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Friday, 10 July 2020

7:00 Newcastle Racing Tips and Lay Bets (11th July)


NEWCASTLE 7.00 

A strange race for a class 3 affair but there are 3 known frontrunners so it should be a true run race, I can only find 1 horse to lay (Athollblair Boy) who might find itself outclassed as it has never won in this class before, the main strange thing about this race is STAXTON 9/2 and DANZAN 22/1 both are capable of winning this race but they are both from the same stable and have completely different racing tactics, Danzan is known to lead so stall 3 should be fine while its stablemate Staxton is drawn in stall 4 so should get a good tow into the race, on times alone I would side with Staxton but although the usual stable jockey rides it here Danzan’s jockey has a 22% win ratio when riding the stables older horses, I cannot split them so will back them both to cover the angles but theres another horse I have to mention and that is Exchequer 18/1 who is versatile when it comes to racing tactics and could stay on to make the frame but it does have to bounce back to form. 

Danzan 50/1 4th (-1pt)
Staxton 9/2 6th (-1pt)

Lay bet: Atholblair Boy +1pt

Total: -1pt
  

NEWCASTLE 7.30

There's 5 known front-running types in this race so it should be a fast and furious dash, as for lay bets I can only find (The Armed Man) who has been out of form lately and may need further to shine, of the frontrunners, You're Cool and Eeh Bah Gum could do best and could possibly make the frame from stall 1 Primos Comet should get a clear run and then stay on at the end of the race and contest others to make the frame, my money in this race will be riding on TABAAHY 12/1 who can track the leaders or be held up for a late run and this race looks likely to be run to suit its style and the jockey is 1-10 for the stable on the AW tracks and more importantly he is 1-2 on the stables older horses.

Tabaahy 12/1 3rd (-1pt)

Lay bet: The Armed Man +1pt

Total: 0pts

Total on the day: -1pt

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