12:50 Southwell Racing Tips (20th January)

SOUTHWELL 12.50 

This is one of those lowly stakes races where the highest official handicap rating fifty and in this race there's only one horse rated that highly and that is USTATH 11/2 who hasn't shown anything of note recently but as its the only known front running type in this race it could bounce back to form so has to carry some of my money just in case it leads all the way and is my top rated but in such a poor race my stakes will be kept low. I don't think its a race where its advisable to be laying anything but i will be backing MUTABAAHY 10/1 in this race as it hasn't any course and distance form to its name but is my top rated using a time it recorded in 2021 at Wolverhampton, so I will covering the angle of front running type and those with ratings from different courses by backing them both. 

Ustath 11/2 2nd -1pt 

Mutabaahy 10/1 6th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

NEWCASTLE 5.45 

Most of the 9 runners have the same racing style of tracking the leaders but none of the runners are natural front running types which always makes analysis difficult, I can also see a trio of horses, Bellagio Man, Maritimes Rules and Motawaazy who race as though they would do better over further so unless one of them decides to set a decent early gallop the race might not be run to suit them. Primos Comet has a fast time to its name but its last win on an AW track was back in 2019, Modular Magic is top rated using just course and distance ratings and might be a short price because of finishing 2nd last time out in a slow run affair. Bert Kibbler could go well here and won its last 2 races but they were over a year ago so not sure if it will be fit enough to do itself justice but if fully fit it could at least make the frame. My money will be riding on DUSKY PRINCE 9/1 who finished 3rd last time out and with the apprentice jockeys 5lb claim becomes my top rated so could get back to winning ways here. 

Dusky Prince 10/1 2nd -1pt

Total -1pt

NEWCASTLE 6.45 

Another race with 9 runners but at at least there is 1 known front running type in this race. Delta Romeo hasn't any form in England to work with so not sure exactly what to expect but I think it might be a better prospect when racing over a longer distance but I'm not confident enough to put it forward as a lay . The early pace could be set by Gowanbuster but has only slow times to its name since 2021 but did finish 2nd last time out so is in good form. I think any bet in this race will be risky but maybe a small punt on ORIENTAL LILLY 10/1 (EW) might pay dividends but also leaving the race alone wouldn't be a bad decision but if a double figure price it might be worth an each way punt. 

Oriental Lilly 12/1 5th -2pts 

Total -2pts

Total on the day -5pts

1:00 Bath Racing Tips (18th October)

BATH 1.00 

A field of 16 with 6 of them being known as front running types, there looks to be four or five that appear to have virtually no chance of leading but I expect them to be big prices and maybe the only value call for a lay bet is Bama Lama who I don't think will like the good to firm ground, as long as the rain stays away which is forecast for the day, as for what I will be backing firstly I will be putting some of my stake on CORONATION COTTAGE 7/1 who is one of the possible pacesetters and could prove hard to catch if getting its head in front and if it can reproduce its best 2020 time recorded over this course and distance it would hang on for the win but its best so far this year has been a few spots below that level which means I will also be backing GLAMOROUS FORCE 11/1 who is my top rated on just this years times and 2nd top rated on my overall figures so hoping i have covered the angles with these two. 

Glamorous Force 11/1 1st +11pts

Coronation Cottage 7/1 7th -1pt 

Lay bets: (none) Bama Lama not priced in single figure odds

Total +10pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30 

Another race where I will be going with two selections to cover the angles, firstly I will be looking to lay Thegreatestshowman 5/1 if its a single figure price which I think it should be and on the tissue prices it is forecast to be the 3/1 favourite and it will certainly be poor value at that price and I would lay it, I think the early pace will be set by HYDE PARK BARRACKS 9/1 (EW) and it is my 2nd top rated using a time it recorded here earlier this year and a repeat of that time would make it hard to catch for most of these, but there are two or three that could be hidden dangers so I'm just hoping they don't become dangerous in this race, I do have MUTABAAHY 12/1 (EW) rated 3lbs higher from its time when winning over this course and distance earlier this year and does like a fast pace to aim at as this distance can be a bit too short for it if the early pace isn't fast enough but it think the 3yo Follow Your Heart may make sure nothing gets an easy lead so this race could be ideal for it and I will be backing them both each way at the prices available.

Hyde Park Barracks 9/1 7th -2pt 

Mutabaahy 12/1 6th -2pt 

Lay bets: Thegreatestshowman -4.5pts 

Total  -8.5pts

Total on the day +1.5pts

1:50 Catterick Racing Tips (21st July)

CATTERICK 1.50 

A strange race, the bottom 4 in the handicap are all out of form on recent runs but I expect they will all be double figure prices, I think the next 2 in the handicap, Qaaraat and Alex Gracie can both can struggle to stay the sixth furlong if there's a fast early pace and I would also add Alsvinder to the list of those that may not stay the distance, I expect Gullane One to set a fast early pace as that's its only hope of winning but I still doubt it can do so but never say never, Redzone has won over this distance and this course and distance but they were all relatively slow run affairs and maybe another to add to my lay list, Lincoln Gamble is my 3rd top rated and usually races in midfield before trying to stay on at the finish, Jungle Inthebungle comes out 2nd top using a time from Pontefract last year but its last win was way back in 2018 but may need this run for fitness having been of the courses for over 200 days, if *STRONSAY 9/1 runs here after running at Ayr on Monday this will be the one carrying my money, on Monday it was close to the front but the pace was a slow one and then it got outpaced when the other leaders kicked and then stayed on again nearing the finish but I think this race will have a faster early pace which will suit it better. 

*NR

CATTERICK 3.20 

There is only 6 runners but 4 of them have been known to lead, I can only see Denzils Laughing 9/1 as one to lay as its best times even when winning were on the slow side of things and could therefore get outpaced in this race and could be found easier chances in the future, Militia and Machree are possible pacesetters and the latter is my 3rd top rated, MUTABAAHY 7/2 is my top rated using just 2021 times and has a time 3lbs higher from 2020 but that would only make it my 2nd top rated on overall figures and could be the one to prosper if the leaders go off too fast and fade but of the front runners I've got DARK SHOT 11/4 in top spot using a time it recorded at Leicester last year and I will be backing them both to cover the angles.

Dark Shot 11/4 2nd -1pt 

Mutabaahy 13/2 5th -1pt 

Lay bet Denzil's Laughing +1pt

Total on the day -1pt

6:15 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (11th January)

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.15 

JACK THE TRUTH 8/1 hasn't any recent c/d form to its name, the trainer is 0-9 with its older horses here but the jockey has an overall strike-rate of 17% but is 2-3 on older horses but time wise it needs to improve. 

LIHOU 4/1 has only had 1 run over this c/d but it recorded a relatively slow time the trainer/jockey stats are average, it has been known to set the pace before but maybe it won't be quick enough to do so in this race and might be worth laying. 

SECOND COLLECTION 8/1 hasn't any c/d form to its name and everything points to it wanting a longer trip to show its best and again just average trainer/jockey stats, it has won twice from sixteen AW runs but it looks a lay if in a single figure price at the time of the race. 

MUTABAAHY 8/1 likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish, it has good jockey stats with average trainer stats, has won 5 and been placed twice in eight previous c/d races and is top rated on recent (2020/21) times and joint 2nd top overall. 

VERNE CASTLE 3/1 is the one i think can set the pace in this race and in a small field and the make-up of this race stall 8 might not be too bad, it has any recent c/d runs but could do enough to make the frame although its only 4th top rated overall and isn't an each way price, it has average trainer stats but the jockey is 0-6 for the stable so I'm not sure what to expect. 

THE DALEY EXPRESS 9/1 has average trainer/jockey stats but does have a time recorded in 2019 that would make it joint 2nd top rate overall so it could make the frame and its c/d record is 1 win, 3 places from 12 runs.

DRAKEFELL 5/1 has a time from this year that makes it 3rd top on recent times but it has a time from 2019 that makes it my top rated, it has 2 wins no places from 4 c/d runs, so must be considered as the probable winner.

RED ALERT 50/1 has only ran once over this c/d to its name which resulted in a slow time, it has average trainer/jockey stats and I think it will be a better prospect when raced over further. 

SUMMARY: There is a couple I could lay but I expect them to be outsiders in the betting, Verne Castle could lead and maybe do enough to make the frame, DRAKEFELL 5/1 is my top rated and would be my sole selection if it wasn't for that time being recorded in 2019 so I will also be backing the 2020 top rated horse MUTABAAHY 8/1 and that time is good enough for 2nd top rated overall, it also has good jockey stats making me think connections are expecting a big run.

Mutabaahy 9/1 6th (-1pt)

Drakefell 5/1 7th (-1pt)

Total on the day -2pts

5:50 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (2nd November)

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.50 

A 12 runner class 4 race with just one known front running type amongst them, there's 5 horses in the race, Minhaaj, Little Boy Blue, Eye Of The Water, Zulu Zander and Sound Of Iona, who can struggle to stay the trip of there's a fast early pace, Paddy Power would be in the mix being 2nd top overall if using its best time from Newcastle last year but has been in poor form lately and may be better over further, Chookie Dunedin is my 2nd top rated on just 2020 c/d times, STEELRIVER 15/2 who has good trainer stats at this course is top rated on just 2020 c/d times which is always a positive and it comes out 3rd best overall, GLOBAL PROSPECTOR 8/1 is my top rated overall plus its the only known front running type in the race, it would probably have been my sole selection if it wasn't for the jockeys 1-26 record when riding for this stable, so I will back both to cover the angles. 

Steelriver 16/1 8th (-1pt)

Global Prospector 10/1 Unp (-1pt)

Total -2pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.50 Div I

Half of the field in this dash are known to like to lead so they might push each other too hard in the early stages and pay the price nearing the finish, the bottom weight You're Cool my 3rd top rated could do best of the pacesetters as it is top rated on just 2020 c/d times, TATHMEEN 9/2 is top is top rated on both c/d times and overall figures both from last year, the apprentice jockey booking looks a positive as he has a 20% win rate for the stable, REASSURE 7/1 is 2nd top rated overall using a Newcastle time from 2019 but this 3yo is open to improvement, it has good trainer, 31% jockey 23% win ratios but with a top class trainer. (W.Haggas) the price might reflect that point but I will be backing them both. 

Tathmeen 9/2 2nd (-1pt)

Reassure 17/2 8th (-1pt)

Total: -2pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.20 Div II

In this 2nd division there is only one natural front runner, Fashion Advice and it has the plum stall 1 draw but for this 3yo this is its 1st run on an AW track so could be dangerous, another 3yo Heer We Go Again could also get into the mix, Duke Of Firenze is 3rd top overall and there is only 3lbs between my top 3 ratings on overall figures, the bottom weight Dynamo Walt has been in poor form lately but did record a good time this year before the lockdown but the jockeys 1-26 record puts me off but I could back this one as a covering bet just in case it bounces back to form without warning, my selection MUTABAAHY 4/1 should be staying on strongly at the finish and again has a good jockey booking.

Mutabaahy 9/2 6th (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

Total on the day: -5pts

2:50 Pontefract Racing Tips (14th August)

PONTEFRACT 2.50 

CHECK THE GOING BEFORE BETTING. 

In all reality, I should be leaving this race alone as there is too little form for me to be confident with any selection. However, there's one horse that stands out on those that I can analyse properly and it looks a stupidly big price on the tissue prices so I will be having a small and I do mean small, each way punt on *LADY OF ARAN at 33/1 (EW). 


*NR


CHESTER 3.40 

There's a few with limited form to work with which reduces the size of any stakes, the early pace could well be set by Jack The Truth and it could easily do enough from the front to hold on for a place and if allowed a soft lead it could possibly pinch the race but I will stick my pennies on FOX HILL 9/1 (EW) who will likely track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish and being drawn next door to the probable frontrunner it should get a good tow into the race and worth an each-way bet at the price. 

Fox Hill 16/1 6th (-2pt)

Total -2pts 

CHESTER 4.10

This 2nd division has a few less unexposed sorts but its still a tricky looking race, there's 3 that have been known to lead before and maybe Alsvinder can do best of those racing to the fore and its best time from 2018 would make it my 2nd top-rated but its form since then hasn't been up to that level but I will be backing MUTBAAHY 4/1 who will be trying to run on strongly at the business end of the race and if reproducing its best time from Catterick this year would see it back in the winner's enclosure. 

Mutbaahy 11/2 6th 

Total -1pt


CHEPSTOW 7.05

There's only 5 runners and 2 of them like to set the pace, looking at the tissue prices I am surprised Zapper Cass is forecast to be the favourite as this distance sometimes looks to be on the short side for it, Secretfact is top-rated by 2lb’s using its 2019 time but hasn't been in good form so far this year and I am thinking that PINK FLAMINGO 2/1 could lead here and if doing so it could be very hard to catch. 

Pink Flamingo 85/40 4th (-1pt)

Total -1pt

LINGFIELD 7.55

Will all 16 runners take part? I can see 3 that have been known to lead so it should be a true run race, looking at the lightly raced types in the race none seem fancied according to the tissue prices which leaves me with my top 4 ratings, WILD FLOWER 7/1 is 4th top rated the jockey is making their debut for the stable but the stable is 0-14 at this course, TILSWORTH ROSE 13/2 is in 3rd top spot and is one of the frontrunners it could go very well from the front BUT again its a jockey making their debut for the stable but the trainer's record is poor at 0-26, the topweight KATHERINE PLACE 5/1 is 2nd top rated in this instance the jockey is 0-2 for the stable but the trainer's record is 0-12 here at Lingfield, my top rated is DARK SIDE DREAM 10/1 and should be my selection, the trainer is 1-12 at this track but the jockey is 0-9, so as you can see my top 4 all have negatives against their names, I will probably go with dutching all 4 of them but slightly in favour of my top rating. 

Tilsworth Rose 13/2 1st Betfair SP (9.69) + EX £40.50
Katherine Place 5/1 2nd 
Wild Flower 15/2 5th 
Dark Side Dream 20/1 7th 

Total: +3.5pts 

Total on the day: -.5pts

3:55 Pontefract Racing Tips & Lay Bets (7th July)

PONTEFRACT 3.55 

The type of sprint that I hate as there are no known frontrunners in the race, it makes analyst very hard and I try to go through every scenario imagining each horse in turn leading. I will look to lay (*True Mason 1point + Shawaamekh 1point) I am not sure Walhaan will like the going, if it is good to firm, and may need further so it ought to be on my lay list but this 4-year-old could still improve also Golden Apollo won't be at happy if it is fast going and should also be on my list of lays in this race, George Bowen is my 3rd top-rated but has been in poor form lately, Watchable is my 2nd top-rated on 2019/20 times but does have a time from 2018 that would make it my top-rated by 1lb, but was nowhere near that level last year so my money will be riding on SUMMERGHAND 6/4 1point win who recorded its best time this year at Newmarket and has finished 2nd on its last 2 runs and has been found a good opportunity to go one better here. 

*NE

Summerghand 5/4 1st (+1.5pts) 

Lay bets: Shawaamekh +1pt

Total: +2.5pts  

PONTEFRACT 4.30

There's a few to lay here, (Mutanaaseq 2points + Jewel Maker 2points + Sheepscar Lad 2points + Henley 2points + Avenue Of Stars 1point) as for finding the winner I will be backing *MR WAGYU 5/1 who is the only known frontrunner in the race, it has the 2nd best speed figure for 2020 and the 2nd top figure overall if using its best 2018 time so could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead and it could steal the race from the front, MUTABAAHY 8/1 has poor jockey/trainer stats but has the fastest time for 2020, EPEIUS 7/1 has an interesting jockey booking and its time from 2019 would make it my top-rated, ROUND THE ISLAND 9/1 has the fastest time overall if using just 2019/20 times and the trainer does well at this course, I will go with dutching the 4 selections with 1point win on each of them. 

*NR

Round The Island 9/1 2nd (-1pt)

Epeius 7/1 5th  (-1pt)

Mutabaahy  10/1 6th (1pt) 

Lay bets: Avenue Of Stars -3.5pts, Muntaaseq +2pts, Jewel Maker +2pts, Sheepscar Lad +2pts, Henley +2pt

Total: +2.5pts

LEICESTER 8.15

This isn't a race I would normally bother with but there is only one known front runner in TEEPEE TIME 5/1 and it was beaten, after leading, by ALBA DEL SOLE 4/1 and on the revised weights for this race it should be much closer than the 2 lengths in their last race and I think the race should be at the mercy of these two so I will back them both.

Alba Del Sol 4/1 1st (+4pts)

Teepee Time 5/1 4th (-1pt)

Total: +3pts 

Total on the day: +8pts