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Saturday, 28 August 2021

2:15 Goodwood Racing Tips (29th August)

GOODWOOD 2.15 

A nice looking 9 runner class 2 race but I'm not quite sure what will set the early pace so any stakes will be kept low, I would look to lay First Edition if its a single figure price as it might be too far for it if there is a strong early gallop but others might be able to stay on the stronger if the early pace is slow, I will go with backing both TINTO 12/1 and TREACHEROUS 3/1 who are my top rated pair but both using times from 2020 and the latter also comes out 3rd best on just 2021 times Tinto has the better jockey stats while Treacherous has the better trainer stats and I cannot split them so I'm hoping a win bet on the latter and an each way bet of the former will pay dividends. 

Treacherous 7/1 8th -1pt 
Tinto 12/1 9th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

BEVERLEY 4.50 Div I

This isn't a bad race for a class 6 affair and there is one known front runner in the race, I cannot find anything to lay in this race except for some forecast to be big prices horse, I've got Arnold as my 3rd top rated and this one is usually held up for a late run and could make the frame if running to its best, ORCHID ROSE 7/1 is my top rated on just 2021 times using a time recorded earlier this year at Ripon and my 2nd best rated on overall figures but the trainer is 1-13 at this course and the jockey is 1-21 for this stable which is a little off-putting and hasn't shown much time wise in its recent runs, the horse that could lead is ARCHIMEDES 33/1 (EW) and has a time from Bath last year that would make it my top rated but this years times have been nowhere near that level but has sprung back to form before without warning and if allowed an easy lead it could at least try to lead all the way and looking at the tissue prices it will be a big each way price. 

Orchid Rose 28/1 4th -1pt 
Archimedes 80/1 Unp -2pts 

Total -3pts 

BEVERLEY 5.20 Div II

This 2nd division also has just the one known front running type amongst them, I would look to lay Gorgeous General if the going is good to firm, the 3yo Zoom Star finished 2nd on good to firm going but in a slow run affair and that might have flattered it, while another 3yo the bottom weight Sheila's Legacy could prove better when raced over further but I am sceptical about laying 3yo’s unless I'm 100% certain they cannot win, if Newgate Angel can reproduce its best time from 2020 over this course and distance it could make the frame as that time would make it my 2nd top rated horse but my money will be riding on COOL SPIRIT 2/1 who recorded a time this year at Ripon that puts it at the top of my ratings but the trainers 0-4 this last 2 weeks doesn't inspire confidence so my stake wont be at full strength and at the price looks poor value but I cannot find anything to oppose it with.

Cool Spirit 2/1 7th -1pt 

Lay bet Gorgeous General +1pt 

Total 0pts

Total on the day -5pts

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