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Showing posts with label Goodwood. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Goodwood. Show all posts

Saturday, 10 June 2023

3:45 Beverley Racing Tips (11th June)

BEVERLEY 3.45 

5F Class 4 Apprentice Jockeys race A big field of 17 with 5 confirmed front running types amongst them, Saaheq doesn't seem to like really fast good to firm ground so if they don't water the course too much this one may struggle others that might struggle with really fast ground are Reigning Profit and Le Beau Garcon which sounds like a french online casinos I visited and I will look to lay if value to do so. The bottom 2 in the handicap, Ventura Flame and Muker are capable of good ratings but in lower class races but I expect both will be double figure prices. The 2 that are top on recent rating, 2022/23, are Majeski Man who recorded its best rating this year at Nottingham and Resillience who recorded its best last year at Windsor and both are front running types and I will be backing both of them in this race.

Bet: MAJESKI MAN 15/2 Unp -2pts, Small Each Way Bet: RESILLIENCE 40/1 (EW) Unp -2pts

Small Lay: PAPA COCKTAIL 13/2 +1pt,  LE BEAU GARCON 5/1+1pt

Total -2pts

GOODWOOD  4.55 

6F Class 4 I don't think there will be anything of value to lay in this race and the form to finding the winner is a bit muddled but I think I've solved it, Showbiz, which reminds me to visit https://www.casinous.com/online-gambling/ ,is the likely pacesetter and comes out 5th best on my overall figures but 4th on more recent rating only. Epsom Faithful comes out 4th top using both 2021 and recent ratings so could make the frame, Count Otto comes out top using a 2021 rating but hasn't been anywhere near that rating since then, Indian Creak is my 3rd top rated using a rating recorded at Windsor last year but my money will be riding on MOJOMAKER who is only 2nd top rated overall but is top rated on recent, 2022/23, ratings, after shaking off its maiden tag it was raised into Listed and Group class races and has slowly dropped down to class 2 and 3 but this is its 1st run in a class 4 race since its sole victory and looks to have been found a good opportunity to get back to winning ways in this race. 

Bet: MOJOMAKER 6/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -3pts

Thursday, 8 June 2023

6:03 Bath Racing Tips (9th June)

What a joke today for my sprints there's 3 of them all class 4 affairs, a 3 runner race and the other 2 have just 6 runners in each, I can understand if its a class 5 or 6 race then there's usually a good turnout but then moan about the prize money obviously the higher class horse deserves to be running for more money, so all in all it just shows how many poor horses are bred each year, anyways onto the races.

BATH 6.03 

Just 3 runners and none are known as front runners so what will happen I don't know, Amazonian Dream needs to improve to win this race but if its a slow early pace and then a dash for the line anything can happen, I expect GLAMOROUS BREEZE 5/4 will be the favourite and justifiably so and it will be the one that carries my money. 

Glamorous Breeze 11/8 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt

HAYDOCK 7.20 

What makes this race harder is that there is four 3yo’s in the race and they can improve without warning so my stakes are already lowered, if Silent Flame is the fairly short priced favourite, 5/2 on the early tissue prices, then I would look to lay it admittedly it does have good recent form but it will need to improve time wise to win this race if others run up to their previous best. The 2 that come out top on my figures are the 2 known front running types in the race in Cuban Breeze who comes out in 2nd top spot using a rating it recorded at Windsor last year and that is the same course where the 3yo SONG OF SUCCESS 9/1 recorded its best rating both showed a return to form might be at hand in their last performances my money as usual will be on my top rated horse and being a 3yo it could improve further and at the price looks the value call in this race.

Song Of Success 9/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bet: Silent Flame +1pt 

Total 0pts

GOODWOOD 7.35

This race is very very tricky to analyse and I ended up with 2 horses that have recorded speed ratings and the other 4 I have noted down as potential dangers and cannot be laid as they could improve and 2 of the 4 are 3yo’s. So with nothing to lay I don't know where to turn Kensington Agent actually comes out in top spot but that is using a rating it recorded on an artificial surface at Wolverhampton and hasn't recorded a rating on turf, the top weighted SCOT'S GRACE 9/1 has a decent rating for this class of race using a time it recorded at Chester last year so this course should also suit it and if pushed will be the one carrying my money as it looks the value call in the race but again its not a race to be betting too heavily in.

Scot's Grace 18/1 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -2pts

Thursday, 25 May 2023

4:45 Goodwood Racing Tips (26th May)

GOODWOOD 4.45 

A poor turnout of just 6 runners for this class 3 dash with 2 known front running types and they are my top rated pair as well so the race should be won from the front, Angle Land might not want good to firm ground and I'm not sure what to expect from Watchya who has weakened over 6 furlongs but might get outpaced here, Some Nightmare might need further on good to firm ground and Vince Lombardi may prefer a further distance to show its best form, The Defiant is my 2nd top rated but might have got towed along in a fast run race, there is only 1lb between my top 2 but I will be backing LIHOU who has been in the better form of the pair and should prove the stronger nearing the finish. 

Bet LIHOU 3/1 2nd -1pt 
Lay ANGLE LAND 9/2 -4.5pts

Total -5.5pts

PONTEFRACT 8.55 

Again a poor turnout of just 6 runners but this time there is just 1 known front running type and that is Impeach and as this one is my 2nd top rated the others could struggle to catch it but I do have BALLINTOY HARBOUR rated higher using a 2021 rating it recorded and this one runs on well at the business end of its races and likes the good to firm ground. Ventura Express is my 3rd top rated but would need to improve a few spots to win this race and I can see a reason to lay the other 3 runners as they all race as though a longer distance would improve their chances of winning a race. 

Bet BALLINTOY HARBOUR 8/1 5th -1pt  
Lay VINCE LOMBARDI 5/4 + LATE ARRIVAL 5/1 +2pts 

Total +1pt 

Total on the day -4.5pts

Thursday, 28 July 2022

3:35 Goodwood Racing Tips (29th July)

GOODWOOD 3.35 

A Group 2 dash over five furlongs, there are 3 known front runners but I think they will set the race up for a finishing type, I'm not sure if i can find anything of value to lay, Lazuli would be my 3rd top rated but I had to go back to 2020 to find that rating and Clarendone House is my 3rd top on more recent ratings and could do best of those racing near the front, I've got Khaadem in 2nd top spot and only just 1lb below RAASEL 4/1 in top spot and this one has been in very good form lately. 

Raasel 4/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt

SOUTHWELL 4.50 

There looks to be 3 possible pacesetters in this race and of that trio *FREEDOM FLYER 8/1 might do best as it comes out as my 2nd top rated on just 2022 ratings so has to carry some of my money just in case it pinches the race from the front as it is rated only 2lbs below STEELRIVER 6/1 who comes out in top spot and this one also has the best speed figure from just this course since it changed its surface to Tapeta I think Sir Gregory 11/2 is a better prospect on the Polytrack surface and I will look to lay if its a single figure price, Oriental Spirit 9/2 would need to improve upon its best rating from Kempton but this will be its 1st run on this surface so it could possibly improve for the switch or maybe not so I couldn't back it at the price but I'm also not sure I could lay it either. 

*NR
Steelriver 12/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bet Sir Gregory +1pt 

Total 0pts


SOUTHWELL 6.30 

There s 14 runners in this 5 furlong dash and only one front running type, Louis Treize 7/1 may need further to show its best and may be worth laying as long as it doesn't drift in price, the timelines are a little confusing between times on Tapeta at Newcastle and Wolverhampton compared to times here on the same surface, Scale Force 10/1 comes out in top spot on other Tapeta times so could go well here and might be worth an each way interest and it will be trying to stay on at the finish, I will be backing BERNARD SPEIRPOINT 13/2 who comes out in top spot using just times recorded here at Southwell and the trainer has a 19% win ratio at this course with their older horses and is the one that I think will set the pace to the race and i am hoping it can lead all the way to victory. 

Bernard Speirpoint 17/2 8th -1pt 

Total -1pt

MUSSELBURGH 8.20 

Of the 9 runners in this race I can only see Jojo Rabbit who has been known to lead before but time wise it would need to improve a good few spots but if allowed a very easy lead it could possibly pinch this race from the front, both The Thin Blue Line and Never Dark are capable of producing good speed figures but they may be outclassed at this level, Ready Freddie Go likes to track the leaders and could do enough here to make the frame, Only Spoofing is my 2nd top rated and another that likes to track the early pacemakers and is only 2lbs below my top rated horse SHOW ME SHOW ME 12/1 (EW) who can be held up or track the leaders and at the price might be worth an each way wager. 

Show Me Show Me 12/1 3rd +1.4pts

Total +1.4pts

NEWMARKET 8.30 

I cannot find a front running type in this field of 6 but 5 of them like to track the leaders so they could ensure there is a decently fast early gallop, Bossipop might need further to show its best so I'm not sure if this race will really suit it, Concierge is my 3rd top rated with Churchill Bay sitting in 2nd top spot but if LORDSBRIDGE BOY 5/1 can reproduce the speed figure it recorded at Salisbury in 2021 it would win this race with a few spots to spare.

Lordsbridge Boy 5/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -1.6pts

Monday, 25 July 2022

4:10 Goodwood Racing Tips (26th July)

GOODWOOD 4.10 

A big field of 15 with a third of them being known to have led before so it should be a fast and furious dash, price wise I'm not sure if I can find anything of value to lay as there won't be many horses at a single figure price, Equality 13/2 my 4th top rated and Lihou 16/1 my 2nd top rated are possible pacesetters which could see many horses not capable of being involved in the finish, the top weight Atalis Bay 9/1 comes out in 2nd top spot using a time recorded at Haydock last year and usually likes to track the leaders before staying on at the finish but hasn't shown much so far this year in its 3 runs so could be worth an each way punt if bouncing back to form but I will side with STONE OF DESTINY 10/1 who also needs to bounce back to form which it has done before without giving prior notice and this one's best speed figure rating also comes from Haydock last year but the jockey does have a 19% win ration on the stables older horses. 

Stone Of Destiny 10/1 Unp -1pt 

Total -1pt

BEVERLEY 4.20 

A field of 13 for this class 5 dash, there is a couple of horses that are forecast to be single figure prices that could be worth laying, Phoenix Star 6/1 who might need further to show its best form on good to firm ground and the 3yo Where's Diana 9/1 who would need to improve quite a few spots time wise to win this race, Lost My Sock 8/1 races as though further would suit it better but still comes out in 4th top place on my figures so could be worth an each way punt, Buniann is my 3rd top rated using a 2021 rating but hasn't shown much on turf so far this year, my second top rated horse on a time it recorded this year at Ripon is HIGH SECURITY 8/1 who could be the one to set the pace to this race and if allowed to dominate from the front it could prove a very hard nut to catch and being my top rated on just this years figures it has to carry some of my money but I do have LATIN FIVE 18/1 rated higher but that is using a 2021 speed figure and its best so far this year has been way below that level, I will be backing them both to cover the angles the front runner with good trainer/jockey stats and a rating recorded this year and one that runs on at the finish and is my top rated overall and could win if reproducing its best figure from 2021. 

Latin Five 28/1 1st +28pts + EX £294,60 CFS £199,28
High Security 8/1 2nd  

Total +27pts (Exceptional)

YARMOUTH 4.30 

A field of 12 where a quarter of them have been known to lead before and they fill the top 3 places according to my speed figures, Atyaaf is my 4th top rated so could be the one to benefit if the leaders go off too fast and fade badly nearing the finish, I have got joint 2nd top rated horses, King Crimson who recorded its best time in 2021 and has made the frame in all 3 of its runs this year so could go well again here and might be worth an each way interest and Arzaak who also recorded its best figures last year, I think that PRETTY SHIFTWELL 3/1 could be capable of leading the race and its best time from this year would make it my top rated by 2lbs but has a time from 2021 over this course and distance that is far superior compared to recent figures and which would see it winning this race quite cosily. 

Pretty Shiftwell 5/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day +25pts

Thursday, 28 April 2022

2:15 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (29th April)

WOLVERHAMPTON 2.15 

With 9 runners and 1 known front runner it might be an ok race to bet/lay in, for the lays I am looking at Gustav Graves 9/4 and *Capla Spirit 6/1 who both might find the trip too far for them with a good early gallop while Gherkin 3/1 might prefer the Polytrack surface, I've got Decision Maker 16/1 as my 2nd top rated and hasn't been at its best in its latest races but could make the frame if bouncing back to form while I will be backing RED ALERT 12/1 (EW) who is my top rated and does like a decent pace to aim at so this race could be run to suit it and hopefully an each way wager will play dividends. 

*NR

Red Alert 14/1 8th -2pts

Lay bets Gustav Graves +1pt 

Total -1pt 


GOODWOOD 2.40 

A class 2 race with 10 runners and 2 known front runners so it should be a true run affair, as for lays Fine Wine 8/1 may prefer some cut in the ground and has poor trainer stats while Tone The Barone 6/1 may not want to be on the firm side of good, Lihou can produce good ratings but in lower class races but could possibly make the frame, Atlantis Boy could go well and will be trying to run on at the finish, I will be hoping LIVE IN THE MOMENT 11/1 who has a rating from Doncaster last year that makes it my top rated but the trainers 0-14 record at this track is a bit off putting and means my stake will be kept low. 

Live In The Moment 11/1 Unp -1pt 

Lay bet Fine Wine +1pt 

Total 0pts 

GOODWOOD 3.50 

A 10 runner class 3 race with 3 horses that could set the pace to the race, Many A Star 7/1 would be a danger if it was good to firm going but may better in slightly lower class races so I doubt it will be winning this race, I'm not sure if I could lay Crimson Sand 11/2 but it does seem a better prospect on an artificial surface, The Lamplighter and Count Otto will both be trying to stay on at the finish and could possibly make the frame, I will be backing BOWMAN 22/1 (EW) who is dropped in class from its recent runs and jockey is 1-4 for the stable so hope its an omen and that connections are expecting it to get back to winning ways in this race and at the price I can go with an each way wager as a form of insurance. 

Bowman 28/1 8th -2pts

Total -2pts  

NEWCASTLE 7.55

I hope all 8 runners take part in case anything crops up as an each way bet, Tathmeen has been known to lead before but only when nothing else wants to but it doesn't usually win at this level but could make the frame, Spice Store may need a longer trip to show its best and hasn't made the frame in any of its 5 races so will be a lay if a single figure price, Redzone and Athollblair Boy are my 3rd and 2nd top rated and either could make the frame, my money will be riding on GINATO 4/1 but hasn't won from 16 races on the AW tracks but has made the frame in 9 of those races and as it has won on turf it is capable of winning so hoping it breaks its AW duck in this race. 

Ginato 11/2 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWCASTLE 8.30

I'm not sure I can find anything of value to lay in this race but the betting will be the deciding factor, the early pace will be set by either Another Angel and/or Swiss Connection and if the former can repeat its best 2020 rating it could easily make the frame as it would sit in 2nd top spot, I will be placing my faith in BLACKCURRENT 6/1 who has good trainer 28% and jockey 21% stats with their older horses, it finished 2nd last time out and can go one better in this race.

Blackcurrent 6.1 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -5pts

Tuesday, 21 September 2021

2:17 Goodwood Racing Tips (22nd September)

GOODWOOD 2.17 

An eight runner race and I hope all of them take part so there is 3 places up for grabs so I can have an each way bet, nothing is what I would call a natural front running sort in this race but Lockdown has done it before and might be the one to set the pace in this race and as its my 3rd top rated on just 2021 times it could do enough from the front to make the frame but I doubt it will be an each way price, Some Nightmare has the 3rd best speed figure on my overall figures but that was recorded in a lower class race than today's so might get outpaced in this race, Gilt Edge usually runs its race when it has its ideal conditions but is only 4th best on my figures but could make the frame if others falter, Gunmetal is my 2nd top rated but the trainer is 0-4 in the last 2 weeks and the jockey is 0-8 for the stable so my each way money will be riding on THEOTHERSIDE 9/1 (EW) who’s trainer is in decent form with 7 winners in the last 2 weeks and being drawn next door to the likely leader it could get a good tow into the race and then stay on the stronger. 

Theotherside 9/1 4th -2pts 

Total -2pts

REDCAR 3.45 

This is the 1st division of this race and isn't too bad for a class 6 race but the 2nd division is dire and very little data to work with so I will leave the 2nd division alone, there's 3 known pacesetters in this race and it might well be won from the front, I will look to lay Secret Equity which is a bit of a gamble laying a 3yo but its time when it finished 2nd last time was a relatively slow run affair and I don't think this race will be run to suit it but with 3yo’s they are able to still improve but as its a maiden after 9 races i will take the risk, Muatadel, Dirchill and Zamjar have times that could see them go well and with a couple of negatives against their names it might well be Zamjar who does best of the trio but i will be siding with SHE'S A DIVA 9/2 who is a front running type and on the clock has the beating of the other 2 possible pacesetters and once getting to the front it ought to be hard to catch. 

She's A Diva 5/1 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt

REDCAR 4.53 

As to be expected there is 5 front running types in this 5 furlong dash, I can see a few to lay but I'm doubting they will be single figure prices but I will update if something comes to mind when I see the betting, Albegone will be to the fore in the betting but this is a step up in class and is only 5th best on my speed figures,I've got joint 3rd top rated with Koropick and Street Life so they could make the frame, my 2nd top rated is Debawtry but the trainer is 0-4 in the last 2 weeks and will be trying to stay on at the finish but I'm hoping my top rated DAPPER MAN 18/1 who could set the pace and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch and the switch of jockey for this race makes me think connections are expecting it to go well here and at the price it has to be given as an each way wager. 

Dapper Man 18/1 8th -2pts 

Total -2pts

GOODWOOD 4.35 

A nice looking class 4 race with a couple of known front runners which always helps to work out how fast the early pace will be which can help identify a weak horse in the race prime material to lay which will be a shorter price than its actual chance of winning and in this instance that might be Glamorous Breeze 9/2 who in this instance might be outclassed at this level and might find things happening a little bit too quickly even though its speed figure makes it my top rated on just 2021 times and 3rd top overall but then when you multiply its speed figure by its official handicap mark it drops out of my top 4 so I will look to lay it, Just That Lord could go very well if getting to the front being my 3rd top rated but it think it will be set up for a finishing type, Saaheq comes out 2nd top rated but i will be placing my faith and money on ROSE HIP 7/2 who usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish.

Rose Hip 4/1 4th -1pt

Lay bet: Glamorous Breeze +1pt

Total 0pt 

Total on the day -5pts

Saturday, 28 August 2021

2:15 Goodwood Racing Tips (29th August)

GOODWOOD 2.15 

A nice looking 9 runner class 2 race but I'm not quite sure what will set the early pace so any stakes will be kept low, I would look to lay First Edition if its a single figure price as it might be too far for it if there is a strong early gallop but others might be able to stay on the stronger if the early pace is slow, I will go with backing both TINTO 12/1 and TREACHEROUS 3/1 who are my top rated pair but both using times from 2020 and the latter also comes out 3rd best on just 2021 times Tinto has the better jockey stats while Treacherous has the better trainer stats and I cannot split them so I'm hoping a win bet on the latter and an each way bet of the former will pay dividends. 

Treacherous 7/1 8th -1pt 
Tinto 12/1 9th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

BEVERLEY 4.50 Div I

This isn't a bad race for a class 6 affair and there is one known front runner in the race, I cannot find anything to lay in this race except for some forecast to be big prices horse, I've got Arnold as my 3rd top rated and this one is usually held up for a late run and could make the frame if running to its best, ORCHID ROSE 7/1 is my top rated on just 2021 times using a time recorded earlier this year at Ripon and my 2nd best rated on overall figures but the trainer is 1-13 at this course and the jockey is 1-21 for this stable which is a little off-putting and hasn't shown much time wise in its recent runs, the horse that could lead is ARCHIMEDES 33/1 (EW) and has a time from Bath last year that would make it my top rated but this years times have been nowhere near that level but has sprung back to form before without warning and if allowed an easy lead it could at least try to lead all the way and looking at the tissue prices it will be a big each way price. 

Orchid Rose 28/1 4th -1pt 
Archimedes 80/1 Unp -2pts 

Total -3pts 

BEVERLEY 5.20 Div II

This 2nd division also has just the one known front running type amongst them, I would look to lay Gorgeous General if the going is good to firm, the 3yo Zoom Star finished 2nd on good to firm going but in a slow run affair and that might have flattered it, while another 3yo the bottom weight Sheila's Legacy could prove better when raced over further but I am sceptical about laying 3yo’s unless I'm 100% certain they cannot win, if Newgate Angel can reproduce its best time from 2020 over this course and distance it could make the frame as that time would make it my 2nd top rated horse but my money will be riding on COOL SPIRIT 2/1 who recorded a time this year at Ripon that puts it at the top of my ratings but the trainers 0-4 this last 2 weeks doesn't inspire confidence so my stake wont be at full strength and at the price looks poor value but I cannot find anything to oppose it with.

Cool Spirit 2/1 7th -1pt 

Lay bet Gorgeous General +1pt 

Total 0pts

Total on the day -5pts

Thursday, 26 August 2021

2:40 Thirsk Racing Tips (27th August)

THIRSK 2.40 

A 15 runner race with a couple of known front runners, if the going is good to firm I will have a few to lay but I somehow doubt it will dry out that much but hopefully the going will be at least good if not then there won't be any bets, it looks quite a competitive race which I would expect for a class 3 race, the 3yo Just Frank is a possible pacesetter and could go well but hasn't any form on good or good to firm ground, Dazzling Dan, Chairmanoftheboard and Blackheath all have times that could see them make the frame but I am hoping that RATHBONE 5/1 can get away quickly and if getting to the front it could lead all the way. 

Rathbone 5/1 9th -1pt 

Total -1pt

GOODWOOD 4.53 

There is 11 runners but no known front running types amongst them which means my stakes will be kept low, the betting will tell if there is anything worth laying but it doesn't look very promising, I'm Watching You is my 3rd top rated horse but the trainer is 0-17 in the last 2 weeks which doesn't fill me with confidence, Amathus comes out 2nd best on overall figures but top rated on just 2021 times, my money will be riding on EPSOM FAITHFUL 4/1 who finished 2nd last time out on the AW and if it can reproduce its best time from 2020 at Windsor it would be winning a shade cosily. 

Epsom Faithful 4/1 1st +4pts 

Total +4pts

GOODWOOD 7.23 

An 8 runner race with a couple of front runners in Green Door and Liberty Bay and the latter is my 3rd top rated and being a 3yo it could still improve and would need to to win this race but could do enough to make the frame, Attys Edge comes out 2nd best using a time from 2020 but its 2021 is only 1lb below Liberty Bay’s 2021 time, my top rated is GLAMOROUS FORCE 3/1 who’s best time came at Bath and a repeat of that time would see it winning a shade cosily but the trainer is 0-17 in the last 2 weeks although its only 3 weeks since their last win but it does temper my bet so only a small win. 

Glamorous Force 3/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

HAMILTON 7.40

Another 8 runner race with just one known front runner amongst them, there is a few who race as though further would suit them better and this race might not be run to suit them and the betting will guide me to which ones to lay, Melody King comes out in 3rd top spot and will be trying to stay on strongly at the finish, sitting in 2nd top spot is Iris Dancer who is another that will be trying to stay on at the business end of the race but maybe none of them will be able to catch SHESADABBER 12/1 (EW) who could be allowed an easy lead here and being my top rated it will be carrying my money in this race and at the double figure price it has to be an each way bet.

Shesadabber 12/1 7th -2pts

Total on the day 0pts

Saturday, 5 June 2021

4:05 Goodwood Racing Tips (6th June)

GOODWOOD 4.05 

GLOBAL WARNING 3/1 is 0-5 on its turf form, it does have a time on the AW from Newcastle which would make it my 3rd top rated so I'm not sure whether I could back it or lay it so maybe best left alone. 

BEAUTY CHOICE 8/1 has only relatively slow times over this distance and maybe better when tried over further plus the good to firm ground might not be to its liking, the trainer has a 27% win ratio at this course but is 0-6 with the older horses while the apprentice is 1-1 for the stable, contradicting data so what will happen I've no idea. 

BAY WATCH 9/2 is another with relatively slow times and it might be better when running over a longer distance, it also has a poor jockey stats so one I would look to lay at the price. 

EVASIVE POWER 4/1 doesn't make my top 5 time wise while the trainer is 0-10 at this course and it is another that i will look to lay in this race at the price. 

THE LAMPLIGHTER 9/2 has a 2021 time that would make it my 2nd top rated and the time recorded over this c/d in 2020 would see it winning a little cosily. 

MOUNT MOGAN 10/1 hasn't any form to its name on good to firm ground and its best time on the AW track at Wolverhampton would only make it 5th top on my figures. 

EPSOM FAITHFUL recorded its best time in 2019 and hasn't been near that level since then and that time isn't good enough to make my top 3 so maybe one to lay if a single figure price. 

SPRING BLOOM 10/1 (NON RUNNER) this is the only known front runner in the field and does come out 2nd best on my figures so could prove hard to catch and maybe even steal the race from the front. 

SUMMARY: There is a few I will look to lay if they are single figure prices so I cannot say anything more until I've seen the betting, I think that Spring Bloom will set the pace and being my 2nd top rated it could prove hard to catch if getting to the front and I might actually have a smaller covering bet on this horse but my main stake will be on THE LAMPLIGHTER 9/2 who recorded its best time over this c/d which is always a positive and could catch the leader nearing the finish.

The Lamplighter 9/2 1st +4.5pts (Betfair SP -) 

Total on the day +4.5pts

Thursday, 3 June 2021

3:35 Catterick Racing Tips (4th June)

CATTERICK 3.35

The early pace is likely to be set by Redrosezorro and this one could go well if allowed an easy lead but maybe not enough to hold for the win, I would look to lay Seas Of Elzaam 8/1 if it is a single figure price as it may need further to shine and Praxeology 9/2 who doesn't appear to like real fast good to firm going and with a fast early pace can struggle to stay the distance, Music Society would be top rated if I used its best time from 2019 but hasn't been near that level lately, North Wind and Freedom have more recent, 2020/21, times that would make them competitive in this race but my money will be riding on PEARL OF QATAR 6/1 who usually likes to track the leaders and then run on strongly at the finish and the jockey booking makes me think that connections are expecting it to get back to winning ways here. 

Pearl Of Qatar 6/1 4th -1pt

Total -1pt

GOODWOOD 6.30 

A very competitive race for a class 5 affair but I would look to lay Siberian Night who may need further on fast ground, Sir Rodneyredblood could be the one to set the pace and could prove troublesome if allowed an easy lead and it could even do enough to lead all the way but i have 6 other horses that i also think could win this race and if I stuck with my top rating then Amathus and Under Curfew would be the selections but both have poor jockey stats which puts me off a little, Storm Melody, Physics and Iconic Knight are others that also could be in the mix at the finish so this race might be best left alone but if pushed I would go with MADRINHO 10/1 who has a decent speed figure, so looks the value call in the race,but it is the jockey booking that catches my eye with a 31% win ratio for the stable so I am hoping an each way wager will pay dividends. 

Madeihno 10/1 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

BATH 7.40 

A class 4 dash with 9 runners but surprisingly only 1 known front runner amongst them, Many A Star 13/2 might be worth laying as it might need further to show its best and this race might not be run to suit it, the 3yo Asadjumeirah 7/2 is 2nd top rated on 2021 times but drops to 4th on overall figures but could be able to improve further, Zulu Zander has a time from 2020 that makes it my 2nd top rated on all my figures but the jockeys 0-14 on the stables older horses makes me think this one has another target in mind, the top weight Beyond Equal is my 3rd top rated on all figures sing a 2020 time from Windsor but I will be backing UNION ROSE 20/1 who is 3rd top on just 2021 times but its best from 2020 makes it my top rated and it has good, 17%, trainer stats but the jockey has a 25% win ratio for the stable so I'm hoping they are good pointers, it looks the value call in this race and at the price has to be given as an each way punt. 

Union Rose 20/1 EW 6th -2pts 

Total -2pts

DONCASTER 7.53 

There is a couple of front runners in this race so I doubt either can win this race, I would look to lay Treble Treble 7/1 who has only slow times and doesn't really seem to like good to firm ground, I wouldn't put anyone off backing Blackheath, Big Les or Athollblair Boy who all have pieces of form that could see them being concerned in the finish but I am hoping that GHATHANFAR 11/2 from stall 11 can track a front runner housed next door in stall 10 and gain an advantageous early position from which to attack at the business end of the race and the jockey has a decent 15% win ratio on the stables older horses.


Thursday, 29 April 2021

1:00 Goodwood Racing Tips (30th April)

GOODWOOD 1.00 

Only 7 runners but a nice looking class 3 affair except for the lack of early pace, Minhaaj hasn't been in form so looks a likely outsider, Green Power hasn't shown anything time wise since 2019 and maybe another bigger priced horse, Top Breeze may find this distance too far if there is fast early pace so I'm not sure whether to lay it or not but if under 5/1 may be worth taking the risk, Concierge may prefer longer but time wise needs to improve to win this race, Open Wide is 3rd top even if I use its best time from 2019, Atlantis Boy usually stays on at the finish and is my 2nd top rated but I will be backing BIMBLE 5/2 who is usually hold up type so I am hoping there is a decent early pace for it to aim at and has good trainer/jockey stats making me think the connections are expecting it to get back to winning ways here. 

Bimble 5/2 2nd -1pt

Total -1pt 

MUSSELBURGH 3.35 

Another 7 runner race but class 4 this time, where my top 4 ratings all recorded their times this year but once again its a race with no known front runner in the field, Mid Winster may need further to shine so this race might not be run to suit it, Primos Comet sits in 4th top spot but doesn't want really fast ground, the top weight Victory Angel comes out 3rd best and is usually held up for a late run, Afandem my 2nd top rated is another that doesn't want really fast ground, I will be pinning my faith and money on FASHION ADVICE 7/2 who recorded its best time over this c/d and the jockey has a decent 18% strike rate for the stable. 

Fashion Advice 7/2 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHEPSTOW 4.00

Isn't a great race even for class 5 standards, anything I think will be a lay bet looks likely to be too big in price to be worth risking things, Major Valentine comes out 3rd best and Rainbow Mirage in 2nd top spot and both of them recorded their best times at Windsor this year, maybe even the same race as I've not looked as I analyse each horse separately, my money will be riding on VAPE 11/2 who recorded its best time at Salisbury this year and has made the frame in all of its last 3 runs on turf and has been found a good opportunity to get back to winning ways. 

Vape 6/1 5th -1pt

Total -1pt

NEWCASTLE 7.55

This might be a class 5 race but its a nice looking one, there is 3 runners in the race that have been known to lead before so it should be a true run affair, there is very little between Good Night Mr Tom, Tomily, Jungle Speed, Oakenfield and Absolute Dream who are my 6th to 2nd top rated (not in ratings order I worked from the top to the bottom of the handicap) but I will have a punt, and it is a punt on HART STOPPER 13/2 who is my top rated using its best c//d time from last year, it hasn't shown much lately but it won last year on its third run of the year and this is its third run of this year so I am hoping that lightning will strike again this year. 

Hart Stopper 13/2 2nd -1pt 

Total - 1pt

NEWCASTLE 8.25 

Down to class 6 here and gladly there is a couple of known front running types in the race, the top weight Ventura Express is forecast to be the favourite for this race but I have a feeling it is a better horse over a longer trip and that would usually be enough for me to lay it but it is dropped in class in this race, it won over this distance at Pontefract last time out but that course is a lot slower than today's, in fact there's just over 3 seconds difference between them over the minimum trip and a horse covers 19 yards per second at this course so maybe I will lay it if poor value, I've got Quanah, Gorgeous Gobolina and Atyaaf as my co 4th favourites, Suwaan at the bottom of the handicap comes out 3rd best, Another Angel comes out 2nd best on its best effort from 2020 and it is one of the likely pacesetters, the other likely pacesetter is ROCKLEY POINT 7/1 who recorded its time this year which is always a positive and the jockey has a decent 15% win ratio on the stables older horses.

Rockley Point 7/1 3rd - 1pt 

Total on the day -5pts

Friday, 31 July 2020

1:50 Goodwood Racing Tips & Lay Bets (1st August)


GOODWOOD 1.50 

This is the consolation race for the Stewards Cup but that race has got 28 runners so the draw could sway the results so I will leave the main race alone. I have found a few to lay here (Saluti + Music Society + Dark Shot + Dream Today) I expect most will be big priced lays but if they lose the price is irrelevant, Treacherous, The Lamplighter and Highly Sprung could all run well in this race but I will be backing REWAAYAT 3/1 who I expect will be the favourite but as long it's 3/1 or bigger it might be worth backing if priced under that I would leave it alone. 

Rewaayat 3/1 4th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Saluti +1pt, Music Society +1pt, Dark Shot +1pt, Dream Today +1pt

Total: +3pts 

HAMILTON 5.30 

I am taking a bit of a gamble and hoping the going will be good or better here so please check before betting, this is a competitive race for its class and i will only lay (Jordan Electrics 15/2) who won for me last time out but this 2 step rise in class will most likely find it out and if priced 10/1 or under will be worth taking on, theres at least 4 in this race that have been known to lead before so those who struggle to stay 6 furlongs will not have the race run to suit their needs, Galloway Hills is my 2nd top rated overall using a 2019 time from Doncaster but the trainers 0-13 at this course and all its wins have come on relatively faltcourses so the undulations of this course most likely wont suit it, Medicine Jack has the fastest time from just 2020 but that speed figure is only good enough for 4th overall but we know its in form so it could go well but my pennies will be riding on the topweighted DANZAN 6/1 who is a frontrunning type and top rated overall plus the trainer has a decent 20% win ratio at this course and is dropped in class from its previous 3 runs this year. 

*NR 

Danzan 11/1 2nd (-1pt)

Toal: -1pt 

HAMILTON 6.40 

Only 6 runners in this class 3 conditions race, I am not quite sure what to expect from Keep Busy and Istanbul, the two 3yo in the race but the betting seems to think, like myself, that they will need to improve some to win here, the other four all appear to be on downward spirals in their careers so it's maybe not a race to be getting too involved in betting wise but connections appear to have found a very good opportunity for EL ASTRONAUTE 13/8 to get back to winning ways but looking at the tissue prices it's predicted to be the favourite, I am not usually a fan of backing favourites but with a prize fund of nearly 10k to the winner I expect they will all be on the ball. 

El Astronaute 5/2 2nd (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

CHEPSTOW 7.30 

With four 3yo in the race who could prove troublesome, Gold Zabeel is predicted to be one of the favourites and with this being its handicap debut they could have been keeping something in hand, its 3 runs have all been over 7 furlongs where its faded inside the final furlong so this drop to 6 furlongs might seem a good move but they might go too fast for it and it could get outpaced but im not 100% sure of that, the other predicted favourite is Intrepid Italian who has won twice over thsi distance at Lingfield on the AW surface but both times were well poor so would need to improve on the clock to win this race but never say never, i will look to lay (Iconic Knight 13/2 ) who looks a much better horse over shorter distances, my money will be riding on a horse that likes g/f going and if the going is suitable then i think they have found an ideal opportunity for HANDYTALK 16/1 (EW) to get back to winning ways and the trainer does well at this course, a 20% strike rate, with its older horses and as usual when its a big price i would go with an each way wager.

Handytalk 16/1 4th (-2pts)

Lay bet: iconic 13/2 (-6.5pts)

Total: -8.5pts

Total on the day: -7.5pts 

Thursday, 30 July 2020

Pontefract Racing Tips & Lay Bets (31st July)


PONTEFRACT 1.25 

A race with a few lightly raced sorts and it doesn't look a race to be getting too heavily involved in betting wise, I will look to lay (*Magical Effect + Musharrif + Six Strings) as for finding the winner I've narrowed it down to 4 and I think I will be dutching them all, THE ARMED MAN 25/1 (EW) is only 4th top-rated but could be the one to set the pace and with an easy lead could pinch the race from the front so has to be an each-way bet at the price, FIRMDECISIONS 33/1 (EW) is 3rd top on 2020 times and on overall times so has to have a chance so another big enough to back each way, KINDLY 4/1 is 3rd best on 2020 times but is top-rated overall but that figure is only 2lbs higher than *FINAL FRONTIER 16/1 (EW) who’s best time was recorded this year which has to count for something and has to be the 3rd horse to be worth backing each way. 

*NR

Kindly 4/1 2nd (-1pt)
Firmdecisions 33/1 4th (-2pts)
The Armed Man 25/1 8th (-2pts)

Lay best: Musharrif +1pt, Six Strings +1pt

Total: -3pts

GOODWOOD 3.15 

A shame there's only 7 runners and to be honest, it looks like a one horserace and I expect BATTAASH 1/3f will be an odds on favourite, it ought to win cosily according to my speed figures and if pushed I would go with backing the 3-year-old Liberty Beach for the forecast. 

Battaash 1/3 1st 
Liberty Beach 5/1 4th 

Total -1pt 

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.35

Save the best till last, I do prefer the AW racing as I seem to be able to see the overall picture much more easily, I will look to lay (Our Man In Havana + Awsaaf + Creek Harbour + Eastern Star + Kingsman Spirit + Where Next Jo) Cameatchoo is top-rated on just 2020 times and this 3yo could still improve, Pushkin Museum would be in the frame if reproducing its best time but that was back in 2018 and hasn't been at that level for a while now, Perfect Symphony would be in the mix as long as the early pace isn't too fast but that might not happen with Peachey Carnehan in the races this one likes to set the pace and could do enough from the front to stay in the frame so maybe an each-way bet, my money will be riding on FANTASY JUSTIFIER 14/1 (EW) who will be held up for a late run here and is big enough in price to be worth an each-way punt.

Fantasy Justifier 28/1 Unp (-2pts)

Lay bets: Our Man In Havana +1pt, Awsaaf +1pt, Creek Harbour +1pt, Eastern Star +1pt, Kingsman Spirit +1pt, Where Next Jo +1pt

Total: +4pts

Total on the day:  0pts

Sunday, 14 June 2020

1:10 Goodwood Racing Tips & Lay Bets



GOODWOOD 1.10 


A field of 8 runners but with 3 horses that have been known to lead before so it should be a true run race, firstly I will lay (Treacherous 7/4 favourite, who may need further if the going is on the fast side + Quench Dolly who has poor recent form and won't get an easy lead here + *Desert Land 11/4 2nd favourite also might need a longer trip or a slower surface) Pettochside doesn't want the going to be on the firm side and could run well if the going is suitable, The Lamplighter usually stays on strongly at the finish of its races, my money will be riding on the back of THE LACEMAKER 22/1 (EW) who is one of the possible pacesetters and if getting to the front it ought to prove hard to catch and with 8 runners I have to give it as an each-way wager.

*NR

The Lacemaker 66/1 4th (-2pt)

Lay bets: Treacherous - 0.72pts, Quench Dolly +1pt

Total on the day: - 1.72pts

Saturday, 13 June 2020

2:00 Doncaster Racing Tips & Lay Bets (14th June)


DONCASTER 2.00 

Let me start with 3 horses that I will be laying (Lahore + Stake Acclaim + Teruntum Star) Caspian Prince looks the most likely pacesetter in this race and on its best 2018 time that would be enough to see it at least make the frame and could feasibly lead all the way here and maybe worth an each-way interest, the bottom pair Cowboy Soldier and Orvar are capable of recording fast times but would need to improve to win this race if others run to their best, Camacho Chief has decent time from Leicester but this one doesn't seem to want really fast ground, my money will be riding on EMBOUR 6/1 who has its best time from Ascot last year that makes it my top-rated and the jockey booking looks a positive move as he has a 21% win rate on this stables older horses. 

Embour 6/1 4th (-1p)

Lay bets: Lahore -10pts, Stake Acclaim +1pt, Teruntum Star +1pt

Total: -9pts

GOODWOOD 2.20 

Of the 9 runners I will look to lay 2 of them, Corinthia Knight + Puds) I could have put Mrs Bouquet in the lay list but it has good trainer/jockey stats so maybe we haven't seen the best of this horse in its previous races but to me, it looks a better horse at a shorter distance, I can only find one natural frontrunner in the race and if BUNGEE JUMP 10/1 does get to the front it ought to prove very hard to catch as it is my top rated so I'm hoping it can lead from start to finish and this jockey has very good stats for this trainer.  

Bungee Jump 10/1 2nd (-1pt)

Lay bets: Corinthia Knight +1pt, Pud +1pt

Total: +1pt

DONCASTER 2.35 

Only 7 runners for this Listed class race, which I find strange to have so few entrants, I can only find one horse to lay (*Rocket Action) I'm not sure what to expect from Lady In France but I don't think this wants it any faster than good going, if Final Venture can repeat its best 2018 time it would be winning this race but its best from 2019 was way below that level but never say never, Copper Knight is the only known frontrunner in the field and could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead but I will be putting my trust and my money on DAKOTA GOLD 2/1 who usually finishes strongly at the business end of a race and will have a good target to aim at. 

*NR 

Dakota 2/1 5th (-1pt)

Total: -1pt


NEWMARKET 2.45

I'm hoping the rain stays away and the going is at least good, please check before having a bet using my figures, I will look to lay (Prophecy + Native Silver + Sandridge Lad) there's a couple of horses that can lead if needs be but they might not need to today as the bottom weight Pavers Pride is a more natural frontrunner and its best time from 2018 would be good enough to win this race but it has never won at this distance so I'm beginning to think that time might have been a one-off, still though I'm not sure what to expect, others that may go well are Camachess, Englishman and Herringswell but I will be backing VICTORY ROSE 16/1 (EW) who should get a good tow into the race being drawn alongside a fast starter and at the price has to be given as an each-way bet.

Victory Rose 16/1 8th (-2pts)

Lay bets: Prophecy +1pt, Native Silver +1pt, Sandridge Lad +1pt

Total: +1pt

Total on the day: - 8pts

Monday, 2 September 2019

4:10 Catterick Racing Tips (3rd September)


CATTERICK 4.10 (8.4) 

A hard race to analyse with 6 having good chances of winning if going back to 2018 and 2017 for some of their best times and maybe Orions Bow, Highland Acclaim and Zylan are on a downward spiral, Extrasolar is well weighted on its best time but is on a losing streak of 11 which leaves me with the 2 I will be backing, firstly INDIAN PURSUIT 9/1 who is the only known frontrunning sort in the race and if given an easy lead could prove hard to catch and I have only B FIFTY TWO 5/1 rated higher but this one can find the trip a touch too far if the early pace is really fast but I will be backing them both to cover the angles but my stakes won't be at full strength. 

B Fifty Two 11/2 1ST 
Indian Pursuit 9/1 4th


GOODWOOD 5.00 (7.3)

A poor turnout of just 5 runners and Silca Mistress could be the one to set the pace but would need to improve timewise and hasn't been in top form this year, Sweet Pursuit and Wotadoll could be staying on at the finish but my money will be riding on the 3-year-old CHITRA 6/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish. 

Chitra 6/1 2nd 

CATTERICK 5.40 (8.4) 

A competitive race but the lack of known pace puts me off and I won't be betting very heavily in this race, Funkadelic is my 3rd top-rated but the trainers 0-21 record here puts me off this one, Kibaar would be in the mix on its best time from Thirsk in 2018 but my money, well a small amount of it, will be riding on LONGROOM 11/1 who has a time this year that would leave it needing to find a few pounds but a 2018 time at Ripon makes it my top-rated and maybe worth a small each-way punt. 

Longroom 11/1 4th 

SALISBURY 6.30 (8.2) 

Back to 5 runners and 1 known frontrunner in Emaraaty Ana but its best time from 2018 leaves it with something to find and I'm a bit surprised its the 6/4 favourite, Ice Age on a losing run of 13 and Baron Bolt are my joint 2nd top-rated again on times from 2018 while my top rated horse did record its best time this year at Ascot so FOXTROT LADY 13/8 will be burdened by my money.

Foxtrot Lady 13/8 3rd