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Thursday, 7 July 2022

4:45 Newmarket Racing Tips (8th July)

NEWMARKET 4.45 

With 6 known front runners in this race it could be a fast and furious dash, it looks mighty competitive race so not one to be betting too heavily in, Tees Spirit has been in good form lately but the handicapper might have it in its grip now so it could run ok but maybe not enough to win so maybe one to lay, Ancient Times one of the possible pacesetters could go well from those that like to race to the fore and might be worth an each way interest but I will be hoping another front running type LIHOU 12/1 (EW) who won last time out can follow up that win here and it does have good trainer/jockey stats and makes me think connections think it can win this race and at the price it has be given as an each way wager. 

Lihou 12/1 7th -2pts 

Lay bet Tees Spirit -1pt 

Total -1pt

YORK 5.00 

I can see 4 and possibly 5 horses that could set the pace to this race, I will be looking to lay Ghathanfar who looks a much better prospect over 6 furlongs so may get outpaced in this race and then stay on too late for the win, Albegone is capable of producing a good speed figure and has my highest speed figure but in lower class races than today's so it may get outclassed in this race while King Of Tonga needs to improve time wise and may be better over further, James Watt comes out in 4th top spot and could make the frame here, VAN GERWEN 18/1 (EW) is my 3rd top rated and likes to track the leaders before staying on strongly at the finish but i do have the front running type Modular Magic (non-runner) rated higher and if this one gets to the front it could prove hard to catch and can hopefully hold on for the win and if it wasn't for the trainers 0-6 record at this course it would probably have been my sole bet in this race but the jockey does do well for the stable. With the non-runner I will now be going with an each way punt on Van Gerwen hoping it stays on strongly enough at the finish to pick up the leaders.

Van Gerwen 33/1 4th -2pts 

Lay bet Ghathanfar -4pts 

Total -6pts

ASCOT 5.11 

WOW what a class 3 race this is, I can see 3 horses that like to lead, I'm not sure if I can find anything of value to lay although Mitrosonfire 9/1 came very close to being one but I expect it might be a double figure price, looking at my speed figure ratings Tanmawwy, Asad, Epsom Faithful, Lucky Man and Treacherous are all closely rated and it could be fine margins of luck in running that could decide this race but if either Antiphon or Emperor Spirit get an easy lead they could pinch this race from the front especially the latter one who is my top rated but the trainers 1-31 with its older horses at this course is a bit off-putting but it does have good jockey stats so I will be hoping that EMPEROR SPIRIT 6/1 can either lead or at least contest the lead from the off and stay on the stronger at the finish and this race is a drop down in class from its recent run. 

Emperor Spirit 6/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay bet Mitrosonfire +1pt 

Total 0pts


CHEPSTOW 6.45 

For a class 6 race this one looks quite good with 3 known front running types it should be a true run race, I could look to lay Louis Treize 15/2 who might need further to show its best and get outpaced here in the early stages and then try to stay on at the finish but I expect too late to catch the leaders, Rhubarb 7/2 won last time out over a longer distance and may be under-priced on the back of that win and I will be looking to lay it, Liberty Bay and Fossos two known pace setting types are my 5th and 4th top rated and will ensure there's a fast early pace, Astrophysics my 3rd top rated and Our Man In Havana my 2nd top rated will be trying to stay on strongly at the finish and could make the frame but i will be pinning my hopes on the chances of the top weighted CORONATION COTTAGE 8/1 leading from start to finish, it would just win on its best 2022 rating but if able to reproduce its best rating from Bath in 2020 it would win with a bit to spare.

Coronation Cottage 8/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay bets Rubarb -3.5pts, Louis Treize +1pt

Total -3.5pts

Total on the day  -10.5pts

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