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Sunday, 30 August 2020

2:40 Southwell Horse Racing Tips (31st August)

SOUTHWELL 2.40 

A very nice looking class 3 dash with 6 of the 13 runners being known as front-running types and maybe they will battle too hard to gain control and play into the hands of a finishing type, I've got several that could make the frame, Zapper Cass who will be trying to stay on at the finish, Samovar who likes to track the leaders, Young Tiger would need to improve a couple of spots to actually win this race, Dark Shot who is versatile when it comes to racing tactics but its using a 2019 time the same with Requited but this one has been known to lead before, another 2 that could try to set the pace is Moveonup and Red Stripes. I will be backing two horses in this race, firstly DOC SPORTELLO 11/2 who has good jockey stats making me think they are expecting a big run but that also applies to my 2nd selection AIRGLOW who could get a good tow into the race from stall 10 but has a time from 2019 that would make it my top rated but only by 1lb so virtually nothing between them and my 2nd top rated one has the better draw and I might tilt my bets in favour of this one. 

Doc Sportello 11/2 5th (-1pt)
Airglow 15/2 9th (-1pt)

Total -2pts

SOUTHWELL 3.50

Another dash and again with 6 horses that have been known to lead also again I think it will play into a horse coming from off the pace, I will look to lay both (Lydiate Lady + Melgate Magic) who have both in poor form recently and are worth laying as long as they are in single figure prices, the 2018 Archimedes would probably be able to lead all the way here but hasn't been at that level since that year, the same applies to Robot Boy but has been a little worse recently, the top weight Honey Gg is another that could go well from the front if able to reproduce its best 2019 time, I will be hoping ARZAAK 5/1 can stay on the stronger at the finish and the jockey having his first ride for the stable looks like a positive booking.

Arzaak 10/1 2nd (-1pt)

Total -1pt

Total on the day: -3pts

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