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Friday 8 November 2019

6:05 Newcastle Racing Tips (8th November)

As you may have realised I haven't been posting for the last 2 or 3 days because I've had no internet connection, thanks to Talk Talk, I am now rushing around to try and catch up on results, speed figures etc so tonights blog will be short of the usual depth but all the essentials will be covered. 


There's not a lot to write about in this race and its not a race to be betting too heavily in, the favourite is Astro Jakk who won at Southwell and being a 3 year old could still improve and it would need to win this race on a different surface,Paddy Power is capable of going well if in the right mood but hasn't shown much since the early part of this year, EPEIUS 10/1 is well weighted on its best form and it is my top rated and the trainer has a decent strike-rate at this course, my 2nd top-rated is MAGICAL SPIRIT 11/2 this 3-year-old is a front running sort and could still be able to improve from its win last time out so I will back them both to cover the angles. 

Magical Spirit 6/1 2nd 
Epeius 16/1 3rd   


I would leave this race well alone, those that do have a recorded speed figure are at the lower end of the scale and there's quite a few 3-year-olds and other lightly raced sorts and there's not enough data to form a confident solution 


My top 4 ratings in this race are closely rated and they all have good trainer and/or jockey stats so I will go with dutching, DREAMBOAT ANNIE 25/1 and PEARL SPECTRE 8/1 who are both front running types but not ideally drawn in stalls 9 and 10,the latter is my overall top rated but only by 1lb, the 3rd selection is BROUGHTON EXCELS who is 2nd top-rated on this years times and 4th top-rated overall and has the ideal draw in stall one to get a good early prominent position from which to attack late on, another that should be staying on is the 3 year old AQUARIUS 8/1. 

Broughton Excels 6/4 2nd 
Pearl Spectre 12/1 4th
Dreamboat Annie 25/1 6th  
Aquarius 25/1 9th  


There isn't a lot of known early speed sorts in this race but The Grey Zebedee could take up the pacesetters role but I doubt it can hang on to lead all the way as its outside my top 3 ratings, the early favourite is Jeffrey Harris 5/2, it did win last time out but over 6 furlongs and may get found out for early speed dropped down to 5 furlongs here so I would look to lay it just because it looks poor value in my eyes, I've co-3rd top-rated horses in Mable Lee from a time in 2018, Gleaming Arch and Kibaar, so they could all be battling to make the frame, Extrasolar maybe on the decline with age but a time from 2018 would see it winning cosily here but its recent form has been quite poor, I will be having a small bet on GUARDIA SVIZZERA 9/1 who is, of course, my top rated but its still a maiden on the AW after 11 runs and its 19 races since it last won but the jockey does quite well for this trainer at this course.

Guardia Svizzer 9/1 7th 

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