A 12 runner class 4 race with just one known front running type amongst them, there's 5 horses in the race, Minhaaj, Little Boy Blue, Eye Of The Water, Zulu Zander and Sound Of Iona, who can struggle to stay the trip of there's a fast early pace, Paddy Power would be in the mix being 2nd top overall if using its best time from Newcastle last year but has been in poor form lately and may be better over further, Chookie Dunedin is my 2nd top rated on just 2020 c/d times, STEELRIVER 15/2 who has good trainer stats at this course is top rated on just 2020 c/d times which is always a positive and it comes out 3rd best overall, GLOBAL PROSPECTOR 8/1 is my top rated overall plus its the only known front running type in the race, it would probably have been my sole selection if it wasn't for the jockeys 1-26 record when riding for this stable, so I will back both to cover the angles.
Steelriver 16/1 8th (-1pt)
Global Prospector 10/1 Unp (-1pt)
Total -2pts
WOLVERHAMPTON 6.50 Div I
Half of the field in this dash are known to like to lead so they might push each other too hard in the early stages and pay the price nearing the finish, the bottom weight You're Cool my 3rd top rated could do best of the pacesetters as it is top rated on just 2020 c/d times, TATHMEEN 9/2 is top is top rated on both c/d times and overall figures both from last year, the apprentice jockey booking looks a positive as he has a 20% win rate for the stable, REASSURE 7/1 is 2nd top rated overall using a Newcastle time from 2019 but this 3yo is open to improvement, it has good trainer, 31% jockey 23% win ratios but with a top class trainer. (W.Haggas) the price might reflect that point but I will be backing them both.
Tathmeen 9/2 2nd (-1pt)
Reassure 17/2 8th (-1pt)
Total: -2pts
WOLVERHAMPTON 7.20 Div II
In this 2nd division there is only one natural front runner, Fashion Advice and it has the plum stall 1 draw but for this 3yo this is its 1st run on an AW track so could be dangerous, another 3yo Heer We Go Again could also get into the mix, Duke Of Firenze is 3rd top overall and there is only 3lbs between my top 3 ratings on overall figures, the bottom weight Dynamo Walt has been in poor form lately but did record a good time this year before the lockdown but the jockeys 1-26 record puts me off but I could back this one as a covering bet just in case it bounces back to form without warning, my selection MUTABAAHY 4/1 should be staying on strongly at the finish and again has a good jockey booking.
Mutabaahy 9/2 6th (-1pt)
Total: -1pt
Total on the day: -5pts
No comments:
Post a Comment