6:15 Newcastle Racing Tips (15th November)

NEWCASTLE 6.15 

A class 5 dash with 11 runners and 3 known front running types so it should be a true run affair. Wrenthorpe 5/1 has been known to lead but needs to improve a good few spots to win this race and will be worth a small lay at the price, Love Trophy Power 8/1 may need further to show its best form and may not catch the leaders in time for the win so maybe worth a small lay if a single figure price near the off time. Never Dark 6/1 might do best of the front running trio and could do enough to at least make the frame as its my 3rd top rated, Spanish Angel 12/1 is my top rated using its best rating from 2021 over this course and distance but hasn't managed a rating high enough to register on my figures this year so my money will be riding on GLORIOUS RIO 15/1 who likes to track the leaders and i think those drawn high have a slight advantage at this course so stall 11 should be fine. 

Glorious Rio 15/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt

NEWCASTLE 7.45 

I am never a fan of amateur jockey races, this race has 14 runners but only one known front running type but very often horses change their tactics in these races but being on a straight course then it hopefully shouldn't be too bad. I'm not sure if there will be anything of value to lay but maybe a small lay on Eligible 7/2 who races as though further might suit it better. Rory 8/1 might struggle to stay the distance with a fast early pace and will be a lay if its a single figure price at the off. The 3yo Wee Fat Mac has a rating that would put it in the mix but has poorish trainer/jockey stats but I couldn't lay it either, Global Apollo is another that could go well if its Southwell rating is to be believed but only recorded a slow time over this course and distance. DANDY'S GOLD 20/1 (EW) is my top rated using a 2021 course and distance rating but hasn't been in good form recently but it might be worth a small each way bet just in case it bounces back to form but for my main bet I will be backing SPARTAN FIGHTER 40/1 (EW) who is the one i hope will set the pace to the race and if able to reproduce its best rating from 2021 it would win this race and will have to be an each way bet at the price.

Dandy's Gold 20/1 Unp -2pts 

Spartan Fighter 40/1 Unp -2pts 

Lay bets Eligible +1pt, Rory +1pt 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day -3pts

4:40 Newcastle Racing Tips (23rd September)

NEWCASTLE 4.40 

A class 6 race with a full house of 14 runners with a couple of known front running types which should make things easier but to be honest I cannot narrow it down to anything less than 3 possible winners and even then I say keep your stakes low, so maybe the best way to make a profit from this race is to lay one of the entrants and I will look to lay Anconagua Mountain 9/2 who is usually held up for a late run but is held on recent form by Coleys Koko and needs to improve time wise to win this race and its only got relatively slow times on good to firm ground on turf plus the trainer only has a win ratio of 3% at this course, COLEY'S KOKO 12/1 is one of the trio that could win this race and if it can reproduce its best turf rating it would win this race a shade cosily so at the price has to be worth an each way punt at the price, JOSHUA R 4/1 usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish my third horse is ELZAAL 11/2 from stall 10 who can be held up or track the leaders and a high draw is usually a help over this straight course, I will be backing all 3 of them but not to high stakes. 

Elzaal 11/2 1st +5.5pts 

Coley's Koko 20/1 5th -1pt

Joshua R 6/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bet Aconagua Mountai +1pt 

Total +4.5pts

NEWCASTLE 8.15 

Up one level to class 5 with 3 known front running types but another race very hard to narrow down to anything less than 3 horses so maybe another race where the best way to make money will be laying Robasta 6/1 who may need further to show its true worth and its one run on this Tapeta surface at Wolverhampton it didn't show much at all which puts me off its chance here and its win on Polytrack at Kempton was a relatively slow time which didn't register on my figures, GLORIOUS RIO 12/1 (EW) could be the one to do best coming from off the pace and the horse has won 3 from 13 races on an artificial surface so has to be worth an each way wager, MAJESTIC MAN 11/2 is one of the possible pacesetters coming out of stall 4 so if low numbers are best then that's covered that angle while my other front running POLITICS 14/1 (EW) is coming out of stall 13 covering that angle if the high numbers are best on the day and looks worth another each way punt.

Majestic Man 17/2 2nd -1pt 

Glorious Rio 12/1 4th -2pts 

Politics 14/1 Unp -2pts 

Lay bet Robasta +1pt 

Total -4pts

Total on the day +0.5pts

1:00 Doncaster Racing Tips (24th June)

DONCASTER 1.00 

The bottom 3 in the handicap look to have very little chance of winning this race but never say never, but I doubt they will be of value to lay, there isn't any known pacesetters in this race which always makes things very hard to analyse to a conclusion, Dark Shot 50/1 and Good Earth 3/1 can both struggle to stay this distance in a fast run affair but may be ok with the make-up of this race but I have two horses that are a good few spots ahead of the rest of the field using my own unique speed ratings and there is only 1lb between them, After John 13/2 has poorish jockey stats while the trainer is 0-19 with their older horses at this course so I will back HAIL SEZER 11/2 who can be held up or race I'm midfield the top class jockey booking looks a positive move and this will be his first ride for the stable. 

Hail Sezer 11/2 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

YARMOUTH 4.05 

A field of 7 for this race with only Haveoneyerself known to lead and could be very dangerous if allowed an easy lead, there is three 3yo’s in the field who could improve without warning which has put me on the back foot and the formlines are so tangled I'm not sure what will win this race so maybe the best way to go to make a profit is to lay something, I have marked down 2 horses that I could lay, Colombre 3/1 who may need a longer distance on good to firm ground to show its best form while Grandfather Tom 9/2 has been running ok lately but may find itself outclassed at this level. 

Lay bets Colombre +1pt, Grandfather Tom +1pt 

Total +2pts 

YARMOUTH 4.40 

Only six runners with one known pace setting type amongst them, the bottom 2 in the handicap look to have virtually no chance of winning this race, I would look to lay Snow Berry who has won at this distance but only in a slow time and hasn't been in good form recently and also has poorish trainer/jockey stats, I only have 1lb between my 2 top rated horses and my 2nd top rated is Amor De Mi Vida 8/11 and that price looks way too short in my opinion so I will go with AISH 4/1 who is my top rated and also the only known front runner in the race so if leading and setting its own pace it could lead all the way for the victory. 

Aish 12/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Snow Berry +1pt 

Total 0pts

NEWCASTLE 6.00 

A field of 11 with just Mews House 15/2 known as a front running type but it would need to improve time wise to stay ahead all the way for the win but could possibly be an each way bet but would need others to falter, I will look to lay the top weighted Runnin Wild 11/2 who may need further and has poor trainer/jockey stats, Bunnian is my 3rd top rated but hasn't been in good form lately, Tanasoq is capable of producing a good speed rating but usually in a lower class six race, I will be putting my money on GLORIOUS RIO 5/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish it has good jockey stats and is drawn close to the likely leader so will hopefully get a good tow into the race.

Glorious Rio 14/1 7th -1pt 

Runnin Wild -2.25pts 

Total -3.25pts

Total on the day -2.25pts

6:30 Newcastle Racing Tips (28th March)

NEWCASTLE 6.30 

A nice looking class 4 race with 11 entries, I can see two known front running types in Outrage 8/1 and Faustus, the former could do enough from the front to make the frame and might be worth an each way interest but I will be looking to lay Faustus 4/1 as it might need this run for fitness, like it usually does after a break, plus the trainer has had 31 runners over the last 100 days without having a winner, I will also be looking to lay Phoenix Star 5/1 who may need further to show its best form and the stable hasn't had a winner for over a month now, Buniann 12/1 who form wise might be worth a small each way interest as its my 3rd top rated but its last 2 runs have been quite poor so I won't be backing it even to make the frame but never say never, my money will be riding on GLORIOUS RIO 14/1(EW) and at the price it has to be with an each way wager, I think its overpriced but mainly that could be due to the fact the stables last winner was 81 days ago but today's 7lb claiming apprentice jockey has a 25% win ratio on the stables older horses and his claim could swing things in its favour. 

Glorious Rio 14/1 3rd +1.8pts

Lay bets Faustus -3pts, Phoenix Star +1pt

Total -0.2pts

NEWCASTLE 7.30 

The early pace in this race looks likely to come from Gowanbuster and/or Rose Bandit but I'm not sure this surface suits the latter so the former might be worth a small each way interest but it will need to bounce back to form as its recent runs have been quite poor, I can see three that I might lay if they are single figure prices at the off, Prospect 7/1 who might need further to show its best form and the trainer hasn't had a winner from 16 runners over the last 88 days, True Mason 11/2 may also require a longer distance to show its best form and its 37 runners and 138 days since this stable last tasted success, my 3rd lay is Privilege 15/2 who has been running in France so I'm not 100% sure how good the form is but it seems to run as though this trip might be a bit short for it and after a 4 month break it might need this run for fitness as its not won before when returning after a break but with this one I would wait until the off just in case they back it and if it is backed significantly then I wouldn't be laying it but I wouldn't back it either, as for the winner of this race I will be relying on ATHOLLBLAIR BOY 9/1 (EW) who has a course and distance rating from last year that would see it winning this race with a bit in hand but with the trainer not having a winner during the last 51 days I will not be betting too heavily in this class 5 race but a small each way bet could pay dividends.

Athollblair Boy 9/1 4th -2pts

Lay bets True Mason +1pt

Total -1pt

Total on the day  -1.2pts

2:45 Lingfield Racing Tips (4th March)

LINGFIELD 2.45 

There's 3 known front runners in this race, Swiss Pride 6/1 is one of them and is capable of recording a high speed figure but all in lower class races so maybe not up to winning this race, I'm not sure what to expect from Twilight Heir 12/1 and I'm doubtful that Impeach 5/1 can lead all the way for the win while Night On Earth 10/1 may struggle to stay the distance with a fast early pace so I will be laying it if of value, as for the winner I will probably have a small covering bet on Jacks Point 9/2 who ran well last time when finishing 2nd and could possibly go one better here but my main bet will be riding on COUNT OTTO 13/2 who at first glance looks out of form but did record a good time the time before last over this course and distance and the jockey has a decent strike-rate for the trainer. 

Count Otto 14/1 7th -1pt

Lay bet Night On Earth +1pt 

Total 0pts

NEWCASTLE 6.15 

I hope all 8 runners take part and the pace will most likely be set by Khabib 11/2 who won last time out and holds Tathmeen 9/1 on that run but both of them might be outclassed at this level and time wise the winner would need to improve a few spots and might be worth laying if a shortish price but it is a 4yo who could be improving my lay stake will be kept low, Gowanlad 3/1 might be better racing over further and the jockey is 1-19 for the stable it might be another one to lay, as for the winner I'm hoping that GLORIOUS RIO 14/1 (EW) who is housed in stall 8 next to the probable pacesetter so could get a good tow into the race before staying on the stronger at the finish and the jockeys 29% win ratio on the stables older horses is hopefully a good pointer and at the odds it has to be an each way wager.

Glorious Rio 22/1 7th -2pts 

Total -2pts  

NEWCASTLE 7.15 

Not a race to get too excited about but the early pace could be set by Ustath but it hasn't been in good form lately, it would be a surprise if those in the bottom four in the handicap were to win this race, Million Reasons 5/2 has been in cracking form but it was either slow going or a slow run race when it won over c/d last time out and it should go well again here but I expect it will be fairly short in the market, I will take a bit of a punt in this race on DUE A WIN 13/2 who has been placed in 4 of its 8 AW races but is still a maiden after 11 races in total and can find this distance a bit too far if there's a fast early pace which might not happen here so it could have a chance to get off the market in this race. 

Due A Win 13/2 Unp -1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWCASTLE 7.45 

Once again I hope all 8 runners take part in case I find an each way bet, I'm not sure this is the best surface for the front running Nigel Nott 8/1 and would lay it if of value to do so, Ghatnanfar 15/2 might need this run for fitness so another one to lay, I actually think the early pace will be set by SPARTAN FIGHTER 3/1 who I tipped up last time out when it won priced at a ten to one, the apprentice jockey does well riding for the stable and it could lead all the way again here but I cannot let SHALLOW HAL 11/2 run without having a bet on this one as well it usually tracks the leaders and then stays on strongly at the finish and the jockey has a 29% win ratio on the stables older horses and could be the one to prosper if the leader/s fade in the closing stages.

Spartan Fighter 5/1 1st +5pts 

Shallow Hal 11/2 4th -1pt 

Lay bets Nigel Nott +1pt, Ghatnanfar +1pt 

Total +6pts

Total on the day  +3pts

7:00 Newcastle Racing Tips (25th October)

NEWCASTLE 7.00 

GINGER JAM may need a longer distance to show its best and its only run over this course and distance resulted in a slow time so not for me in this race. 

BUNIANN 5/2 usually likes to track the leaders, can be relied to reproduce its best but would need to improve time wise to win this race, may have been flattered by its victory last time out and therefore the price doesn't represent poor value and I would take the risk and lay it at that price.

VICTORY ANGEL hasn't any distance form on the All-Weather tracks over this distance but it does have a time from Ripon on turf which would make it 4th top spot on overall figures. 

JAMES WATT can be relied upon to reproduce its best speed figures when it encounters its ideal conditions but even then those times are relatively slow so not for me in this race. 

GLORIOUS RIO comes out 2nd top rated on just this years course and distance times but that figure is only good enough for 5th top spot on my overall figures but has good jockey stats so may make the frame. 

SOAPY'S SISTER has only slow times over this course and distance but its best time from on the truf at Hamilton would make it my joint 2nd top rated on overall figures. 

QUEEN OF KALAHARI 4/1 this might not be the right surface for it and/or too short a distance and its best speed figure doesn't see it make my top 4 so not for me in this race and at the price I will be laying it because its poor value in my opinion. 

SOUND OF IONA has only had 3 runs on the artificial surfaces and made the frame in just one of them, its best time on turf would make it my top rated but its poor AW form puts me off. 

BALLYARE this 3yo comes out top rated on just 2021 course and distance ratings and its best time on turf would make it my joint 2nd top rated and only 2lbs from top spot but the apprentice jockeys 3lb claim makes it my top rated on both sets of figures. 

SPANISH ANGEL this one comes in outside my top four ratings, it is usually held up for a late run and could run into a place if others falter but I doubt it can win this race. 

TAR HEEL this 3yo has shown very little in its runs to date and I cannot see any reason why it should change here and I expect it to be one of the outsiders. 

SUMMARY: I have said a few of these are not for me in this race and to be honest none of them are jumping out of the page to me, firstly and most significantly is the lack of known front running types in the race which is unusual in a 5 furlong dash, obviously something will set the pace but the question is will it be a true fast pace, I somehow doubt it and I should probably leave this race well alone but then again I might dutch the 3 horses that I think could win this race despite the lack of early pace, GLORIOUS RIO 7/1 has good jockey stats making me think connections are expecting a big run here and does usually like to track the pacemakers so could cover any moves by its opponents, SOAPY'S SISTER 12/1 has a reasonably good jockey stat so could go well but being a hold up type it will need some luck in running and hope the leaders haven't kept plenty in reserve to repel any late challengers but maybe worth an each way interest at a double figure price, BALLYARE 6/1 with its apprentice jockeys 3lb claim comes out top rated on both sets of figures and probably should be my only selection in this race but the lack of pace concerns me greatly and this one being a hold up type could leave itself with too much to do if the leaders don't tire nearing the finish, I will go with backing all three of them but probably tilted in favour of my top rated horse.

Ballyare 15/2 1st +7.5pts + CFS £184.03 EX £167.80

Soapy's Sister 25/1 2nd -1pt 

Glorious Rio 7/ 19th -1pt 

Lay bets Buniann +1pt

Total on the day  +6.5pts 

8:00 Newcastle Racing Tipster (6th September)

NEWCASTLE 8.00 Div I 

Just one known front running type in this race so Cupacoco could set the pace although I think it might need this run for fitness so a good blast from the front would be ideal to blow away the cobwebs, the betting will decide what I will look to lay but, Cupacoco, Blazing Hot 7/1, The Grooming 9/1 and Tittly's Rock are all candidates if they are single figure prices, my top rated on just 2021 times is GLORIOUS RIO 2/1 who likes to track the leaders and has good jockey stats making me think connections are expecting a big run and the bookies seem to agree, it could win but i do have QAARAAT 20/1 (EW) rated higher if I use this ones best time from 2019 while its best from 2020 would put it into 3rd top spot and it has only had one run this year over this course and distance and it is capable of winning if in the mood to put its best hoof forward so at the price might be worth a small each way investment. 

Glorious Rio 2/1 +2pts 

Qaaraat 20/1 7th -2pts 

Lay bets Capacoco +1pt, Blazing Hot +1pt, The grooming +1pt  & Tittly's Rock +1pt 

Total +4pts

NEWCASTLE 8.30 Div II 

This looks the weaker division but it does have more 3yo’s that could still improve, I think the early pace will be set by Attaboy Roy 4/1 who is a 3yo and could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead but its not an each way price, it is already my 3rd top rated overall and 2nd top rated on just 2021 times as it is the only known front running type in the race, Brandy Station 20/1 has a time from 2019 that would make it my 2nd top rated and its best from 2020 would keep it in the same position so could go well and if there's 3 places up for grabs it could be worth a small each way interest, Tanasoq 7/2 is 3rd top rated on just 2021 course distance times but only 2lbs below Attaboy Roy the likely leader, my top rated on just 2021 course and distance times is RAABEH 12/1 (EW) who has a time from 2020 that is quite a bit better and a repeat of that speed figure would see it winning a bit cosily and at the price I have to give it as an each way bet.

Raabeh 12/1 8th -2pt 

Total -2pt 

Total on the day +2pts

1:30 Hamilton Racing Tips (15th July)

HAMILTON 1.30 

An 8 runner 5 furlong dash with 3 horses that have been known to lead before, I will look to lay Mr Trevor 5/1 who I think will need a longer trip to show its true worth and may get outpaced in this race, the 2 at the bottom of the handicap, Rain Cap and Lady Of Desire have to improve dramatically to win this race and I think they will need further to shine and they will be among the outsiders in the race, it looks like Tanasoq will be a short priced favourite and it is my 2nd top rated and being in good form it maybe deserves to be the favourite but it also gives me an opportunity, as long as all 8 runners take part and there is therefore 3 places up for grabs for an each way wager, I will be having a bet on DEBAWTRY 8/1 who has a time from Thirsk earlier this year that makes it my top rated and this one likes a fast pace to aim at and finish strongly at the finish so an each way bet could pay dividends. 

Debawtry 8/1 1st +8pts 

Lay bets Mr Trevor +1pt

Total +9pts

LEICESTER 4.23 

This is one of those stakes races which are becoming popular for low class horses and to be honest most of them are too poor to bother with but I do still check the speed figures if any of them have been recorded on my figures and in this race I have one horse GLORIOUS RIO 10/1 (EW) who ran a time at Carlisle earlier this year which is bit higher than usual for this grade of racing and if its a double figure price, as forecast in the early tissue prices, it might pay dividends by going with an each way punt but my stake wont be at full strength.

Glorious Rio 3rd +1.75pts

Total on the day +10.75pts