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Monday, 8 March 2021

4:40 Southwell Racing Tips (9th March)


SOUTHWELL 4.40 

The surface at Southwell is going to be replaced with Tapeta in the spring/summer and how slow it is running at the moment the sooner the better, in fact I am very dubious about betting here but hopefully I've found a nugget in this race. Only eight runners with half of them being known to lead before so it should be a true run affair, Passional 13/8 will I think be the favourite, its two previous runs over this course and distance have only produced slow times but that might be down to the surface so it cannot be discounted, A Go Go 7/1 has a fast time from Lingfield and likes to lead but once again its two runs over this course and distance have resulted in a slow time but i think this surface doesn't really suit it, Spirit Power 5/1 from stall two could lead and gain control of the rails and could make the frame but isn't an each way price, the trainer Anthony Brittain has two entrants in this race and looking at the tissue prices it looks as though Qaaraat 7/2 will be the shorter priced horse of his pair but I will be siding with his other runner DRAKEFELL 9/2 who likes to track the leaders and then run on at the finish and i think the 5lb claiming could swing things in this ones favour. 

Drakefell 9/2 3rd -1pt

Total -1pt

SOUTHWELL 7.40 

Only one natural front running type in JAZZ LEGEND 8/1 and is weighted to finish in a dead-heat with Owhatanight who beat it by three quarters of a length last time out but there is another 3lbs between them here and the latter is drawn widest of all so will need a perfect run to catch the front runner so has to be my selection, Dirchill 11/2 has been known to lead if nothing else wants to but that wont happen here although it is well housed in stall one but needs to improve time wise to win this race, I think Everkyllachey 5/1 might be better over shorter and Secret Treaties may need further but the rest of the runners, Dylans Lad 6/1, Moveonup 14/1 and Paddy Power 18/1 all look capable of running a good race and could be battling for the places but I am hoping my selection can lead all the way here and this time hold on for the win.

Jazz Legend 9/1 8th -1pt 

Total on the day -2pts

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