2:16 Newmarket Racing Tips (16th July)

NEWMARKET 2.16 

On paper a nice looking class 4 sprint but there's only 7 runners which isn't any good for any each way bets and there is no known front runners in the field and then because they are all more like hold up types the speed figures are all relatively low especially for this class of race, The Green Man 7/2 might need further and this race might not be run to suit its racing style, both Bobby On The Beat and Tell’em Nowt could be outclasses at this level, Fighting Temeraire 7/2 won last time out on good ground but time wise that was a slow run affair so it might have been flattered by the result and it was in a class lower race than today's, if the early pace is slow it could have a chance of following up that win but with a fast early pace it might struggle to catch the leader/s, if the going is good to firm for this race my money will be riding on the 3yo KODIAS SANGARIUS 3/1 who has made the frame twice in its last 3 runs and looks to have been found an ideal opportunity here to register its first win on grass. 

Kodias Sangariius 9/2 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt     

NEWBURY 2.56 

A field of 14 for this Group 3 sprint with with a couple of known front running types and the 3yo Go Bear Go could set the pace to this race and comes out in joint 4th top spot on my figures, I cant see anything obvious to lay in the race, which I suppose at this level they shouldn't have too many flaws in their armour, the other 4th top rated horse is Diligent Harry who likes to track the leaders, Run To Freedom 12/1 who also likes to track the leaders is my 3rd top rated horse while Happy Romance 4/1 sits in the 2nd top spot and this one is usually held up for a late run, top spot goes to CHIL CHIL 14/1 (EW) who is returning to racing after being off for 315 days but it has won before when returning from a break and it is dropped in class compared to its last few runs and hopefully its fully fit and I think it has to be worth an each way punt in this race. 

Chil Chil 14/1 8th -2pt 

Total -2pts 

DONCASTER 5.45 

Just 7 runners for this apprentice jockeys dash, High Security and Blazing Hot 8/1 will make sure there's a fast early gallop as the former comes out in 3rd top spot on my figures and could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead as the latter might not appreciate the really fast ground and its best figure came from back in 2020 so it might be worth laying, Sound Of Iona has won its last 2 races and comes out in 2nd top spot here and it could well complete its hat trick but I will take a punt on the bottom weighted horse YOUNG TIGER 16/1 who comes out top rated on just 2022 times and on overall times, it ran 3rd when High Security was 2nd at Ripon in May beaten by half a length on level weights but meets that opponent on 10lb better terms in this race so looks the value call in the race and I would have gone each way if there had been 3 places up for grabs. 

*I mistakenly detailed this as ew then noticed Eric's comment. 

Young Tiger 16/1 Unp -1pt 

Total -1pt 

HAYDOCK 8.00 

Another field of 7 here with just Boudica Bay known as a front running type but I doubt it can lead all the way for the victory but never say never and it might be a shorter price than it merits because it won last time out on good to soft going, Time Shadow doesn't seem to appreciate really fast ground, Aquadabra can produce good speed figure ratings but usually in a lower class race, Amor De Mi Vida 11/4 has been in good form lately and comes out in 2nd top spot on my figures but I expect it will be a shortish priced favourite, I will take a chance on SECOND COLLECTION 15/4 who admittedly will have to improve on what its shown so far this year but it does have a speed figure from 2020 that would make it my top rated, its a shame there isn't 3 places up for grabs because an each way punt would be the best way to go in this race.

Second Collection 15/4 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -5pts

2:50 Newcastle Racing Tips (19th October)

NEWCASTLE 2.50 

A full house of 14 runners with 3 known front running types amongst them and Jordan Electrics, my 2nd top rated and Giogiobbo my joint 4th top rated will make sure its a true run race and both of them might be worth looking at for an each way punt, there's a couple of possible hidden dangers in Pagan and Silver Samurai which means my stakes will be kept low, I'm not sure if anything I see that I might lay will be a worthwhile price so I will hold fire on the lays till I see some betting, my money will be riding on CAPTAIN VALLO 5/1 a 3yo that won last time out in a fast time, admittedly it was in a lower class race but I'm hoping this is an improving 3yo and can take the upgrade in its stride and follow up again here. 

Captain Vallo 5/1 2nd -1pt

Total -1pt 

KEMPTON 5.00 

A fairly nice looking class 5 dash with 2 front running sort’s to ensure there's a fast early pace, La Roca Del Fuego has been in cracking form winning its last 4 races on an artificial surface but they were all recorded at Chelmsford and hasn't any form over this course and distance, 3 of its 4 wins were over 6 furlongs but it did win over five furlongs last time out by leading all the way but that time would only be good enough for 3rd top spot on my overall figures and it might not be quite fast enough to lead in this race as my top rated SPIRIT POWER 11/1 (EW) is also a front running type who has good trainer and jockey stats although the trainer is 0-9 for the last 2 weeks its only 23 days since they had a winner and will be the one carrying my money with an each way wager at the price, the horse that might do best of those coming form off the pace could be Smokey who has a time from Lingfield last year that makes it my 2nd top rated on my overall figures and strangely none of the horses in this race have a recorded time for this year so everything is more of a gamble. 

Spirit Power 22/1 7th -2pts 

Total -2pts 

NEWCASTLE 5.40 

I will wait until the day of the race before deciding if there's anything worthwhile laying in this race as it does look a very competitive affair and I am not 100% sure its race to be betting in at all, on the clock I looked at ANOTHER ANGEL 9/2 one of the possible pacesetters and comes out 3rd best on my overall figures using a 2020 time so could go well but the trainer is 0-11 in the last 2 weeks which muddies the waters, LORD OF THE GLEN 6/1 is another possible front runner and comes out in top spot using a time from 2020 when it won over this course and distance but the trainers 0-17 in the last 2 weeks doesn't fill me with confidence,YOUNG TIGER 8/1 could be the one to prosper if the leaders tire but once again I am using a 2020 time to find its best speed figure and hasn't shown much in its last few runs on turf so maybe the switch back to the All-Weather will inspire it to bounce back to form so I will be dutching the three of them.

Lord Of The Glen 6/1 2nd -1pt 

Young Tiger 8/1 8th -1pt 

Another Angel 9th -1pt 

Total -3pts 

Total on the day -6pts

3:30 Pontefract Racing Tips (23rd September)

PONTEFRACT 3.30 

An 8 runner race with 3 known front runners amongst them but I think they will set it up for something coming from off the pace, I could look to lay Penny Pot Lane, maybe not this class, Oso Rapide 10/3 who has shown very little time wise and the same applies to Cottam Lane 10/3 even when winning, Bossipop, Jordan Electrics, Lady Nectar and Mutanaaseq could all go well and battle to make the frame but i will be backing the top weight BOWMAN 11/2 who if it can reproduce its Carlisle time it would be winning this race a shade cosily. 

Bowman 11/2 4th -1pt 

Lay bets: Oso Rapido -3pts, Penny Pot Lane +1pt, Cottam Lane +1pt

Total -2pts

PONTEFRACT 4.05

The early pace might be set by Ben Macdul and/or Modular Magic either could go well with an easy lead but the former would need to improve time wise while the latter might be outclassed in this race, I will look to lay Saluti 11/2 who might prefer a longer trip and this race might not be run to suit it, the trainer Paul Midgley has 3 runners in this race and I think he could win the race with either INDIAN SOUNDS 10/3 or BALLINTOY HARBOUR 15/2 who both like to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish and the latter does seem to need good to firm ground to show its best form, i will be backing them both in this race. 

Indian Sounds 10/3 -1pt 

Ballintoy Harbour 8/1 8th -1pt 

Lay bets Saulti 11/2 -5.5pts 

Total -7.5pts

PONTEFRACT 5.15 

I hope all take part so I can have an each way bet in this race, I would look to lay Jorvik Prince who may need further and is better on the AW tracks, Gorgeous General 8/1 who also may need further to shine and Muatadel 11/2 who doesn't seem to like good to firm ground, the early pace might be set by Fossos who is my 3rd top rated or Equate both being 3yo’s could improve, Newgate Angel comes out 2nd top using a 2020 time my money will be on YOUNG TIGER 12/1 who comes out on top for just this year and its better time from 2020 makes it my top rated on overall figures and luckily the price is big enough for me to have an each way wager. 

Young Tiger 12/1 4th -2pts 

Lay bets: Muatadel -4.5pts, Jorvick Prince +1pt, Gorgeous General +1pt

Total -4.5pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.30

There's only 1 horse aged above four in this race so I am a bit short of data to be confident in this race and the funny thing is the oldest horse in the race *KATHERINE PLACE 6/1 recorded a fast time at Chelmsford when it won last time out and will probably be the favourite but it has been found a good opportunity to follow up that win and its best time over this course and distance is good enough for 2nd top spot and being the most natural front runner in the field it could lead all the way but stall 10 isn't ideal if others change their usual style and try to lead as well, the only horse with a higher speed figure is ROMAN ENCOUNTERS 14/1 (EW) who’s figure was recorded on this surface but at Newcastle and if this one is an each way price I will definitely be backing it.

*NR

Romantic Time 18/1 8th -2pt 

Total -2pts

Total on the day -16pts

1:30 Southwell Racing Tips & Lay Bets (5th February)

SOUTHWELL 1.30 

There's only 6 runners here and I will look to lay half the field (Big Time Maybe + Robot Boy + Red Stripes) Nick Vedder is the odd one out as I haven’t marked it as a positive or negative in this race so I don't know what to expect but it would need to improve timewise to win the race, I will be backing the remaining 2 runners, MULZIM 6/4 my 2nd top-rated and YOUNG TIGER 5/2 the top-rated horse both have got good trainer/jockey stats plus there is only 2lbs between them which is virtually nothing in sprint racing and their figures are only accurate if everything goes right for them during the race, the prices are poor value and its hardly worth backing them both but could be ok to add to a multi bet. 

Mulzim 6/4 1st + EX £4.10
Young Tiger 9/2 2nd 

Lay bets: Big Time Maybe (+1pt) Robot Boy (+1pt) Red Stripes (+1pt)

Total: +3.5pts

SOUTHWELL 4.00

This 10 runner race is a nightmare, I can split the field in half with (Para Mio + Andre Amar + Decision Maker + Aquarius + Meshardal) in the half I will be looking to lay while the other 5 runners all have something in heir favour to giving them some chance of winning this race, the topweight Requinto Dawn hasn't any course form but some of its turf form makes me think it will like this surface, Jan Van Man also has no course form but has good trainer/jockey stats which might indicate connections expecting a big run, Six Til Twelve has a decent c/d time but it hasn't made the frame in all of its 6 previous AW races, the 2 that stand out timewise are Reshaan who is still a maiden after 29 runs and Hellofagame still a maiden after 14 attempts, it is maybe a race best left alone until I've seen the betting. I will look to have a small each-way bet just because of the value on HELLOFAGAME 33/1 just because I think it is too big a price to let run without having something riding on it.

Hellofagame 66/1 3rd (+6.6pts)

Lay bets: Decision Maker (-4.5pts) Para Mio (+ 1pt) Andre Amar (+1pt) Aquariius (+1pt) Meshardal (+1pt) 

Total +6.1pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.10

In this race I have a couple of horses (Equally Fast + Empty Promises) but I would only have half a point lay on each of them, the rest of the runners all have some chance of making the frame and especially Precious Plum who I think is the most likely pacesetter coming out of stall 2 so could quickly gain control of the rails which is always a help on the turns here and it is my original 3rd top rated, Creek Harbour and It Must Be Faith were my original joint 4th top rated but they are both being ridden by apprentices who’s claims move them to 3rd and 2nd top rated, my original 2nd top rated is Tabaahy but it drops to 4th best with the 2 horses getting weight taken off their backs, top rated overall is QAARAAT 13/2 who is in decent form lately and especially when finishing 2nd last time out and has been found an ideal opportunity to go one better here, a reproduction of its best 2019 c/d time would see it winning here with a bit in hand and will be the one carrying my money.

Qaaraat 13/2 3rd 

Lay bets: Equally Fast (+1pt) Empty Promises (+1pt) 

Total +1pt 

Total on Day +10.6pts 

12:55 Southwell Racing Tips (29th November)

SOUTHWELL 12.55 

Of the 13 runners I can find 7 that have some degree of a chance of winning this race, Red Stripes could attempt to lead all the way here but I have four with faster times to their names, Arzaak has a time from 2018 that would make it joint top rated but the jockeys 0-4 record for this stable is a little off-putting it could go well but im not sure it can win the race, Piazon is my joint 3rd top rated and has a positive jockey booking and could make the frame, Decision Maker is my other joint top rated but again its a 2018 time and has been quite a bit below that level so far this year and the jockey booking doesnt make it look like its a trier in this race, my money will be riding on YOUNG TIGER 7/1 who failed to complete its hattrick last timeout where it used up too much energy to close the gap on the leaders and then had nothing left nearing the finish but has been found a chance to get back to winning ways here and could get a good tow into the race with a frontrunner drawn in the stall 3 beside it. 

Young Tiger 7/1 1st 

SOUTHWELL 3.10

I hope all 8 take part here in case I find an each-way shot, I think I can discard 3 of the runners but its fairly tight between the other 5 but I will be backing QUEEN OF KALAHARI 7/2 in this race as its drawn in stall 2 and its the only known frontrunner in the field so I am hoping it can lead all the way in this race and it does have a positive jockey booking. 

Queen of Kalahari 7/2 1st

KEMPTON 6.00

Another hard race to analyse to a conclusion and 7 of the 12 runners have some chance of going well here but I think I can narrow it down to two bets in this race, Dizzy G has a good time from Wolverhampton that would make it competitive but that's if it takes to this surface, Swift Approval who likes to track the leaders has a time from 2018 that would make it dangerous and the same applies to Polybius who is a hold up type, my top rated on this year's c/d figures is LAST PAGE 5/1 who will be held up for a late run hoping the early pace isn't too frantic I will also be backing the bottom weight SPARKALOT 7/1 who is a frontrunner and could gain control of the rails from stall 2 and its best rating from 2018 makes it my top rated.

Sparkalot 7/1 4th 
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