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Monday, 12 April 2021

4:30 Newmarket Racing Tips (13th

NEWMARKET 4.30 

A nice looking class 3 handicap with 11 runners, I can see a couple of front runners which is always a bonus, the 2 at the bottom of the handicap are capable of recording fast times but in lower class races but could do enough to make the frame but I couldn't rely on them with any confidence, Jack The Truth 9/1 is one of the likely leaders and its best time from 2019 would see it going well, the trainers 2-34 record puts me off a little but the jockeys 2-4 record puts me in a spin as to what the connections are expecting and could do enough from the front to at least make the frame, looking at the tissue prices I cannot see why (Arafjan) is forecast to be the favourite, I would look to lay it, I myself will be hoping that HAN SOLO BERGER 11/2 can finish strongly here and get it back to winning ways, it can track the leaders or be held up and the jockey booking looks a positive as he has 24% win ratio on all his rides for the stable as moves up to 29% on the stables older (4yo and above) horses. 

Han Solo Berger 11/2 1 Point Win 

Araifjan 6/1 2 Points Lay 

Hans Solo Berger 11/2 6th -1pt 

Lay bet Arafjan +2pt

Total 1pts


NEWCASTLE 7.00 

A 10 runner class 5 race with a problem, I will look to lay a lack of early paced types but I think/hope I've worked something out in this race, one I will look to lay if a single figure price is (Stars In The Night 3/1) as its times from anywhere over this distance are relatively slow and at the price looks very poor value, any others I think could struggle are all forecast to be biggish prices, on a Wolverhampton time Jumira Bridge comes out 4th top rated overall but only 1lb below Gleniffer 14/1 in 3rd top spot but this ones best time was recorded here and also this year which is a positive so I am a bit surprised to see its a double figure price, my 2nd top rated is KLOPP 10/1 who comes from the Antony Brittain stable but it is 4lb below the top weight TATHMEEN 9/2, both usually stay on strongly at the finish but I think they could run them both to set it up for one of them to win, if pushed I would go with the top weight but I will have to back them both as it would be easy to fix it for either to win the race, 

Klopp 10/1 1 Point Win 5th -1pt
Tathmeen 9/2 1 Point Win 4th -1pt
Stars In The Night 2 Points Lay -4.5pts
Edessann 6/1 1 Point Lay +1pt
Save The Spirit 9/1 1 Point Lay +1pt

Total on the day -3.5pts

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