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Showing posts with label Justanotherbottle. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Justanotherbottle. Show all posts

Tuesday, 6 June 2023

7:40 Ripon Racing Tips (7th June)

RIPON 7.40

A field of 8 for the only sprint of interest today but its a class 3 sprint so should be competitive and there is a couple of known front running types so it should be a true run race. Twelfth Knight has been known to lead before but doesn't have to so maybe it wont be its tactics here and will need to improve time wise to win this race as its only 5th top rated on my figures. It Just Takes Time is a hold up type but its best form has come in slowly run races and might get outpaced in this race and might be worth laying if of value to do so. Fortamour sits in 4th top spot and usually likes to track the leaders, Intrinsic Bond usually races in midfield before trying to stay on and is my 3rd top rated, if the going is good to firm which suits Bat Breeze then it should run well and being my 2nd top rated it could be worth an each way interest. My top rated is Justanotherbottle who is the one which I think will set the pace to this race and hopefully it can lead all the way for the victory and the trainer has a good 29% win ratio with their older horses at this course and its last win was in a class 2 race so is dropped in class to run here and has to be the one carrying my money.

Each Way Bet: JUSTANOTHERBOTTLE 12/1 (EW) 

Lay: IT JUST TAKES TIMES 9/2 

Friday, 8 July 2022

4:40 York Racing Tips (9th July)

YORK 4.40 

A nice looking Listed class dash and this is a course that Winter Power 3/1 seems to really like but on my figures its only 4th top rated so may struggle to win this race and if its as short a price as predicted on the early tissue prices, seven to four, I would be tempted to risk things and lay it as its not shown much at all in its 2 runs so far this year admittedly not on courses it particularly likes, JUSTANOTHERBOTTLE 14/1 (EW) is my 3rd top rated using a speed figure it recorded at Musselburgh last year and as its the only known front running type in the race it could do enough to make the frame if not more so could be an each way prospect, MONDAMMEJ 14/1 (EW) is my 2nd top rated on my overall speed figures and top rated on just 2022 times so has to have a decent chance to win this race but it has poor trainer, 0-27, stats and the jockey has a poor 4% win ratio for the stable which doesn't inspire confidence but i doubt the trainer would sent it here with it being a non trier, ATALIS BAY 25/1 (EW) recorded a time at Haydock in 2021 that makes it my top rated and i think the only way in can go in this race is by backing all 3 of them hopefully with each way wagers. 

Mondammej 22/1 2nd +3.4pts
Justanotherbottle 14/1 5th -2pts
Atalis Bay 22/1 7th -2pts

Lay bet Winter Power +1pt 

Total +0.4pts

HAMILTON 6.30

There's a couple of known front running types in the shape of Astapor 5/1 my 5th top rated and Refuge my joint 3rd top rated so it should be a true run race but the former might not be quite quick enough to lead here and might be worth taking on with a lay, the 3yo Imperial Khan 7/1 has shown very little time wise and may be one to lay but as usual my stakes won't be too high with it being a 3yo, Sunset Glow is my other 3rd top rated and usually likes to track the leaders, Koropick usually races in midfield and comes out in 2nd top spot but I have EARN YOUR STRIPES 7/1 as my top rated but if the time it recorded over this course and distance last time out is to be believed and it can reproduce it again here it would win with a bit to spare but that was its 14th run when it broke its maiden tag but it has to be carrying some of my money and hope for a repeat performance.

Earn Your Stripes 7/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay bet Astapor +1pt 

Total 0pts 

Total on the day +0.4pts

Sunday, 21 June 2020

2:40 Ayr Free Horse Racing Tips & Lay Bets (22nd June)


AYR 2.40 

I am not going to write much when I am not even sure if the going will be good or better, let's keep my fingers crossed. I will look to lay (Macs Blessing + Archies Lad + Let Right Be Done + Corton Lass) for various reasons, Jessie Allan is my 3rd top-rated and the only known frontrunner in the field so could be dangerous and might be worth an each-way interest, my 2nd top is LINCOLN LAD 11/8 but is actually top rated on just 2020 times and I think it will be a fairly hot favourite after finishing 2nd last time out, one horse that can win without prior warning is also my top rated using its best 2018 time and is only 1lb below the favourite on 2020 times so I will have to also back EXTRASOLAR 15/2 just in case it springs back to form here. 

Lincoln Lad 2/1 2nd (-1pt)
Extrasolar 15/2 5th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Mac's Blessing -3pts, Archie's Lad +1pt, Let Right Be Done +1pt, Corton Lass +1pt

Total: -2pts  

AYR 3.10 

This race is a tricky looking affair I will look to lay (B Fifty Two+ Obee Joe) who usually finds this trip too far on good to firm ground, Redrosezorro is a possible pacesetter but I think Mr Wagyu 11/4 is the one who I think will set the pace and could be very dangerous IF the going is good to firm but isn't any value at the price, even if the going is in its favour, on the balance of things I will have the one bet on EPEIUS 10/1 who is top-rated on 2019/20 times and at the price I would mark it down as an each-way wager, there is a few ifs and buts so my stakes will not be at full tilt. 

Epeius 10/1 3rd +1pt

Lay bets: B Fifty Two +1pt, Obee Joe +1pt 

Total: +3pts

AYR 3.40

This looks a cracking class 3 handicap and of course it is also very competitive, there is plenty of known early pace so should be a fast and furious dash, if the going is good to firm I will lay (National Anthem + Lomu), Eeh Bah Gum is a possible leader and top-rated on just 2019/20 times and is co 3rd favourite the other 2 being Powerallied and Wentworth Falls and these 2 should be staying on at the finish, 2nd top is Lord Riddiford who likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly, my top rated is JUSTANOTHERBOTTLE 9/2 who is a frontrunner and stall 9 is perfect and this is a drop in class and hopefully can lead from start to finish.

Justanotherbottle 9/2 3rd -1pt 

Lay bets: National Anthem -7pts, +1pt

Total: -7pts

Total on the day: - 6pts