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Showing posts with label Boudica Bay. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Boudica Bay. Show all posts

Thursday, 12 August 2021

1:50 Nottingham Racing Tips (13th August)

NOTTINGHAM 1.50 

I'm hoping the ground dries out enough for me to have a bet in this race, so it needs to be good or firmer else no bets, I am a bit wary of laying 3yo’s but I think Zoom Star 8/1 may need further to show its best and may finish too late to catch the leaders in this race so it might be worth taking the risk, Glorious Rio 6/1 who has a fast time on the AW at Newcastle but it hasn't any distance form on turf on good or better going it also has poor trainer/jockey stats and is a maiden on turf after 8 attempts although it has made the frame in 3 of those races so maybe worth laying the win part for this horse, Aleef doesn't want the ground to be too quick underfoot to show its best and the trainers 1-30 record at this course puts me off its chances, I will be backing both of the horses that I think might set the pace to the race, HARROGATE 7/2 is 2nd best on this years times and on overall times but there is only 2lbs between it and BOUDICA BAY 10/3 and this one has good trainer/jockey stats and has been in good form lately with 2 wins and a second place on its last 3 runs. 

Harrogate 101 3rd -1pt 
Boudica Bay 10/3 4th -1pt 

Lay bets Zoom Star +1pt, Glorious Rio -6pts

Total -7pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 3.10 

I love AW racing but this is a strange looking race, there is 2, Little Miss Lilly and Cool Spirit, known front running types and a 3rd, Something Lucky, that has been known to lead but maybe only when nothing else wants to set the pace it has a time from 2019 that would make it my 2nd top rated but has been well below that level since then, the top weight Jungle Inthebungle has a time from Newcastle last year that would make it my top rated but its last few runs were quite poor and may need this run for fitness after 235 days since its last race, Signore Piccollo 9/4 has won this year over this course and distance but it was a slow run affair and might be poor value because of that win plus the trainer is 0-15 for the last 2 weeks, my money will be riding on MANUMISSION 16/1 (EW) who usually stays on strongly nearing the finish over this distance and the trainer has had 3 winners in the last 2 weeks so the stable is in decent form and at the price it has to be given as an each way wager. 

Manumission 16/1 5th -2pts 

Total -2pts

NEWMARKET 5.35 

This is a decent looking class 4 race but there is a couple of 3yo’s and 6 lightly raced 4yo’s so my stakes will be kept low, Legende D’art 9/2 is still a maiden after 11 runs, it finished 2nd last time out over this distance on good to firm ground but it was a slow run affair and it might have flattered it and looks as though it will be better when racing over further and I will look to lay it, Jack Ryan also might have been flattered when finishing 2nd last time out in a slow run affair and if a single figure price I would look to lay it, Recall The Show comes out 2nd best on my speed figures but the trainer is 0-6 for the last 2 weeks, i will be backing the 3yo AL SAARLYAH 4/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish and it has good trainer/jockey stats so I'm hoping that's a good pointer. 

Saarlyah 4/1 7th -1pt 

Lay bets Legend D'art +1pt 

Total 0pts 

THIRSK 6.53 

I think Wrenthorpe could set the pace to this race but would need to improve time wise to hold on for the win while Cowboy Soldier will make sure the leader sets a decent early pace but it doesn't make my top 3 ratings but could make the frame if others falter but its closely rated along with Lomu, Secretinthepark, Princess Power and The Bell Conductor so any of them could make the frame, *SOUL SEEKER 9/4 comes out best on my figures now that Fashion Advice is a non-runner and will be staying on at the finish so has to be the selection but i do hate backing favourites but I cannot find anything to take it on with.

*NR

Total on the day -9pts 

Friday, 16 July 2021

2:15 Newmarket Racing Tips (17th July)

NEWMARKET 2.15 

The bottom weight world Of Windhover 9/2 may set the pace to this race but its best time which comes from Kempton on the AW isn't good enough to win this race so I doubt it will hold on for the win, I will look to lay Stone Circle if its a single figure price as I don't think it will like today's going as it seems to do its best when there's some cut in the ground, My Style, Devils Angel, Mount Hogan and Churchill Bay are all closely rated with just 3lbs between them and any of them could make the frame but I will putting my money on THEOTHERSIDE 5/1 who is from the Hannon stable who have a 19% win ratio at this course with their older horses it best time from this year isn't good enough for the win but its best time from Windsor last year would see it winning this race a shade cosily. 

Theotherside 5/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay Stone Cirle +1pt

Total 0pts 

HAYDOCK 6.50 

This handicap looks strange with four 3yo’s being at the top of the handicap and the older horses filling the bottom five positions, more of a problem is the lack of known front running types, Kim Wexter is my 4th top rated with Madreselva 2lbs higher in 3rd top spot but these two 3yo’s could have some improvement still to come, Celerity is having its 104th race here and has never won a race but did record one decent time is one of the 13 races where it made the frame at Lingfield my top rated is BOUDICA BAY 2/1 who can be held up or track the leaders and if the early pace is slow then I hope it will sit prominently and then stay on the stronger. 

Boudica Bay 11/4 1ST +2.75pts 

Total +2.75pts

HAYDOCK 7.20 

At least in this 10 runner race there is a coupe of known front runners in the field, Tweet Tweet and Son And Sannie come out joint top rated using just 2021 times and the latter has good jockey stats but their speed figures are only good enough for joint 3rd top on overall figures, I've got INDIAN SOUNDS 5/1 as my top rated using a time recorded at Bath in 2020 and the jockey has a 15% win ratio on the stables older horses but the top weight MOUNTAIN PEAK 4/1 who is one of the likely pacesetters, is my 2nd top rated overall using a time recorded last year over this course and distance and the trainer does well at this course and will be backing both of them to cover the angles. 

Indian Sounds 7/1 2nd -1pt 
Mountain Peak 4/1 5th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

DONCASTER 8.35 

I hope all 8 runners remain as I am hoping to go with an each way bet on HARROGATE 13/2 who is one of 2 known front running types in the race and if getting to the front it could possibly lead all the way but because the race is for apprentice jockeys my stakes will be kept low, I have found 3 that I will look to lay, *Dandys Max has poor trainer/jockey stats and is still a maiden after 8 races, Lucky Beggar who has poor trainer/jockey stats and may need further to show its best, Mehmo who is still a maiden after 18 races plus it might not like the going if its good to firm ground and may also need a longer distance to shine, I might well have added Powerallied to the list of possible lays but that might be one step too far but as usual they will only be lays if they are a single figure price at the off.

*NR
Harrogate 13/2 6th -1pt 

Lay bets Lucky Beggar +1pt, Mehmo -6pts 

Total on the day -5.25pts

Wednesday, 23 June 2021

1:35 Nottingham Racing Tips (24th June)

NOTTINGHAM 1.35 

A field of 8 but no known front runners amongst them which I hate because it does honestly make things so much harder to analyse, the 3yo bottom weight seems better over a shorter distance but not enough for me to lay it but I will look to lay (Triggered 5/1 + Gowanlad) the former won a slow run affair last time out when it won and may have been flattered by the result and the latter might prefer a slower surface and also has poor trainer/jockey stats, Gilt Edge and Show Me A Sunset also have poor stats but not enough for me to lay them, I will be backing STRONBOWE 9/4 who also won last time out and that was good enough for top rating on this years times and the jockey has a 15% win ratio on the stables older horses but my stake wont be at full strength. 

Stronbowe 9/4 2nd -1pt 

Lay bet: Triggered +1pt, Gowanland +1pt

Total +1pt 

NOTTINGHAM 3.55 

A 13 runner race with 4 known front runners in the field, I have negatives against Harrogate, Haveoneyerself and Bellevarde but not enough to lay any of them as they all have pieces of form that would/could make the them competitive, I will look to lay both (Aleef 13/2 who may need further when racing on good to firm ground plus has poor trainer/jockey stats and Lucky Beggar 15/2 who has poor trainer stats and may also prefer a longer distance) my 2nd top rated is BOUDICA BAY 15/2 who will be trying to stay on at the finish and this race could be run to suit it if the leaders go off too fast and fade nearing the finish but if TRIPLE JAYE 6/1 gets to the front and doesn't get pushed too hard for the lead it could well lead all the way and I will back them both to cover both angles. 

Boudica Bay 15/2 1st +7.5pts 
Triple Jaye 6/1 7th -1pt 

Lay bet: Lucky Beggar +1pt

Total +7.5pts

NEWMARKET 5.20 

Only 6 runners but there is a couple of front running types in the race, Michael's Choice could try to lead and is my 2nd top rated on 2021 times so could go well especially with an easy lead but I do have BENEFIT STREET 9/2 rated higher and will be the horse I back but this one’s trainer also so has the tissue forecast favourite Araifjan 7/2 in the race, my selection is being ridden by a 3lb claiming apprentice but the latter is being ridden by Ryan Moore who has a 29% win ratio on the stables older horses and this one is the other front running type in the race, it would maybe a good idea to have a covering bet on its stablemate. 

Benefit Street 1st 9/2 +4.5pts 

Total +4.5pts

HAMILTON 8.30 

The main problem again with this race is the lack of known front runners in the field, The Gloaming hasn't any distance form on turf and only a slow time on the AW at Wolverhampton, Get Boosting and Show Me Show Me would both need to improve time wise to win this race, James Watt is my 3rd top rated and Economic Cris is my 2nd top rated and they can both be either held up or track the leaders, my top rated is VENTURA FLAME 11/4 but this one is a hold up type but this race might not be run to suit it if the early pace is on the slow side but as it is a 5 furlong dash then I would expect something to change its usual tactics and go from the front but my stake will be kept on the low side because of the lack of known early pace. 

Ventura Flame 11/4 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt

HAMILTON 9.00 

This race isn't as competitive as it first looks and I expect a lot of them will be big prices but these 3 (*Alsvinder 9/2 + Toolmaker 4/1 + Nodsasgoodasawink 7/1) are all forecast to be a single figure price and i will lay them if they are of any value, I expect the pace could be set by LANGHOLM 9/4 who is my 3rd top rated and if allowed an easy lead could steal the race from the front and I guess that's the reason why it is the favourite, FIRMDECISIONS 20/1 is my 2nd top rated and usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish and at the price has to be given as an each way punt, with the apprentice jockeys 5lb claim KILCONQUHAR 12/1 moves to top spot and is usually a hold up type and runs on well nearing the finish so another that has to be an each way wager, I will be backing all 3 of them.

*NR 

Kilconquhar 3rd -1pt
Langholm 9/4 4th -1pt 
Firmdecisions 20/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bets: Toolmaker +1pt, Nodsasgoodasawink +1pt

Total on the day +10pts

Monday, 14 June 2021

1:40 Thirsk Racing Tips (15th June)

THIRSK 1.40 

This isn't a great race for a class 4 affair but there is one known front runner in the shape of The Armed Man but this ones recent times have been slow and its best time looks to be where it got towed along in a fast run affair, with nothing that I can see to lay and not being able to narrow it down to anything less than dutching 4 of the runners, FLAVIUS TITUS 12/1 has a time from last year that would put it top on my figures but hasn't won a race since 2019 but might be worth an each way interest, MUTANAASEQ 10/3 is 2nd top rated but is held by DICK DATCHERY 4/1 on recent form but the former has a faster time from Ripon that makes it my 2nd top rated while the latter is only 4th top on my figures, the 4th selection I'm going to dutch is NORTH WIND 11/1 who likes to track the leaders and this one has the best trainer/jockey stats of my 4 top ratings. 

Mutanaaseq 10/3 2nd -1pt 
North Wind 11/1 3rd -1pt 
Dick Datchery 4/1 4th -1pt 
Flavius Titus 16/1 6th -1pt 

Total -4pts


ASCOT 3.40 

Superstar sprinter BATTAASH 9/4 makes it debut for the year and if fully wound up it should take this race but I am still not convinced this course is its favoured one but it has won here and in a fast time so it should be up to the task and I expect for a 16 runner race it will be a fairly short priced favourite, it is forecast on the tissue prices to be a 15/8 shot which if we knew it was 100% ready for this race would be a steal and it did win first time out last year so I will be backing it at the price and even better now that its drifted a little bit. 

Battaash 9/4 4th -1pt

Total -1pt

THIRSK 5.10 

There is 6 horses in this 12 runner race that have been known to lead before so it should be a fast and furious race, I will look to lay Albegone 9/2 and Debawtry 13/2 if single figure prices who I think will both need a longer distance to show their worth, True Hero has a time when it got a good tow in a fast run affair from 2019 that would make it my 2nd top rated but it hasn't won since 2018 but is a versatile sort when it comes to racing tactics, of the front runners maybe Sambucca Spirit might do best and looks to be drawn well in stall eleven, my pennies will be riding on BOUDICA BAY 9/2 who can track the leaders or be held up but stall 1 might not be helpful but if getting the rub of the green it has a chance to get back to winning ways. 

Boudica Bay 17/2 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

BRIGHTON 5.45 

Only 7 runners and I will be looking to lay both Mahale 7/2 and Top Boy 8/1 as neither seem to like fast good to firm ground and with 2 known front running types in the race they might get outpaced in the early stages and then not be able to get back into contention in this race, Big Time Maybe is one of the front running types and comes out 2nd best on my figures but the other front running type is THEGREYVTRAIN 11/2 who also happens to be my top rated and if this one does get to the front it ought to prove very hard to catch and has good 23% trainer stats and even better 38% jockey stats making me think the connections are expecting it to get back to the winners enclosure in this race. 

Thegreyvtrain 11/2 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

BRIGHTON 6.50 

A 5 runner race but again I have marked down 2 horses to lay as both Sir Oliver 15/8 and Shoot To Kill 7/2 can struggle to stay the sixth furlong in a fast run race and there is 2 known front runners in this race and they are my 2 top rated horses, Doc Sportello is my 2nd top rated and could be the one for the forecast but my money will be riding on the top weight KENDERGARDEN KOP 11/4 who has good trainer and jockey stats and I'm hoping it can lead all the way.

Kendergarden Kop 11/4 2nd -1pt

Total on the day -8pts

Wednesday, 28 April 2021

3:00 Lingfield Racing Tips (29th April)

LINGFIELD 3.00 

Ten runners in this low class 6 race and there is 2 known front running types and one of them Big Time Maybe is just outside my top 4 ratings but could possibly do enough to make the frame as long as its not made to do too much by the other front runner and then fade, King Robert is 4th top and Lady Florence 3rd top rated and that's using times recorded this year so could battle to make the frame, LETHAL BLAST 10/1 is my 2nd top rated but it is the other known front runner in the race so could be very dangerous if allowed an easy lead and it is only 1lb below SOMETHING LUCKY 7/1 who sits in top spot and being so close between the pair of them I will be backing them both to cover the angles. 

Lethal Blast 12/1 1st +12pts (Betfair SP 17.73)
Something Lucky 7/1 4th -1pt

Total +11pts

MUSSELBURGH 3.25 

In reality I should probably leave this race alone as I have only 1 horse with a recorded time and that is BOUDICA BAY 6/1 who can be held up or track the leaders and being at the top of the handicap is taking on inferior animals, the trainer has a 30% win ratio with any aged horse he sends here, it improves slightly to 32% when looking at the stables older, 4yo+, horses, I expect it will be in the 1st half of the betting and anything bigger than 5/1 would in my opinion make it worth taking the risk. 

Boudica Bay 6/1 6th -1pt

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 6.10 

Not the greatest race even for a class 6 affair with just one known front running type although that one is better over shorter but You're Cool could go well if allowed an easy lead but its last win over 6 furlongs was way back in 2015, only half of the 10 runners have a recorded speed figure on my graphs but none of those figures are very high so the race wont take much winning Al Asef and Red Alert my 5th and 4th top rated but their times at another course/surface and the latter from 2019, Suzis Connoisseur sits in 3rd top spot using a 2020 time but seems on a downward spiral due to its age, Sir Rodneyredblood is my 2nd top rated and that is using a time from this year, in top spot is SIR HECTOR 5/2 and to help its cause they have employed a 5lb claiming apprentice who was won twice from the five rides for this stable so I'm hoping that's an omen for today's race.

Sir Hector 10/3 5th -1pt

Total on the day +9pts

Tuesday, 20 April 2021

3:25 Catterick Racing Tips (21st April)

CATTERICK 3.25 

A 9 runner race where Signore Piccolo could lead if nothing else wanted to but this distance can be too far for it so it would try to set a slowish pace but I think Aleef will be the one to make sure there is a good early pace but this one wouldn't want the going to be too fast, Tukhoom a hold up type is my 4th top rated, Zumurud sits in 3rd spot and it likes to track the leaders, I've got 1lb between my top 2 ratings so will be back both MEDICINE JACK 7/2 in 2nd top spot and ROUND THE ISLAND 4/1 who is in top spot. 

Round The Island 11/2 2nd -1pt
Medicine Jack 7/2 3rd -1pt

Total -2pts

CATTERICK 5.05 

This isn't a great apprentice jockeys race, I can see 3 who might set the pace so it should be a true run affair, I had to go back to 2019 for Red Stripes best turf time but hasn't shown much in its latest runs, if HARROGATE 2/1 sets the pace and can repeat its best time from last year it could lead all the way but its run this year was way below that level when it finished 2nd but beaten 4 lengths in a relatively slow run race, I have BOUDICA BAY 4/1 just 1lb below top spot and the trainer has a good record at this course with a 25% win ratio, so I will be backing both of them in this race. 

Harrogate 2/1 2nd -1pt 
Boudica Bay 4/1 4th -1pt

Total -2pts  

LINGFIELD 6.40 

There should be plenty of early pace to this race as all 3 known front runners are in my top four ratings,and times of that top four of the eight runners are a bit higher than the other half, Benefit Street a possible pacesetter comes out 4th top rated and could make the frame Inaam in 3rd top spot is the one that could do best of those coming from off the pace and could even possibly win if they cut each others throats vying for the lead, Alsvinder comes out 2nd best on my figures and is only 2lbs below SWISS PRIDE 5/2 who is my top rated and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch.

Swiss Pride 10/3 1st +3.333pts Betfair SP (-) 

Total 3.333pts

LINGFIELD 7.10 

Only 7 runners here but there's 2 natural front runners and another that can front run if needs be, Super Julius a possible pacesetter is my 4th top rated, Saaheq comes out 3rd best and usually runs on at the finish so could be the one to prosper if they do go off too fast, Hey Ho Lets Go usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on at the finish and comes out 2nd best on my figures but I will be siding with BOOM THE GROOM 7/1 who is the one that's very versatile when it comes to racing tactics and compared to last year this is a drop in class and if on its “a” game the price is generous.

Boom The Groom 10/1 2nd -1pt 

Total on the day +0.333pts

Wednesday, 2 September 2020

12:50 Newcastle Racing Tips & Lay Bets (3rd September)


NEWCASTLE 12.50 

To be honest there's quite a lot of horses that could go really well in this race and it wont take much winning but first a couple of lays (Lincoln Red + Arnold) I wouldn't persuade anyone who decided to leave this race alone to take the gamble but I will be betting in the race, to small stakes, on 3 horses for various reasons, STAR CRACKER 8/1 in stall 5 is one of 4 known front runners in the race its not been in good form lately but its best time from 2019 would be enough to win this race, another that could go well from the front and drawn in stall 13 is ROCKLEY POINT 8/1 then I've got to add GUNMAKER 7/1 into the mix, this one likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly so from stall 7 it should get a good tow into the race. 

Gunmaker 10/1 8th (-1pt)
Star Cracker 14/1 Unp (-1pt)
Rockley Point 12/1 Unp (-1pt)

Lay bets: Lincoln Red +1pt, Arnold +1pt

Total: -1pt

NEWCASTLE 4.45

Six of the 14 runners have been known to lead before and this race might well be won from the front, I would look to lay (Not On Your Nellie) who is a 3yo so i might have got this one wrong but I will stick with my analysis and think this surface might not suit it and on the early tissue prices its forecast to be one of the favourites, Be Proud and Royal Brave could run well in this race and both will be trying to stay on at the finish my money will be riding on BOUDICA BAY 6/1 who is known as a front running type and the trainer has a 21% win rate at this course with their older horses. 

Boudica Bay 8/1 8th (-1pt) 

Lay bet: Not On Your Nellie +1pt

Total: 0pts

CHELMSFORD 8.20 

There's 4 known front runners in this race and will hopefully set it up for a horse coming from off the pace, I cannot find anything of value to lay here, Never Dark, Summit Fever and Global Prospector could battle for the lead and possibly manage enough to make the frame but I will be backing COWBOY SOLDIER 7/1 who is a hold up type and is dropped in class to run in this race.

Cowboy Soldier 8/1 2nd (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

Total on the day: -2pts

Monday, 10 August 2020

1:55 Haydock Racing Tips & Lay Bets (11th August)


HAYDOCK 1.55 

I can see 3 or possibly 4, Queen Of Kalahari, Galloway Hills, Redrosezorro and The Armed Man in this race that might try to set the pace and they may push each other a tad too much in the early exchanges and play into the hands of a hold-up type, Paddy Power has a time from Hamilton in 2019 that would see it make the frame but hasn't shown much so far this year, with the make-up of this race I think the connections have found a good opportunity for ICONIC KNIGHT 6/1 to follow up its win last time out and its best time from Windsor last year is good enough to win this race and the trainer has a good strike rate at this course. 

Iconic Knight 6/1 6th (-1pt)

Total: (-1pt)

HAYDOCK 2.25

If the going is good to firm I will look to lay (Camachess + Dark Silver + Somewhere Secret) and I will have to ducth 3 runners in this race to cover the angles, firstly BASHIBA 33/1 is top-rated on 2019/20 times and has an even faster time from 2018 that would see it win cosily but it hasn't been in good form lately but it is capable of bouncing back to form without prior warning and the jockey does ok for this stable, secondly, PAVER'S PRIDE 4/1 who could set the pace in this race and is 2nd top-rated on 2020 times and only 2lbs off top spot so could go well from the front, thirdly BOUDICA BAY 14/1 is top-rated on just 2020 times so has to be on my list of the potential winner it's not a race to be wading in too heavily but dutching the 3 runners could prove profitable. 

Paver's Pride 4/1 2nd (-1pt)
Bashiba 33/1 5th (-1pt)
Boudica Bay 16/1 7th (-1pt) 

Lay bets: Somewhere Secret (-8.5pts) Betfair SP (11.64), Camachess +1pt, Dark Silver +1pt

Total: -9.5pts 


WOLVERHAMPTON 3.10

What a race and not in a good way, yes something does have to win the race I have some ideas but also I have negatives against most of those with a recorded speed figure plus it wouldn't take much improvement from many of the horses to win this race. I will lay both (Qaaraat + Hard Solution) who both seem better over shorter distances, Watheer has a jockey record of 0-19, Maid Millie has a trainer record of 0-26 and a jockey record of 0-11, Sharrabang, who is one of 3 known frontrunners, has a trainer record of 1-78 and the jockey is0-11, Kinglami the jockey's record is 0-46, in fact, the jockey has never ridden a winner on the AW, I've got *FANTASY JUSTIFIER 25/1 as my 2nd top-rated using a 2019 time but if it can reproduce its best of 2018 it could win cosily and as it it is also the only one without negative trainer/jockey stats it has to be the one I will back.

*NR

Lay bets: Hard Solution +1pt

Total: +1pt

Total on the day: -9.5pts

Friday, 26 June 2020

1:15 Newcastle Racing Tips & Lay Bets (27th June)


NEWCASTLE 1.15 

A nice looking but competitive class 2 race with 14 runners, a few lightly raced sorts who could still improve in time, with a couple of frontrunners it should be a true run affair and one of them is Gunmetal who is the favourite on the early tissue prices but it hasn't run on the AW before so not sure what to expect, the other is Giogiobbo who could do enough to make the frame, I will look to lay (Glen Shiel + Tabdeed) on Thursday I had a horse down as one to dutch and thought at the time it might be better if running in this race and it was withdrawn to run here so I will be backing STAXTON 7/1 who can either track the pace or be held up for a late run and it should hopefully be finishing to good effect here. 

Staxton 7/1 8th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Glen Shiel -4pt, Tabdeed +1pt

Total: -4pts

NEWCASTLE 1.50 

A Group 3 affair with a couple of 3yo at the bottom of the weights but price wise they don't seem to be fancied and I didn't rate them good enough at this stage of their careers, the horse to catch my attention, also my top rated is, MUBAKKER 5/2 who hails front the all-powerful M.Stoute stable and it won nicely on its last run at the beginning of this month and it looks plenty good enough to follow up here. 

Mubakker 5/2 Unp (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

NEWCASTLE 2.25 

I will start off with a couple I want to lay (El Hombre + Magical Spirit) who both look as though a longer distance would suit them better, it's pretty close on my ratings looking at each horse top ratings, Copper Knight, Ornate, Caspian Prince, Lord Riddiford and Cowboy Soldier are all capable of running big races, I will back 2 in this race to cover the angles, firstly OUTRAGE 22/1 (EW) could be one to battle to lead and if getting to the front could prove hard to catch but just in case they go off too fast and tire I will also back ENCORE DOR 16/1 (EW) who usually stays on strongly in the closing stages and with a clear run could get back to winning ways and this one is my top rated but at the prices, I will have to do both of them with an each-way wager. 

Outrage 50/1 Unp (-2pt)
Encore D'Or 16/1 8th (-2pt)

Lay bets: El Hombre +1pt, Magical Spirit +1pt

Total: -2pts 

REDCAR 4.35

I hope the thunderstorms don't affect the going, a very competitive race for a class 6 affair, I will look to lay (Comptons Finale + Swiss Connection) horses that could run well if on a going day are, Bashiba, Longroom, B Fifty Two, Henley, Undercover Brother, Leo Minor and Landing Night, but I will be backing BOUDICA BAY 7/1 but my stakes won't be at full tilt but it will hopefully be staying on strongly at the business end of this race.

Boudica Bay 7/1 1st (+7pts)

Lay bets: Compton Finale +1pt, Swiss Connection +1pt

Total: +9pts

Total on the day: +2pts


Friday, 5 June 2020

1:15 Newmarket Racing Tips & Lay Bets (6th June)


*PLEASE CHECK THE GOING AT NEWMARKET IF ITS NOT GOOD OR FASTER MY SPEED FIGURES ARE IRRELEVANT NEWMARKET (NO BET) 

1.15 NEWMARKET -  

A tricky race to start the Guineas meeting at racings headquarters, I live quite close and find it a soulless place and without binoculars and a good vantage point you end up watching the giant screen on the other side of the track at the finish line, any back to racing, I will look to lay 3 horses, (Leodis Dream who is better on the AW, while both Count D’arcy + Aplomb prefer a slower surface, as there is rain forecast for later today I suggest you don't lay the last two until you see if the going has softened) the bottom 3 in the handicap, Blue De Vega, Royal Birth, and Restless Rose, all have good speed figures but not at class 2 level on turf, Makanah could go well here and has a positive looking jockey booking, my money will be carried by STONE OF DESTINY 6/1 who I will be backing each way, it is a tricky race so my stakes will be kept on the low side. 

Stone Of Destiny 6/1 EW 4th (-2pt)

Lay bets: Leodis Dream +1pt, Count D'arcy +1pt, Aplomb +1pt

Total +1pts

NEWMARKET 1.50

This looks a very competitive Group 3 affair, where I can only see one to lay (Far Above who I think needs further and may get outpaced here) I can see any of Major Jumbo, Arecibo, Judicial, Ornate, Tarboosh, Hareem Queen, Shades Of Blue and Queens Gift, running big races but my money will be riding on MOSS GILL 5/1 who won its last race on the AW and that was maybe to get it fit for a tilt at this race and if I'm right the early 8/1 on offer may be good each-way value. 

Moss Gill 5/1 6th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Far Above - 3.5pts 

Total: - 4.5pts

LINGFIELD 4.55 

A very competitive class 5 sprint, I have found 4 horses to lay (Becker + Soldiers Son + Discreet Hero + Camachess) one that could be on my list of potential winners is Pettochside who has a time from Kempton that would make it my top-rated but it has run over this c/d twice and done virtually nothing which would make it one to lay, so best left alone? EQUIPPED 7/2 is one that I will be backing as it has good trainer/jockey stats, The Lacemaker has 3 c/d wins but the 2 wins in 2019 were in slow run affairs and haven't done much of note timewise since 2018 which puts me off its chances, I will have to back URBAN HIGHWAY 10/1 each way, it did the best c/d time in 2019 although the jockey booking doesn't look a positive move, there is a lack of known frontrunners so stakes will be kept low. 

Equipped 7/2 2nd (-1pt)
Urban Highway 12/1 EW 9th (-2pt)

Lay bets: Becker +1pt, Soldier's Son +1pt, Discreet Hero +1pt, Camachess +1pt

Total: +1pt

NEWCASTLE 5.05

I will highlight the 3 I will be laying first (Global Humor + Somewhere Secret + Comptons Finale, all 3 might prefer a longer trip and the latter pair might also prefer a slower surface) the bottom-weight BOUDICA BAY 12/1 has only run once on the AW but looking at its form on turf it could be a hidden danger and may be worth an each-way interest, LONGROOM 5/2 won its last race on March 5th and if in the same vein of form could win again here, MARIETTA ROBUSTI 12/1 finished 2nd last time out three-quarters of a length behind Longroom and strictly at the weights Longroom should beat it again but the apprentice jockey gave it far too much to do that day and now back in the hands of a professional jockey could do better and another may be worth an each-way wager but again it's a race where my stakes will be lowish.

Boudica Bay 14/1 EW 2nd (+2.5pts)
Longroom 11/4 4th (-1pt)
Marietta Rosti 25/1 EW 6th (-2pts)

Lay bets: Global Humor +1pt, Somewhere Secret +1pt, Comptons +1pt

Total: +2.5pts

Total on the day: 0pts