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Showing posts with label Beverley. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Beverley. Show all posts

Monday, 19 June 2023

7:15 Beverley Racing Tips (20th June)

BEVERLEY 7.15 

5F Class 3 8 Runners The early pace will most likely come from Spring Is Sprung 7/2 but I doubt it can lead all the way but if allowed an easy lead it could make the frame, Dandy Dinmont 15/2, California Gem 5/1 and Hiya Maite 7/2 might all prefer a longer distance to show their best form while Manila Scouse 7/1 might not want the going to be too fast, Devils Angel likes to track the leaders but needs to improve time wise to win this race but I expect it will be the outsider in this race, Embour 14/1 usually tries to stay on nearing the finish so might be worth a small each way punt at the price but my money will be riding on VENTURA FLAME 11/2 who is usually held up for a late run and if able to reproduce its best rating from 2022 at Hamilton it would be winning this race with a bit too spare.

Ventura Flame 11/2 4th -1pt 

Total on the day -1pt

Saturday, 10 June 2023

3:45 Beverley Racing Tips (11th June)

BEVERLEY 3.45 

5F Class 4 Apprentice Jockeys race A big field of 17 with 5 confirmed front running types amongst them, Saaheq doesn't seem to like really fast good to firm ground so if they don't water the course too much this one may struggle others that might struggle with really fast ground are Reigning Profit and Le Beau Garcon which sounds like a french online casinos I visited and I will look to lay if value to do so. The bottom 2 in the handicap, Ventura Flame and Muker are capable of good ratings but in lower class races but I expect both will be double figure prices. The 2 that are top on recent rating, 2022/23, are Majeski Man who recorded its best rating this year at Nottingham and Resillience who recorded its best last year at Windsor and both are front running types and I will be backing both of them in this race.

Bet: MAJESKI MAN 15/2 Unp -2pts, Small Each Way Bet: RESILLIENCE 40/1 (EW) Unp -2pts

Small Lay: PAPA COCKTAIL 13/2 +1pt,  LE BEAU GARCON 5/1+1pt

Total -2pts

GOODWOOD  4.55 

6F Class 4 I don't think there will be anything of value to lay in this race and the form to finding the winner is a bit muddled but I think I've solved it, Showbiz, which reminds me to visit https://www.casinous.com/online-gambling/ ,is the likely pacesetter and comes out 5th best on my overall figures but 4th on more recent rating only. Epsom Faithful comes out 4th top using both 2021 and recent ratings so could make the frame, Count Otto comes out top using a 2021 rating but hasn't been anywhere near that rating since then, Indian Creak is my 3rd top rated using a rating recorded at Windsor last year but my money will be riding on MOJOMAKER who is only 2nd top rated overall but is top rated on recent, 2022/23, ratings, after shaking off its maiden tag it was raised into Listed and Group class races and has slowly dropped down to class 2 and 3 but this is its 1st run in a class 4 race since its sole victory and looks to have been found a good opportunity to get back to winning ways in this race. 

Bet: MOJOMAKER 6/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -3pts

Tuesday, 20 September 2022

Tuesday's Racing Tips (20th September)

LINGFIELD 2.45 

A field of 12 with 3 front runners amongst them, the betting will decide whether there's any lays or not in this race but I am hoping that Michael's Choice will be of value to lay because this front running type wont get its own way in front and time wise it needs to improve to win this race so I doubt it can hold on even if it does lead, the 3yo Kodias Sangarius is my 4th top rated but did record its best rating this year over today's course and distance, Peggoty another 3yo could make the frame being my 3rd top rated, SWISS PRIDE 8/1 is my 2nd top rated and the one that could go well here and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch and in the make-up of this race stall 12 might not be too bad and will be carrying some of my money but i do have YIMOU 7/1 rated higher who hasn't won from 8 previous runs on an artificial surface but in the last 2 weeks the stable has had 3 winners from just 5 runners and I will be backing both of them. 

Yimou 7/1 2nd -1pt 
Swiss Pride 8/1 9th -1pt 

Lay bet Micheal's Choice +1pt 

Total -1pt 

BEVERLEY 3.27 

Just 7 runners for this class 2 conditions race with 3 of them being known to lead before, apart from Sophie's Star who hasn't shown much the other 6 all have pieces of form that would give them a chance in this race, Bedford Flyer is my 3rd top rated and could do best of those coming from off the pace as my top rated pair both like race to the fore, King Of Stars sits in 2nd top spot and could gain control of the rails from stall 3 but JUDICIAL 4/1 is my top rated and a repeat of the rating it recorded at Ascot would see it winning this race and the jockey has a decent 19% win ratio for the stable. 

Judicial 5/1 1st +5pts

Total +5pts

LINGFIELD 3.55 

A class 6 race with 10 runners and just one known front running type, Saxon Village 10/3 is making its handicap debut but races as though a longer distance would be better for it and it might be worth taking the risk and laying it, Shawwaaq another 3yo is my 4th top rated and usually races in midfield during its races, Stake Acclaim comes out in 3rd top spot but hasn't been in good form lately especially its 3 runs this year, Hey Ho Lets Go comes out 2nd best on my figures and is a course and distance winner which is a positive but then so is my top rated HOWZAK 11/1 who is also the one that I think will set the pace to the race and this is a drop in class from some races its competed in lately and time wise it would win cosily if able to reproduce the rating it recorded here in 2021.

Howzak 12/1 1st +12pts 

Lay bet Saxon Village +1pt

Total +13pts

Total on the day +17pts

Sunday, 28 August 2022

4:25 Beverley Racing Tips (28th August)

4.25 BEVERLEY
-  

BRAZEN BELLE 18/1 this horse has been known to bounce back to form without warning and if doing so here it would win with a little bit in hand. 

Brazen Belle 18/1 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt

5.10 YARMOUTH

INTERVENTION 7/2 can be held up or track the leaders and a repeat of its best rating from Haydock (similar type of course) would see it follow up its win from last time out.

Intervention 5/1 +5pts 

Total on the day +4pts

Wednesday, 10 August 2022

2:45 Beverley Racing Tips (11th August)

BEVERLEY 2.45 

In this race I'm not sure what I can find to lay and its maybe best if I leave it until I've seen the betting to see if there's anything of value to lay and it does look likely that I might find one or possibly two to lay, with 3 known front running types in the race it should be a true run affair but I doubt if any of the front runners are capable of leading all the way for the victory, Arnold can produce good speed figures but all of its best form comes in races one level lower than this race, my top 2 rated horses both come from the Paul Midgley stable. In fact the trainer has 3 runners in the race, I'm not so keen on the chances Nibras Again but this ones jockey has the slightly better win ratio for the stable and if its the only one of his trio that's trying it could possibly win this race but if all 3 are trying i think its hard to split VAN GERWEN 13/2 and LATIN FIVE 13/2 the former has the slightly better rating for just 2022 while the latter comes out in top spot overall using a rating it recorded at Nottingham in 2021 so I will be backing them both as I cannot split them. 

Van Gerwen 13/2 4th -1pt 
Latin Five 12/1 5th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

FFOS LAS 3.30 

There's 7 runners and 1 known front running type in Bibulous who has only slow times over this distance on good ground and I'm not sure it likes fast good to firm ground, I think Me Next and Celerity will be outsiders in this race and I doubt they can win, Gilt Edge and Dora Penny are my 4th and 3rd top rated horses, Vape comes out in 2nd top spot and could be the one for the forecast but my money will be riding on RABAT 11/2 who won last time out and has been found the ideal opportunity to follow up in this race .

Rabat 10/1 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -3pts

Monday, 25 July 2022

4:10 Goodwood Racing Tips (26th July)

GOODWOOD 4.10 

A big field of 15 with a third of them being known to have led before so it should be a fast and furious dash, price wise I'm not sure if I can find anything of value to lay as there won't be many horses at a single figure price, Equality 13/2 my 4th top rated and Lihou 16/1 my 2nd top rated are possible pacesetters which could see many horses not capable of being involved in the finish, the top weight Atalis Bay 9/1 comes out in 2nd top spot using a time recorded at Haydock last year and usually likes to track the leaders before staying on at the finish but hasn't shown much so far this year in its 3 runs so could be worth an each way punt if bouncing back to form but I will side with STONE OF DESTINY 10/1 who also needs to bounce back to form which it has done before without giving prior notice and this one's best speed figure rating also comes from Haydock last year but the jockey does have a 19% win ration on the stables older horses. 

Stone Of Destiny 10/1 Unp -1pt 

Total -1pt

BEVERLEY 4.20 

A field of 13 for this class 5 dash, there is a couple of horses that are forecast to be single figure prices that could be worth laying, Phoenix Star 6/1 who might need further to show its best form on good to firm ground and the 3yo Where's Diana 9/1 who would need to improve quite a few spots time wise to win this race, Lost My Sock 8/1 races as though further would suit it better but still comes out in 4th top place on my figures so could be worth an each way punt, Buniann is my 3rd top rated using a 2021 rating but hasn't shown much on turf so far this year, my second top rated horse on a time it recorded this year at Ripon is HIGH SECURITY 8/1 who could be the one to set the pace to this race and if allowed to dominate from the front it could prove a very hard nut to catch and being my top rated on just this years figures it has to carry some of my money but I do have LATIN FIVE 18/1 rated higher but that is using a 2021 speed figure and its best so far this year has been way below that level, I will be backing them both to cover the angles the front runner with good trainer/jockey stats and a rating recorded this year and one that runs on at the finish and is my top rated overall and could win if reproducing its best figure from 2021. 

Latin Five 28/1 1st +28pts + EX £294,60 CFS £199,28
High Security 8/1 2nd  

Total +27pts (Exceptional)

YARMOUTH 4.30 

A field of 12 where a quarter of them have been known to lead before and they fill the top 3 places according to my speed figures, Atyaaf is my 4th top rated so could be the one to benefit if the leaders go off too fast and fade badly nearing the finish, I have got joint 2nd top rated horses, King Crimson who recorded its best time in 2021 and has made the frame in all 3 of its runs this year so could go well again here and might be worth an each way interest and Arzaak who also recorded its best figures last year, I think that PRETTY SHIFTWELL 3/1 could be capable of leading the race and its best time from this year would make it my top rated by 2lbs but has a time from 2021 over this course and distance that is far superior compared to recent figures and which would see it winning this race quite cosily. 

Pretty Shiftwell 5/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day +25pts

Monday, 11 July 2022

2:40 Beverley Racing Tips (12th July)

BEVERLEY 2.40 Div I

What a poor start to the days sprints, a 12 runner race but not one known front running type amongst them which automatically puts me on the back foot, I will look to lay Enraged 7/2 who races as though a longer distance would suit it better and this race doesn't look likely to be run to suit its style, as for the winner I have narrowed it down to 3 runners, BRAZEN BELLE 11/1 is my top rated and won at this distance 2 runs ago at Ripon and then didn't stay the 6th furlong in its last run but the trainer is 0-11 at this course and the jockey is 0-5 for the stable so I couldn't back just this one here, HOT SCOOP 13/2 is my 2nd top rated and will be trying to stay on at the finish so a low early pace might not suit, it also has poor trainer 0-4 and jockey 0-6 stats and its been 38 runners over the last 288 days since the stable last had a winner, my 3rd top rated ELZAAL 6/1 has slightly better trainer/jockey stats and the trainer has had 4 winners in the last 2 weeks, there is only 3lbs between my top 3 ratings so any could win but my stakes will be kept low. 

Elzaal 6/1 3rd -1pt 
Brazen Belle 11/1 Unp -1pt 
Hot Scoop 9/1 Unp 

Lay bet Enraged -4pts

Total -7pts

BEVERLEY 3.10 Div II 

This 2nd division isn't much better apart from the fact it has 2 known front runners, pity there wasn't one in each division, of the 2 I expect Newgate Angel to do best and if allowed an easy lead it could do enough to make the frame as its my 3rd top rated, I will look to lay Gorgeous General 7/1 who has only slow times on turf and is 0-16 on grass and I doubt that will change here, there two 3yo’s Primo 7/2 and Chant For More 9/1 who could be worth laying but I am adverse to laying these youngsters especially when there looks to be a safer lay in the race, Mokaman is my 2nd top rated and usually likes to track the leaders and could stay on to make the frame but i will be backing CUPPACOCO 12/1 (EW) who can be held up or track the leaders and if able to reproduce its best rating from 2021 at Thirsk it would win with a bit in hand and has good trainer/jockey stats with their elder horses with a double figure price on offer it has to be an each way wager. 

Cuppacoco 14/1 Unp -2pts 

Lay bet Gorgeous General +1pt

Total -1pt

CHELMSFORD 8.50 

Nine runners with just one known front running type in the field, I will look to lay Amasova 9/1 who does its best ratings over shorter distances, Bomb Squad does come out 2nd best but that's using a time recorded on the Tapeta surface at Wolverhampton and drops to 3rd best on Polytrack figures only using a time from Kempton but I think a longer trip might suit it better, The Nail Gunner 5/2 has only slow times to its name both here and at Kempton so could be another one to lay especially at such a relatively short price, Brazen Arrow comes out in 2nd top spot on Polytrack times while the one I will be punting on is I AM A DREAMER 14/1 (EW) who is my top rated using a course and distance time it recorded last year and is the front running type I mentioned earlier and if getting to the front and fully fit it could lead all the way for the victory but at the price on offer it has to be an each way bet.

I Am A Dreamer 14/1 7th -2pts 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day -10pts

Friday, 1 July 2022

3:28 Beverley Racing Tips (2nd July)

BEVERLEY 3.28 

A typical Saturday class 4 handicap which is super competitive and to cap it all there's no known front running types in the race and I was going to leave this race alone but looking at the early tissue prices I saw that SOUL SEEKER 20/1 EW was forecast to be a 14/1 shot and if that is the case then it has to be worth an each way punt because if it can reproduce its best speed figure recorded in 2021 at Hamilton it would win this race so an each way punt will hopefully pay dividends and at an even bigger price than forecast I cannot let it run without some sort of a bet on it. 

Soul Seeker 22/1 7th -2pts

Total -2pts

SANDOWN 5.20 

The 2, King Of Stars 12/1 and Mines A Double 5/1 are the 2 known front runners in the race and come out in joint 5th top spot on my figures so will be setting the race up for something attacking later on in the race and the latter might be worth laying at the price, Just Glamorous 7/1 might be worth laying if a single figure price at the off as it doesn't seem to like good to firm ground so I will only know for sure when I've watched an earlier race to see for myself what the going is like as there are plenty of showers forecast all over the country at times, Autumn Flight and Fantasy Master can produce good speed figures but in lower class races or on genuinely good ground, my money will be riding on LIVE IN THE MOMENT 9/1 who has been running in better class races than this one and likes to track the leaders before staying on the stronger at the finish. 

Live In The Moment 9/1 8th -1pt 

Lay bets King Of Stars +1pt, Mines A Double +1pt 

Total +1 

Total on the day -1pt 

CARLISLE 5.50 

A 10 runner class 5 apprentice jockeys handicap with 2 front running types and a 3rd, Corinthia Knight 10/3 that can lead if needs be so perhaps it wont try those tactics in this race and time wise it might not be able to lead if it wanted to as it can struggle to stay the distance with a fast early pace and if a single figure price I will look to lay it another I will look to lay is Somewhere Secret 10/3 who doesn't appear to like the faster going so as long as it doesn't rain I don't think it can win this race, Danzan 9/2 my 3rd top rated and Redrosezorro 6/1 my 2nd top rated are both front running types so should set a blistering early pace and I hope they might push themselves a little too hard and play into the hands of YUKON MISSION 8/1 who has good trainer/jockey usually races in midfield ready to pounce in the closing stages and this race could be run to suit it and with a clear passage pick up the leaders nearing the finish 

NO BET - SOFT GROUND

CARLISLE 6.50 Div I 

Not a bad race for a class 6 affair ten runners and 2 known front runners in Abel Handy and Shesadabber and the latter is my 4th top rated so with an easy lead it could possibly make the frame, I laid Sixcor 5/2 last time it ran and I will lay it again here as it stays on as though further suits it better and its best rating at this distance isn't good enough to win this race I will also look to lay Stanley Snugfit 7/1 who has a slow time recorded on good going and I don't think it likes good to from ground and the trainer is 0-13 at this course, Cuppacoco is my 3rd top rated but doesn't want really fast ground, Twice Adaay comes out 2nd best on time it recorded at Doncaster which is a completely different type of course, my money will be riding on the 3yo JUNGLE BEE 7/2 who finished 2nd last time and has been found an ideal opportunity to go one better in this race and break its duck at the 13th attempt. 

NO BET - SOFT GROUND

CARLISLE 7.20 Div II 

This 2nd division only has 9 runners but looks by far the weaker of the 2 divisions, Quanah 11/2 is the only known front running type in the race but I'm not sure it likes the faster ground so may struggle here and its one I will look to lay, its fairly close between my top 3 rated horses, Shes A Deva is my 3rd top rated but the 7lb’s the apprentice claims makes it joint top rated but its only won once in 16 attempts which isn't prolific the same applies to Elzaal who is 1-17, so I will side with HOT SCOOP 3/1 who has won 3 times in 18 runs and is my original top rated and will be staying on towards the finish of this race.

NO BET - SOFT GROUND

Monday, 9 May 2022

2:20 Chepstow Racing Tips (10th May)

CHEPSTOW 2.20 

I will start with those that I will be looking to lay, Mashaan 13/2 may be better over further and hasn't been in good form of late, Kool Moe Dee 13/2 has only slow times over this distance because with a decent early gallop it struggles to stay the distance and the same applies to Port Noir 10/1 any others will I expect to be double figure priced outsiders, if it wasn't for the fact that the trainer hasn't had a winner from 22 runners over 122 days I would be backing AMATHUS 20/1 as my sole bet but because it does have good trainer stats at this course of 18% and good jockey stats 22% win ratio, I will be backing it along with 2 others, SWEET PURSUIT 25/1 this ones trainer is 1-24 in the last 2 weeks but does have a 18% win ratio at this course and the jockey is 2-9 and 1-2 on the stables older horses, MAC'S DILEMMA 3/1 is my top rated using just 2022 speed figures so has to be considered as the possible winner and it also has good trainer 17% and jockey 38% stats, I cannot see any other way forward other than backing all 3 of them so hopefully again looking at the early tissue prices I will go with 2 each way bets and one win bet. 

Mac's Dilemma 3/1 1st +3pts 
Amathus 14/1 5th -2pt 
Sweet Pursuit 40/1 Unp -2pts 

Lay bets Mashaan +1pt, Kool Moe Dee +1pt, 

Total +1pt 

BEVERLEY 3.10 

There isn't a great deal of data to work with for a fair few in this race which is a bit off-putting, I can see a couple of possible pacesetters in Jean's Maite and Refuge but I doubt either could lead all the way for the victory but the pace not be the fastest of gallops which wont help me analyse the race properly, after narrowing down as best I could I came up with Son And Sannie 13/8 but according to the early tissue prices it looks likely to be the favourite and I doubt it will of value to back in my opinion so it might be best to leave this race alone. 

LINGFIELD 6.15 

I can only see Harbour Storm 13/2 leading this race, unless something else changes its usual running tactics, but I doubt it will be able to lead all the way as it seems to be better on the Tapeta surface and would need others to falter to even make the frame so one to lay if a single figure price, using the early tissue prices as a guide I will be hoping to lay Perfect Symphony 8/1 who might find the distance too far for it and San Juan 7/1 may also struggle to stay the distance, Maahle Vee, Independence Day and Bungledupinblue are my joint 3rd and 2nd top rated horses but I will be backing GRIGGY 5/1 who is usually held up for a late run and is drawn in the adjacent stall to the one I think will lead so could get a good tow into the race and after being ridden by apprentice jockeys recently the jockey booked for this race has a 3 wins from 7 races for the stable and 3 from 6 with the stables older horses so it looks that connections are expecting it to get back to winning ways. 

Griggy 5/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bets Harbour Storm +1pt

Total 0pts 

Total on the day +1pt

Wednesday, 20 April 2022

1:55 Beverley Racing Tips (21st April)

BEVERLEY 1.55 

A class 5 race over the five furlong dash distance and hopefully the going is good and good to firm in places and I hope they don't over-water, be better if they didn't water at all, the one problem with this race is the lack of known front running types but I think I have found something worthwhile to put forward, I think that Lady Nectar 6/1, Tees Spirit 7/2 and Camachess 9/2 are all better horses over a longer distance so this race might not be run to suit them, I can find very little time wise between Not On Your Nellie, East Street Revue and Teruntum Star if producing their former best, that leaves JAMES WATT 9/2 and *VAN GERWEN 14/1 who are both out of the Paul Midgley stable and are my two top rated horses, looking at the jockey bookings it would seem that the latter is their first choice in the race but my figures have the former rated slightly higher and the apprentices allowance takes it even further ahead although the betting does agree with my reckoning, if either are trying they can win this race a shade cosily according to my speed figures and instead of trying to second guess the trainers plans I will be backing both of them even with such a difference in price as I would be really annoyed with myself if the outsider won and I hadn't backed it. 

*NR

James Watt 11/2 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 6.07 

Only 6 runners here for a class 3 race which looks a bit of a nightmare to find a satisfactory conclusion, Prontissimo, Saaty and Secret moment have all had no more than 4 runs on an AW track so the data is limited and I cannot discount any of the trio with utmost confidence which means if I do bet it will be to low stakes, I would look to lay Whittle Le Woods if a single figure price as I think this trip is too short for it to show its best and needs to improve a good few spots time wise to win this race, Puerto De vega comes out 2nd best on my figures which leaves me with NIGEL NOTT 13/2 who is the only one known to front run in this race and also being my top rated it could lead all the way here and win with a bit in hand, it has finished 2nd on its last 3 runs and has been found an opportunity to go one better in this race and definitely looks the value call in the race.

Nigel Nott 10/1 3rd -1pt 

Lay bet Whittle Le Woods -4pts 

Total -5pts 

Total on the day -6pts

Tuesday, 12 April 2022

2:50 Beverley Racing Tips (13th April)

BEVERLEY 2.50 

The big question is, which horse/s if any will be fit enough to do themselves justice coming back from a break from racing with 10 of the 16 runners fitting this question, if *Miss Nay Never is a single figure price it will be one I will look to lay if its a single figure price, I doubt much else will be of value to lay as for a bet my stakes will be kept low, if Ey Up Its Maggie runs again after running on Monday it could go well and it has been known to lead so could have some degree of a chance to win this race but i will be relying on the other one that I think will lead or at least contest the lead and stall one is the plum draw so if *SOUND REASON 9/2 does get to the front it could prove hard to catch and this one does have good trainer/jockey stats but with more questions than answers my stake will be kept low. 

*NR 

No bets

NEWMARKET 3.00 

A nice looking Group 3 race with 8 runners and one known front runner in the race, there's two 3yo’s who could be open to improvement, Last Crusader is the known front running type in the race and with an easy lead could be very dangerous but like 6 of the field its making it debut for the year here but I would expect most will be fit enough to do themselves justice first time out but nothing beats race fitness, the other 3yo Ebro River won a Group 1 in Ireland last year so this is a drop in class but I think it might need this run for fitness but I certainly wouldn't dismiss it lightly but it looks like being the favourite and the old adage is not to back 3yo’s against older horses until at least June, my money will be riding on GARRUS 11/2 who doesn't want any cut in the ground so as long as its genuine good going or faster then I think it has every chance and its another that has raced in better class races and had a run last month which might have got it fit enough to win this race and I like what looks like a positive jockey booking.

Garrus 11/2 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -1pt

Saturday, 28 August 2021

2:15 Goodwood Racing Tips (29th August)

GOODWOOD 2.15 

A nice looking 9 runner class 2 race but I'm not quite sure what will set the early pace so any stakes will be kept low, I would look to lay First Edition if its a single figure price as it might be too far for it if there is a strong early gallop but others might be able to stay on the stronger if the early pace is slow, I will go with backing both TINTO 12/1 and TREACHEROUS 3/1 who are my top rated pair but both using times from 2020 and the latter also comes out 3rd best on just 2021 times Tinto has the better jockey stats while Treacherous has the better trainer stats and I cannot split them so I'm hoping a win bet on the latter and an each way bet of the former will pay dividends. 

Treacherous 7/1 8th -1pt 
Tinto 12/1 9th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

BEVERLEY 4.50 Div I

This isn't a bad race for a class 6 affair and there is one known front runner in the race, I cannot find anything to lay in this race except for some forecast to be big prices horse, I've got Arnold as my 3rd top rated and this one is usually held up for a late run and could make the frame if running to its best, ORCHID ROSE 7/1 is my top rated on just 2021 times using a time recorded earlier this year at Ripon and my 2nd best rated on overall figures but the trainer is 1-13 at this course and the jockey is 1-21 for this stable which is a little off-putting and hasn't shown much time wise in its recent runs, the horse that could lead is ARCHIMEDES 33/1 (EW) and has a time from Bath last year that would make it my top rated but this years times have been nowhere near that level but has sprung back to form before without warning and if allowed an easy lead it could at least try to lead all the way and looking at the tissue prices it will be a big each way price. 

Orchid Rose 28/1 4th -1pt 
Archimedes 80/1 Unp -2pts 

Total -3pts 

BEVERLEY 5.20 Div II

This 2nd division also has just the one known front running type amongst them, I would look to lay Gorgeous General if the going is good to firm, the 3yo Zoom Star finished 2nd on good to firm going but in a slow run affair and that might have flattered it, while another 3yo the bottom weight Sheila's Legacy could prove better when raced over further but I am sceptical about laying 3yo’s unless I'm 100% certain they cannot win, if Newgate Angel can reproduce its best time from 2020 over this course and distance it could make the frame as that time would make it my 2nd top rated horse but my money will be riding on COOL SPIRIT 2/1 who recorded a time this year at Ripon that puts it at the top of my ratings but the trainers 0-4 this last 2 weeks doesn't inspire confidence so my stake wont be at full strength and at the price looks poor value but I cannot find anything to oppose it with.

Cool Spirit 2/1 7th -1pt 

Lay bet Gorgeous General +1pt 

Total 0pts

Total on the day -5pts

Friday, 27 August 2021

2:45 Newmarket Racing Tips (28th August)

NEWMARKET 2.45 

A 10 runner Listed class race with a couple of front runners, the top weight Summerghand is dropped in class from its recent races and if reproducing its best time from 2020 here over the Rowley course it could win but its been way below that standard time wise so far this year and not worth risking, Adaay To Remember won last time out in a lower class race and might be a progressive type but this is a big jump in class but being a front running type it could go well but not one I would like to rely on, I will be on the side of TABDEED 2/1 who is another dropped in class and comes out as my top rated using its time from Newbury last time out when it finished 2nd and has been found a good opportunity to go one better here, I expect it will be the favourite but I don't mind backing shorter priced horse in races where the prize money is significant. 

Tabdeed 2/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt

BEVERLEY 3.15 

This is a Listed class race with 4 known front runners amongst the field of 12 and both Tis Marvellous and Justanotherbottle could do well from the front as both are in my top 4 ratings, I would look to lay Dakota Gold 5/1 if its a single figure price as I think its better over longer distances but with the likely fast pace here it might play to its strengths but maybe too late for it to win this race, Wise Words my 3rd top rated will be trying to stay on strongly at the finish as will be TARBOOSH 14/1 (EW) who comes out top rated using a time from Musselburgh this year and hopefully it will be an each way price. 

Tarboosh 14/1 9th -2pts 

Lay bet Dakota Gold +1pt

Total -1pt

BEVERLEY 3.50 

A fairly big field of 15 runners with a couple of known pacesetters, until I've seen the betting I'm not sure if there's any worthwhile lays amongst them, Duke Of Firenze, Ventura Flame, Not On Your Nellie and Arnold have times that could make them competitive if at their best, I will be going with 2 wagers in this race firstly LATIN FIVE 11/2 who comes out top rated on just 2021 times and its good enough for 2nd top spot on overall figures and usually stays on strongly at the business end of its races but my top rated DARK SHOT 11/1 is the only natural looking front runner in the field and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch but the trainers 0-17 for the last 2 weeks doesn't fill me with confidence so I will go with the 2 bets to cover the angles. 

Dark Shot 14/1 4th -1pt 
Latin Five 8/1 5th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

WINDSOR 4.20 

A poor turnout of just 7 runners but there is a couple of front running types so it should be a true run race, I will look to lay Libertine Belle 5/1 who might need further to show its best, as for the winner I have to admit its a race where i will have to go with dutching 3 runners, LETHAL BLAST 7/2 is one of the 2 possible pacesetters and could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead as its only 2lb below GLAMOROUS BREEZE 3/1 on just 2021 times but the top weight SECOND COLLECTION 6/1 has a time from 2020 that makes it my top rated by 3lbs so its close between all 3 of them for various reasons and I cannot split them 

Second Collections 6/1 1st +6pts 
Glamorous Breeze 3/1 2nd -1pt 
Lethal Blast 7/2 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Libertine Belle +1pt

Total +5pts

NEWMARKET 5.35 

If this race had any known front running types it would be a cracking race but the lack of known early pace already means my stakes will be kept low, James Watt, Secretinthepark and Nibras Again are all rated within a 1lb of each other in 3rd to 5th top rated so could battle it out to make the frame, in 2nd top spot I've got Han Solo Berger but my top rated is the top weight SOUL SEEKER 8/1 who usually tracks the leaders and then stays on strongly at the finish and I do like it when a horse comes out top rated carrying higher weight against lesser opponents. 

Soul Seeker 8/1 8th -1pt 

Total -1pt

REDCAR 6.45 

With nearly half the field being either 3yo’s or lightly raced sorts this race is hard to analyse but I do think the connections of HAIL SEZER 6/1 have found their horse a good opportunity to follow up from the race it won last time out at Doncaster and recorded a fast time the race before at Carlisle when finishing 2nd which puts it at the top of my speed figures list but the trainers 0-4 for the last 2 weeks means my stakes will be kept low. 

Hail Sezer 6/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt

REDCAR 7.15 

I was going to leave this race alone with once again half the field being 3yo’s or lightly raced sorts but when I checked the time recorded by ABSOLUTE DREAM 4/1 when it won over this course and distance 2 runs ago I was surprised to see it was well above what I would normally expect from a class 6 race, its last race was over 7 furlongs so can be ignored and is quickly dropped back to its winning distance and should confirm the form of its course and distance win over Shes A Deva.

Absolute Dream 4/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -2pts

Wednesday, 11 August 2021

2:45 Ffos Las Racing Tips (12th August)

FFOS LAS 2.45 

I am not very familiar with this relatively new flat course but for a class 5 affair this doesn't look a bad race, I will look to lay Wild Flower 4/1 who may need a longer trip if the going is good to firm which is forecast for this meeting but with no known front runners in the race my stakes wont be very big, I'm not sure what to expect from the 3yo Gosnay Gold, I think it might need a longer distance before it shows its best form but I'm not sure enough of my assessment to lay it, the top weight Handytalk has a time from last year at Salisbury that makes it my 2nd top rated and it also has good trainer/jockey stats so it looks like connections are expecting a big run and i might well have a covering bet on it because my top rated CREEK HARBOUR 5/1 has a poor trainer stat with the stable being 0-6 in the last 2 weeks and its last winner was 20 days ago but the jockey booking is also a positive looking one so I hope this will stay on the strongest at the finish. 

Creek Harbour 5/1 3rd -1pt 

Lay bet Wild Flower +1pt

Total 0pts 

BEVERLEY 3.10 

Ten runners in this dash over 5 furlongs, I cannot see anything of value to lay when looking at the tissue prices but I will no more nearer the off, Arnold might be outclassed in this race but he is one that can record a fast time but usually in a class lower than this race, Thrilla In Manila, Young Tiger, Wades Magic and Mutabaahy all have times that could see them contest for a place in the frame, DARK SHOT 15/2 is one of the 2 known front running types in this field and could prove hard to catch if getting to the front especially if it can reproduce its best time from Leicester last year which make it my top rated so has to be worth a wager but it hasn't been anywhere near that level on my figures so far this year but I can see this one possibly leading all the way if on a going day but just in case its not at its best I will also be backing DEBAWTRY 5/1 who usually stays on strongly over this distance and the jockey booking makes it look as though connections are hopeful of a big run in this race. 

Debawtry 7/1 2nd -1pt 
Dark Shot 15/2 6th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

LINGFIELD 6.08 

A nice looking class 3 sprint with 12 runners and 2 known front running types and both of them are in my top 3 ratings, firstly I will look to lay both Jack The Truth 7/1 and Lady Celia 6/1 who both might find it hard to stay the distance in a fast run early paced race, IRISH ACCLAIM 8/1 comes over from Ireland for this race and the trainer is in good form, 13-78, in the last 2 weeks and could be the one to prosper if the front runners tire nearing the finish, BENEFIT STREET 5/1 won last time on turf at Newmarket and has a time from 2020 that would give a degree of a chance to follow up here also it is well drawn in stall 2 for a front runner and its best time from 2020 puts in the mix, PAPA STOUR 7/1 is my top rated and another possible pacesetter and stall 4 shouldn't be a problem in the make-up of this race but this ones best time was recorded at Chelmsford so I'm hoping it can repeat that time on the same surface but at this course. 

Benefit Street 16/1 4th -1pt
Irish Acclaim 18/1 6th -1pt 
Papa Stour 15/2 Unp -1pt 

Lay bets Jack The Truth +1pt, Lady Celia +1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 8.22 

A poor turnout of just 6 for this dash over five furlongs, True Hero could be the one to set the pace and its best time from Newcastle would make it my 2nd top rated but I am of the feeling this isn't its favoured surface also the trainer is 0-8 in the last 2 weeks so it could be one to lay, Jumira Bridge is my 3rd top rated but this one hasn't been showing much recently so its not for me in this race, the top weight Lilklan won for me last time out but that was over 6 furlongs and it isn't as good over this shorter distance, the trainer is 0-5 at this course but the jockey has a very good win ratio when riding for this stable but no jockey can perform miracles if this is the wrong distance for it, I will be taking a punt on STREET PARADE 4/1 who likes to track the leaders and waiting to pounce in the latter stages of the race plus its best time from last year does make it my top rated.

Street Parade 7/1 3rd -1pt 

Total on the day -4pts

Monday, 26 July 2021

2:40 Beverley Racing Tips (27th July)

BEVERLEY 2.40 

A 9 runner race where I can only find Show Yourself 3/1 to have led before but it is held by Ava Go Joe on today's revised terms where the former won by half a length getting 10lbs from the runner-up but today there is only 6lbs between them with again the winner being ridden by a 5lb claiming apprentice but both would need to improve time wise against some of these but being 3yo’s they could still have enough improvement within them, I will look to lay Impressor if its a single figure price as I don't think it will appreciate the going if its good to firm, Ventura Flame 9/1 is my 3rd top rated using a time recorded this year at Hamilton and its the sort of horse that I think will be able to repeat its best and it could be a nice each way bet, the bottom weight Mutabaahy 12/1 is my 2nd top rated on a time when it won at Ripon this year but the one for me in this race is LATIN FIVE 7/1 as its my top rated using a time it recorded at Nottingham earlier this year and the jockey has a reasonable strike rate on the stables older horses.

Latin Five 12/1 6th -1pt 

Total on the day -1pt 

Sunday, 18 July 2021

1:35 Ayr Racing Tips (19th July)

AYR 1.35 

A race with 8 runners so lets hope they all run, I cannot find a guaranteed pacesetter amongst them which is something that always puts me on the back foot and any bets the stakes are kept on the low side, Global Humor is my 3rd top rated using a time recorded at Hamilton in 2020, in 2nd top spot is Amazing Alba who might like this race as it can struggle to stay this far if there's a fast early pace but I will stick with backing my top rated STRONSAY 11/4 who can run in midfield or track the leaders and hopefully it can cover any moves whatever way this race is run and a repeat of its time from Hamilton this year would see it winning it a shade cosily. 

Stronsay 100/30 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt

BEVERLEY 6.15 

A big field of 17 for this race and a couple of front runners to make sure there's a fast early pace, I'm not sure if there's anything of value to be worth laying, as for the winner I have 5 of them with positive marks against their names and have some chance of winning this race but I will discard two of them but I cannot narrow it down any further and I will go with dutching the three remaining horses, DARK SHOT 8/1 is the one that I think will lead in this race and comes out top rated using a time from Leicester last year that might be a little bit higher than it should be but with a soft lead it could be very dangerous, VAN GERWEN 10/1 is my top rated on just 2021 times which it recorded at Ripon and likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish, *NOT ON YOUR NELLIE 7/1 is 2nd top rated on just 2021 times and also 2nd top on overall figures using a time from 2020 and usually is held up or races in midfield and then stay on at the business end of the race. 

*NR 

Dark Shot 8/1 2nd -1pt 
Van Gerwin 22/1 Unp -1pt

Total -2pts

WINDSOR 7.35 

There is 2 known front running types in this race so it should be a true run affair, I will look to lay Huraiz and Lihou if they are a single figure price as they might prefer a longer distance to shine while I would also lay Firepower 13/2 as its been in poor form lately that is if they are single figure prices, Rose Hip would be top rated using a time from Leicester last year but the time of that race is starting to look like a bit of a fluke time, Second Collection would be another contender using its best time from 2020 over this course and distance, the early pace may well be set by Glamorous Anna who recorded its best time at Newbury last year but I will be backing the top weight A SURE WELCOME 3/1 who usually finishes fast over this distance and this ones best time was recorded this year over this course and distance which is always a bonus.

A Sure Welcome 9/2 7th -1pt

Lay bets Lihou +1pt, Huraiz +1pt

Total on the day -2pts

Friday, 2 July 2021

3:27 Beverley Racing Tips (3rd July)

BEVERLEY 3.27 

12 runner race where it is very competitive between my top five ratings, I will look to lay Obee Jo who may prefer some cut in the ground and it was a slow time when it finished 3rd on good to firm last time out and may also prefer a longer distance, East Street Revue seems to be gradually getting a little bit slower each year and is another I will look to lay, Night On Earth hasn't been in form lately and comes out 4th best on my figures, Young Tiger is 2nd top on just 2021 times and 3rd top overall but has poor trainer/jockey stats with their older aged horses, Latin Five is my top rated on 2021 times but drops to 2nd on overall figures but the jockeys 0-6 for the stable is a bit off-putting but I might back it as a covering bet but my main bet will be DARK SHOT who hasn't done a fast time so far this year but its best time from Leicester last year would see it winning a shade cosily but this ones trainer/jockey stats are on the poor side so my stakes will be kept on the low side but the trainers record for the last 2 weeks has been 2 wins from just 9 runners so i have to back it. 

DARK SHOT 7/2 1PW 2nd -1pt  
OBEE JO 4/1 2PL +2pts
EAST STREET REVUE 7/1 2PL +2pts

Total +3pts

CARLISLE 7.20 

Of these 11 runners I can see 3 that like to lead and Denzil's Laughing is one of them but it sets a slower pace when allowed to lead and wont be able to do that here so it becomes a lay in my opinion if a single figure price, another possible pacesetter Shesadabber only comes out 5th top rated on my figures so I doubt it could hold on for the lead but I also doubt it is fast enough to lead with a faster horse in the race, Gunnerside comes out 4th best using a time from this year at Ayr, Afandem has a time that makes it my 3rd top rated but I have a feeling that time might be a one off where it got towed along in a fast run affair so I think it might have been flattered and a shorter price than it ought to be, Debawtry is actually my top rated by 2lb’s but its recent form has been way below that level and the jockeys 0-4 record for the stable also puts me off its chances so I will be putting my money on SAMBUCCA SPIRIT 12/1 who is the 3rd front runner in the race and if getting to the front it ought to prove hard to catch and the trainer does have a good 23% win record with their older horses and I like the jockey booking as it is his first ride on this horse. 

SAMBUCCA SPIRIT 12/1 1PEW 5th -2pts 
DENZILS LAUGHING 8/1 2PL +2pt

Total on the day +3pts


Wednesday, 21 April 2021

2:10 Beverley Racing Tips (22nd April)

BEVERLEY 2.10 

A decent class 5 dash (5 furlongs) with 11 runners and to make it that much more difficult there is a known front runner in the field, Nibras Again 4/1 has a time from 2019 that would see it competing to make the frame but last years best was quite a bit below that level time wise and looks poor value on recent times, Ventura Flame 16/1 recorded a time at Musselburgh this year but I think it might have got towed along in a fast run race and the form might be questionable, which is reflected in the price, Debawtry 9/1 my joint 3rd top rated on overall figures has that time from 2019 that would put it in the mix but hasn't shown much since but admittedly from very little racing and I think its better when raced over further, Star Prize 12/1 is 2nd top rated on recent, 2020/21, times but drops to joint 3rd on overall figures, I tipped up DAPPER MAN 7/2 on Monday when it finished 2nd at Pontefract after winning impressively the time before that at Ripon, it is the only known front runner in the field and could lead all the way here and a repeat of its time from Ripon would see it back to winning ways. 

DAPPER MAN 1PW 7/2 4th -1pt

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 6.15 

Only 6 runners where Breath Of Joy 4/1 can lead if nothing else wants to but is versatile with its racing tactics and comes out 2nd best on my figures using its best time from Kempton in 2020 so could go well, Mountain Brave is the more natural front running type but seems to want to set a slower pace and its overall times have been poor, Raaeb 2/1 comes out 3rd best on my figures but that's using a Newcastle time, which is a different surface, but hasn't raced here before meaning it will have to improve for the switch to this course to win this race but that doesn't mean it cant improve but as usual I will stick with the proven and I certainly couldn't back it at the price, Corinthia Knight 8/1 has only slow recent times to its name even when it won while Punchbowl Flyer 8/1 might prefer a slower surface which leaves me with the one i will be backing, SHIMMERING DAWN 2/1 who can be held up or track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish and if able to reproduce its best time from 2020 over this c/d it would see it winning a shade cosily. 

SHIMMERING DAWN 3PW 2/1 5th -1pt

Total on the day -2pts

Tuesday, 13 April 2021

1:50 Newmarket Racing Tips (14th April)

NEWMARKET 1.50 

A nice looking class 2 handicap and a couple that have been known to lead, Going Places only seems to lead if nothing else wants to so may not have to lead here and it may be better over further so may not even be able to lead and it may be one i will look to lay if it is of value to do so, two others I will look to lay if of value are Stone Circle and Gunmetal, the former may also prefer a longer trip and the latter who is actually my 2nd top rated, may be outclassed at this level and it doesn't want the going to be too firm, Additional is the one I think will set the pace and could be very dangerous if allowed a soft lead but then again it might need this run for fitness, I couldn't back or lay this one, I think Dazzling Dan has a chance to make the frame even though its only 4th on my figures, I will split my stakes in this race backing both CHIL CHIL 8/1 who ha a decent time from 2020 but it is a 2019 time that makes it my 3rd top rated and this one has a positive looking jockey booking it has a break to overcome but has one after a break before, the other bet is COUNT OTTO 10/1 who produced its best time last year over this c/d so I'm hoping it can do so again. 

Count Otto 10/1 1 Point Win 1st +10pts (Betfair SP 11.12) CSF £68.44
Chil Chil 8/1 1 Point Win 2nd -1pt 
Gunmetal 2 Points Lay +2 pts
Goin Place 1 Point Lay +1pt
Stone Circle 1 Point Lay +1pt

Total +13pts

BEVERLEY 4.00 

I can only find 1 natural front runner in this 5 furlong dash, I will look to lay Muscika and Queens Order if a single figure price, Jawwaal, Ginger Jam, Music Society and Saluti all like to stay on at the business end of a race but all need to improve time wise if others run to their best, Nibras Again is capable of recording a good time but this one might be outclassed in this class 3 affair, my 2nd top rated is King Of Storms 9/2 and it could be the one to set the pace to the race and recorded its best time this year when winning at Bath so has to be respected and it could be the one for the forecast but I wasn't expecting it to be the favourite, I will be hoping that VICTORY ANGEL 10/1 can improve on its 4th place on its last run at Musselburgh and that's where it recorded its top time, so being this year it is another in good heart and as usual at the price I have to go with an each way wager. 

Victory Angel 1 Point Each Way 1st +12pts (Betfair SP 8.4) 
Queens Order 2 Points Lay +2pts
Muscika 1 Point Lay +1pt

Total on the day +28pts

Monday, 21 September 2020

2:40 Beverley Racing Tips & Lay Bets (22nd September)


BEVERLEY 2.40 

Only 6 runners for this class 2 conditions race worth over 12k to the winner, you would expect more entries, I would lay (Aljaady 7/4 who might need further on g/f ground) the pace will be set by Caspian Prince and/or Ornate and they are my 3rd and 3nd top rated horses but I'm hoping ORVAR 12/1 can track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish 

Orvar 12/1 2nd (-1pt) 

Lay bet: Aljaady 11/10 - (1.1pts) Betfair SP 2.28)

Total: - 2.1pts  

BEVERLEY 3.15 

A big field of 17 and a couple i will look to lay are (Gamesome 9/1 + Royal Brave 5/1) the former may want further and the latter hasn't shown much timewise since 2018, there's a few with pieces of form/times that could put them in the mix, Burtonwood, Atyaaf and Hello Girl but my money will be riding on DAPPER MAN 8/1 who I'm hoping can get to the front early doors and then prove hard to catch and can hopefully lead all the way. 

Dapper Man 8/1 Unp (-2pts) 

Lay bets: Gamesome +1pt, Royal Brave +1pt

Total: -4pts

LINGFIELD 4.15 

As usual I will start with those I will hope to lay (Thrilla In Manila + Zulu Zander + Champagne Supanova) there's a few that could run well in this race, Cappananty Con, Green Door, Brenner Pass, Equipped and Shining all have the odd piece of good/form times and could battle to make the frame but once again i will be backing the horse that has a good chance to lead all the way and that's the 3yo AUTUMN TRAIL 5/1 who in the make-up of this race could gain control of the rails from stall 6 and if leading should prove hard to catch.

Autumn Trail 5/1 8th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Thrilla In Manila +1pt, Zulu Zander +1pt, Champagne Supanova +1pt

Tota: +2pts 

Total on the day: -4.1pts