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Saturday, 15 February 2020

2:35 Lingfield Racing Tips & Lay Bets (15th February)


LINGFIELD 2.35 

Just the essentials for each race with so many races to cover, I will look to lay (Tinto) my 4th top-rated is Mohareb who has been known to lead before and this 4 year could still be able to improve, Merhoob another possible pacesetter is my 3rd top-rated but maybe Lady Dancelot from stall 2 can get out and take control on the rails as it's my 2nd top-rated but I will be backing KACHY 4/5 who will be settled in behind the leaders ready to pounce as the line looms but I will be very surprised if it's not an odds on favourite but it can bolster a multi bet. 

Kachy 4/5 PU 

Lay bet: Tinto (+1pt) 

Total 0 

LINGFIELD 3.10 

There's a couple of horses I will look to lay, (Jack The Truth + Zac Brown) the bottom-weight Something Lucky is capable of a fast time but usually, in a lower class race than this one, Momtahil is my 2nd top-rated and could be a danger but I will be backing GREEN DOOR 7/2 who is my top rated and I am hoping can lead from start to finish here. 

Green Door 7/2 2nd 

Lay bets: Jack The Truth (-6pts) Zac Brown (+1pt) 

Total -6pts

NEWCASTLE 6.30

A full house of 14 runners in this class 5 race and to be honest it's hard to confidently narrow it down as there's different speed figures on different surfaces, I have 3 that will look to lay (Gamesome + Desert Ace + Airwaves) to make sure of a small profit even my selection doesn't win, Spirit Power is outside my top 3 on just 2019/20 c/d times but had a time from Kempton that would make it top rated but maybe this course doesn't suit it as well but it does have good trainer + jockey stats which may be a pointer to connections expecting a big run here, Big Lachie has a 2018 time that would see it make the frame, Rumshak could set the pace and then become a danger, Mutabaahy has a 7lb claiming apprentice riding which puts it in the mix, my money will be riding on the top-weighted TATHMEEN 5/1 who won last time out and has been found a good chance to follow up. 

Tathmeen 5/1 3rd 

Lay bets: Gameson (+1pt) Desert Ace (+1pt) Airwaves (+1pt) 

Total +2pts

NEWCASTLE 8.00

With 3 known front-running types it should be a true run affair, its hard to find something to lay in this race and just as hard to narrow it down to less than three selections which I will look to dutch, Calin's Lad has an interesting jockey booking but would need to improve timewise to win this race, I KNOW HOW 4/1 is my 3rd top-rated and another with a positive looking jockey booking, LUCKY LODGE 7/1 is my 2nd top-rated and again it's one with a positive looking jockey choice and I have to include my top-rated *ORIENTAL LILLY 11/1 and being a hold-up type that likes a strong pace to aim at this race could be run to suit but I will be backing the 3 horses mentioned but may be tilted in favour of my top rated. 

I Know How 4/1 1st 
Lucky Lodge 7/1 4th
*NR  

Total +3pts


NEWCASTLE 8.30

Another full house of 14 runners and I can only find 2 horses to lay (*Strawberryandcream + Highland Acclaim) Olivia R will be staying on at the finish as will Dream Mount and both may be better over further but they both have very good jockey stats, timewise KOMMANDER KIRKUP 16/1, ZEBULON 9/1, GUNMAKER 3/1, and ONE ONE SEVEN 8/1 are all closely rated so I cannot split them although the latter would be the sole selection if its best time had come at this course instead of at Wolverhampton.

Zebulon 9/1 3rd 
Kommander Kirkup 16/1 5th
One One Seven 10/1 6th 
Gunmaker 3/1 Unp 

Lay bets: High Acclaim (+1pt) 

Total -3pts

Total on Day -4pts