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Saturday, 1 January 2022

12:25 Newcastle Racing Tips (2nd January)

NEWCASTLE 12.25 

A poor turnout in all 3 sprints today with just 5 in this race, I think both Good Earth 13/8 and Zapper Cass 15/2 would prefer a longer distance and might be worth laying while both Mokaman and SECRETINTHEPARK 4/1 like to lead and I think the latter will do best of the pair and could possibly lead all the way and will be carrying some of my money but PHOENIX STAR 2/1 is rated exactly the same on my figures but does have a 3lb claiming apprentice on board which moves it to top spot but i am not confident enough to split them so I will be backing them both.  

Secretinthepark 4/1 1st +4pts + EX £10.80
Phoenix Star 2/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay bet Good Earth +1pt 

Total +4pts

NEWCASTLE 12.55 

Up to 6 runners for this six furlong sprint and I expect the pace to be set by Alikido but hasn't any form in England on the AW tracks but would need to improve time wise to win this race but never say never if its allowed an easy lead, I will look to lay Nigel Nott if its a single figure price who I think is better over a shorter distance, Tipperary Tyger and Ballyconneely Bay could run ok here but I will be backing TOUSSARAK 11/2 who usually likes to track the leaders before running on strongly nearing the finish, its one previous c/d run is a few spot off of winning this race but if able to reproduce its best rating from Chelmsford in 2021 it would be winning with a bit in reserve. 

Toussarak 11/2 3rd -1pt 

Lay bet Nigel Nott -8.5pts

Total -9.5pts

NEWCASTLE 1.30 

A 5 furlong dash with 2 known front runners, I'm not sure King Of Stars is capable beating REGIONAL 13/2 in the battle for the lead and if this one can repeat its best Chelmsford rating it would be winning a shade cosily but there's no guarantee it will like this surface but it will be carrying some of my cash, I think the top weight Good Effort 6/5 would prefer a longer trip and would be one I would look to lay especially if it is a short priced favourite which is what the tissue prices predict, I have MONDAMMEJ 7/2 as my top rated just 3lbs higher than VENTUROUS 8/1 in 2nd top spot, as the latter usually races more prominently than the former it may get first run on its rival but I cannot split them confidently and I am not sure if it will be worthwhile dutching 3 horses in a 5 runner race so the betting will be the deciding factor in this race. It's one of those races do I dutch 3 runners or do I lay the hot favourite or maybe be brave and do both, what you do is up to you I only ever say what I intend to be backing or laying and I will only make my mind up near the off time.

Venturous 25/1 1st +25pts + CSF £116,74 
Mondammej 4/1 2nd -1pt 
Regional 7/1 4th -1pt 

Total +23pts

Total on the day +17.5pts

Lay bets must be priced single-figure odds at sp or no bet

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