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Friday, 11 February 2022

2:20 Lingfield Racing Tips (12th February)

LINGFIELD 2.20 

SWISS PRIDE comes out 2nd top rated on my figures but the apprentices claim moves it to top spot and its dropped in class to run here plus its one of 2 known front running types in the race. 

ALABLAQ is a holdup type but will need to improve time wise to pick up the leaders in this race but could run on into a place.

ABDUCTION hasn't been in the best of form in its recent runs and I expect it will be an outsider in this race.

PATSY FAGAN 13/2 usually races in midfield and then stays on strongly nearing the finish but will need to improve to actually win this race and might be worth laying. 

CHERISH 9/1 can be held up or track the leaders but time wise its got a good few spots to make up to be winning this race so maybe a possible lay.

IGOTATEXT is the other known front running type and has the stall 1 draw so could gain control of the rails but I'm not sure it could lead all the way if it did lead.

COME ON GIRL is reliable to repeat its best ratings but its just outside my top four on my speed figures but could make the frame if others falter. 

SOYOUNIQUE 7/1 hasn't any form over this distance on this surface and hasn't any recorded rating maybe because it needs further to show its best so maybe worth laying. 

DEPUTISE 3/1 can be held up or track the leaders but isn't in my top four ratings and would need some good fortune to make the frame and looks poor value at the price. 

PABLE DEL PUEBLO is capable of a good speed figure and comes out 3rd best on my figures but its done its best stuff at a one level lower class than today's race.

HEY HO LETS GO does repeat its best figures fairly consistently but that level isn't enough to win this race if others repeat their best. 

CLASHANISKA comes out second best on my speed figures but again its best ratings were recorded at one level lower class. 

SUMMARY: Pablo Del Pueblo and Clashaniska can record good speed figures in lower class races but could go well but maybe a place at best, there's a few I have said could be possible lays and the betting will decide which ones so look above and see the ones I have put prices against, as for the winner I will be relying on the top weight SWISS PRIDE 12/1 (EW) who has been running in class 4 races and drops to class 5 here plus it comes out top on my own unique speed figure ratings and I am hoping it can lead all the way in this race and as a bit of insurance I can go with an each way bet at the price. 

Swiss Pride 14/1 6th -2pt 

Lay Patsy Fagan +1pt

Total- 1pt  

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.15 

Lay 
LORD RIDDIFORD a front running type who may need this run for fitness but does come out 3rd top rated using a 2020 course and distance speed figure. 

ONE NIGHT STAND races as though further would suit it better but this race might be run to suit it but I'm doubtful it can pick up all of the front runners. 

CAROLINE DALE is my 2nd top rated on recent course and distance times and could do best of the front runners as long as they go off too quickly in the early stages. 

EXISTENT this might not be its favourite surface and may be better when racing over a longer distance so one to perhaps lay.

CORINTHIA KNIGHT front running type number 3 in this race but hasn't been in good form lately and hasn't shown much time wise since 2019.

NIGHT ON EARTH usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly nearing the finish and comes out top rated on my figures. 

NO SPEED LIMIT a possible front runner who has only run once in England but its run at Southwell was on the poor side time wise so its another one I will look to lay. 

SUMMARY: With 4 front running types it should be a true run race, there's 7 runners but I have negatives against Existent 2/1 who looks poor value, One Night Stand 6/1 who might need further and No Speed Limit 7/1 and will look to lay them if of value to do so, as for the winner I will be backing CAROLINE DALE 10/3 in the hope that this is the one that might be able to lead all the way as its my 2nd top rated but I do have NIGHT ON EARTH 11/1 rated higher and will be trying to stay on at the finish and I will back them both to cover the angles but I might split my stake 60-40 in favour of my top rated.

Night On Earth 2nd  -0.4pts 2nd
Caroline Dale 4th  -0.6pts 7th 

Lya bets Exsitence -0.8333pts

Total -1.8333 

Total on the day -2.8333pts

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