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Sunday 11 April 2021

3:40 Windsor Racing Tips (12th April)


This I a strange race to analyse simply because of the lack of known front runners, I've marked 4 down as being very much out of form, Green Power, Last Page, Heer We Go Again and Company Minx, but I think they will all be biggish prices, Beyond Equal and My Style might need this run for fitness, with both Edraak and Capotes Dream I'm not sure what to expect as I haven't much data to work with so I couldn't either back them or lay them so I will as usual stick with the proven, Triggered would need to improve time wise to win this race but maybe too big a price to lay, Second Collection comes out 3rd best on my figures and could maybe worth an each way interest, there is only 1lb between, Bimble who is coming off a 183 day break from racing and might just need this run for fitness, in 2nd top spot and THE LAMPLIGHTER 14/1 who sits at the top of my figures, this one had its first run since last October last month and hopefully that has got it into shape for this race, the trainer has a 23% win ratio with their older horses at this course and has employed a cracking 5lb claiming apprentice and that could tip things in its favour but as usual at the price i suggest an each way wager may be the best way to go in this race. 

The Lamplighter 14/1 4th -2pts

Total -2pts


Again a race with no known front runner, I've got 6, London Calling, Akua, Egrecio, Where Next Jo, Lets Get Lucky and Raabeh, marked down as out of form and I expect will all be big prices but i would look to lay any or aloof them if of any value to do so, Al Asef may be better over further so this race might not be run to suit it but its not one I could lay, Sir Rodneyredblood, Kaafy and I'm Watching You are just outside my 3 ratings although the former, Sir Rodneyredblood 5/2 has a time from Lingfield that would make it my joint 2nd top rated so it could possibly make the frame but its not one I would back each way especially at the price, Puchita comes out 2rd top on recent c/d figures but I'm not sure it will run after running on Saturday where it has a good chance of winning but if it does it could make the frame, the other horse in 2nd top spot is Aces 9/1 who is usually held up for a late run but I will be siding with *BERNIES BOY 10/1 who, if the forecast tissue prices are right, will be an each way price and the value call in the race. ( this one finished well to take 3rd on Saturday so maybe the price will not be as big as i hoped) but it is an each way price and that has to be my bet.


Total on the day -2pts

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