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Monday, 2 November 2020

2:33 Southwell Racing Tips & Lay Bets (3rd November)

SOUTHWELL 2.33 

A nice looking 12 runner class 6 affair with 2 known front running types,I will look to lay (Nordic Fire 9/1+ *Vape 4/1) if they are in single figure prices, if they drift I would then back them to show a profit whatever the result , Kraka is one of the probable pacesetters and my 4th top rated overall but 2nd top on just 2020 c/d times, Pearl Of Qatar is top rated on just 2020 times but slips to 3rd best overall, Requited sits in 2nd top spot using a 2019 time and hasn't run over this c/d this year but top spot belongs to YOUNG JOHN 11/1 (EW) who is the other known front runner and if getting to the front then it could prove hard to catch and will be carrying my money as an each way wager. 

Young John 11/1 5th (-2pts) 

Lay bet: Nordic Fire +1pt

Total: -1pt



SOUTHWELL 3.03 Div I

I can find a few I could lay in this race but some are of no value but if in single figure prices i would look to lay (Thegreyvtrain 7/2 + Ustath 8/1) as I don't think this surface suits them, Kyllachy Warrior is my 3rd top rated with Amazing Amaya sitting in 2nd top spot but I'm hoping in this dash that HONEY GG 10/1 (EW) can get away smartly and if getting to the front it ought to prove hard to beat if its reproduces its best time from last year and at the price i have to give it as an each way punt. 

Honey GG 10/1 4th (-2pts)

Lay bets: Ustath -3.2pts (Betfair 5), Thegreyvtrain +1pt

Total: -4.2pts 

SOUTHWELL 3.33 Div II

This is by far the better division and I will look to lay (Lord Of The Glen 7/4) who according to the tissue prices will be the favourite but I don't think this surface is one that shows it at its best so could be of value to lay, there's two known front runners in this division and they are also my top 2 ratings, ARCAVALLO 9/2 is 2nd top rated but only 2lbs below ARCHIMEDES 9/1 and either of them could win this race and if not going off too fast could have the race between themselves and I will be backing them both. 

Arcavallo 9/2 3rd (-1pt)
Archimedes 9/1 7th (-1pt)

Lay bet: -4.5pts (Betfair 5.95) 

Total: -6.5pts

NEWCASTLE 8.15 

To tell the truth this race is poor and wont take much winning and with some 3yo’s and some lightly raced sorts its not a race to be betting too heavily in, Northern Charm is versatile with its racing tactics and is my 3rd top rated, Phantasmal comes out 2nd top rated and is usually held up for a late run and could make the frame meanwhile STAR CRACKER 16/1 (EW) has the same time as my 2nd top rated beast using just 2020 times but has a time from 2019 that is a few spots better and it could lead all the way here and worth an each way bet at the odds.

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