5:35 Lingfield Racing Tips (30th September)

LINGFIELD 5.35 

A 10 runner race where only 5 of them have gone fast enough to register on my figures and 4 of them have recorded ratings for this year, I will start with Firenze Rosa 5/2 who on the early tissue prices is forecast to be the nine to four favourite and I think is solely down to it finishing 2nd last time out but that was on soft ground and I am concerned whether it will like this relatively fast artificial surface plus the trainer is 0-5 for the last 2 weeks and its 28 runners and 51 days since the stable last had a winner so one i will definitely be laying it, Lady Florence 11/4 is 3rd top on just 2021 times and 3rd top overall using its faster time from 2020, the top two ratings flip flop, depending how you look at things as they are both being ridden by 3lb claiming apprentices, ARZAAK 6/1 is top rated on just 2021 times and rated 3lbs higher than GREEN DOOR 10/1 (EW), so they could both be rated the same, who would have eaten this lot for breakfast a few years back but hasn't shown much on recent runs and this will only be its 2nd race of the year, at least its giving weight to theoretically weaker horses and could possibly lead all the way but with them being so close on my speed figures I will be backing them both to cover the angles, maybe two each way bets is the best way forward, at the prices maybe one win bet and one each way wager. 

Arzaak 17/2 4th -1pts 

Green Door 10/1 9th -2pts

Total -3pts

CHELMSFORD 7.00 

The 3yo Maajdah is forecast to be a fairly hot favourite, 13/8, on the early tissue prices and I have to admit it did run to a high rating when it won last time out at Wolverhampton but this is a completely different kind of surface and would need to adapt but it will also need to improve about 7lbs if others run to their best so for those reasons I would definitely look to lay it at such a short price, Mejthaam11/2 is forecast to be the 2nd favourite and I can find negatives against this one as well, it won over this distance on turf when setting a slow pace but wont be allowed an easy lead in this race and I think it might get outpaced early doors in this race, it will or should be running on at the distance but this one also needs to improve time wise to win this race, there is also two more 3yo’s, Jojo Rabbit 12/1 and Miss Nay Never 9/1, who also like to lead, that makes a total of 6 of the 11 runners prefer to lead so maybe they will set the race up something coming from off the pace so I will be backing INVINCIBLE LARNE 15/2 (EW) who is 2 wins and 7 places from its 14 AW races and if it reproduces its best time from 2020 it will catch them in the closing stages of this race and if an each way price then all the better. 

Invincible Larne 16/1 3rd +2.2pts 

Lay bet: Maajdah +1pt

Total +3.2pts

CHELMSFORD 8.00 

I hope all 8 runners take part so there's 3 places if I find an each way bet, the 3yo Tawaazon 9/2 looks as though it is better over a shorter trip and maybe worth laying especially at the price, there's two known front running types but I doubt whether Rebel Redemption 6/1 is fast enough to lead and even if it could I doubt it would stay there for the victory, the 3yo Another Dawn 6/4 comes out 2nd top but that figure was recorded on a different surface at Wolverhampton but if taking to this surface it could have every chance, my money will be riding on the other pacemaker in the shape of BERRTIE 8/1 (EW) and this one has the plum draw in stall 1 and if getting to the front this 3yo could lead all the way and get back to winning ways. 

Berrtie 12/1 4th -2pts 

Total -2pts

CHELMSFORD 8.30 

This Is a class 6 race but even for the class its quite poor and any stakes will have to be kept low, I doubt there will be anything of value to lay so it looks like small win bet/s, Twice As Likely 5/1 comes out 4th top rated on my overall figures and 2nd top on just 2021 times, Our Man In Havana 12/1 comes out 3rd best using a 2020 speed figure but it is the only one that has been known to lead before but that is only when nothing else wants to lead but could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead, top rated on just 2021 times is IRISH TIMES 7/1 and usually tracks the leaders and then run on at the finish but I do have VINCENZO COCCOTTI 7/1 rated higher using a time from last year and would be my sole bet if it had been in better form this year and the trainer had their last winner 27 days ago which doesn't inspire me and I will go with 2 small win bets.

Vincenzo Coccotti 7/1 +7pts + EX £31.20

Irish Times 7/1 2nd -1pt 

Total +6pts

Total on the day +4.8pts

3:50 Lingfield Racing Tips (16th August)

LINGFIELD 3.50 

An 8 runner race where half the field have been known to lead before so it should be a fast and furious dash and I think the race could be won from the front as long as they don't go mad trying to lead and spend too much of their energy and tire nearing the finish, firstly I will look to lay Sir Rodneyredblood, if its a single figure price, who may need further, Seneca Chief or Katelli could be the ones to prosper if they do go off too fast, I will be backing both GREEN DOOR 9/1 (EW) who recorded its best time in 2020 but hasn't run over this course and distance since then, it has been off the track for over 300 days but has won before after a break but just in case it does need the run I will also be backing THEGREYVTRAIN 14/1 (EW) who recorded its best time this year over this course and distance but the jockeys 0-9 record doesn't fill me with confidence so my stakes will be kept low and at the prices available, and as long as all 8 runners take part, then it has to be 2 each way wagers. 

Thegreyvtrain 14/1 2nd +3.666pta

Green Door 28/1 6th -2pts 

Total +1.666pts

CATTERICK 4.35 

Another 8 runner dash where half of them have been known to lead and again I think the race can be won from the front, Orchid Rose is still a maiden after 9 runs and it also has poor trainer/jockey stats but it is capable of recording decent times but its usually when towed along with a fast early pace but its not for me in this race but it may fare best of those coming from off the pace, Refuge my 4th top rated and Captain Corcoran my 3rd top rated are both possible pacesetters but if the going is good to firm or faster then it might not suit the latter and I would lay the win part, I will be putting my money on AUCKLAND LODGE 8/1 who would be hard to catch if getting to the front. 

Auckland Lodge 10/1 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

WINDSOR 5.55 

With no known front runners in this race it might not be run to suit *Sara's Hope 7/1 so I will lay it if a single figure price, Bellevarde is capable of producing a fast time but its best form comes in lower class races which puts me off, I will be splitting my stakes between 2 runners, FREE LOVE 5/1 is my top rated on just 2021 times which is always a positive but I do have THE DALEY EXPRESS 7/1 rated higher but this ones best time comes from 2019 but its best time from 2021 would put it in 2nd top spot so they hold the top positions between them but without a known pacesetter my stakes will be kept low.

*NR 

The Daley Express 13/2 3rd -1pt 

Free Love 5/1 4th -1pt 

Total on the day -1.334

3:20 Southwell Racing Tips & Lay Bets (20th February)

SOUTHWELL 3.20 

Quite a competitive race for a class 5 affair with just 6 runners, the one I will be looking to lay is (Big Time Maybe) only Young Tiger isn't known as a frontrunner and could stay on at the finish and could go close but I will be backing GREEN DOOR 7/2 who is dropped in class from its last race where it led and only got caught close home to finish 2nd and has a chance here to go one better. 

Green Door 4/1 4th 

Lay bets: Big Time Maybe (+1pt)

Total 0pts 

SOUTHWELL 3.50

Only 5 runners in this race and to be honest I couldn't lay anything with confidence, I think the pace may be set by Samovar but I don't think it will be able to hold on but if allowed an easy lead it could be dangerous, my money will be on the hold-up type SANDRIDGE LAD 5/2 who has won its last 3 races and has a chance to make it four in a row here. 

Sandridge Lad 5/2 2nd 

Total - 1pt 

CHELMSFORD 5.30

Again a small field this time 7 runners, I have a couple I will be looking to lay, (Waneen + It Must Be Faith) Becker comes out 3rd best using a time from Kempton this year but its best time over this c/d from2018 is way below that level, Tomshalfbrother comes out 2nd top-rated overall using a c/d time but it's still a maiden after 10 attempts, my money will be riding on TIME TO REASON 3/1 who comes out 2nd best on 2019/20 c/d times but has a time from Lingfield that makes it top-rated overall and hopefully it can go one better than its last 2 runs where it finished 2nd. 

Time To Reason 3/1 4th 

Lay bets: Waeen (+1pt) It Must Be Faith (+1pt)

Total +1pt 

CHELMSFORD 6.00

A decent field of 11 runners in this race and I can only find one to lay (Omran) there is quite a few with times from different courses that would make them competitive and I wouldn't be surprised which ones of these fill the places, Split Down South, Fen Breeze, Swiss Pride, Lalania, Venture, Excellent George, Suzi's Connoisseur or Camachess, I will be taking a bit of a punt on NICK VEDDER 18/1 who will be trying to stay on strongly at the finish the only downside is the jockeys 0-7 record for this stable but that is reflected in the price which I think is a generous price and I cannot let it run without an each-way bet on it.

Nick Vedder 20/1 Unp 

Lay bets: Omran (+1pt) 

Total 0pts 

Points on Day 0pts

2:35 Lingfield Racing Tips & Lay Bets (15th February)

LINGFIELD 2.35 

Just the essentials for each race with so many races to cover, I will look to lay (Tinto) my 4th top-rated is Mohareb who has been known to lead before and this 4 year could still be able to improve, Merhoob another possible pacesetter is my 3rd top-rated but maybe Lady Dancelot from stall 2 can get out and take control on the rails as it's my 2nd top-rated but I will be backing KACHY 4/5 who will be settled in behind the leaders ready to pounce as the line looms but I will be very surprised if it's not an odds on favourite but it can bolster a multi bet. 

Kachy 4/5 PU 

Lay bet: Tinto (+1pt) 

Total 0 

LINGFIELD 3.10 

There's a couple of horses I will look to lay, (Jack The Truth + Zac Brown) the bottom-weight Something Lucky is capable of a fast time but usually, in a lower class race than this one, Momtahil is my 2nd top-rated and could be a danger but I will be backing GREEN DOOR 7/2 who is my top rated and I am hoping can lead from start to finish here. 

Green Door 7/2 2nd 

Lay bets: Jack The Truth (-6pts) Zac Brown (+1pt) 

Total -6pts

NEWCASTLE 6.30

A full house of 14 runners in this class 5 race and to be honest it's hard to confidently narrow it down as there's different speed figures on different surfaces, I have 3 that will look to lay (Gamesome + Desert Ace + Airwaves) to make sure of a small profit even my selection doesn't win, Spirit Power is outside my top 3 on just 2019/20 c/d times but had a time from Kempton that would make it top rated but maybe this course doesn't suit it as well but it does have good trainer + jockey stats which may be a pointer to connections expecting a big run here, Big Lachie has a 2018 time that would see it make the frame, Rumshak could set the pace and then become a danger, Mutabaahy has a 7lb claiming apprentice riding which puts it in the mix, my money will be riding on the top-weighted TATHMEEN 5/1 who won last time out and has been found a good chance to follow up. 

Tathmeen 5/1 3rd 

Lay bets: Gameson (+1pt) Desert Ace (+1pt) Airwaves (+1pt) 

Total +2pts

NEWCASTLE 8.00

With 3 known front-running types it should be a true run affair, its hard to find something to lay in this race and just as hard to narrow it down to less than three selections which I will look to dutch, Calin's Lad has an interesting jockey booking but would need to improve timewise to win this race, I KNOW HOW 4/1 is my 3rd top-rated and another with a positive looking jockey booking, LUCKY LODGE 7/1 is my 2nd top-rated and again it's one with a positive looking jockey choice and I have to include my top-rated *ORIENTAL LILLY 11/1 and being a hold-up type that likes a strong pace to aim at this race could be run to suit but I will be backing the 3 horses mentioned but may be tilted in favour of my top rated. 

I Know How 4/1 1st 
Lucky Lodge 7/1 4th
*NR  

Total +3pts


NEWCASTLE 8.30

Another full house of 14 runners and I can only find 2 horses to lay (*Strawberryandcream + Highland Acclaim) Olivia R will be staying on at the finish as will Dream Mount and both may be better over further but they both have very good jockey stats, timewise KOMMANDER KIRKUP 16/1, ZEBULON 9/1, GUNMAKER 3/1, and ONE ONE SEVEN 8/1 are all closely rated so I cannot split them although the latter would be the sole selection if its best time had come at this course instead of at Wolverhampton.

Zebulon 9/1 3rd 
Kommander Kirkup 16/1 5th
One One Seven 10/1 6th 
Gunmaker 3/1 Unp 

Lay bets: High Acclaim (+1pt) 

Total -3pts

Total on Day -4pts