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Saturday 20 November 2021

1:45 Lingfield Racing Tips (20th November)


Its been a long week without any All-Weather racing to look at, I don't bet on National Hunt racing they always seem to fall when I back them. A nice looking class 4 race to get back into the swing of things, four of the ten runners are three year olds and the oldest horse in the race is only a six year old. ROSE HIP 8/1 hasn't any surface form to its name but has a fast time from on turf which gives it a decent chance, it has poor jockey stats but then it has been dropped in class to run here so I will be backing it to some degree as it could win if repeating its best grass form, Enduring 12/1 likes to lead but only by setting a slow early pace and it wont be allowed that luxury in this race and could be worth laying if a single figure price while Letha Blast 12/1 may be outclassed at this level and another one to lay if of value to do so, the trainer of Lucky Ava hasn't had a winner in the last month but does ok at this course and the jockey also has a reasonable record for the stable and its best time from 2020 would put it in the mix so I couldn't back or lay this one with any confidence, with 4 known front runners in this race they could go off at a breakneck pace and leave the door open for something coming form off the pace, although Buy Me Back 14/1 from stall 2 could do best of those early paced types and therefore might be worth an each way punt at a double figure price, so I will be betting on SON AND SANNIE 5/1 who has a time from 2020 over this course and distance which makes it my top rated and it also has good trainer and jockey stats. I will be backing both horses but with my stakes most likely to be tilted in the favour of the latter selection. 

Rose Hip 12/1 1st +12pts
Son And Sannie 15/2 7th -1pts

Total +11pts


A field of 13 for this class 5 race, Vape 12/1 hasn't got any form over this course and distance and it may need a longer distance to show its best form but I doubt it will be a single figure price but I will lay it if that does happen, I will also be looking at Gustav Graves 8/1 in terms of a lay bet as I am not convinced it really stays this far if there is a fast early pace which I think will happen in this race. Gowanlad 5/1 time wise would be in the mix if able to reproduce its best time from 2020 but the trainer has only a single figure win ratio at this course and the jockey is 0-11 for this stable which is enough to put me off its chances in this race, the 3yo Highest Ambition is a maiden on the All-Weather tracks after 6 previous attempts and time wise it would need to improve on its best time which was recorded last year, Princely is 0-12 on the All-Weather courses and looks better over a shorter distance, Good Earth could be the one to set the pace to this race but may not be good enough to hold on and may be pushed for the lead by the 3yo GIVE EM THE SLIP 12/1 who is versatile with its racing tactics and does come out top rated on just this years course and distance times and at the double figure price it has to be worth an each way interest, i will also be backing CAMACHESS 6/1 who comes out 2nd top rated on this years times and usually runs on strongly at the finish over this distance and if they do go off too fast this one could be the one to prosper but my stakes will be tilted in favour of the former selection.

Give Em The Slip 12/1 5th -1pt
Camachess 10/1 6th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day +9pts

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