7:00 Newcastle Racing Tips and Lay Bets (11th July)

NEWCASTLE 7.00 

A strange race for a class 3 affair but there are 3 known frontrunners so it should be a true run race, I can only find 1 horse to lay (Athollblair Boy) who might find itself outclassed as it has never won in this class before, the main strange thing about this race is STAXTON 9/2 and DANZAN 22/1 both are capable of winning this race but they are both from the same stable and have completely different racing tactics, Danzan is known to lead so stall 3 should be fine while its stablemate Staxton is drawn in stall 4 so should get a good tow into the race, on times alone I would side with Staxton but although the usual stable jockey rides it here Danzan’s jockey has a 22% win ratio when riding the stables older horses, I cannot split them so will back them both to cover the angles but theres another horse I have to mention and that is Exchequer 18/1 who is versatile when it comes to racing tactics and could stay on to make the frame but it does have to bounce back to form. 

Danzan 50/1 4th (-1pt)

Staxton 9/2 6th (-1pt)

Lay bet: Atholblair Boy +1pt

Total: -1pt

  

NEWCASTLE 7.30

There's 5 known front-running types in this race so it should be a fast and furious dash, as for lay bets I can only find (The Armed Man) who has been out of form lately and may need further to shine, of the frontrunners, You're Cool and Eeh Bah Gum could do best and could possibly make the frame from stall 1 Primos Comet should get a clear run and then stay on at the end of the race and contest others to make the frame, my money in this race will be riding on TABAAHY 12/1 who can track the leaders or be held up for a late run and this race looks likely to be run to suit its style and the jockey is 1-10 for the stable on the AW tracks and more importantly he is 1-2 on the stables older horses.

Tabaahy 12/1 3rd (-1pt)

Lay bet: The Armed Man +1pt

Total: 0pts

Total on the day: -1pt

1:15 Newcastle Racing Tips & Lay Bets (27th June)

NEWCASTLE 1.15 

A nice looking but competitive class 2 race with 14 runners, a few lightly raced sorts who could still improve in time, with a couple of frontrunners it should be a true run affair and one of them is Gunmetal who is the favourite on the early tissue prices but it hasn't run on the AW before so not sure what to expect, the other is Giogiobbo who could do enough to make the frame, I will look to lay (Glen Shiel + Tabdeed) on Thursday I had a horse down as one to dutch and thought at the time it might be better if running in this race and it was withdrawn to run here so I will be backing STAXTON 7/1 who can either track the pace or be held up for a late run and it should hopefully be finishing to good effect here. 

Staxton 7/1 8th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Glen Shiel -4pt, Tabdeed +1pt

Total: -4pts

NEWCASTLE 1.50 

A Group 3 affair with a couple of 3yo at the bottom of the weights but price wise they don't seem to be fancied and I didn't rate them good enough at this stage of their careers, the horse to catch my attention, also my top rated is, MUBAKKER 5/2 who hails front the all-powerful M.Stoute stable and it won nicely on its last run at the beginning of this month and it looks plenty good enough to follow up here. 

Mubakker 5/2 Unp (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

NEWCASTLE 2.25 

I will start off with a couple I want to lay (El Hombre + Magical Spirit) who both look as though a longer distance would suit them better, it's pretty close on my ratings looking at each horse top ratings, Copper Knight, Ornate, Caspian Prince, Lord Riddiford and Cowboy Soldier are all capable of running big races, I will back 2 in this race to cover the angles, firstly OUTRAGE 22/1 (EW) could be one to battle to lead and if getting to the front could prove hard to catch but just in case they go off too fast and tire I will also back ENCORE DOR 16/1 (EW) who usually stays on strongly in the closing stages and with a clear run could get back to winning ways and this one is my top rated but at the prices, I will have to do both of them with an each-way wager. 

Outrage 50/1 Unp (-2pt)

Encore D'Or 16/1 8th (-2pt)

Lay bets: El Hombre +1pt, Magical Spirit +1pt

Total: -2pts 

REDCAR 4.35

I hope the thunderstorms don't affect the going, a very competitive race for a class 6 affair, I will look to lay (Comptons Finale + Swiss Connection) horses that could run well if on a going day are, Bashiba, Longroom, B Fifty Two, Henley, Undercover Brother, Leo Minor and Landing Night, but I will be backing BOUDICA BAY 7/1 but my stakes won't be at full tilt but it will hopefully be staying on strongly at the business end of this race.

Boudica Bay 7/1 1st (+7pts)

Lay bets: Compton Finale +1pt, Swiss Connection +1pt

Total: +9pts

Total on the day: +2pts

1:45 Haydock Racing Tips & Lay Bets (25th June)

PLEASE READ 

Today they get the going wrong again, neither Hamilton nor Haydock was good and good to soft in places which enforces why you should check the going with your own eyes before having a bet. 

HAYDOCK 1.45 

A very competitive class 2 sprint and i do hope the going is good or firmer, i will look to lay 3 horses that all might struggle to stay the distance if theres a fast early pace (*Camacho Chief + Top Breeze + Celsius) i would lay others but only if the going is good to firm, i will still have to dutch 3 runners in an attempt to find the winner, BURIDAN 10/1 (EW)  is my 3rd top rated but only 3lbs below my top rated and this one might be the one that sets the pace so worth an each way punt at the price, BARBILL 14/1 (EW) is 2nd top rated on my own unique speed figures, this one has good jockey stats with a 29% win rate on the stables older horses but the trainers record is 0-20 at this course with their older horses so not sure what to expect but again maybe worth an each way bet at the price, my top rated is *STAXTON 10/1 (EW) so another worth an each way wager who recorded a good time on its last run at Newmarket so even though it finished 7th it showed its in decent form, so i will be dutching the 3 selections with each way bets. 

*NR

Barbill 14/1 1st EW +16.8pts

Buridan 25/1 EW  6th (-2pts)   

Lay bets: Top Breeze +1pt, Celsius +1pt 

Total 16.8pts

LEICESTER 4.55

If the going is good to firm then I would lay both Burtonwood and Atyaaf, Teepee Time is the likely pacesetter and my 3rd top rated and could do enough to make the frame, Qaaraat is my 2nd top-rated and this one has been running well of late without winning and I'm not sure its one to rely on with any certainty, the one I think is probably the value call is MONARCH MAID 7/1 who will be staying on strongly at the finish and hopefully strong enough to register the win. 

Monarch Maid 9/1 5th (-1pts)

Total -1pt

BATH 5.10

There's plenty of early pace on show in this dash but I think they will be setting the race up for a finishing type, maybe Coronation Cottage will do best of those at the head of affairs and could even stay long enough to make the frame, Essaka is my 2nd top-rated and will be staying on at the finish, I will be backing the topweight INDIAN SOUNDS 5/2 who finished 2nd last time out and this is a drop-in class and has what looks a positive jockey booking and it should be able to go one better here. 

Indian Sounds 5/2 1st (+2.5pts)

Total +2.5pts

LEICESTER 5.55 

I will look to lay (Requinto Dawn) who can find this trip a bit too far for it, there is a niggle in this race with no known frontrunners but I guess something will change its usual tactics and go off from the front, Case Key is my 3rd top-rated and likes to track the leaders, Mutabaahy is my 2nd top-rated but this one is a hold-up type who likes to come with a late rattle but again my money will be riding on the topweight COOL SPIRIT 33/1 (EW) who has had a run this month to hopefully blow the cobwebs away and now dropped in class it can get back to winning ways and I am amazed at the price on offer so an each-way bet at such a big price.

Cool Spirit 50/1 9th (-2pts)

Total -2pts

Total on the day: +16.3pts