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Friday, 8 July 2022

4:40 York Racing Tips (9th July)

YORK 4.40 

A nice looking Listed class dash and this is a course that Winter Power 3/1 seems to really like but on my figures its only 4th top rated so may struggle to win this race and if its as short a price as predicted on the early tissue prices, seven to four, I would be tempted to risk things and lay it as its not shown much at all in its 2 runs so far this year admittedly not on courses it particularly likes, JUSTANOTHERBOTTLE 14/1 (EW) is my 3rd top rated using a speed figure it recorded at Musselburgh last year and as its the only known front running type in the race it could do enough to make the frame if not more so could be an each way prospect, MONDAMMEJ 14/1 (EW) is my 2nd top rated on my overall speed figures and top rated on just 2022 times so has to have a decent chance to win this race but it has poor trainer, 0-27, stats and the jockey has a poor 4% win ratio for the stable which doesn't inspire confidence but i doubt the trainer would sent it here with it being a non trier, ATALIS BAY 25/1 (EW) recorded a time at Haydock in 2021 that makes it my top rated and i think the only way in can go in this race is by backing all 3 of them hopefully with each way wagers. 

Mondammej 22/1 2nd +3.4pts
Justanotherbottle 14/1 5th -2pts
Atalis Bay 22/1 7th -2pts

Lay bet Winter Power +1pt 

Total +0.4pts

HAMILTON 6.30

There's a couple of known front running types in the shape of Astapor 5/1 my 5th top rated and Refuge my joint 3rd top rated so it should be a true run race but the former might not be quite quick enough to lead here and might be worth taking on with a lay, the 3yo Imperial Khan 7/1 has shown very little time wise and may be one to lay but as usual my stakes won't be too high with it being a 3yo, Sunset Glow is my other 3rd top rated and usually likes to track the leaders, Koropick usually races in midfield and comes out in 2nd top spot but I have EARN YOUR STRIPES 7/1 as my top rated but if the time it recorded over this course and distance last time out is to be believed and it can reproduce it again here it would win with a bit to spare but that was its 14th run when it broke its maiden tag but it has to be carrying some of my money and hope for a repeat performance.

Earn Your Stripes 7/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay bet Astapor +1pt 

Total 0pts 

Total on the day +0.4pts

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