8:40 Newmarket Racing Tips (21st July)

NEWMARKET 8.40 

5F Class-4 Runners-9 

VENTUROUS may not want fast good to firm going but time wise I had to go back to 2020 to find a rating good enough to be competitive in this race. 

TWILIGHT MADNESS has only slow times at this distance as a longer trip would probably be required for this one to show its best form but I expect it will be an outsider in the betting.

CONQUISTADOR a 3yo who likes to track the leaders but this distance might be too short for it so it might get outpaced and not recover quickly enough to catch the leaders. 

ISLE OF LISMORE recorded a rating at Windsor which would be good enough for it to be my 3rd top rated so might make the frame. 

TOLSTOY hasn't produced anything worthwhile time wise in its recent form and seems to go better when there's some cut in the going. 

EEH BAH GUM this might be the one to set the pace to this race and is my 2nd top rated so could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead in this race. 

SKALLYWAG BAY this 3yo is the one that comes out in top spot on my figures and would have won last time out if it had got a clear run when trying to challenge. 

JACK RYAN has never won over this distance and hasn't been in poor form recently plus a longer distance might enhance its chances. 

HARRY WITH STYLE a 3yo who hasn't won over this distance and races as though further would suit it better so I expect it will be an outsider. 

CONCLUSION:I'm convinced Conquistador (if fav) would be better over further and if the favourite as forecast then I will look to lay it but I am always a bit wary about laying 3yo’s, Twilight Madness, Venturous and Tolstoy are others that might be value to lay if single figure prices. Eeh Bah Gum could lead and might make it hard for others to get involved in the finish but if SKALLYWAG BAY 13/2 gets a clear run this time it could get back to winning ways. but as usual don't forget if the rain comes then leave the race alone. 

Skallywag Bay 13/2 2nd -1pt 

Lay bets: Conquistador +1pt, Twilight Madness +1pt

Total on the day +1pt 

1:50 Ayr Racing Tips (24th June)

AYR 1.50 

5F Class 4 8 Runners I can see 3 horses that like to front run in this dash so I'm expecting a fast early pace, I will look to lay Sir Titus 7/2 in this race as I don't think the fast ground really suits it. Sound Reason is my 3rd top rated and one of the front running types in this race so could go well from the front, if the early pace is too fast and they fade nearing the finish the one that could capitalise is Be Proud who is rated 1lb higher than the 3rd top rated but if RESILIENCE 33/1 (EW) gets the fractions right from the front it could win this race a shade cosily but it hasn't been in the best of form so far this year but if back to its best this race is there for the taking and at such a generous price it has to be done as an each way punt.

Resilience 33/1 5th -2pts 

Lay bey Sir Titus -4pts

Total -6pts

NEWMARKET 5.09 

6F Class 4 8 Runners I will look to lay Ernies Valentine 4/1 if of value to do so as it looks to need further on fast ground to show its best but if good or slower ground then it would have every chance, I doubt anything else will be of value to lay. The Green Man 5/4 is going for its hattrick in this race and does come out in joint 2nd top spot on my figures and its best was recorded this year at Doncaster and I expect it will run another good race here but the handicapper might have caught up with it and carrying 10st 8lbs around here isn't easy and at the price it doesn't represent any value in my eyes, the other joint 2nd top rated being Above who is a hold up type. TEMPLE BRUER 18/1 (EW) also recorded its best rating this year at Doncaster and it was a faster time than the top weights before you take of the 13lbs in weight that its receiving here and will be carrying my money here with an each way punt at that price as I was expecting it to be much lower in price.

Temple Bruer 18/1 1st +21.6pts

Lay bet Ernie's Valentine +1pt

Total +22.6pts

HAYDOCK 6.35 

5F Class 4 8 Runners The early pace may well come from Triple Jaye but I doubt this one can lead all the way and hasn't been in good form on its last few outings but only one of them was this year. The 3yo Grace Angel won a slow run affair on good ground and needs to improve time wise to win this race (that's assuming others run to their best) the other 3yo Sera Dawn has avoided good to firm ground up till now which makes me think it might not suit it but being 3yo’s I'm not sure if I dare lay them. Haveagomecca would have every chance here if able to reproduce its best rating from 2021 but its best since then has been well below that level. Angle Land is forecast to be the favourite here but if the going is fast good to firm ground then it might not be able to run to its best so I will be backing LIL GUFF 11/4 who recorded its rating this year at Windsor and can be held up for a late run or track the leaders and then stay on resolutely nearing the finish.

Lil Guff 10/3 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day +15.6pts

2:32 Thirsk Racing Tips (20th May)

Note: OK, I'm fed up with the going reports and it seems that anywhere could be hit with the odd heavy showers so I'm going to send an abridged version for some sprints so as not to waste my time and you will have to check that the going is good or better before you waste any money. 

THIRSK 2.32 

Papa Don't Preach 13/2 I will look to lay it as I think it needs some cut in the going so if the going is good or better I will lay it I will also lay A Pint Of Bear 10/1 if it becomes a single figure price may need the run for fitness and a longer distance might suit it better. LEODIS DREAM 9/1 is my top rated and likes to track the leaders before staying on the stronger nearing the finish so this race might well be run to suit its preferred racing tactics. 

Leodis Dream 20/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bets Papa Don't Preach +1pt, A Pint Of Bear +1pt

Total +1pt

THIRSK 3.42 

I can see 3 possible lays in this race Mojomaker who may need this run for fitness but this one if it comes down to a single figure price which I doubt but put it up just in case. Hiya Mate 8/1 hasn't produced anything worthwhile time wise and might prefer some cut in the ground… Bay Breeze 7/1 probably needs fast good to firm ground to show its best but I doubt it will be that fast a going. RATHBONE 8/1 is a front running type and its stall 10 draw could help its cause and hopefully it can lead all the way and get back to winning ways and hinted at a return to form when finishing 3rd last time out and the jockey has a 3-9 record when riding for the stable. 

Rathbone 8/1 7th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWMARKET 5.00 

Not sure there will be anything of value to lay in this race. Spring Bloom 4/1 recorded a very fast time at Windsor last year but that time is looking like a fluke result but just in case its not it might be worth having a covering bet on it but the price doesn't really look to be of value, its one of two known front running types in this race. ANCIENT TIMES 7/1 is my 2nd top rated and is the other front running type and could lead all the way and the jockey has a 29% win ratio when riding for the stable.

Ancient Times 7/1 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -1pt

2:00 Thirsk Racing Tips (6th May)

THIRSK 2.00 

A class 4 sprint with 16 runners but just 1 known front runner in the shape of Cooperation 10/1 coming out of stall 8 and if heads across to the rails those drawn higher could get squeezed out but i doubt it can lead all the way, As If By Chance 7/1 produces high ratings but in lower class races than this one. Run This Way hasn't been in good form lately but is capable on its day, Bay Breeze will be to the fore in the betting after winning last time out on soft ground and could run well again here and could follow up with another win, it's really a hard race to analyse and it looks competitive for a class 4 race but I am going to take a punt on one I think will be an outsider in this race and that is ABOLISH 12/1 (EW) who is often held up for a late run but here its drawn in stall 7 so it could get a good tow across towards the rails but the horse drawn just inside of it and therefore gain a good position from which to attack nearing the finish and I think/hope it will be an each way price. 

Abolish 25/1 8th -2pts 

Total -2pts 

NEWMARKET 2.50 

I must be mad trying to analyse a 23 runner class 2 sprint where they could run as 1 group or split into 2 or possibly 3 groups and on this course when that happens its hard to predict which side will prove to have the faster going. One that could set the pace to the race is Equiano Springs 40/1 who is drawn in stall 17 and could be dangerous if the better ground favours those drawn high but the betting says its not really fancied, I doubt many will be a single figure price in this race but I am going to hope that those drawn low have just as much or even better chance of winning as I will be backing TANAMAWWY 7/1 who finished 2nd in a race 15 days ago so is in good form, it is also my top rated while the trainer has a 21% win ratio on this course with their older horses and the jockey has an overall strike-rate of 21% for the stable it moves up to 28% on the stables older horses. 

Tanamawwy 7/1 Unp -1pt

Total -1pt

NEWMARKET 4.00

Another big field but this time 17 for a Group 3 dash where 9 of the runners have been known to lead before, *Mountain Peak and Korker would be my 2 top rated horses using a class 2 sprint at Haydock last year both may need this run for fitness and I doubt they are up to winning at this level, I doubt there will be many at a single figure price so I doubt I can find a value lay for the race. Manaccan is a front running type drawn in stall 1 so if the low numbers have an advantage it could go well and has the legend Frankie Dettori riding it but this one might need this for fitness and has to prove itself at this level but has won in Listed class and a Group 3 win in Ireland on the All-Weather surface at Dundalk. My money will be riding on RAASEL 12/1 (EW) who looks capable of winning at this level but the trainers record of 1-29 at this course is a bit off-putting but the stable have switched back to James Doyle as their jockey and he has a 31% win ratio for the stable and at the price has to be given as an each way wager. 

*NR

Raasel 12/1 4th -2pts 

Total -2pts

DONCASTER 6.55 

A field of 9 for this class 3 sprint with a couple of known front running types one of them is Aberama Gold 5/1 who comes out 5th top on my figures but has poorish trainer/jockey stats so might be worth laying, Woven 14/1 hasn't won a race since 2020 which doesn't inspire confidence and it will most likely need this run for fitness so I will look to lay this one but not at that price, Treacherous 8/1 is capable of good ratings but is another that hasn't won since 2020 but it could run well here but well enough to win I'm not sure one way or the other, Fast And Furious 7/2 is another that looks likely to need this run for fitness, so there is 4 that I could lay for one reason or another but they all have decent speed ratings but I will be backing DANZAN 7/1 who is the other known front running type in the race and as this one had a run just under a month ago i hope that got it back to full fitness and it can lead all the way.

Danzan 15/2 4th -1pt

Lay bets: Woven -3.5pts, Aberama Gold +1pt 

Total -3.5pts

Total on the day -8.5pts

2:50 Ripon Racing Tips (13th August)

RIPON 2.50 

Class 2 race over 6 furlongs with 15 runners and one third of them have been known to lead before, as you expect its a very competitive looking race, Hyperfocus and Marks Choice look likely to do best of the front runners and the former could do enough from the front to make the frame, I cannot see anything of value to lay in this race as for finding the winner there is a few, Summerghand, Snash, Intrinsic Bond, Indian Creak Embour plus the 2 front runners mentioned, that could go well here and anyone of them could make the frame but I will be having a small wager on EMPEROR SPIRIT 8/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish. 

Emperor Spirit 8/1 7th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWMARKET 3.18 

Class 4 race over 6 furlongs with 7 runners, the early pace could be set by Come On Girl who has been running well on the AW tracks but I don't think this one is up to winning at this level and might be worth laying, Strike is another that looks better in lower class races but this one is capable of producing fast times, Verraux Eagle might prefer a longer trip so another possible lay, my money will be riding on *WENTWORTH FALLS 10/1 who can be held up or track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish and the trainer does quite well at this course. 

*NR

Lay bet Come On Girl +1pt 

Total +1pt 

NEWMARKET 4.28 

Class 2 race with a paltry 5 runners, Stone Of Destiny may struggle to stay the distance especially as my top rated is the likely leader in this race, Mum's Tipple may need further but if the early pace is really fast it could be a possible danger, Above and Ingra Tor both recorded their best speed ratings here but on the Rowley mile course but would need to improve a good few spots if RATHBONE 13/2 reproduces is best figures from either 2022 or 2021 where there is only 2lbs difference plus the apprentice jockey has a decent 16% win ratio on the stables older horses. 

Rathbone 9/1 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.50 

Class 6 race over 6 furlongs with 10 entrants, I can see 3 front running types in this race and another that could lead if nothing else wanted to wont have to lead here, but I think they will be setting the race up for something coming from off the pace although Portelet Bay who is my 2nd top rated could prove a danger if getting to the front from stall 9 but might have to use up a degree of its stamina/speed to get itself into the lead, I could look to lay, Prophecy, Secret Potion, *Mops Gem and *Tom Tulliver if of value to lay, Steelriver is my 3rd top rated using a 2020 rating but can be useful if on a going day but I will be relying on the top weight RED ALERT 10/1 with my money and a repeat of the rating it has recorded here this year would see it winning with a bit too spare.

Red Alert 10/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bets Prophecy +1pt

Total 0pts

Total on the day  -1pt

1:45 Nottingham Racing Tips (12th August)

NOTTINGHAM 1.45 

Class 6 race over 5 furlongs with 8 runners, I might look to lay Porfin 4/1 who won last time out over a furlong further so might find today's trip too short also No Guts No Glory 11/2 who’s form looks quite good on paper but they were all relatively slow times and another where further might suit it better, Harrogate looks the one likely to set the pace to the race and if allowed to dictate it could possibly lead all the way but it hasn't been in the best of form lately, GRANDFATHER TOM 3/1 is my 2nd top rated and top on just 2022 ratings while COLEY'S KOKO 6/1 is 2nd top on 2022 figures and top rated by just 1lb on overall figures, neither have great trainer/jockey stats so I will have to back both of them. 

Grandfather Tom 5/1 6th -1pt 

Coley's Koko 6/1 7th -1pt 

Lay bets: Porfin +1pt, No Guts No Glory +1pt 

Total 0pts

NOTTINGHAM 2.20 

Class 4 race over 5 furlongs with 7 runners, there is 3 that have led before and Abate may do best of that trio being my 2nd top rated horse, *Ballet Steps will be a lay if of value to do so as I don't think good to firm ground suits it, Good Luck Fox is my 3rd top rated but top spot belongs to the 3yo DUSKY PRINCE 9/2 who has been in good form completing its hattrick of wins before finishing 4th last time out and a repeat of its best time from Goodwood would be good enough to see it back to winning ways. 

*NR 

Dusky Prince 13/2 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.18 

Class 6 race over 6 furlongs with 9 runners, I can see a couple of known pacesetters in Ustath my joint 4th top rated and Stay Smart who is my 3rd top rated and this one is dropped in class to run in this race but hasn't been in good form recently so its the old old battle between form and class but I couldn't back it on its recent form but with an easy lead and rejuvenated by meeting lessor horses it just could possibly win this race but it too big a risk for me to get involved unless its an each way price or its seriously backed, Q Twenty Boy 7/2 is a course and distance winner but can struggle to stay the distance if there's a fast early gallop so this race might not be run to suit it, Mutabaahy comes out 2nd best on my figures but this 7yo hasn't shown any noteworthy form of late but could make the frame if on a going day but my money will be riding on CATESBY 5/1 who recorded its best rating earlier this year and showed its liking for this Tapeta surface when finishing 2nd last time out at Southwell after being slowly away and where it was beaten by Ustath but meets that rival on 8lbs better terms and if away on level terms here should reverse the form. 

Catesby 5/1 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWMARKET 5.45 

Class 4 race over 6 furlongs with 7 runners, I'm not sure what to expect from Counsel who won last time out over a furlong further and hasn't any form over this distance that was a decent enough race and it was always up with in the firing line so could easily be good enough to win this race, on ratings over today's distance Wajd comes out in joint top spot along with Equiano Springs so I think this race is best left alone. 

-

THIRSK 6.07 

Class 4 race over 5 furlongs with 8 runners and 5 of them have been known to lead before so it should be a fast and furious dash, Alligator Alley 5/2 hasn't been in good form lately and hasn't won since 2019 and although this is a drop in class I'm not sure whether I should lay it or not, on just 2022 ratings there is only 1lb between my top 3 horses Birkenhead, Khabib and MODULAR MAGIC 8/1 but the latter has a rating from 2021 that would see it winning this race a shade cosily and looking at the early tissue prices it might be the value call in this race and if getting to the front it might prove hard to peg back.

Modular Magic 8/1 8th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day - 3pts

3:35 Goodwood Racing Tips (29th July)

GOODWOOD 3.35 

A Group 2 dash over five furlongs, there are 3 known front runners but I think they will set the race up for a finishing type, I'm not sure if i can find anything of value to lay, Lazuli would be my 3rd top rated but I had to go back to 2020 to find that rating and Clarendone House is my 3rd top on more recent ratings and could do best of those racing near the front, I've got Khaadem in 2nd top spot and only just 1lb below RAASEL 4/1 in top spot and this one has been in very good form lately. 

Raasel 4/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt

SOUTHWELL 4.50 

There looks to be 3 possible pacesetters in this race and of that trio *FREEDOM FLYER 8/1 might do best as it comes out as my 2nd top rated on just 2022 ratings so has to carry some of my money just in case it pinches the race from the front as it is rated only 2lbs below STEELRIVER 6/1 who comes out in top spot and this one also has the best speed figure from just this course since it changed its surface to Tapeta I think Sir Gregory 11/2 is a better prospect on the Polytrack surface and I will look to lay if its a single figure price, Oriental Spirit 9/2 would need to improve upon its best rating from Kempton but this will be its 1st run on this surface so it could possibly improve for the switch or maybe not so I couldn't back it at the price but I'm also not sure I could lay it either. 

*NR

Steelriver 12/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bet Sir Gregory +1pt 

Total 0pts

SOUTHWELL 6.30 

There s 14 runners in this 5 furlong dash and only one front running type, Louis Treize 7/1 may need further to show its best and may be worth laying as long as it doesn't drift in price, the timelines are a little confusing between times on Tapeta at Newcastle and Wolverhampton compared to times here on the same surface, Scale Force 10/1 comes out in top spot on other Tapeta times so could go well here and might be worth an each way interest and it will be trying to stay on at the finish, I will be backing BERNARD SPEIRPOINT 13/2 who comes out in top spot using just times recorded here at Southwell and the trainer has a 19% win ratio at this course with their older horses and is the one that I think will set the pace to the race and i am hoping it can lead all the way to victory. 

Bernard Speirpoint 17/2 8th -1pt 

Total -1pt

MUSSELBURGH 8.20 

Of the 9 runners in this race I can only see Jojo Rabbit who has been known to lead before but time wise it would need to improve a good few spots but if allowed a very easy lead it could possibly pinch this race from the front, both The Thin Blue Line and Never Dark are capable of producing good speed figures but they may be outclassed at this level, Ready Freddie Go likes to track the leaders and could do enough here to make the frame, Only Spoofing is my 2nd top rated and another that likes to track the early pacemakers and is only 2lbs below my top rated horse SHOW ME SHOW ME 12/1 (EW) who can be held up or track the leaders and at the price might be worth an each way wager. 

Show Me Show Me 12/1 3rd +1.4pts

Total +1.4pts

NEWMARKET 8.30 

I cannot find a front running type in this field of 6 but 5 of them like to track the leaders so they could ensure there is a decently fast early gallop, Bossipop might need further to show its best so I'm not sure if this race will really suit it, Concierge is my 3rd top rated with Churchill Bay sitting in 2nd top spot but if LORDSBRIDGE BOY 5/1 can reproduce the speed figure it recorded at Salisbury in 2021 it would win this race with a few spots to spare.

Lordsbridge Boy 5/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -1.6pts

2:40 York Racing Tips (23rd July)

YORK 2.40 

Fifteen runners in this class 2 sprint with 2 known front running types and Hyperfocus is one of them and my 4th top rated so could do enough from the front to make the frame, I will look to lay Mondammej 9/1 who is a better horse over shorter distances another lay is Silver Samurai 5/1 who doesn't like good to firm ground but there is rain forecast so the ground might be ok for it, Music Society is my 3rd top rated but is taking on better horses here, Gabriel The Devil doesn't seem as good as it once was but could go well here if able to repeat its best rating from 2021, my money will be riding on LUCKY MAN 9/1 (EW) who will either race in midfield or be held up and then finish with a flourish as the finish approaches, its best rating was recorded over today's course and distance, has a nice looking jockey booking so could be a nice each way bet. 

Lucky Man 14/1 2nd +2.5pts 

Lay bet Silver Samurai +1pt

Total +3.5pts

NEWMARKET 3.42 

A nice field of 8 for this class 3 race, I can see a couple of horses, Alligator Alley and Society Lion, who look likely lays,the former has never won at today's distance and hasn't been in good form recently and the latter may be better when racing over further, Pure Dreamer and Oso Rapido are my joint 3rd top rated just 2lbs behind Chipstead who sits in 2nd top spot, the top rated SMEATON'S LIGHT 8/1 (EW)is also the only known front running type in this race so I'm hoping it can lead from start to finish to win this race and if all 8 take part I will back it each way. 

Smeaton's Light 8/1 5th -2pts 

Lay bet Alligator Alley +1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWCASTLE 3.57 

A poor class 4 race with just 5 runners, I can see reasons why not to back all of them as 2 of them might prefer a longer distance 2 others have not been in good form lately which leaves me with MISS NAY NEVER 4/1 who has been known to lead so if leading here could lead all the way but its rating only just registered on my figures so the race wont take much winning and my stakes will be keep low. 

Miss Nay Never 4/1 1st +4pts 

Total +4pts

ASCOT 5.20 

In this class 2 race there is 3 known front running types in this field of 10 and two of them Lynns Boy and King Of Stars are in my top 4 ratings, in 4th and 3rd top spots, I cannot see anything of value to put forward as a lay, Live In The Moment comes out in 2nd top position so could make the frame, I've got JAWWAAL 8/1 (EW) as my top rated using a time recorded last year at Haydock and a repeat of that rating would win this race nicely but this is a much tougher course so as a bit of insurance I will look to back it each way to a small stake. 

Jawwaal 16/1 7th -2pts

Total -2pts

SALISBURY 6.30 

My 4th top rated horse The Deriant looks the likely pacesetter and could do enough to make the frame, the bottom 3 have very little to recommend them but will be biggish prices, Haseef and Minhaaj may prefer a longer trip, Hattie C and Q Twenty Boy are my 3rd and 2nd top rated so could be each way bets in this race but I will be backing WE’RE REUNITED 15/2 who usually tracks the leaders before staying on strongly at the finish and the booked jockey has a 23% winning ratio for the stable. 

We're Reunited 15/2 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt

SALISBURY 7.30 

Just 7 runners with 2 front running types Michael's Choice and Secret Handsheikh who are my 3rd and 2nd top rated horses, the bottom 3 in the handicap have shown very little worthwhile form recently and might be worth laying one, two or all three of them, Delegate This Lord hasn't shown much time wise lately so I will be backing STRIKE 11/2 who recorded its best rating over this course and distance and a repeat would see it winning quite smartly.

Strike 11/2 3rd -1pt

Lay bets Michael's Choice -3.5pts, Secret Handsheikh +1pt 

Total -3.5pts

Total on the day 0pts

2:16 Newmarket Racing Tips (16th July)

NEWMARKET 2.16 

On paper a nice looking class 4 sprint but there's only 7 runners which isn't any good for any each way bets and there is no known front runners in the field and then because they are all more like hold up types the speed figures are all relatively low especially for this class of race, The Green Man 7/2 might need further and this race might not be run to suit its racing style, both Bobby On The Beat and Tell’em Nowt could be outclasses at this level, Fighting Temeraire 7/2 won last time out on good ground but time wise that was a slow run affair so it might have been flattered by the result and it was in a class lower race than today's, if the early pace is slow it could have a chance of following up that win but with a fast early pace it might struggle to catch the leader/s, if the going is good to firm for this race my money will be riding on the 3yo KODIAS SANGARIUS 3/1 who has made the frame twice in its last 3 runs and looks to have been found an ideal opportunity here to register its first win on grass. 

Kodias Sangariius 9/2 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt     

NEWBURY 2.56 

A field of 14 for this Group 3 sprint with with a couple of known front running types and the 3yo Go Bear Go could set the pace to this race and comes out in joint 4th top spot on my figures, I cant see anything obvious to lay in the race, which I suppose at this level they shouldn't have too many flaws in their armour, the other 4th top rated horse is Diligent Harry who likes to track the leaders, Run To Freedom 12/1 who also likes to track the leaders is my 3rd top rated horse while Happy Romance 4/1 sits in the 2nd top spot and this one is usually held up for a late run, top spot goes to CHIL CHIL 14/1 (EW) who is returning to racing after being off for 315 days but it has won before when returning from a break and it is dropped in class compared to its last few runs and hopefully its fully fit and I think it has to be worth an each way punt in this race. 

Chil Chil 14/1 8th -2pt 

Total -2pts 

DONCASTER 5.45 

Just 7 runners for this apprentice jockeys dash, High Security and Blazing Hot 8/1 will make sure there's a fast early gallop as the former comes out in 3rd top spot on my figures and could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead as the latter might not appreciate the really fast ground and its best figure came from back in 2020 so it might be worth laying, Sound Of Iona has won its last 2 races and comes out in 2nd top spot here and it could well complete its hat trick but I will take a punt on the bottom weighted horse YOUNG TIGER 16/1 who comes out top rated on just 2022 times and on overall times, it ran 3rd when High Security was 2nd at Ripon in May beaten by half a length on level weights but meets that opponent on 10lb better terms in this race so looks the value call in the race and I would have gone each way if there had been 3 places up for grabs. 

*I mistakenly detailed this as ew then noticed Eric's comment. 

Young Tiger 16/1 Unp -1pt 

Total -1pt 

HAYDOCK 8.00 

Another field of 7 here with just Boudica Bay known as a front running type but I doubt it can lead all the way for the victory but never say never and it might be a shorter price than it merits because it won last time out on good to soft going, Time Shadow doesn't seem to appreciate really fast ground, Aquadabra can produce good speed figure ratings but usually in a lower class race, Amor De Mi Vida 11/4 has been in good form lately and comes out in 2nd top spot on my figures but I expect it will be a shortish priced favourite, I will take a chance on SECOND COLLECTION 15/4 who admittedly will have to improve on what its shown so far this year but it does have a speed figure from 2020 that would make it my top rated, its a shame there isn't 3 places up for grabs because an each way punt would be the best way to go in this race.

Second Collection 15/4 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -5pts

4:45 Newmarket Racing Tips (8th July)

NEWMARKET 4.45 

With 6 known front runners in this race it could be a fast and furious dash, it looks mighty competitive race so not one to be betting too heavily in, Tees Spirit has been in good form lately but the handicapper might have it in its grip now so it could run ok but maybe not enough to win so maybe one to lay, Ancient Times one of the possible pacesetters could go well from those that like to race to the fore and might be worth an each way interest but I will be hoping another front running type LIHOU 12/1 (EW) who won last time out can follow up that win here and it does have good trainer/jockey stats and makes me think connections think it can win this race and at the price it has be given as an each way wager. 

Lihou 12/1 7th -2pts 

Lay bet Tees Spirit -1pt 

Total -1pt

YORK 5.00 

I can see 4 and possibly 5 horses that could set the pace to this race, I will be looking to lay Ghathanfar who looks a much better prospect over 6 furlongs so may get outpaced in this race and then stay on too late for the win, Albegone is capable of producing a good speed figure and has my highest speed figure but in lower class races than today's so it may get outclassed in this race while King Of Tonga needs to improve time wise and may be better over further, James Watt comes out in 4th top spot and could make the frame here, VAN GERWEN 18/1 (EW) is my 3rd top rated and likes to track the leaders before staying on strongly at the finish but i do have the front running type Modular Magic (non-runner) rated higher and if this one gets to the front it could prove hard to catch and can hopefully hold on for the win and if it wasn't for the trainers 0-6 record at this course it would probably have been my sole bet in this race but the jockey does do well for the stable. With the non-runner I will now be going with an each way punt on Van Gerwen hoping it stays on strongly enough at the finish to pick up the leaders.

Van Gerwen 33/1 4th -2pts 

Lay bet Ghathanfar -4pts 

Total -6pts

ASCOT 5.11 

WOW what a class 3 race this is, I can see 3 horses that like to lead, I'm not sure if I can find anything of value to lay although Mitrosonfire 9/1 came very close to being one but I expect it might be a double figure price, looking at my speed figure ratings Tanmawwy, Asad, Epsom Faithful, Lucky Man and Treacherous are all closely rated and it could be fine margins of luck in running that could decide this race but if either Antiphon or Emperor Spirit get an easy lead they could pinch this race from the front especially the latter one who is my top rated but the trainers 1-31 with its older horses at this course is a bit off-putting but it does have good jockey stats so I will be hoping that EMPEROR SPIRIT 6/1 can either lead or at least contest the lead from the off and stay on the stronger at the finish and this race is a drop down in class from its recent run. 

Emperor Spirit 6/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay bet Mitrosonfire +1pt 

Total 0pts

CHEPSTOW 6.45 

For a class 6 race this one looks quite good with 3 known front running types it should be a true run race, I could look to lay Louis Treize 15/2 who might need further to show its best and get outpaced here in the early stages and then try to stay on at the finish but I expect too late to catch the leaders, Rhubarb 7/2 won last time out over a longer distance and may be under-priced on the back of that win and I will be looking to lay it, Liberty Bay and Fossos two known pace setting types are my 5th and 4th top rated and will ensure there's a fast early pace, Astrophysics my 3rd top rated and Our Man In Havana my 2nd top rated will be trying to stay on strongly at the finish and could make the frame but i will be pinning my hopes on the chances of the top weighted CORONATION COTTAGE 8/1 leading from start to finish, it would just win on its best 2022 rating but if able to reproduce its best rating from Bath in 2020 it would win with a bit to spare.

Coronation Cottage 8/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay bets Rubarb -3.5pts, Louis Treize +1pt

Total -3.5pts

Total on the day  -10.5pts

5:09 Newmarket Racing Tips (18th June)

NEWMARKET 5.09 

I'm not going to do a write up about each horses there is rain forecast and that would make all my analysis null and void.

I've already done a lot of work on two sprints at Ayr but they have had rain today, Friday, and the ground has already been given as good to soft.

If the going stays good to firm then Many A Star 9/2 would be the one that I would want my money on but it does seem to need genuine good to firm ground to show its best. If the going is any worse than good then I wouldn't bet at all but if its genuine good ground then it would be a much more open race. I'm not sure that I can find anything of value to lay in this race but there are a couple that look solid lays but will be double figure prices, the two 3yo’s at the bottom of the handicap both like to lead and I think that Antiphon could improve if allowed an easy lead but would need to improve a few pounds to win the race but never say never when a 3yo starts improving.

No bet. 

5:47 Ayr Racing Tips (17th June)

AYR 5.47 

Only 6 runners but no known front runners but I have negatives against 4 of the runners and could be worth laying if of value to do so which leaves me with Run This Way 10/1 who is my 2nd top rated but is usually held up or races in midfield so this race might not be run to suit it while my money will be riding on DANDY'S GOLD 5/2 who can race in midfield or track the leaders so it ought to be able to cover any moves and the jockey has a 29% win ratio for the stable.

Dandy's Gold 5/2 1st +2.5pts

Lay bet Run This Way +1pt 

Total +3.5pts

AYR 7.32 

Nine runners with three horses that could set the pace and maybe of those three Tanasoq could do best if able to reproduce its rating from 2021 at Musselburgh, so not sure if this flatter course will suit it as well, which makes it my joint 2nd top rated. but this one can be ridden in any form of racing tactics so could be worth an each way interest, I will look to lay *Classy Al 7/1 who might prefer a longer distance and Quanah 4/1 who might not like the faster ground, the other joint 2nd top rated horse is Bridgetown and as it recorded that rating at Doncaster it should like this course, my top rated is LATIN FIVE 4/1 who won last time out and has been found an ideal opportunity to follow up that win in this race and with a fast pace the race could be run to suit it. 

*NR

Latin Five 7/1 3rd - 1pt 

Lay bet Quanah +1pt 

Total 0pts 

NEWMARKET 8.44 

A 7 runner race where 4 of the runners are 3yo’s and one of those 3yo’s Thakrah could be the one to set the pace to this race but I'm not really sure what it can produce so I couldn't back or lay this one, three runners will I expect be double figure prices so not worth laying but I might take a risk and lay the 3yo Anniversary Belle 7/2 who only recorded a slow speed figure over today's distance on good ground, another 3yo Income is my 2nd top rated but this one has poor trainer stats who is 1-22 at this course, my money will be riding on AMOR DE MI VIDA 10/3 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish although I do think it will the favourite but I cannot find anything the take it on with.

Amor De Mi Vida 10/3 2nd -1pt 

Lay bet Anniversary Bell +1pt 

Total 0pts 

Total on the day +3.5pts

4:45 Newmarket Racing Tips (14th April)

NEWMARKET 4.45 

A couple of known front running types in this race so it should be a true run affair and I thought for a class 3 race I would have plenty to say about each runner but its the problem of what is fit enough to win if they haven't already had a run this year and Twilight Falls 3/1 is making its debut this year and is forecast to be the favourite but time wise it needs to improve a few spots to win this race and its been 143 days since the stable last had a winner which means I will be looking to lay this one along with Look Out Louis 7/1 who did win over this distance on slow ground at Newcastle on the Tapeta surface but on good or better ground this one might need further to show its best, the bottom five in the handicap will I expect be double figure prices so no value to lay but I do have negatives against them and they would be lays if a single figure price, Aplomb doesn't seem to like fast good to firm ground so could go well on this surface which seems to be good, Night On Earth could go well and can be held up or track the leaders and will be trying to stay on at the finish Ornate has been known to lead before but might not be up to winning at this class 3 level so i am hoping the other front running type FAUSTUS 11/2 can lead here from the off and dictate from the front and prove too hard to catch, it won last time out at Newcastle on the Tapeta surface so is in good form and has been found a good opportunity to follow up here.

Faustus 11/1 Unp -1pt 

Lay bets Twilight Falls -1.2pts, Look Out Louis +1pt

Total on the day -1.2pts

2:50 Beverley Racing Tips (13th April)

BEVERLEY 2.50 

The big question is, which horse/s if any will be fit enough to do themselves justice coming back from a break from racing with 10 of the 16 runners fitting this question, if *Miss Nay Never is a single figure price it will be one I will look to lay if its a single figure price, I doubt much else will be of value to lay as for a bet my stakes will be kept low, if Ey Up Its Maggie runs again after running on Monday it could go well and it has been known to lead so could have some degree of a chance to win this race but i will be relying on the other one that I think will lead or at least contest the lead and stall one is the plum draw so if *SOUND REASON 9/2 does get to the front it could prove hard to catch and this one does have good trainer/jockey stats but with more questions than answers my stake will be kept low. 

*NR 

No bets

NEWMARKET 3.00 

A nice looking Group 3 race with 8 runners and one known front runner in the race, there's two 3yo’s who could be open to improvement, Last Crusader is the known front running type in the race and with an easy lead could be very dangerous but like 6 of the field its making it debut for the year here but I would expect most will be fit enough to do themselves justice first time out but nothing beats race fitness, the other 3yo Ebro River won a Group 1 in Ireland last year so this is a drop in class but I think it might need this run for fitness but I certainly wouldn't dismiss it lightly but it looks like being the favourite and the old adage is not to back 3yo’s against older horses until at least June, my money will be riding on GARRUS 11/2 who doesn't want any cut in the ground so as long as its genuine good going or faster then I think it has every chance and its another that has raced in better class races and had a run last month which might have got it fit enough to win this race and I like what looks like a positive jockey booking.

Garrus 11/2 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -1pt

1:50 Newmarket Racing Tips (12th April)

NEWMARKET 1.50 

I am hoping the going is at least good and maybe good to firm for the start of the Craven meeting, this is a competitive looking class 2 handicap over 6 furlongs, there is a couple of known front running types in the shape of Ostillo in stall 2 and Boogie Time in stall 13 so it should be a good pace across the field and the latter is capable of producing good ratings but in lower class races than today's and I think will be a biggish price, looking at the early tissue prices Bergerac (6/1) who has finished 3rd both times this year is shorter in price than its chances just because its known to be fit but at that price I would look to lay it, some of the 4yo’s could still have improvement in them and could be slightly hidden dangers so any bets to win this race will kept to a low level, I am hoping that GALE FORCE MAYA 6/1 from stall 3 can get a good tow into this race and then stay on the stronger at the finish, the horse has won or been placed in 20 of its 27 runs on grass, it has good trainer stats and decent jockey stats and has won when returning from a break before so hopefully fit enough to do itself justice in this race. 

Gale Force Maya 6/1 1st +6pts

Lay bet Bergerac +1pt

Total +7pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.15 

This 5 furlong dash looks quite good for a class 5 race and there is a couple of known front running types in the race so it should be a true run affair, I can see two or three that are usually outclassed at this level in Scale Force, Mutabaahy and Amazing Amaya and will be lays if of value to do so while both Brazen Belle and Intervention might be better when racing over a longer distance and the latter won here last time out over an extra furlong and may get outpaced in the early stages here but an inform horse racing again within 3 days of its last victory can be full of confidence and improve for the win so never say never but its not for me, my money will be riding on the top weight OUTRAGE 11/1 who is a 10yo and dropping down in class to run in this race and i am hoping it can lead all the way here, the jockey has an overall strike rate of 23% for the stable and has won on this horse before but with stable having had 10 runners over the last 95 days without a winner my stake will be kept on the low side with an each way bet at the price.

Outage 12/1 4th -1pt

Lay bets Scale Force +1pt, Amazing Amaya +1pt

Total +1pt

Total on the day +8pts 

2:40 Newmarket Winning Racing Tips (18th September)

NEWMARKET 2.40 

I'm hoping the going is good or better here, the course does dry out quickly as its a chalky area so please tread carefully and watch an earlier race if possible to see what the going is like. In this race I will look to lay Beauty Choice 8/1 who might prefer a longer distance than today's to show its best but this should be a fast run affair which should suit it, Equiano Springs 8/1 is one of the two known front running types in this race and it comes out 3rd best on my figures so could make the frame and worth an each way interest, TOUSSARAK 5/2 is the other likely pacesetter and comes out 2nd best on my figures using a time recorded at Goodwood and if getting to the front could prove hard to pass and does have good trainer/jockey stats and has to have some chance especially if my top rated horse WORLD OF WINDHOVER 11/4 doesn't repeat its best time, which it recorded at Yarmouth, over this completely different kind of course so I will be backing both of them to cover the angles. 

Tussarak 5/2 4/1 5th -1pt 

World Of Windhover 18/5 6th -1pt 

Total -2pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.55 

A poor class 6 race even by All-Weather standards but hopefully I've found a gem amidst the dirt, I have marked down both *Iesha and Big Impact as possible lays and are forecast to be single prices in the betting there are other possible lays but I expect them to be outsiders in this field, Blue Cable is my 4th top rated using a 2021 time, Jungle Inthebungle comes out 3rd best using a 2020 time, in 2nd top spot is Bernards Spierpoint but this ones best time wasn't done on this surface, THAKI 7/4 is my top rated and the only known front runner in the race and if getting to the front it ought to prove uncatchable and the trainer and jockey stats hopefully point to the stable expecting it to win here, the price is pants but a reproduction of its last win would see it winning a shade cosily. 

*NR

Thaki 7/4 1st +1.75pts

Lay bets: Big Impact +1pts

Total +2.75pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.00 

A strange looking race with just the one known front runner in the field, I will look to lay Strong Power 10/1 and Show Me A Sunset 11/1 if they are single price figures in the betting, so I'm hoping they are backed a little, the main strange thing is that its impossible to narrow it down to a one horse conclusion so it looks like I will be dutching 3 horses in this race, SEEKING PERFECTION 14/1 who is the front running type and could go well especially if allowed an easy lead and is my 3rd top rated,*TATHMEEN 10/1 is 2nd top rated on just 2021 times and with the apprentice jockeys 5lb claim it moves to top rated on my overall figures but only 1lb above *CANFORD BAY 9/2 who is top rated on just 2021 times so I will go with a win bet and two each way bets.

*NR 

Seeking Perfection 66/1 8th -2pts 

Lay bets: Show Me A Sunset +1pt

Total -1pt

Total on the day -0.25pts

2:45 Newmarket Racing Tips (28th August)

NEWMARKET 2.45 

A 10 runner Listed class race with a couple of front runners, the top weight Summerghand is dropped in class from its recent races and if reproducing its best time from 2020 here over the Rowley course it could win but its been way below that standard time wise so far this year and not worth risking, Adaay To Remember won last time out in a lower class race and might be a progressive type but this is a big jump in class but being a front running type it could go well but not one I would like to rely on, I will be on the side of TABDEED 2/1 who is another dropped in class and comes out as my top rated using its time from Newbury last time out when it finished 2nd and has been found a good opportunity to go one better here, I expect it will be the favourite but I don't mind backing shorter priced horse in races where the prize money is significant. 

Tabdeed 2/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt

BEVERLEY 3.15 

This is a Listed class race with 4 known front runners amongst the field of 12 and both Tis Marvellous and Justanotherbottle could do well from the front as both are in my top 4 ratings, I would look to lay Dakota Gold 5/1 if its a single figure price as I think its better over longer distances but with the likely fast pace here it might play to its strengths but maybe too late for it to win this race, Wise Words my 3rd top rated will be trying to stay on strongly at the finish as will be TARBOOSH 14/1 (EW) who comes out top rated using a time from Musselburgh this year and hopefully it will be an each way price. 

Tarboosh 14/1 9th -2pts 

Lay bet Dakota Gold +1pt

Total -1pt

BEVERLEY 3.50 

A fairly big field of 15 runners with a couple of known pacesetters, until I've seen the betting I'm not sure if there's any worthwhile lays amongst them, Duke Of Firenze, Ventura Flame, Not On Your Nellie and Arnold have times that could make them competitive if at their best, I will be going with 2 wagers in this race firstly LATIN FIVE 11/2 who comes out top rated on just 2021 times and its good enough for 2nd top spot on overall figures and usually stays on strongly at the business end of its races but my top rated DARK SHOT 11/1 is the only natural looking front runner in the field and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch but the trainers 0-17 for the last 2 weeks doesn't fill me with confidence so I will go with the 2 bets to cover the angles. 

Dark Shot 14/1 4th -1pt 

Latin Five 8/1 5th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

WINDSOR 4.20 

A poor turnout of just 7 runners but there is a couple of front running types so it should be a true run race, I will look to lay Libertine Belle 5/1 who might need further to show its best, as for the winner I have to admit its a race where i will have to go with dutching 3 runners, LETHAL BLAST 7/2 is one of the 2 possible pacesetters and could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead as its only 2lb below GLAMOROUS BREEZE 3/1 on just 2021 times but the top weight SECOND COLLECTION 6/1 has a time from 2020 that makes it my top rated by 3lbs so its close between all 3 of them for various reasons and I cannot split them 

Second Collections 6/1 1st +6pts 

Glamorous Breeze 3/1 2nd -1pt 

Lethal Blast 7/2 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Libertine Belle +1pt

Total +5pts

NEWMARKET 5.35 

If this race had any known front running types it would be a cracking race but the lack of known early pace already means my stakes will be kept low, James Watt, Secretinthepark and Nibras Again are all rated within a 1lb of each other in 3rd to 5th top rated so could battle it out to make the frame, in 2nd top spot I've got Han Solo Berger but my top rated is the top weight SOUL SEEKER 8/1 who usually tracks the leaders and then stays on strongly at the finish and I do like it when a horse comes out top rated carrying higher weight against lesser opponents. 

Soul Seeker 8/1 8th -1pt 

Total -1pt

REDCAR 6.45 

With nearly half the field being either 3yo’s or lightly raced sorts this race is hard to analyse but I do think the connections of HAIL SEZER 6/1 have found their horse a good opportunity to follow up from the race it won last time out at Doncaster and recorded a fast time the race before at Carlisle when finishing 2nd which puts it at the top of my speed figures list but the trainers 0-4 for the last 2 weeks means my stakes will be kept low. 

Hail Sezer 6/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt

REDCAR 7.15 

I was going to leave this race alone with once again half the field being 3yo’s or lightly raced sorts but when I checked the time recorded by ABSOLUTE DREAM 4/1 when it won over this course and distance 2 runs ago I was surprised to see it was well above what I would normally expect from a class 6 race, its last race was over 7 furlongs so can be ignored and is quickly dropped back to its winning distance and should confirm the form of its course and distance win over Shes A Deva.

Absolute Dream 4/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -2pts