A 9 runner race with a couple of known frontrunners, I will look to lay (Big Lachie) who may struggle to stay the trip with a fast early pace, Mutabaahy has a 0-18 trainer stat at this course which puts me off its chances, Archimedes is another with a poor trainer stat of 0-45 but I only look at win stats so they could still make the frame, MR WAGYU 4/1 is one of the frontrunners and if it is good to firm going it could prove hard to catch and if reproducing its best 2018 time it could well hold on but on just 2019/20 times it might get caught and my top rated is DOUBLE UP 7/2 a hold-up type who will be staying on strongly at the finish.
Double Up 11/2 5th (-1pt)
Mr Wagyu 4/1 6th (-1pt)
Lay bets: Big Lachie -5pts
Total: -7pts
DONCASTER 2.00
This class 3 race looks very competitive and I cannot find anything of value to put up as a lay, there are several that could make the frame if running to their best but I will be backing FLAVIUS TITUS 22/1 (EW) who at first glance hasn’t shown much in its two runs this year but its run at Newmarket was in a fast run race and a class higher than today so hopefully the drop in class will see it back to winning ways and at the price on offer I have to give it as an each-way punt.
Flavius Titus 22/1 9th (-2pts)
Total -2pts
MUSSELBURGH 2.45
Not a race to be betting in too heavily especially as there are no known frontrunners in the line-up, I would look to lay (Economic Crisis who looks better in lower class races and Amazing Grazing who may need further to show its best form and this might no be run to suit it) I wouldn’t put anyone off who fancies Desert Ace but its best time was back in 2017 and would need to reproduce that to win if my top-rated runs to its best, I will be backing BASHIBA 9/1 (EW) who will hopefully be a big enough price to back each way.
Bashiba 9/1 3rd* (-2pts)
Lay bets: Economic Crisis +1pt, Amazing Grace +1pt
Total 0pts
LEICESTER 5.15
This is a dire class 6 race and stakes should be kept low if the poor recent form was a guarantee of how bad they would run I could lay quite a few of these but I will be laying 3 runners (Alba Del Sole + Furni Factors + Storm Lightning) three runners ran against each other just 5 days ago, Tilsworth Rose led but faded into 4th, while Teepee Time finished 7th but its usual running style is from the front but missed the kick that day and could go better if leading here but I will be having a few pennies on MONARCH MAID 9/2 who finished 5th in that race but didn't get a clear run when it tried to make its effort and hopefully it can make amends here.
LEICESTER 5.15
This is a dire class 6 race and stakes should be kept low if the poor recent form was a guarantee of how bad they would run I could lay quite a few of these but I will be laying 3 runners (Alba Del Sole + Furni Factors + Storm Lightning) three runners ran against each other just 5 days ago, Tilsworth Rose led but faded into 4th, while Teepee Time finished 7th but its usual running style is from the front but missed the kick that day and could go better if leading here but I will be having a few pennies on MONARCH MAID 9/2 who finished 5th in that race but didn't get a clear run when it tried to make its effort and hopefully it can make amends here.
Monarch Maid 6/1 8th (-1pt)
Lay bets: Alba Del Sol -8.5pts, Furni Factors +1pt, Storm Lightning +1pt
Total -7.5pts
Total on the day: -18.5pts
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