Latest News - Advertise your website here
Showing posts with label Toussarak. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Toussarak. Show all posts

Sunday, 17 July 2022

4:10 Ayr Racing Tips (18th July)

AYR 4.10 

ABERAMA GOLD one of 3 known front running types and could do enough to make the frame but might not like really fast ground. 

STREAMLINE usually races in midfield in the early stages before trying to stay on at the finish but would need to improve time wise to win this race. 

BERNARD O'REILLY another that might not want the ground to be good to firm hence it might not be able to cope with the speedsters on this fast surface. 

SNASH has won at this distance but time wise it was a relatively slow run affair and is usually held up for a late run. 

QUEST FOR FUN likes to track the leaders but its another that would need to improve time wise to win this race. 

SUMMER SANDS has only slow times over this distance mainly because it doesn't like the really fast good to firm ground. 

TOUSSARAK a possible pacesetter drawn in stall one, it would need to improve time wise on what its done this year but is top rated using a 2021 speed figure rating. 

BLACK FRIDAY can be added to the list of those that don't seem to appreciate really fast good to firm ground and will be an outsider. 

CALL ME GINGER comes out in joint 3rd top spot on my figures and can be held up or track the leaders and could make the frame. 

JORDAN ELECTRICS is my other joint 3rd top rated horse and it has also been known to lead so could do enough from the fore to make the frame. 

NEVER DARK has only poor recent form to its name this year and may not be up to winning at this level of racing. 

POCKLEY has only poor form so far this year and might not be up to winning in this class 3 race. 

SUMMARY: With my 3rd joint top rated, my 2nd top rated and my overall top rated all being front running types there's plenty here might not be able to get involved in this race, the betting will be a better guide to any horses worth laying but I doubt there will be many if any that are short enough in price to be of value to lay, Call Me Ginger my joint 3rd top rated could do best of those coming from off the pace but would need a degree of luck, Jordan Electrics the other joint 3rd top rated along with Aberama Gold my 2nd top rated, although the latter might not want the ground to be too fast, will ensure that my selection TOUSSARAK 9/1 doesn't get an easy lead and keep it up to its work but if able to reproduce its best 2021 speed figure it would win this race with a few spots in hand and has been found a decent chance here to follow up its win last time out.

Toussarak 7th -1pt 

Total on the day -1pt 

Wednesday, 6 July 2022

1:30 Doncaster Racing Tips (7th July)

DONCASTER 1.30 

A field of 7 for this class 5 dash and 3 of the runners like to lead so it should be a fast run race for the class especially as they are my 4th, 3rd and 2nd top rated horses, Primo's Comet 4/1 doesn't seem to like really fast good to firm ground and could be a lay if the going goes against it, Harrogate 10/1 is my 4th top rated but might not be able to lead in this race,Just That Lord is in 3rd top spot and could do enough to make the frame if others falter, my 2nd top rated is Super Julius but its been nearly a month since the stable last tasted success but I'm hoping they will set the race up for DUSKY PRINCE 13/8 who usually likes to track the leaders and likes a fast pace to aim at and with a clear run it could pick the leaders up nearing the finish and on paper looks to have been found the ideal opportunity for it to complete its hattrick. 

Dusky Prince 7/4 1st +1.75pts 

Lay bet Primo's Comet +1pt 

Total +2.75pts

EPSOM 7.23 

A poor turnout of just 7 runners for this class 4 race with 4 horses that have been known to lead, I might look to lay Concierge 9/1 who may get outpaced here and stay on too late to win the race, Pablo Del Pueblo 5/1 may also be worth laying if of value to do so as its wins have come in slow run races, my top two ratings are both front running types, PRINCE OF BEL LIR 11/4 is my 2nd top rated and been in good form winning 3 of its last 4 races so cannot be discounted but it has poor jockey stats, if TOUSSARAK 8/1 can reproduce its best rating from 2021 it would win with a few spots to spare but the trainer is 0-7 with their older horses here and the jockey is also 0-7 for the stable so I will have to back them both.

Toussarak 8/1 1st +8pts 
Prince Of Bel Lir 9/2 3rd -1pt

Lay bet Concierge +1pt 

Total +8pts

Total on the day +10.75pts

Saturday, 1 January 2022

12:25 Newcastle Racing Tips (2nd January)

NEWCASTLE 12.25 

A poor turnout in all 3 sprints today with just 5 in this race, I think both Good Earth 13/8 and Zapper Cass 15/2 would prefer a longer distance and might be worth laying while both Mokaman and SECRETINTHEPARK 4/1 like to lead and I think the latter will do best of the pair and could possibly lead all the way and will be carrying some of my money but PHOENIX STAR 2/1 is rated exactly the same on my figures but does have a 3lb claiming apprentice on board which moves it to top spot but i am not confident enough to split them so I will be backing them both.  

Secretinthepark 4/1 1st +4pts + EX £10.80
Phoenix Star 2/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay bet Good Earth +1pt 

Total +4pts

NEWCASTLE 12.55 

Up to 6 runners for this six furlong sprint and I expect the pace to be set by Alikido but hasn't any form in England on the AW tracks but would need to improve time wise to win this race but never say never if its allowed an easy lead, I will look to lay Nigel Nott if its a single figure price who I think is better over a shorter distance, Tipperary Tyger and Ballyconneely Bay could run ok here but I will be backing TOUSSARAK 11/2 who usually likes to track the leaders before running on strongly nearing the finish, its one previous c/d run is a few spot off of winning this race but if able to reproduce its best rating from Chelmsford in 2021 it would be winning with a bit in reserve. 

Toussarak 11/2 3rd -1pt 

Lay bet Nigel Nott -8.5pts

Total -9.5pts

NEWCASTLE 1.30 

A 5 furlong dash with 2 known front runners, I'm not sure King Of Stars is capable beating REGIONAL 13/2 in the battle for the lead and if this one can repeat its best Chelmsford rating it would be winning a shade cosily but there's no guarantee it will like this surface but it will be carrying some of my cash, I think the top weight Good Effort 6/5 would prefer a longer trip and would be one I would look to lay especially if it is a short priced favourite which is what the tissue prices predict, I have MONDAMMEJ 7/2 as my top rated just 3lbs higher than VENTUROUS 8/1 in 2nd top spot, as the latter usually races more prominently than the former it may get first run on its rival but I cannot split them confidently and I am not sure if it will be worthwhile dutching 3 horses in a 5 runner race so the betting will be the deciding factor in this race. It's one of those races do I dutch 3 runners or do I lay the hot favourite or maybe be brave and do both, what you do is up to you I only ever say what I intend to be backing or laying and I will only make my mind up near the off time.

Venturous 25/1 1st +25pts + CSF £116,74 
Mondammej 4/1 2nd -1pt 
Regional 7/1 4th -1pt 

Total +23pts

Total on the day +17.5pts

Lay bets must be priced single-figure odds at sp or no bet

Friday, 8 October 2021

7:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips (9th October)

CHELMSFORD 7.00 

ROCK BOY GREY 11/1 has only ran once so far this year and will be trying to stay on at the finish but maybe too late to win this race.

NIGEL NOTT 11/2 is a known front running type and could lead here and if doing so prove hard to catch and its best time from 2020 would make it my joint top rated.

TOUSSARAK 7/1 is a 3yo who is my top rated on just 2021 times and only 2lbs below top spot on my overall figures so could go well here.

CRIMSON SAND 7/2 recorded its best time this year and this 3yo could improve further and would need to if it wants to win this race.

GREAT NEWS 4/1 may need a longer distance before it shows its best form, this is its AW debut but would need to improve on its best turf time to be winning here.

LETMELIVEMYLIFE 8/1 has got good jockey stats and time wise its my joint top rated on its best time from Lingfield.

YIMOU 11/1 hasn't shown much time wise since 2019 and its best from that year wouldn't be good enough to win this race.

COTTAM LANE 9/2 has led before and hasn't run on the AW before but would need to improve on its turf speed figures to win this race. 

TRUMBLE 22/1 hasn't ant AW form but i think it needs a longer distance to show its true worth and I expect it will be an outsider. 

SUMMARY: Both Great News and Cottam Lane will need to improve on their turf times to win this race and might be worth taking on if they are short priced, I think/hope that. NIGEL NOTT 11/2 can lead in this race and then it could prove hard to catch being my joint top rated, TOUSSARAK 7/1 is the other joint top rated and could prosper if the front runner doesn't set the right fractions to the race and then I also have to consider LETMELIVEMYLIFE 8/1 who is rated 2lbs lower on my overall figures but is my top rated for just this year and I hope I can dutch all 3 of them to make a profit. 

Letmelivemylife 10/1 6th -1pt 
Toussarak 14/1 7th -1pt 
Nigel Nott 11/2 9th -1pt 

Lay bets: Great News +1pt, Cottam Lane +1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 7.30 Div I 

Not a great race and the 2nd division is so poor I will be leaving it alone but I think I can find the winner of this 1st division although it wont be a big price, I can only see 1 known front runner in the field of 12 and that will be my selection, I will be laying the top weight Big Impact 11/8 at the price as I think its either too far for it or the wrong going or maybe both, the trainer is 0-6 in the last 2 weeks and its over a month since they last did have a winner, Jorvik Prince is another that might struggle to stay if there's a fast early pace which I expect VINCENZO COCCOTTI 7/2 to set here and I'm hoping it can lead all the way to follow up its win last time out and it is actually a bigger price than i was anticipating.

Vincenzo Coccotti 7/2 9th -1pt 

Lay bet Big Impact -1.2pts 

Total -2.2pts 

Total on the day  -3.2pts


Friday, 24 September 2021

2:40 Haydock Racing Tips (25th September)

HAYDOCK 2.40 

WOW what a competitive looking class 2 dash, I can only see Premier Power as a possible lay bet in this race, Mountain Peak is one of two known front running types in this race and comes out 4th best on my figures so could run well and maybe even make the frame,Jawwaal is my 3rd top rated and only 2lbs below the pair who are my top rated, Mondammej is one of the joint top rated horses but drops to 2nd best when I take off the 5lb the apprentice claims riding COPPER KNIGHT 9/2 who is also the other known front runner and if getting to the front here it could be hard to catch. 

Copper Knight 9/2 5/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay bet: Premier Power +1pt 

Total 0pts 

HAYDOCK 3.15 

Another nice looking race and class 3 this time, I think the early pace will be set by Al Simmo but it would need to improve to hold on for the win, Call Me Ginger who has won its last 3 races comes out 3rd top on my figures and maybe the handicapper has caught up with it, there is only 2lbs between my top rated pair and I will be backing both of them, NEVER DARK 8/1 and SECOND COLLECTION 12/1 as to be honest I cannot split them and both look good value at their prices with there being just seven runners. 

Second Collection 16/1 4th -1pt 
Never Dark 8/1 5th -1pt 

Total -2pts

RIPON 3.30 

A field of 12 for this race with a couple of front runners of whom Machree may go best but I doubt it can hold on for the win and I might well lay the other possible leader, Raydmoor who might have been flattered when winning a slow run race last time out, James Watt, Nibras Again and Deputise could all go well but I will be splitting my stake between COLEY'S KOKO 9/2 who is my 2nd top rated but only 1lb below ATLYAH 7/1 in top spot, the former is usually held up for a late run while the latter likes to track the leaders and then stay on resolutely nearing the finish. 

Coley's Koko 7/1 Unp -1pt 
Atlyah 12/1 Unp -1pt 

Total -2pts

RIPON 4.05 

As usual with an eight runner race I hope they all take part so there is 3 places available for an each way bet, it is a good looking class 2 race where I cannot see anything that I could dismiss its chances and lay it, Bossipop may do best of the two known front runners in the race as it comes out 4th best on my figures and could even stay on well enough to sneak a palace especially if others falter, Thegreatestshowman is sitting in 3rd top spot but the trainer is 0-10 in the last 2 weeks, Manigordo is my 2nd best rated horse and is usually seen staying on at the finish over this distance and could make the frame but it hasn't been in good form lately, my money will be riding on BOWMAN 10/1 (EW) who recorded a fast time at Carlisle and a repeat would see it winning a touch cosily.

Bowman 10/1 8th -2pts

Total -2pts

RIPON 5.50 

Only 6 runners where the top pair, Nearly A Gonna and Ustath, look the likely pacesetters and the latter could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead and the former might have been flattered when it won 2 runs ago at Nottingham, Hurstwood comes out 2nd best using a time from way back in 2019, my money will be riding on SINGE ANGLAIS 13/8 who is from a stable in decent form in the last two weeks and it will be held up for a late run. 

Singe Anglais 9/4 1st +2.25pts

Total +2.25pts

CHELMSFORD 7.30 

A class 4 race, 10 runners and 2 known front running types equals a true run affair, I would look to lay Seas Of Elzaam who should be staying on at the finish but maybe too late to catch the leaders, Garth Rockett has a good time from 2020 which would give it a good chance of winning but the jockey booking, 0-18, makes me think it will be aimed at a future race, I did have TOUSSARAK 7/1 and NIGEL NOTT 5/1 level on my ratings but the former has a 3lb claiming apprentice on board and the latter has a 5lb claiming apprentice, so just 2lbs between them but as the latter is the one I think might set the early pace and could prove hard to catch but just in case I will back them both to cover the angles. 

Nigel Nott 5/1 4th -1pt 
Toussarak 7/1 UR -1pt 

Lay bet: Seas Of Elzaam +1pt

Total -1pt

CHELMSFORD 8.30 

Only 7 runners but 3 of them are known as front runners and five of them are 3yo’s so my stakes are already going to be low, I think *Iesha may need further and may be worth laying despite the fact this race might be run to suit its racing style, I think JORVIK PRINCE 9/1 should lead and then prove hard to catch and if reproducing its best time from 2020 would hold on for the win but its time from 2021 would give TOPLIGHT 9/2 a chance to pick it up in the closing stages and I will be backing them both.

*NR

Jorvik Prince 9/1 2nd -1pt 
Toplight 5/1 6th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day -6.75pts

Friday, 17 September 2021

2:40 Newmarket Winning Racing Tips (18th September)

NEWMARKET 2.40 

I'm hoping the going is good or better here, the course does dry out quickly as its a chalky area so please tread carefully and watch an earlier race if possible to see what the going is like. In this race I will look to lay Beauty Choice 8/1 who might prefer a longer distance than today's to show its best but this should be a fast run affair which should suit it, Equiano Springs 8/1 is one of the two known front running types in this race and it comes out 3rd best on my figures so could make the frame and worth an each way interest, TOUSSARAK 5/2 is the other likely pacesetter and comes out 2nd best on my figures using a time recorded at Goodwood and if getting to the front could prove hard to pass and does have good trainer/jockey stats and has to have some chance especially if my top rated horse WORLD OF WINDHOVER 11/4 doesn't repeat its best time, which it recorded at Yarmouth, over this completely different kind of course so I will be backing both of them to cover the angles. 

Tussarak 5/2 4/1 5th -1pt 
World Of Windhover 18/5 6th -1pt 

Total -2pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.55 

A poor class 6 race even by All-Weather standards but hopefully I've found a gem amidst the dirt, I have marked down both *Iesha and Big Impact as possible lays and are forecast to be single prices in the betting there are other possible lays but I expect them to be outsiders in this field, Blue Cable is my 4th top rated using a 2021 time, Jungle Inthebungle comes out 3rd best using a 2020 time, in 2nd top spot is Bernards Spierpoint but this ones best time wasn't done on this surface, THAKI 7/4 is my top rated and the only known front runner in the race and if getting to the front it ought to prove uncatchable and the trainer and jockey stats hopefully point to the stable expecting it to win here, the price is pants but a reproduction of its last win would see it winning a shade cosily. 

*NR

Thaki 7/4 1st +1.75pts

Lay bets: Big Impact +1pts

Total +2.75pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.00 

A strange looking race with just the one known front runner in the field, I will look to lay Strong Power 10/1 and Show Me A Sunset 11/1 if they are single price figures in the betting, so I'm hoping they are backed a little, the main strange thing is that its impossible to narrow it down to a one horse conclusion so it looks like I will be dutching 3 horses in this race, SEEKING PERFECTION 14/1 who is the front running type and could go well especially if allowed an easy lead and is my 3rd top rated,*TATHMEEN 10/1 is 2nd top rated on just 2021 times and with the apprentice jockeys 5lb claim it moves to top rated on my overall figures but only 1lb above *CANFORD BAY 9/2 who is top rated on just 2021 times so I will go with a win bet and two each way bets.

*NR 

Seeking Perfection 66/1 8th -2pts 

Lay bets: Show Me A Sunset +1pt

Total -1pt

Total on the day -0.25pts