2:15 Goodwood Racing Tips (29th August)

GOODWOOD 2.15 

A nice looking 9 runner class 2 race but I'm not quite sure what will set the early pace so any stakes will be kept low, I would look to lay First Edition if its a single figure price as it might be too far for it if there is a strong early gallop but others might be able to stay on the stronger if the early pace is slow, I will go with backing both TINTO 12/1 and TREACHEROUS 3/1 who are my top rated pair but both using times from 2020 and the latter also comes out 3rd best on just 2021 times Tinto has the better jockey stats while Treacherous has the better trainer stats and I cannot split them so I'm hoping a win bet on the latter and an each way bet of the former will pay dividends. 

Treacherous 7/1 8th -1pt 

Tinto 12/1 9th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

BEVERLEY 4.50 Div I

This isn't a bad race for a class 6 affair and there is one known front runner in the race, I cannot find anything to lay in this race except for some forecast to be big prices horse, I've got Arnold as my 3rd top rated and this one is usually held up for a late run and could make the frame if running to its best, ORCHID ROSE 7/1 is my top rated on just 2021 times using a time recorded earlier this year at Ripon and my 2nd best rated on overall figures but the trainer is 1-13 at this course and the jockey is 1-21 for this stable which is a little off-putting and hasn't shown much time wise in its recent runs, the horse that could lead is ARCHIMEDES 33/1 (EW) and has a time from Bath last year that would make it my top rated but this years times have been nowhere near that level but has sprung back to form before without warning and if allowed an easy lead it could at least try to lead all the way and looking at the tissue prices it will be a big each way price. 

Orchid Rose 28/1 4th -1pt 

Archimedes 80/1 Unp -2pts 

Total -3pts 

BEVERLEY 5.20 Div II

This 2nd division also has just the one known front running type amongst them, I would look to lay Gorgeous General if the going is good to firm, the 3yo Zoom Star finished 2nd on good to firm going but in a slow run affair and that might have flattered it, while another 3yo the bottom weight Sheila's Legacy could prove better when raced over further but I am sceptical about laying 3yo’s unless I'm 100% certain they cannot win, if Newgate Angel can reproduce its best time from 2020 over this course and distance it could make the frame as that time would make it my 2nd top rated horse but my money will be riding on COOL SPIRIT 2/1 who recorded a time this year at Ripon that puts it at the top of my ratings but the trainers 0-4 this last 2 weeks doesn't inspire confidence so my stake wont be at full strength and at the price looks poor value but I cannot find anything to oppose it with.

Cool Spirit 2/1 7th -1pt 

Lay bet Gorgeous General +1pt 

Total 0pts

Total on the day -5pts

2:25 Pontefract Racing Tips (28th June)

PONTEFRACT 2.25 

A 13 runner class 5 race with a couple of known front runners and I think Breaking Records will be the pacesetter and could do enough to make the frame on its best time from 2020 being my joint 3rd top rated along with Round The Island who will be trying to stay on nearing the finish, I've got HURSTWOOD 6/1 as my 2nd top rated and to help its cause it being ridden by a 7lb claiming apprentice who has 1-3 record for the stable so it might be a positive booking but I do have MR ORANGE 12/1 (EW) rated a few spots higher but this ones best time was recorded last year and so far this year it hasn't shown much but this one is capable of bouncing back to form without prior warning and could be worth an each way punt. 

Mr Orange 12/1 5th -2pts 

Hurstwood 13/2 8th -1pt 

Total -3pts

LINGFIELD 3.15 

A 7 runner race with 3 known front running types and two of them Faustus and Lethal Blast are capable of winning this race from the front, I will look to lay Stake Acclaim who seems to prefer a bit of cut in the ground, Ehrmann hasn't any form on good to firm going so not sure what to expect from it, Red Alert has a time from 2018 that would make it my 2nd top rated but hasn't been in good form time wise since then, if pushed i will side with FAUSTUS 7/2 but it would only be for a small stake. 

Faustus 7/2 1st +3.5pts

Lay bet Stake Acclaim +1pt

Total +4.5pts

PONTEFRACT 3.55 

Only 6 runners but a hard race to analyse and not much to say about the race, AL SIMMO 9/4 and/or ARAMIS GREY 5/2 could set the pace to the race and the race might well be won from the front, the former is my top rated one a time from this year and is a more natural looking pacesetter while the latter is versatile with its racing tactics which does include leading. 

Al Simmo 9/4 1st +2.25pts

Aramis Grey 2nd -1pt 

Total +1.25pts

WINDSOR 7.00

I cannot find anything of value to lay in this race, the only known front runner is Zim Baby but it seems to prefer some cut in the ground, I wouldn't put anyone off backing any of, Atalantas Boy 12/1, Chairmanoftheboard 16/1, One Night Stand 9/2 or Dazzling Dan 13/2 who all have pieces of form that would put them in the mix and maybe an each way wager might pay dividends but i will be backing TINTO 7/1 who finished 2nd last time out and if able to reproduce its best from Newmarket last year then it could goon better in this race and this one has a positive looking good jockey booking. 

Tinto 7/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

MUSSELBURGH 7.45 

A hard race to analyse to a conclusion but I will look to lay Thrilla In Manila 15/8 favourite who did win last time out in a class 6 race but I am not convinced it will be able to reproduce it in this class 5 affair and it looks poor value at the price and another lay is Wades Magic 4/1 who doesn't seem to reproduce its best form on good to firm ground, as for the winner I will dutch 3 horses with each way bets, MAJOR PUSEY 12/1 who will one day manage to hold on when it leads, ECONOMIC CRISIS 16/1 who will be trying to stay on at the finish and BLAZING HOT 16/1 another possible front runner so I hope one of them can lead all the way but also cover the angles with one I think will stay on at the finish.

Economic Crisis 16/1 2nd -1pt 

Blazing Hot 18/1 4th -1pt 

Major Pusey 12/1 8th -1pt 

Total on the day -1.25pts

6:50 Nottingham Racing Tips (14th June)

NOTTINGHAM 6.50 

LATIN FIVE 8/1 likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger nearing the finish and races as though further might help its cause but this race could be run to suit it. 

SALUTI 8/1 usually tracks the leaders and then stays on at the finish and comes out 3rd best on my speed figures so could make the frame. 

NIBRAS AGAIN 12/1 hasn't shown much time wise since 2019 and usually stays on at the business end of a race but the jockeys 0-8 makes me think this race isn't its target. 

BLAZING HOT 10/1 is one of the two known front runners in the race and comes out 2nd best on my figures and could be hard to catch if getting an easy lead but I doubt that will happen but could make frame so maybe value to do as an each way punt. 

EEH BAH GUM 3/1 is the other one of the two known front running types in the race and its best time from 2019 would make it my 3rd top rated so could make the frame but its not an each way price. 

HELVETIAN 8/1 this one looks as though a longer trip would help its cause and would need to improve time wise to win this race. 

BIRKENHEAD 12/1 is a hold up type of horse but it may struggle to catch the leaders in this race and isn't in my top 4 speed ratings. 

TOMSHALFBROTHER 7/2 the trainer has a decent 22% win ratio here with their older horses but this one might be better over a longer distance and one I will look to lay at the price. 

MAY THE SIXTH 20/1 hasn't any turf form to its name and it would need to improve on its best AW time which came at this distance at Wolverhampton. 

CONCLUSION: Blazing Hot and/or Eeh Bah Gum look the likely pacesetters and the former is my 2nd top rated so could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead but I think they could set this race up form the top weight. LATIN FIVE 8/1 who likes a fast pace to aim at and its best time was recorded this year so is my top rated on both recent and overall speed figures. 

Latin Five 9/1 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

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WINDSOR 7.30 

EDRAAK 3/1 comes out 4th top rated on my figures and is usually held up in the rear or in midfield to come with a late run and its best time did come from this year but isn't an each way price. 

TINTO 16/1 is usually held up for a late run and is my 2nd top rated but the apprentices 3lb claim makes it very tight between my top 2 ratings and looks worth an each way punt. 

OPEN WIDE 11/1 is my 3rd top rated and likes to track the leaders so could do enough to make the frame if an each way price. 

IVANTHEENGINE 11/2 has poor recent form to its name in its only 2 races this year and its best time which was at Wolverhampton wouldn't win this race so maybe worth laying if a single figure price.

INDIAN CREEK 4/1 usually likes to race in the midfield in its races and time wise it would need to improve to win this race and may not catch the leaders quickly enough.

A SURE WELCOME 7/2 I think this is the one that will set the pace in this race and is my top rated so ought to prove very hard to catch. 

CONCIERGE 10/1 has only slow times from its recent races and may be a better prospect when tried over further than today's 6 furlongs. 

HAN SOLO BERGER 11/1 has only slow times over this distance mainly due to the fact it looks better when tried over a shorter distance. 

CONCLUSION: Only the one known front runner so A SURE WELCOME 7/2 could go well from the front if allowed an easy lead and will be carrying some of my money but to cover the angles I will also be backing TINTO 16/1 who is usually held up for a late run and there is very little between them on the clock and looks worth having a small each way bet because it looks value at the price.

Tinto 16/1 2nd -1pt 

A Sure Welcome 7/2 3rd -1pt

Total on the day -3pts

3:05 York Racing Tips & Lay Bets (18th July)

YORK 3.05 

Even I get tired of writing this but please check the going before betting if you cant I would advise you to not to have a bet, I don't want to lose you any money. There's 9 runners in this Listed class dash, (El Astronaute still runs ok but it isn't the horse it used to be and may struggle here + Moss Gill will need to improve timewise to win this race) so I will look to lay this pair, I'm not 100% sure how good or bad the 2 3yo’s are but betting wise they don't seem fancied and would both have to improve to win this race, I think this race will be won from the front unless they cut each other's throats having a ding dong battle to gain control up front, Que Amora is my 3rd top-rated, Equilateral comes out 2nd best but my money will be riding on ALPHA DELPHINI 15/2 who should prove hard to catch if getting to the front. 

Alpha Delphini 12/1 8th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Moss Gill -6pts, El Astranaute +1pt

Total: -6pts

YORK 4.10 

A field of 20 is usually enough to put me off but a couple of pointers made me think I might have found and each way opportunity, the draw can make a difference at this course and I will be backing the horse with the highest draw, HIGHLY SPRUNG 15/2, who is a known frontrunner and with the rails to help it then it could lead all the way but my stakes will not be at full tilt. 

Highly Strung 25/1 Unp (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

NEWBURY 4.00 

A cracking Group 3 race where I will look to lay (Judicial who might not stay the distance in the make-up of this race with some fast pacesetters) Summerghand is my 3rd top-rated overall and 2nd top-rated on just 2020 time, TIS MARVELLOUS 14/1 (EW) is 3rd best on 2020 times but has a time from 2019 that would make it my overall top-rated and it is one of the likely pacesetters and if getting to the front could have every chance to lead all the way so has to be an each-way punt, TINTO 9/1 (EW) is top-rated on just 2020 times and that figure is only 2lbs below the overall top-rated so I will have to back them both each way to cover the angles. 

Tis Marvellous 14/1 7th (-2pts)

Tinto 12/1 Unp (-2pt) 

Lay bet: Judicial +1pt

Total: -3pts 

BATH 5.05

There's 11 runners in this race with 3 known frontrunners, so it should be a genuine paced affair and the race, could easily be won from the front, King Crimson may struggle to lead in this race but Archimedes is my 2nd top-rated and a from the front it can be dangerous, it hasn't been in the best of form lately is capable of bouncing back to form without prior warning but my top rated is also a frontrunning type and if CORONATION COTTAGE 5/1 gets to the front it could be hard to catch and has been found an opportunity to go one better than its 2nd place finish on its last run.

Coronation Cottage 13/2 7th (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

Total on the day: -11pts