2:50 Newcastle Racing Tips (2nd April)

NEWCASTLE 2.50 

A 9 runner class 4 race with 2 known front runners and i think this race could well be won from the front, I will look to lay (Treble Treble 7/1 +Spanish Angel) if they are in single figure prices, I've only got 1lb between my 3rd to 5th top rated and Devils Angel and Dandys Gold who are joint 3rd top rated could fight it out to make the frame, SPARTAN FIGHTER 18/1 who has won twice over this c/d is my top rated and will most likely attempt to lead all the way but its last 4 runs haven't been great but its win in the race before that would see it winning a little cosily but just in case it runs poorly again I will also have to back GLOBAL WARNING 2/1 who is the other known front running type and has won both of its races over this c/d so I think these 2 could have the race between them from the off. Treble Treble 7/1 2 Points lay...Spartan Fighter 18/1 ½ Point Each Way...Global Warning 2/1 1 Point win 

Global Warning 2/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bets Treble Treble -14pts, Spanish Angel +1pt

Total - 14pts

LINGFIELD 3.10 

A nice looking class 2 conditions race, I will start as usual with a lay, (Harrys Bar 4/1) who has times that are relatively slow for this class but it does usually run a decent race and could maybe make the frame and I am only looking to lay the win part, time wise its fairly close between my top 4 ratings, Aberama Gold who has quite poor trainer/jockey stats and stall 1 maybe not ideal in the make up of this race, Lampangbut this one might just get its high speed rating by getting towed song in a fast run race but hasn't won for awhile, Brian The Snail very often runs well and will be trying to stay on at the business end of the race but i will be putting my faith on HIGHLAND DRESS 11/1 who is drawn in stall 2 and being the only known front runner it could gain control of the rails until in the home straight and then kick on for the win and the one has got trainer stats at this course and the jockey has a 20% win ratio on this stables older horses. Harry’s Bar 4/1 1 Point lay...Highland Dress 11/1 1 Point Each Way 

Highland Dress 11/1 8th -2pts 

Lay bets Harry's Bar +1pt 

Total -1pt

NEWCASTLE 5.30 

I hope all 8 runners take part in case I find an each way bet, I will lay (Erich Bloch) if a single figure price as it might need this run for fitness, in mot sure this surface really suits it and it might even need a longer trip, the early pace may be set by Kind Review and/or Another Angel, the former needs to improve time wise whilst the latter maybe outclassed at this level, Canford Bay is versatile when it comes to racing tactics and could be worth an each way bet if any value to do so but I will be relying on BUNIANN 2/1 who usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on resolutely at the finish, the price is poor but it would be ok in a multi-bet. Buniann 2/1 1 Point win 

Bunian 9/4 3rd -1pt

Lay bet Erich Bloch +1pt

Total 0pts

CHELMSFORD 6.10 

I can only see Three Card Trick as a known pacesetter and it could make the frame but it only comes out 5th top rated on my overall figures and that time was recorded back in 2019 so not 100% sure what to expect but I think I will lay it if its a single figure price, Aces and Suzis Connoisseur are my joint 3rd top rated horses, Chocco Star recorded a fairly decent time when finishing 2nd but ran poorly last time out and it doesn't appear to be a very consistent beast but could make the frame, top on my list is EXCELLENT GEORGE 7/2 who can track the leaders or be held up for a late run and it has won 3 times and been placed 9 times from its 12 runs over this c/d the only downside is the stall 10 draw but I am hoping the apprentices 7lb claim can swing things in this ones favour. Excellent George 7/2 1 Point win

Excellent George 17/2 4th -1pt

Total on the day -16pts

4:40 Chelmsford Racing Tips (18th March)

CHELMSFORD 4.40 

A very strange race to analyse, Spirited Guest 9/2 I expect will be to the fore in the betting but I think it might need this run for fitness, if fully wound up it would have a decent chance of winning, so neither one I could back or lay, Wiley Post 5/1 may need further to shine, Ascot Jungle looks to be an outsider and maybe because this surface which doesn't seem/look to suit it, Stake Acclaim has a time from Lingfield which would make it my 2nd top rated, it seems to get towed along in a fast run race and record a good speed figure but is 0-12 on the AW tracks, Agent Shiftwell 5/1 is the only known front runner in the race but I'm not convinced it likes this surface, Camachess will be trying to stay on at the finish but maybe too late, Jumira Bridge 5/1 hasn't any recent c/d form but has a time from 2019 that would be good enough to win this race but is 0-4 on its previous c/d runs, Shamshon 3/1 produced a slow time only its only previous c/d run but has a positive jockey booking, I will go with splitting my stake between SHAMSHON 3/1 and JUMIRA BRIDGE 5/1 but my stakes will be kept low. 

Jumira Bridge 5/1 1st +5pts (Betfair SP - ) 

Shamshon 3/1 2nd -1pt 

Total +4pts

CHELMSFORD 5.55 

Only 7 runners here but a couple of known front runners, Second Collection comes out 2nd best on overall figures but its sole c/d run was run 11lbs below that time from Kempton, Healing Power 11/4 is a possible pacesetter in stall 2 but when it finished 2nd on its only c/d run it was a slow time so not really sure what to expect but I certainly couldn't back it at the price, Company Minx hasn't shown much recently and I expect it will be an outsider, Shoot To Kill is the other possible leader but its 2 runs over this c/d have only produced slow times, Blame Culture hasn't any c/d form and it may need a longer distance to show its best, Show Me A Sunset also hasn't any c/d form and this may be better over a shorter trip but it comes from one of the top stables and running here after winning last time out the trainer probably knows more than me about whether the horse can win this race, Excellent George has 3 wins and 5 places from 10 runs over this c/d and is my top rated, I will have a bet on EXCELLENT GEORGE 6/1 but my stake will be kept on the low side because the apprentice jockey is 0-5 when riding for today's stable. 

Excellent George 8/1 2nd -1pt 

Total on the day +3pts

2:05 Lingfield Racing Tips (27th February)

LINGFIELD 2.05 

A 7 runner race with 3 known front runners amongst the entrants and my top 2 ratings are both pace-setting types, Blue De Vegas could do best of those coming from off the pace being my 3rd top rated while my 4th top rated is Lord Riddiford who is the other front running sort in the race, Royal Birth is my 2nd top rated and is coming out of stall 6 and may need a degree of luck to gain a clear run, my money will be riding on ORNATE 11/1 who likes to lead and from stall 2 it can either lead or at least contest the lead from the off and if getting to head of affairs could prove hard to catch. 

Ornate 11/1 4th -1pt

Total -1pt

CHELMSFORD 6.30 

This race is hard to analyse as usual because of the lack of known pace setters in the field, Kylla Looks might prefer further so this race might not be run to suit it, At Your Service will be trying to stay on at the finish as long as there is a good early pace but maybe not, Shecando is usually held up for a late run and has made the frame twice from just 3 previous c/d runs, I have only got 1lb between my two top rated beasts and I will be backing them both, EXCELLENT GEORGE 3/1 is 2nd top rated and can be held up or track the leaders which are also the tactics usually deployed by SEPAHI 11/1 who comes out top rated on my figures and it could come down to which one gets a clear run when required. 

Excellent George 8/1 3rd -1pt 

Sepahi 20/1 9th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

CHELMSFORD 7.00 

A field of 8 for my final sprint of the day, they are all either 3yo’s or lightly raced 4yo’s so my stakes in this raced will not be at full strength, Lua De Mel is one of 2 known front running sorts in the race and is my 3rd top rated using a time from Lingfield in 2020, the other one that could set the pace is Portugueseprincess and this one is my 2nd top rated and it acquired that rating on its sole previous run over this c/d but could improve somewhat if allowed an easy time of things at the front of the race but my money will be riding on COME ON GIRL 15/2 who recorded a fast time in 2020 from only 2 runs over this c/d and a repeat of that time would see it winning cosily but with so many lightly raced sorts any of them could have improvement still to come.

Come On Girl 15/2 3rd -1pt 

Total on the day -4pts

1:29 Chelmsford Racing Tips (9th January)

CHELMSFORD 1.29 

Only 6 runners but there is 2, Merhoob and Spirit Of May, known front runners in the field Merhood has the higher speed figure for 2020 but Spirit Of May has the higher rating overall and that figure is good enough for 2nd top spot so could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead but my money will be riding on my top rated EXCELLENT GEORGE 9/2 who can be held up or track the leaders and in this small filed should be able to get a good position from which to attack nearing the finish. 

Excellent George 5/1 3rd (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

CHELMSFORD 2.04 

Again only 6 runners and it is fairly close between my top 4 rated beasts, the pace could be set by Bernie's Boy but wont be allowed to dictate in this field and would need to improve time wise to win if others ran to their best, Storm Melody and Album are my joint 3rd top rated and the latter won last time out so is in good form, Daysaq sits in 2nd top spot but is a hold up type so this race might not be run to suit its style and the jockeys 0-11 record for the stable is off-putting, so i will be backing SIR HECTOR 4/1 who is my top rated and this course will suit it better than last time at Wolverhampton when 3rd behind Album, but there is only 3lbs between my top four so my stake will be kept on the low side. 

Sir Hector 4/1 3rd (-1pt)

Total -1pt

LINGFIELD 3.25 

This isn't a race to be betting too heavily in, I will look to lay (Zulu Zander 13/2) as long as it stays at a single figure price, Flowers Of Venus could be the pacesetter but maybe not good enough to hold on for the win and I think this run might be for fitness after being off for awhile, Kindly 10/1 has a time from 2016 that would make it my 3rd top rated and hasn't had many recent c/d runs so it could possible make the frame if repeating its best and it is an each way price, COME ON GIRL 4/1 won last time out and is my top rated on just recent (2020+2021) c/d times and the horse is two wins from 2 runs over this c/d but is only 3rd best overall, MAMILLIUS 9/2 comes out 2nd best on overall figures and that is using a 2019 c/d time but had only one run over this c/d in 2020, top spot goes to INVINCIBLE LARNE 3/1 but this ones time came from Chelmsford and hasn't run over this c/d before, i will look to dutch the three of them, they are the first 3 in the betting but hey ho you can still make a profit by dutching. 

Mamillius 9/2 1st (+4.5pts)  + f/c 14.80 + t/c 57.60 (Betfair SP 4.2)

Invincible Larne 3/1 2nd (-1pt)

Come On Girl 4/1 3rd (-1pt)

Lay bets: Zulu Zander +1pt

Total: +3.5pts 

CHELMSFORD 4.45 

I was going to leave this race alone as there is quite a few lightly raced sorts, the trainer Chelsea Banham has three entries in the race, At Your Service won last time out at Wolverhampton in a decent time but its c/d times have been 10lb below that mark, Kits Allanah is only a 4yo but hasn't shown much so far but the 3rd runner INDEPENDENCE DAY 8/1 who is usually held up for a late run has a time from 2020 that makes it my top rated and if repeating that time it would win a shade cosily, so I'm hoping the betting goes in favour of the stables other runner and I get a decent price to hopefully have an each way wager.

Independence Day 8/1 5th (-2pts)

Total: -2pts

Total on the day: -0.5pts

3:15 Haydock Racing Tips (3rd August)

HAYDOCK 3.15 

A pity there's only 7 runners for this class 2 dash, I would look to lay (*Aplomb) if the going is good to firm, I could easily have added Tanasoq as it races as though it's better over a longer trip but it could run on into a place if capable of reproducing its best 2018 time, I think that Princes Des Sables looks the most likely pacesetter and as it's my 2nd top-rated it could do enough to make the frame but I will be backing MOUNTAIN PEAK 3/1 hoping it can pick up the leader inside the final furlong and it has good trainer 26% and jockey 25% stats making me think they are expecting the win here. 

*NR

Mountain Peak 3/1 1st (+3pts)

Total: +3pts


YARMOUTH 4.00

This is a race which I should leave well alone as there's a couple fo 3yo’s and other lightly raced sorts but I found 2 with ratings on my figures a few spots better than the rest that had got recorded times and one that could lead is my 3rd top-rated so Kraka could be dangerous with an easy lead and could make the frame, Delegate The Lady is my joint top rated but on the SL tissue prices, they make it the favourite so it won't be any value to take a risk on but RINTY MAGINTY 11/1 (EW) is forecast to be a double-figure price and if so might be worth risking with a small each-way punt. 

Abandoned 

WINDSOR 5.40 

For a class 5 race, this looks a very nice affair, there's 3 known front-running types so it should be true run but I think they will set the race up for something coming from off the pace, of the early types Belated Breath may do best of them and could hold on for a place, (A Sure Welcome) is capable of doing a fast time but usually in a lower class race and maybe worth laying if a single figure price, both Total Commitment and Magical Ride are capable of running big races but I will be siding with ARCANADA 4/1 who likes to sit just behind the pace and then finish strongly at the business end and it good trainer/jockey stats which is always a positive. 

Arcanada 5/1 6th (-1pt)

Lay bet: A Sure Welcome +1pt

Total: 0pts

YARMOUTH 6.00

Only 6 runners but a very competitive affair, if Laith Alareen gets to the front it could prove hard to catch for most of the runners if reproducing its best rating from Newmarket in 2019 but the bottom weight EXCELLENT GEORGE 9/1 has a time from Windsor in 2019 that makes it my top-rated and likes a fast pace to aim at so this race could be run to suit it and will be carrying my money. 

Abandoned 

WINDSOR 6.15 

Another 6 runner race with Just Glamorous known as a frontrunner so could have an easy lead but will do very well to pinch this race from the front, on the tissue prices they make the 3yo (Wonderwork) the 11/8 favourite but I'm not convinced it will like the going if it's good to firm so I would lay it at such a short price, I expect Daschas to run a decent race and it will be trying to stay on at the distance but maybe too late so I will be backing SPOOF 7/1 and this bottom weight is my top rated and the trainer does ok at this course.

Spoof 7/1 5th (-1pt)

Lay bet: Wonderwork -3.5pts

Total: -4.5pts

Total on the day: -1.5pts