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Thursday, 15 April 2021

1:40 Newbury Racing Tips (16th April)

NEWBURY 1.40 

A class 2 handicap dash with just eight runners but thankfully there is a couple of known front runners in the race, the bottom three in the handicap might struggle here as I think they will all need further to show their best, Mulzim also might want further but I'm not completely sure about that but I wouldn't back it but also i dare not lay it, Garrus has only had one run since 2019 but did win that year on its only run of the year so being off for a while isn't a negative for this one but the jockeys 1-16 record for the stable puts me off, Came From The Dark recorded a fast time when finishing third last time out at Musselburgh but the jockeys 0-12 record for the stable is putting me off this ones chances but these things do get broken, Tis Marvellous is one of the possible front runners but the trainer is 0-28 at this course which doesn't inspire confidence but the jockey booking looks good but his record on this stables older horse is 0-2 so i am not sure and it ran poorly last time out, I will be taking a calculated risk by siding with the other one which I think will set the pace and BLUE DE VEGA 12/1 (EW) could lead all the way here and looks the value call in the race especially as its an each way price. 

Blue De Vega 40/1 EW 8th -2pts 

Total -2pts 

BATH 5.40 

A Listed class dash with fourteen runners with bottom six all being three year olds taking on their elders and it is unusual for a three year old to beat it’s elders this early in the season but there is always the exception although I am hoping that doesn’t happen here, Rosie Power and Wings Of A Dove could try to lead but Machree is the one I think might set the pace to the race as it has got some decent times and its best from last year would be good enough for it to make the frame but its first run this year was very poor, Wise Words is in 3rd top spot and only 1lb away from 2nd top spot using a 2019 speed figure, Texting is my 4th top rated and that is using a 2020 time so could be competitive, the one that comes out top on recent times and on my overall figures is ROSE HIP 18/1 who will be making her debut for this year but it has won before after a break so that might not be an issue and the jockey is 1-5 on the stables older horses and once again as the price is big enough it has to be an each way wager. 

Rose Hip 18/1 Unp -2pt

Total on the day -4pts  

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