7:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips (8th October)

CHELMSFORD 7.00 

A class 4 race which isn't the best for its grade, the early pace could well be set by ARAMIS GREY 9/2 and being my 3rd top rated using a 2021 rating it could do enough from the front to at least make the frame and could even win the race if others falter, HELLO ME 12/1 comes out in top spot for just this years course and distance ratings and comes out 2nd best on overall figures so has to be worth an each way interest, TOTAL COMMITMENT 20/1 hasn't any form over this course to work with but its best 2021 time from Lingfield would see it win by a whisker and I cannot let it run without some money on it at the price, as all 3 did their best last year I'm not able to split them any further but I also have four other horses that I cannot discount completely the stakes for this race will be kept to a minimum and it might even be a race to leave well alone. 

Aramis Grey 9/2 1st +4.5pts

Total Commintement 20/1 2nd -1pts

Hello Me 12/1 7th -1pt 

Total +2.5pts

CHELMSFORD 7.30 Div I

What a poor race with only the top four in the handicap having run fast enough to register on my figures, Shamshon 9/1 would at some point in the past have eaten this lot alive but this 11yo seems to be on the decline but could possibly make the frame if able to reproduce its best 2021 rating, Babe Alicious 9/4 usually stays on strongly at the finish and with no known front runners in this race it might not be run to suit its racing style and therefore doesn't look value at the price, Mr Fayez 6/1 would have every chance using its best figure from 2021 over this course and distance but its still a maiden after 17 starts which is a bit off-putting, so my money will be riding on FLAVIUS TITUS 9/4 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish but once again the question is, will the race be run to suit it, I cannot answer that question so once again low stakes are called for. 

Flavius Titus 9/4 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 8.00 Div II

Division 2 isn't any better and I will be very surprised if the winner didn't come from the top 5 in the handicap, Pretty Shiftwell 8/1 can find this distance too far for it but once again with no confirmed front running type in the race it might not get to the front soon enough for the win, Amalfi Gem 5/2 and Jumira Bridge 9/1 come out in joint 3rd top position so either could make the frame, Griggy 11/8 has been in tremendous form recently winning its last 2 races and could complete the hat trick here but I expect it to be the short priced favourite and therefore not of value to back so instead I will take a punt and go with backing COMPANY MINX 9/1 (EW) it looks the value call in the race and hoping it will be an each way price as a form of insurance with the apprentice jockey being 1 from 1 for the stable i hope he can make it 2 from 2.

Company Minx 10/1 3rd +1pt

Total +1pt 

Total on the day +2.5pts

1:40 Thirsk Racing Tips (15th June)

THIRSK 1.40 

This isn't a great race for a class 4 affair but there is one known front runner in the shape of The Armed Man but this ones recent times have been slow and its best time looks to be where it got towed along in a fast run affair, with nothing that I can see to lay and not being able to narrow it down to anything less than dutching 4 of the runners, FLAVIUS TITUS 12/1 has a time from last year that would put it top on my figures but hasn't won a race since 2019 but might be worth an each way interest, MUTANAASEQ 10/3 is 2nd top rated but is held by DICK DATCHERY 4/1 on recent form but the former has a faster time from Ripon that makes it my 2nd top rated while the latter is only 4th top on my figures, the 4th selection I'm going to dutch is NORTH WIND 11/1 who likes to track the leaders and this one has the best trainer/jockey stats of my 4 top ratings. 

Mutanaaseq 10/3 2nd -1pt 

North Wind 11/1 3rd -1pt 

Dick Datchery 4/1 4th -1pt 

Flavius Titus 16/1 6th -1pt 

Total -4pts

ASCOT 3.40 

Superstar sprinter BATTAASH 9/4 makes it debut for the year and if fully wound up it should take this race but I am still not convinced this course is its favoured one but it has won here and in a fast time so it should be up to the task and I expect for a 16 runner race it will be a fairly short priced favourite, it is forecast on the tissue prices to be a 15/8 shot which if we knew it was 100% ready for this race would be a steal and it did win first time out last year so I will be backing it at the price and even better now that its drifted a little bit. 

Battaash 9/4 4th -1pt

Total -1pt

THIRSK 5.10 

There is 6 horses in this 12 runner race that have been known to lead before so it should be a fast and furious race, I will look to lay Albegone 9/2 and Debawtry 13/2 if single figure prices who I think will both need a longer distance to show their worth, True Hero has a time when it got a good tow in a fast run affair from 2019 that would make it my 2nd top rated but it hasn't won since 2018 but is a versatile sort when it comes to racing tactics, of the front runners maybe Sambucca Spirit might do best and looks to be drawn well in stall eleven, my pennies will be riding on BOUDICA BAY 9/2 who can track the leaders or be held up but stall 1 might not be helpful but if getting the rub of the green it has a chance to get back to winning ways. 

Boudica Bay 17/2 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

BRIGHTON 5.45 

Only 7 runners and I will be looking to lay both Mahale 7/2 and Top Boy 8/1 as neither seem to like fast good to firm ground and with 2 known front running types in the race they might get outpaced in the early stages and then not be able to get back into contention in this race, Big Time Maybe is one of the front running types and comes out 2nd best on my figures but the other front running type is THEGREYVTRAIN 11/2 who also happens to be my top rated and if this one does get to the front it ought to prove very hard to catch and has good 23% trainer stats and even better 38% jockey stats making me think the connections are expecting it to get back to the winners enclosure in this race. 

Thegreyvtrain 11/2 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

BRIGHTON 6.50 

A 5 runner race but again I have marked down 2 horses to lay as both Sir Oliver 15/8 and Shoot To Kill 7/2 can struggle to stay the sixth furlong in a fast run race and there is 2 known front runners in this race and they are my 2 top rated horses, Doc Sportello is my 2nd top rated and could be the one for the forecast but my money will be riding on the top weight KENDERGARDEN KOP 11/4 who has good trainer and jockey stats and I'm hoping it can lead all the way.

Kendergarden Kop 11/4 2nd -1pt

Total on the day -8pts

12:10 Thirsk Racing Tips (17th April)

THIRSK 12.10 

A competitive class 6 race with 14 runners and only one known front runner in the shape of Carlovian but its best isn't quite good enough to hold on for the win and it doesn't really like really good to firm going, Highland Acclaim 6/1 is a 10yo who is capable of winning from out of the blue with no prior warning so is always a danger to be wary of but at the price it isn't worth doing each way, there is quite a few i could lay but that's depending on the betting, Hijacked could go well if fully wound up after a 172 day break but usually needs a run for fitness so maybe one to lay if a shortish price, Thrilla In Manilla doesn't really like good to firm going, I will be having a small wager on EPIEUS who comes out 3rd top on recent distance times(2020/21) while it best from 2019 would take it to top spot and has good trainer/jockey stats. 

Epieus 12/1 1/2 Point Each Way 7th -2pts

Highjacked 3/1 2 Points Lay +1pt

Mo Henry 9/1 2 Points Lay +2pt

Billy Dylan 6/1 1 Point Lay +1pt

Total +2pts

THIRSK 12.40 Div I

This is a dire race and this division is poor, its got a lot of either lightly raced sorts or others that are well out of form and its impossible to back most of the field, Lucky Beggar and Kolossus have shown some snippets of form, the former comes out 2nd best overall if i use a time from 2019, the latter comes out 3rd best overall and it is one of only two known front running types in the race and could go well from the front but it usually needs at least one run after a break for fitness, I will pin my hopes on the top weighted WAR OF CLANS 14/1 who has won before after a break plus this is a drop in class as it was contesting class four races last year so has to be worth an each way wager. 

War Of Clans 14/1 ½ Point Each Way 7th -2pts 

Foad 6/1 1 Point Lay +1pt

Sheepscar Lad 5/1 2 Points Lay  +2pts 

Chickenfortea 9/1 2 Points Lay +2pts

Kodimoor 9/1 3 Points Lay +3pts

Total +6pts

THIRSK 1.10 Div II 

Class 5 and no better, there's no known pacesetters in this race which always muddies the waters, Ghathanfar won last time out on g/f ground in a slow time so that might have flattered it plus i think it would be better over further, Lady Nectar and Jill Rose may need this run for fitness, it may be too far for Shoot To Kill unless its filled out during the winter, Freedom Flyer could go well if able to reproduce its best time from Wolverhampton to grass, Dick Datchery hasn't shown much in its latest runs but has a time from Ayr last year that makes it my 2nd top rated, I will have a small wager on FLAVIUS TITUS 9/1 who is top rated on a time recorded at Newmarket last year and usually runs on at the finish and has won before after a break from racing. 

Flavius Titus 9/1 1 Point Win -1pt

Ghathanfar 2/1 2 Points Lay +2pts

Lady Nectar 8/1 2 Points Lay -16pts

Shoot To Kill 9/1 3 Points Lay +3pts

Total -12pts

BRIGHTON 4.20 

Only 7 runners but still a competitive little race, I can only see one natural front running sort in the race and being my top rated it should be a true run affair. I will look to lay Wiley Post if of value, the 2 I expect will be the outsiders, Ascot Jungle and Mykindofsunshine, would need to improve to win this race, Shamshon my 4th top rated is forecast to be favourite but hasn't won on turf since 2019, Zulu Zander in 3rd top spot ha an off-putting jockey record of 0-6 while the 2nd top rated Katherine Place has an even worse jockey record with it being 0-19, the top weight and my top rated is HAVEONEYERSELF 3/1 who I think/hope can lead all the way in this race and get back to winning ways. 

Haveoneyerself 3/1 2 Points Win -2pts

Wiley Post 7/2 2 Points Lay +2pts

Total 0pts

BRIGHTON 5.30 

Another seven runner race with 4 of the runners being 4yo’s, Vape and/or Spreadsheet could set the pace but both would need to improve time wise to hold on for the win, Recall has had one run on good ground over this distance but the time was too slow to register on my graphs, the two older horses have bits of form that makes Street Parade my 4th top rated and Real Estate my 2nd top rated, the 4yo Little Brown Trout has a time from Lingfield that makes it my 3rd top rated horse in this race but top rated is the top weight STRONG POWER 2/1 and if able to reproduce its best time from Leicester last year it would see it winning this race a shade cosily. 

Strong Power 2/1 2 Points Win 4th -2pts 

Total -2pts

Total on the day -6pts

1:40 Newbury Racing Tips & Lay Bets (19th September)

NEWBURY 1.40 

A great looking Group 3 race where 5 of the 9 runners have been known to lead before and I think the race will be run from the front, Jabbarockie and Wise Words have pieces of form that could see them make the frame, my 2nd top rated on 2020 times is TIS MARVELLOUS 11/4 and one of the possible front runners and has a time from 2019 that would make it top on my list, the one top rated on 2020 times is EQUILLATERAL 9/4 another possible pacesetter and both could prove hard to catch if getting to the front. 

Tis Marvellous 5/1 2nd (-1pt) 

Equillateral 9/4 3rd (-1pts)

Total: -2pt 

NEWMARKET 5.00 

Its a race where I'm not really sure what will set the early pace and I cannot find anything to lay with any confidence and to top it all off i can only narrow it down to 2 selections, Breanski I 3rd best on my figures and is either held up or races in midfield, FLAVIUS TITUS 8/1 who likes to track the leaders is actually my top rated using a fast run race here on the Rowley Mile course but since then it has shown very little, hence why its not my sole selection the other is MY STYLE 7/2 who will sit in midfield and then try to stay on strongly at the finish. 

My Style 7/2 2nd (-1pt)

Flavius Titus 14/1 4th  (-1pt)

Total: -2pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.15

A few lightly raced sorts in this race which always makes analysis much harder as does having no known front runners in the race, Bayar and Lucky Lodge are my joint 3rd top rated and only 1lb below BAHUTA ACHA 7/1 who has a time from 2019 that would move it to top time and will be the one I'm backing in this race, Jungle Inthebungle has the top time of just 2020 and might be worth an each way punt. 

Bahuta Acha 7/1 1st (Betfair SP 8.28) +7pts

Total: +7pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.15

Of these 10 runners 6 have been known to lead, I will look to lay (Secret Potion + *Wild Flower + Mansfield) there are a couple more I could add to the lay list but I doubt they will be any value to take on, Dark Side Dream is 3rd top and has the plum stall 1 draw for a front runner, the one that could prosper if they go too fast from the off is Shepherds Purse but if YOU'RE COOL 14/1 gets to the front it could prove hard to catch and will be carrying my money and at the price it has be given as an each way wager. 

*NR 

You're Cool 17/2 4th (-2pts)

Lay bets: Mansfield (-4pts) (Betfair SP: 5.56), Secret Potion +1pt

Total: -5pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.45

I'm nearly ashamed to put this horse up again as my selection as it has let me down time and time again recently and yes I did say if it didn't win last time out I would never back it again but once again QAARAAT 4/1 looks to have the best form in a race and should win, I doubt it will be a very big price and might not be value to back but if running to its best of earlier this year before lock down or its best from 2019 it ought to win but maybe its one of those horses that never wins the number of races it should do.

Qaaraat 4/1 5th -1pt 

Total: -1pt

Total on the day:  -3pts

1:30 Doncaster Racing Tips & Lay Bets (29th June)

DONCASTER 1.30 

A 9 runner race with a couple of known frontrunners, I will look to lay (Big Lachie) who may struggle to stay the trip with a fast early pace, Mutabaahy has a 0-18 trainer stat at this course which puts me off its chances, Archimedes is another with a poor trainer stat of 0-45 but I only look at win stats so they could still make the frame, MR WAGYU 4/1 is one of the frontrunners and if it is good to firm going it could prove hard to catch and if reproducing its best 2018 time it could well hold on but on just 2019/20 times it might get caught and my top rated is DOUBLE UP 7/2 a hold-up type who will be staying on strongly at the finish. 

Double Up 11/2 5th (-1pt)

Mr Wagyu 4/1 6th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Big Lachie -5pts 

Total: -7pts

DONCASTER 2.00 

This class 3 race looks very competitive and I cannot find anything of value to put up as a lay, there are several that could make the frame if running to their best but I will be backing FLAVIUS TITUS 22/1 (EW) who at first glance hasn’t shown much in its two runs this year but its run at Newmarket was in a fast run race and a class higher than today so hopefully the drop in class will see it back to winning ways and at the price on offer I have to give it as an each-way punt. 

Flavius Titus 22/1 9th (-2pts)

Total -2pts

MUSSELBURGH 2.45 

Not a race to be betting in too heavily especially as there are no known frontrunners in the line-up, I would look to lay (Economic Crisis who looks better in lower class races and Amazing Grazing who may need further to show its best form and this might no be run to suit it) I wouldn’t put anyone off who fancies Desert Ace but its best time was back in 2017 and would need to reproduce that to win if my top-rated runs to its best, I will be backing BASHIBA 9/1 (EW) who will hopefully be a big enough price to back each way. 

Bashiba 9/1 3rd* (-2pts)

Lay bets: Economic Crisis +1pt, Amazing Grace +1pt

Total 0pts

LEICESTER 5.15 

This is a dire class 6 race and stakes should be kept low if the poor recent form was a guarantee of how bad they would run I could lay quite a few of these but I will be laying 3 runners (Alba Del Sole + Furni Factors + Storm Lightning) three runners ran against each other just 5 days ago, Tilsworth Rose led but faded into 4th, while Teepee Time finished 7th but its usual running style is from the front but missed the kick that day and could go better if leading here but I will be having a few pennies on MONARCH MAID 9/2 who finished 5th in that race but didn't get a clear run when it tried to make its effort and hopefully it can make amends here.

Monarch Maid 6/1 8th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Alba Del Sol -8.5pts, Furni Factors +1pt, Storm Lightning +1pt

Total -7.5pts

Total on the day: -18.5pts