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Sunday 10 July 2022

2:25 Ayr Racing Tips (11th July)

AYR 2.25 

I was going to leave this race alone until I noticed EARN YOUR STRIPES 11/1 (EW) was entered I tipped this one up on Saturday at Hamilton where it finished too late and only managed to snatch 2nd place at the finish so if they run again here I think connections will be expecting it to go one better and this does look an easier opportunity and its a shame it ran so well at Hamilton because the price will reflect that run and it will be much shorter than the ten to one price that was forecast on the early tissue prices but hey ho a winners a winner and I will be baking it if it runs here so quickly after its last run. I am surprised at the odds available I will definitely be backing it each way at the odds. 

Earn Your Stripes 11/1 1st +13.75pts

Total +13.75pts


A 9 runner race with just the one known front runner, 4 runners seem to have virtually no chance and I would expect them all to be biggish double figure prices, I think both Minhaaj and Maybe Tonight both race as though further would suit them better but they are my 3rd and 2nd top rated horses while my top rated is PRETTY SHIFTWELL 7/2 who is the aforementioned front runner so if it does set the pace it ought to prove too hard to catch and will lead all the way for the victory. 

Pretty Shiftwell 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 


A nice looking class 5 All-Weather race with 13 runners and with 3 known front runners it should be a true run race, Lazyitis may struggle to stay the distance in a fast run race but it hasn't run over this distance on an artificial surface before so its just my opinion from looking at its turf form, Temple Bruer and Society Lion will need to improve time wise to win this race although the latter will be trying to stay on at the finish, Show Maker my 4th top rated could run to the fore but I'm not sure if its quite quick enough to lead on its own and the same applies Politics who is 3rd best on my figures but my top rated horse COOPERATION 14/1 (EW) is another front runner but its best rating comes from Chelmsford on the Polytrack surface but if taking the Tapeta surface here it could prove hard to peg back and the jockey booking looks a positive move but just in case it doesn't take to the surface I will also be backing my 2nd top rated horse *SARAH'S VERSE 8/1 (EW) who is usually held up for a late run and this race could be run to suit it, now with the betting i will be backing them both each way. 


Cooperation 22/1 Unp -2pts 

Total -2pts 


A field of 7 with 2 known front runners, King O Jungle is a 3yo who might need further to show its best and only has slow speed figures at this distance, Impeach and Bell Shot could be hidden dangers although I'm not sure exactly what they are capable of in this race, A SURE WELCOME 9/2 is the one that I think will set the pace to the race and being my 2nd top rated it could prove hard to catch and if allowed an easy lead could lead all the way but I do have LEQUINTO 4/1 rated higher and if this one had better trainer/jockey stats it might have been my sole bet but I will go with the 2 bets to cover the angles. 

Lequinto 4/1 1st +4pts 
A Sure Welcome    11/1 4th -1pt 

Total +3pts 


Just the 6 runners but luckily a couple of known front running types but I think La Roca Del Fuego and/or Spring Bloom will be setting the race up for something attacking in the closing stages although the latter might have been a bet if it wasn't for the trainers 0-31 at this course and the jockeys 1-18 records as its my 2nd top rated, Grandfather Tom hasn't shown much time wise for quite a while now so might be worth laying if a single figure price, Gherkin might need further so maybe another to lay, while the 3yo Astral Beat could be a bit of a hidden danger as it has faded over 6 furlongs so this trip might be ideal but my money will be riding on *THE PRINCE'S POET 13/2 who is my top rated and has good trainer and jockey stats.


Total on the day +13.75pts

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