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Saturday, 21 December 2019

11:45 Lingfield Racing Tips (21st December)


LINGFIELD 11.45

There's only 10 runners with 2 known frontrunners but a tricky little race to analyse in fact I can only find one runner that I think has very little chance of winning, Pink Iceberg could be a big danger if allowed to dictate the early pace, it's only had one AW run before but it should like this surface, Starchant and Pharoh Jake are well-weighted on their best form but both are on long losing runs of 23 and 15 but cannot be discarded lightly, Fareeq will be trying to stay on strongly at the business end of the race and could make the frame but my money will be riding on ROUNDABOUT MAGIC 3/1 who can be held up or track the leaders, its best c/d time from just 2019 puts it into 3rd top spot but it has a time from 2018 that's 10lb higher and if capable of reproducing that time here it could get back to winning ways in this race. 

Roundabout Magic 3/1 3rd

LINGFIELD 12.20 

Looking at the draw Laith Alareen from stall 3 could gain control of the rails and then prove a big danger if taking to this surface but I cannot find a reason why it shouldn't like it, Chitra the other known frontrunning type is 3rd top on 2019 c/d times and 4th top overall, Lalania has a time from Chelmsford that would move it into 3rd top spot overall but hasn't any c/d time to work with, 2nd top spot goes to Something Lucky but it's on a losing run of 26 races which I find off-putting, so in this race, I have to back WARRIOR'S VALLEY 11/2 who likes to track the pacesetters and from stall 2 it should be able to get a good early position from which to attack late on in the race and the jockey booking looks a positive making me think that connections are expecting a big run in this race.

Warrior's Valley 6/1 4th

Related post: Do you know why they call Eric the Ace of Big Prices?

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