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Friday, 20 December 2019

3:20 Southwell Racing Tips (20th December)

Horse trainer Karl Burke at Southwell racecourse

SOUTHWELL 3.20 

A tricky looking class 3 affair and I've got 3 all on the same mark at the top of my list. 

Samovar is one of those 3 but strictly on form the topweight Tawny Port holds it and I'm not sure he is quite up to this class. 

Moonraker who could attempt to set the pace along with Crosse Fire. They could prove hard to catch if getting to the front but haven't been in good form of late. 

I have no option other than to back the 3yo HAREEM QUEEN 2/1 has won its last 2 races for Karl Burke and has been found a good opportunity to complete the hattrick. 

Hareem Queen 9/4 2nd 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30 

On paper, this looks a cracker of a class 2 race and I have only found one horse that I give virtually no chance 0f winning but with 7 of the 9 runners having been known to lead before there could well be some early scrimmaging for position especially the 4 drawn in the stalls nearest the rail all wanting to set the pace, I just have a feeling they might cut each other's throats and set the race up for something coming from off the pace so my pennies will be riding on THE DALEY EXPRESS 14/1 hoping it can get a clear run in the home straight and it does have a jockey with an 18% win rate for the stable and at the price I have to back it each way. 

The Daley Express 18/1 7th 

WOLVERHAMPTON 8.00

Down to class 6 here and its no easier to analyse with just 2 that I’ve discarded from the off, I've got SIR HECTOR 9/2 as my 4th top-rated overall but its 2nd top-rated on 2019 c/d times and being a frontrunner and could lead here, it's only 1lb below AUTUMN SPLENDOUR 50/1 but this one hasn't won in 6 previous AW runs, EDGED OUT 33/1 is joint top-rated overall but this ones time was recorded at Lingfield and has only had one slow run race over this c/d which is a light negative, the other joint top rated is RANGEFIELD EXPRESS 10/1 but this ones time was recorded on this surface but at Newcastle, I will go with dutching all 4 runners mentioned to small each-way stakes hoping I have found the winner and also get another placed

Sir Hector 9/2 2nd 
Rangefield Express 20/1 5th
Edged Out 66/1 6th 
Autumn Splendour 50/1 7th  

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