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Friday, 29 November 2019

12:55 Southwell Racing Tips (29th November)

SOUTHWELL 12.55 

Of the 13 runners I can find 7 that have some degree of a chance of winning this race, Red Stripes could attempt to lead all the way here but I have four with faster times to their names, Arzaak has a time from 2018 that would make it joint top rated but the jockeys 0-4 record for this stable is a little off-putting it could go well but im not sure it can win the race, Piazon is my joint 3rd top rated and has a positive jockey booking and could make the frame, Decision Maker is my other joint top rated but again its a 2018 time and has been quite a bit below that level so far this year and the jockey booking doesnt make it look like its a trier in this race, my money will be riding on YOUNG TIGER 7/1 who failed to complete its hattrick last timeout where it used up too much energy to close the gap on the leaders and then had nothing left nearing the finish but has been found a chance to get back to winning ways here and could get a good tow into the race with a frontrunner drawn in the stall 3 beside it. 

Young Tiger 7/1 1st 

SOUTHWELL 3.10

I hope all 8 take part here in case I find an each-way shot, I think I can discard 3 of the runners but its fairly tight between the other 5 but I will be backing QUEEN OF KALAHARI 7/2 in this race as its drawn in stall 2 and its the only known frontrunner in the field so I am hoping it can lead all the way in this race and it does have a positive jockey booking. 

Queen of Kalahari 7/2 1st

KEMPTON 6.00

Another hard race to analyse to a conclusion and 7 of the 12 runners have some chance of going well here but I think I can narrow it down to two bets in this race, Dizzy G has a good time from Wolverhampton that would make it competitive but that's if it takes to this surface, Swift Approval who likes to track the leaders has a time from 2018 that would make it dangerous and the same applies to Polybius who is a hold up type, my top rated on this year's c/d figures is LAST PAGE 5/1 who will be held up for a late run hoping the early pace isn't too frantic I will also be backing the bottom weight SPARKALOT 7/1 who is a frontrunner and could gain control of the rails from stall 2 and its best rating from 2018 makes it my top rated.

Sparkalot 7/1 4th 
Last Page 12/1 Unp

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