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Friday, 26 June 2020

1:15 Newcastle Racing Tips & Lay Bets (27th June)

NEWCASTLE 1.15 

A nice looking but competitive class 2 race with 14 runners, a few lightly raced sorts who could still improve in time, with a couple of frontrunners it should be a true run affair and one of them is Gunmetal who is the favourite on the early tissue prices but it hasn't run on the AW before so not sure what to expect, the other is Giogiobbo who could do enough to make the frame, I will look to lay (Glen Shiel + Tabdeed) on Thursday I had a horse down as one to dutch and thought at the time it might be better if running in this race and it was withdrawn to run here so I will be backing STAXTON 7/1 who can either track the pace or be held up for a late run and it should hopefully be finishing to good effect here. 

Staxton 7/1 8th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Glen Shiel -4pt, Tabdeed +1pt

Total: -4pts

NEWCASTLE 1.50 

A Group 3 affair with a couple of 3yo at the bottom of the weights but price wise they don't seem to be fancied and I didn't rate them good enough at this stage of their careers, the horse to catch my attention, also my top rated is, MUBAKKER 5/2 who hails front the all-powerful M.Stoute stable and it won nicely on its last run at the beginning of this month and it looks plenty good enough to follow up here. 

Mubakker 5/2 Unp (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

NEWCASTLE 2.25 

I will start off with a couple I want to lay (El Hombre + Magical Spirit) who both look as though a longer distance would suit them better, it's pretty close on my ratings looking at each horse top ratings, Copper Knight, Ornate, Caspian Prince, Lord Riddiford and Cowboy Soldier are all capable of running big races, I will back 2 in this race to cover the angles, firstly OUTRAGE 22/1 (EW) could be one to battle to lead and if getting to the front could prove hard to catch but just in case they go off too fast and tire I will also back ENCORE DOR 16/1 (EW) who usually stays on strongly in the closing stages and with a clear run could get back to winning ways and this one is my top rated but at the prices, I will have to do both of them with an each-way wager. 

Outrage 50/1 Unp (-2pt)
Encore D'Or 16/1 8th (-2pt)

Lay bets: El Hombre +1pt, Magical Spirit +1pt

Total: -2pts 

REDCAR 4.35

I hope the thunderstorms don't affect the going, a very competitive race for a class 6 affair, I will look to lay (Comptons Finale + Swiss Connection) horses that could run well if on a going day are, Bashiba, Longroom, B Fifty Two, Henley, Undercover Brother, Leo Minor and Landing Night, but I will be backing BOUDICA BAY 7/1 but my stakes won't be at full tilt but it will hopefully be staying on strongly at the business end of this race.

Boudica Bay 7/1 1st (+7pts)

Lay bets: Compton Finale +1pt, Swiss Connection +1pt

Total: +9pts

Total on the day: +2pts


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