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Tuesday, 22 June 2021

5:50 Bath Racing Tips (23rd June)

BATH 5.50 

THE NOSEY PARKER 8/1 I think this one might be better when racing over a longer distance but in its defence it hasn't run on good or good to firm ground at this distance but one i will look to lay.

EQUALLY FAST 7/2 has a time from Chepstow that makes it my top rated on just 2021 times which is always a positive and 3rd best overall, it is usually held up for a late run.

CORONATION COTTAGE 16/1 looks the most likely pacesetter in the race and using its best time from 2020 it comes out in 2nd top spot so could go well from the front and at the price might be worth an each way punt. 

DANA FOREVER 9/1 has only poor recent form and its only run over this distance on good ground didn't produce a time fast enough to register on my figures.

HEER WE GO AGAIN 11/1 has a time from Windsor this year which would make it my 4th top rated but has a good few spots to make up to win this race.

MYSTIFY ME 7/2 a 3yo who comes 5th best on my figures so would need to improve time wise to win this race but it could possibly do so.

HOT SCOOP 6/1 another 3yo who races as though a longer distance would suit it better when racing on good to firm ground but I couldn't lay it as it could still improve.

MOONRAKER 15/2 comes out in top spot using a time recorded over this c/d in 2020 it is capable of winning this race but isn't one to rely to be honest as it has disappointed before. 

GHERKIN 1/1 hasn't any form over this distance and would perhaps be better when tried over a longer distance.

CHERISH 15/2 it has only slow times over this c/d on good to firm ground and is another that may need a longer distance to show its best. 

SUMMARY: I will look to lay the top weight The Nosey Parker 8/1 as I am convinced it needs a longer distance when racing on good to firm ground, betting wise I cannot see any other way than to back 3 runners in this race, EQUALLY FAST 7/2 is my top rated on just 2012 times and the trainer has a decent 17% win ratio with their older horses at this track and the jockey has a 20% win ratio again on all rides for the stable so it makes me think they are expecting a big run but it is only 3rd best on my overall figures but this years times are at times more valuable, CORONATION COTTAGE 16/1 is my 2nd top rated and I think its the one that will set the pace to the race and if allowed an easy lead it could steal the race from the front and has to be worth an each way punt, MOONRAKER 15/2 is my top rated on overall figures and this ones best time was recorded over this c/d which is always a valuable pointer and on its day it is capable of winning this race and if guaranteed to run to its former best it would be my sole bet but it has run poorly before for no apparent reason, I hope you can see there is a valued reason why each one of my three selections could win this race so dutching them looks the best way to attack this race.

Equally Fast 8/1 6th -1pt 
Coronation Cottage 25/1 7th -1pt 
Moonraker 16/1 Unp -1pt 

Total on the day -3pts

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