horses at this track doesn't inspire confidence.

DAZACAM 33/1 is on a losing streak of 14 races and hasn't any recent form over this c/d and is been in poor form lately but its best time from 2017 would make it 4th top overall so another to lay.

GLOBAL HUMOR 10/1 has one run over this c/d which resulted in a slow time and in my opinion, it will be a better betting proposition when tackling a longer distance.

LOULIN 9/2 has only slow times over this c/d and isn't well handicapped against some of its rivals so I'm doubting it will follow up from its win last time out but it does show it in good form.

SUMMARY: Certainly not a race to be betting too heavy in, horses that could be considered as having a chance to make the frame are Gowanbuster, Big Lachie, Jan Van Hoof, and Dazacam but I personally will be having small bets on TATHMEEN 5/1 and LANDING NIGHT 9/2 who being my 2 top-rated horses have proven they can win under the conditions of today's race.

Tathmeen 5/1 2nd 
Landing Night 6/1 7th

Related post: Check out Eric's Winners from the year dot 

Thursday, 3 October 2019

4:20 Lingfield Racing Tips (3rd October)


LINGFIELD 4.20 

This class 6 race looks very good for the class and there's 3 known frontrunners in the field so it should be a fast run 5 furlong dash, 2 of the possible pacesetters are ASK THE GURU 14/1 and SANDFRANKSKIPSGO 14/1 who both have times that could win the race but they are also not very consistent but ignore them at your peril as they could bounce back to form without warning and the 3rd possible pacesetter is BROGAN'S BAY 3/1 and this one 2nd top-rated on 2019 times, so it looks like the race will be won from the front and I will have to go with dutching the 3 of them but myabe tilting in favour of the more consistent Brogans Bay. 

Sandfrankskipsgo 25/1 1st 
Ask The Guru 14/1 8th 
Brogan's Bay 3/1 9th

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.15

A lot of the 11 runners in this race have been in good form which makes it hard to eliminate many if any and there's not really much data to work with so I will have to concentrate on my top pair of ratings, ARCHIMEDES 15/2 is my 2nd top-rated on its best time from Newcastle recorded this year so could be hard to catch for most of these but I do have LANDING NIGHT 25/1 rated higher but this ones best time was recorded in 2018 but it also has a faster time this year at Newcastle, so I will back them both to cover the angles but maybe slightly in favour of my highest-rated horse. 

Landing Night 10/1 4th 
Archimedes 15/2 8th 

CHELMSFORD 8.00

I can only see one horse who has led before so it might not be a fast run affair but it is my 2nd top-rated so DREAMBOAT ANNIE 50/1 could prove hard to catch for most of these and at the price it as to be an each-way wager, there's only 1lb between Gottardo my 4th top-rated and Sir Hector in 3rd spot, my top rated but only by 1lb is DESERT FOX 4/1 who usually stays on well at the finish, so I will go with backing the 2 horses to cover the angles. 

Dreamboat Annie 50/1 8th 
Desert Fox 4/1 2nd

CHELMSFORD 8.30

This looks a poor race but I guess that's to be expected for a class 7 affair and to be honest I cannot narrow it down to just 1 selection, Such Promise 20/1 is a possible pacesetter but is still a maiden after 11 runs and has only one 3rd place finish in those 11 races, Good Business 20/1 will be running on at the finish and its best time from 2018 would make it my top-rated, Broughton Excels 7/4 won last time out and is 2nd top-rated on 2019 times over this c/d, top-rated on 2019 times is Ar Saiorse 50/1 who can sometimes struggle to stay 6 furlongs if there's a fast early pace so might be ok here, i will probably dutch all 4 of them but my stakes wont be at full strength but there won't be much value when the favourite is so short.