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Wednesday, 23 October 2019

4:40 Kempton Racing Tips (23rd October)


KEMPTON 4.40 

With four 3yo’s in a field of 10 nothing is certain any of them could suddenly improve but lets hope its not in this race, Spot Lite is well drawn in stall 1 and has been known to lead before and comes out joint 3rd best on its best run from 2018, Knockout Blow is 2nd top rated on 2019 c/d times and joint 3rd top overall, Edged Out 10/3 is the other known frontrunner in the race and it has only had 1 run on any AW track and its time at Lingfield would make it my 2nd top rated but it is on a losing run of 18 which is off putting while the jockeys 3lb claim makes it joint top rated so it could go very well from the front if taking to this surface, my top rated on 2019 times and joint top overall is KATHERINE PLACE 5/1 who’s trainer has a 2-7 win rate with their older horses and the jockey is 1-4 on those older horses so has to carry my money, I was going to back 2 horses just in case the frontrunners got an easy lead but at the prices I will back the one with the proven form over this c/d. 

Katherine Place 5/1 2nd 

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.55 

This race sure wont be carrying much of my money as there are too many 3yo’s or lightly raced types in the race, Dodgy Bob could set the pace from stall 2 but its not won in its last 31 runs and another drawback being that its had 20 runs on the AW tracks before without ever winning but it may make sure a lot of these don't/can't get involved in the race but I will be having a wager on SANTAFIORA 4/1 who likes to try and track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish and from stall 3 could get a good tow into the race and may have been found an opportunity to end its losing run of 10 races, i was hoping for a much bigger price so I could go each way as the Sporting Life predicted tissue price was 16/1 and to be honest I'm not sure its value at this price so I will hope it drifts to over 5/1 so I can lay it or if not back it place only on one of the exchanges. 

Santafiora 5/1 1st 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.25

It's very close at the top of my speed figures for this race, with 3 known frontrunners in the race anything that struggles to go the early pace will get outpaced and then not be able to claw back the deficit, Secretfact comes out joint 2nd top on its best time from 2018 and has only been 4lb below that level this year, joint 4th top-rated is Canford Bay and Powerful Dream, my other joint 2nd top-rated is the 3yo Show Me The Bubbly who likes to track the leaders but may need a degree of luck from stall 7 in the make up of this race, the one that will be carrying my money is JOEGOGO 11/2 who is the one from stall 3 that I think will be able to lead and gain control of the rails and then repel any late challengers and register an all the way win.

Joegogo 11/2 9th

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