1:45 Lingfield Racing Tips (20th November)

LINGFIELD 1.45 

Its been a long week without any All-Weather racing to look at, I don't bet on National Hunt racing they always seem to fall when I back them. A nice looking class 4 race to get back into the swing of things, four of the ten runners are three year olds and the oldest horse in the race is only a six year old. ROSE HIP 8/1 hasn't any surface form to its name but has a fast time from on turf which gives it a decent chance, it has poor jockey stats but then it has been dropped in class to run here so I will be backing it to some degree as it could win if repeating its best grass form, Enduring 12/1 likes to lead but only by setting a slow early pace and it wont be allowed that luxury in this race and could be worth laying if a single figure price while Letha Blast 12/1 may be outclassed at this level and another one to lay if of value to do so, the trainer of Lucky Ava hasn't had a winner in the last month but does ok at this course and the jockey also has a reasonable record for the stable and its best time from 2020 would put it in the mix so I couldn't back or lay this one with any confidence, with 4 known front runners in this race they could go off at a breakneck pace and leave the door open for something coming form off the pace, although Buy Me Back 14/1 from stall 2 could do best of those early paced types and therefore might be worth an each way punt at a double figure price, so I will be betting on SON AND SANNIE 5/1 who has a time from 2020 over this course and distance which makes it my top rated and it also has good trainer and jockey stats. I will be backing both horses but with my stakes most likely to be tilted in the favour of the latter selection. 

Rose Hip 12/1 1st +12pts

Son And Sannie 15/2 7th -1pts

Total +11pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30 

A field of 13 for this class 5 race, Vape 12/1 hasn't got any form over this course and distance and it may need a longer distance to show its best form but I doubt it will be a single figure price but I will lay it if that does happen, I will also be looking at Gustav Graves 8/1 in terms of a lay bet as I am not convinced it really stays this far if there is a fast early pace which I think will happen in this race. Gowanlad 5/1 time wise would be in the mix if able to reproduce its best time from 2020 but the trainer has only a single figure win ratio at this course and the jockey is 0-11 for this stable which is enough to put me off its chances in this race, the 3yo Highest Ambition is a maiden on the All-Weather tracks after 6 previous attempts and time wise it would need to improve on its best time which was recorded last year, Princely is 0-12 on the All-Weather courses and looks better over a shorter distance, Good Earth could be the one to set the pace to this race but may not be good enough to hold on and may be pushed for the lead by the 3yo GIVE EM THE SLIP 12/1 who is versatile with its racing tactics and does come out top rated on just this years course and distance times and at the double figure price it has to be worth an each way interest, i will also be backing CAMACHESS 6/1 who comes out 2nd top rated on this years times and usually runs on strongly at the finish over this distance and if they do go off too fast this one could be the one to prosper but my stakes will be tilted in favour of the former selection.

Give Em The Slip 12/1 5th -1pt

Camachess 10/1 6th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day +9pts

2:17 Goodwood Racing Tips (22nd September)

GOODWOOD 2.17 

An eight runner race and I hope all of them take part so there is 3 places up for grabs so I can have an each way bet, nothing is what I would call a natural front running sort in this race but Lockdown has done it before and might be the one to set the pace in this race and as its my 3rd top rated on just 2021 times it could do enough from the front to make the frame but I doubt it will be an each way price, Some Nightmare has the 3rd best speed figure on my overall figures but that was recorded in a lower class race than today's so might get outpaced in this race, Gilt Edge usually runs its race when it has its ideal conditions but is only 4th best on my figures but could make the frame if others falter, Gunmetal is my 2nd top rated but the trainer is 0-4 in the last 2 weeks and the jockey is 0-8 for the stable so my each way money will be riding on THEOTHERSIDE 9/1 (EW) who’s trainer is in decent form with 7 winners in the last 2 weeks and being drawn next door to the likely leader it could get a good tow into the race and then stay on the stronger. 

Theotherside 9/1 4th -2pts 

Total -2pts

REDCAR 3.45 

This is the 1st division of this race and isn't too bad for a class 6 race but the 2nd division is dire and very little data to work with so I will leave the 2nd division alone, there's 3 known pacesetters in this race and it might well be won from the front, I will look to lay Secret Equity which is a bit of a gamble laying a 3yo but its time when it finished 2nd last time was a relatively slow run affair and I don't think this race will be run to suit it but with 3yo’s they are able to still improve but as its a maiden after 9 races i will take the risk, Muatadel, Dirchill and Zamjar have times that could see them go well and with a couple of negatives against their names it might well be Zamjar who does best of the trio but i will be siding with SHE'S A DIVA 9/2 who is a front running type and on the clock has the beating of the other 2 possible pacesetters and once getting to the front it ought to be hard to catch. 

She's A Diva 5/1 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt

REDCAR 4.53 

As to be expected there is 5 front running types in this 5 furlong dash, I can see a few to lay but I'm doubting they will be single figure prices but I will update if something comes to mind when I see the betting, Albegone will be to the fore in the betting but this is a step up in class and is only 5th best on my speed figures,I've got joint 3rd top rated with Koropick and Street Life so they could make the frame, my 2nd top rated is Debawtry but the trainer is 0-4 in the last 2 weeks and will be trying to stay on at the finish but I'm hoping my top rated DAPPER MAN 18/1 who could set the pace and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch and the switch of jockey for this race makes me think connections are expecting it to go well here and at the price it has to be given as an each way wager. 

Dapper Man 18/1 8th -2pts 

Total -2pts

GOODWOOD 4.35 

A nice looking class 4 race with a couple of known front runners which always helps to work out how fast the early pace will be which can help identify a weak horse in the race prime material to lay which will be a shorter price than its actual chance of winning and in this instance that might be Glamorous Breeze 9/2 who in this instance might be outclassed at this level and might find things happening a little bit too quickly even though its speed figure makes it my top rated on just 2021 times and 3rd top overall but then when you multiply its speed figure by its official handicap mark it drops out of my top 4 so I will look to lay it, Just That Lord could go very well if getting to the front being my 3rd top rated but it think it will be set up for a finishing type, Saaheq comes out 2nd top rated but i will be placing my faith and money on ROSE HIP 7/2 who usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish.

Rose Hip 4/1 4th -1pt

Lay bet: Glamorous Breeze +1pt

Total 0pt 

Total on the day -5pts

4:10 Catterick Racing Tips (7th September)

CATTERICK 4.10

MILITIA a possible pacesetter but would need to improve time wise to win this race and the trainers win ratio is only 8% at this course. 

BUY ME BACK the jockey is 0-4 and the trainers strike-rate with their older runners is a poor 5% and has had 1 winner from 19 runners in the last 2 weeks.

MACHREE has poorish trainer/jockey stats and the trainer is also 0-17 for the last 2 weeks while puts me off its chances.

ASTROZONE has poor trainer stats and its best time from the last 2 years leaves it well short of whats needed to win this class 4 race. 

DAPPER MAN a possible pacesetter and my top rated on just 2021 times at this level and its best speed figure from Hamilton makes it my top rated on my overall figures. 

DARK SHOT has been known to lead but hasn't done so lately but its best time from 2020 at Leicester would make it my 2nd top rated but it could struggle to lead here which could hamper its chance of winning. 

SPANISH ANGEL has poorish jockey stats and time wise would need to improve to win this race but could go well if able to reproduce its best 2020 speed figure.

THRILLA IN MANILLA has poorish trainer/jockey stats but it is capable of making the frame if running to its best speed figure rating. 

ECONOMIC CRISIS the trainer is 1-63 at this course and the jockey 0-17 for the stable and maybe doesn't like good to firm ground.

AUCKLAND LODGE this one might be outclassed at this level but is capable of recording a fast time in the right grade.

SUMMARY: With 6 of the 10 runners having been known to lead I think this race should be won from the front as long as they don't go off too fast from the off, I am going to side with DAPPER MAN 4/1 who admittedly hasn't the best of the draw in stall 8 but it ought to be away fast enough to lead or at least gain a good early prominent position and then a reproduction of its best Hamilton time would see it get back to winning ways here. 

Dapper Man 9/1 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt

WINDSOR 4.15 

There's 7 runners in this race with 2 horses known as front running types and they are my 4th top rated, Anjella and my 2nd top rated Hello Me so maybe the rest of the field may struggle to get involved, Sarah's Verse is my 3rd top rated and this one is a hold up type but I will be putting my money on the top weight SECOND COLLECTION 10/3 who is another hold up type and it likes a fast pace to aim at so this race should be run to suit it, the trainer has had 6 winners in the last 2 weeks so is in good form and could add to his total here. 

Second Collection 9/2 2nd -1pt

Total -1pt 

WINDSOR 5.15 

Just 5 runners but luckily 2 of them have been known to lead before so the early pace could be set by either/or Pop Dancer and Just That Lord and the pair of them are only separated by 1lb on my figures and Pettochside is rated just 1lb higher but none of them are in my top 2 ratings, ROSE HIP 3/1 is my 2nd top rated on just 2021 times but has a time from last year that moves it to top spot so has to be backed in case it can repeat last years best time but I will also be backing AUTUMN FLIGHT 5/4 who is top rated on just this years times and the trainer has a decent 15% win ratio at this course.

Rose Hip 3/1 2nd -1pt 

Autumn Flight 7/4 3rd -1pt 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day -4pts

2:38 Salisbury Racing Tips (13th June)

SALISBURY 2.38 

A 6 runner dash, 5 furlongs, with just the bottom weight Coronation Cottage 10/1 known as a front running type and its best time from Bath last year puts it in 2nd top spot on my figures but that time was recorded in a lower class race and it may struggle here unless allowed an easy lead but as the other 5 runners are all known to track the leader I doubt that will happen and i would look to lay it if a single figure price another i will look to lay is Beyond Equal 7/2 who is forecast to be the favourite but this one looks better when raced over further and may stay on too late to win this race, my money will be riding on ROSE HIP 2/1 who has recorded a reasonable speed figure for this year but it is its best time from 2020 that makes it my top rated and the jockey does have a 17% win ratio for the stable so I'm hoping that's a good omen. 

Rose Hip 3/1 3rd -1pt

Total -1pt

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DONCASTER 3.15 

Another 6 runner dash with both Mountain Peak my 4th top rated and Caspian Prince my joint 2nd top rated known as front running types so it should be a true run affair, Royal Birth is my other joint 2nd top rated but I had to go back to 2019 to fins this ones best speed figure but this ones best form this year is very much lower, Ginger Jam and Jawwaal both need to improve time wise to win this race which leaves me with the top rated INDIAN SOUNDS 10/1 who usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish so this race could be ideal for it. 

Indian Sounds 10/1 3rd -1pt

Total -1pt

SALISBURY 3.38 

Yet again another 6 runner race with one known front running type in Mum's Tipple and Cairn Gorn who is versatile when it comes to racing tactics and that does include leading, the former is my 3rd top rated using a time from 2019 but hasn't shown as much since then, the latter is a 3yo so could still improve and it needs to to win this race but it was racing in higher class races last year but this is its 1st run of this year so not really sure what to expect but I would respect its chances if backed, the bottom weight, another 3yo, comes out 2nd best using a time recorded on the AW at Chelmsford, my top rated is KHAADEM 11/8 who comes out top on just recent ratings and on overall ratings using its best time from 2020 it also has good trainer stats and very good jockey stats and will be carrying my money.

Khaadem 11/8 2nd -1pt 

Total on the day -3pts

3:50 Pontefract Racing Tips (28th April)

PONTEFRACT 3.50 

A 7 runner race where i will be backing the one that is my top rated and also the only known front runner in the race, the top weight True Mason might struggle to stay the distance with a fast early pace so I will look to lay this one, Mr Orange hasn't shown much in its last 3 runs but has a time from last year over this c/d that would make it my 3rd top rated horse, Final Frontier seems to be on a downward spiral class-wise but does have a time from last year that puts it in 2nd top spot but will be hoping that HIGHLY SPRUNG 11/2 can get away smartly and then lead all the way to the line, it has good trainer and jockey stats as both have an 18% win ratios.

Highly Sprung 11/2 2nd -1pts

Total -1pt 

ASCOT 4.30 

A class 4 race with 11 runners and being a 5 furlong dash there's 4 known front runners, I cannot see anything I could lay with any confidence, I've got 5 horses rated within 6lbs at the top of my speed figures, Saaheq is 5th best but that was using a time from 2019 but is in good form having won 7 days ago, Diligent Lady in 4th top spot along with Outrage and Kick On Kick On in joint 2nd top position are all possible pacesetters so it should be truly fast early pace and they might go off a bit too fast and this is a very stiff course so they might play into the hands of ROSE HIP 8/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on resolutely at the business end of the race and is dropped in class compared to where it was running last year and hopefully its run 12 days ago will have put it spot on fitness wise for this race. 

Rose Hip 8/1 9th -1pt 

Total -1pt

PONTEFRACT 5.30 

This looks a tricky race with just 2 horses with recorded (fast enough) figures on my graphs and both of them are pretty low ratings, the top weight Fard has been known to lead before and it is one of the two horses in the race with a recorded time and it was from this year at Windsor, I would need a price of 11/2 at least before it would be worth taking the risk so if not this race is maybe best left alone. 

CHELMSFORD 6.40 

It is a shame there is only 7 runners but there is front runners among them, Show Me A Sunset may struggle to stay the distance with a fast early pace so I will look to lay it while Eagle Creek seems to want further to show its best so another I could lay, Araifjan has a time from Lingfield last year that would make it top rated by 2lbs but I am beginning to think this ones best time was a bit of a fluke where it got towed along in a fast run affair and might need further to win, I think Endowed is a possible pacesetter but races as though further might suit it better and might not have the pace to lead at this distance against my selection, One Hart will be running on at the finish and could make the frame but i am hoping that SPIRIT OF MAY 11/1 can lead here from start to finish, it was pestered on its last run and never got its head in front but a repeat of its run the time before that would see it back to winning ways and the trainer does well at this course.